Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 2–8 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 26.0–30.7% | 25.5–31.1% | 24.7–32.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.4–12.0% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.4% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 49 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–56 | 42–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 42 | 37–45 | 35–45 | 35–47 | 33–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 23 | 20–26 | 19–28 | 18–28 | 18–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 18 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 13–24 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 1–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 3–12 | 2–13 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 1–10 | 1–11 | 1–12 | 1–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 45 | 4% | 97% | |
| 46 | 4% | 93% | |
| 47 | 15% | 89% | |
| 48 | 9% | 74% | |
| 49 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 50 | 9% | 41% | |
| 51 | 11% | 32% | |
| 52 | 10% | 22% | |
| 53 | 6% | 12% | |
| 54 | 2% | 6% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 4% | 98% | |
| 36 | 2% | 94% | |
| 37 | 8% | 92% | |
| 38 | 12% | 84% | |
| 39 | 9% | 72% | |
| 40 | 6% | 63% | |
| 41 | 6% | 57% | |
| 42 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 43 | 20% | 37% | |
| 44 | 7% | 17% | |
| 45 | 6% | 10% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 3% | 96% | |
| 20 | 9% | 93% | |
| 21 | 18% | 85% | Last Result |
| 22 | 12% | 66% | |
| 23 | 16% | 54% | Median |
| 24 | 10% | 39% | |
| 25 | 12% | 29% | |
| 26 | 7% | 17% | |
| 27 | 5% | 10% | |
| 28 | 3% | 5% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 14 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 15 | 7% | 98% | |
| 16 | 16% | 91% | |
| 17 | 14% | 74% | |
| 18 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 19 | 22% | 45% | |
| 20 | 13% | 23% | |
| 21 | 5% | 9% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 7 | 8% | 98% | |
| 8 | 14% | 91% | |
| 9 | 32% | 77% | Median |
| 10 | 19% | 45% | |
| 11 | 17% | 26% | |
| 12 | 5% | 9% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 7 | 7% | 96% | |
| 8 | 25% | 89% | Last Result |
| 9 | 33% | 64% | Median |
| 10 | 20% | 31% | |
| 11 | 6% | 11% | |
| 12 | 4% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 89% | |
| 3 | 0% | 89% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 7 | 20% | 89% | |
| 8 | 20% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 27% | 49% | |
| 10 | 12% | 22% | |
| 11 | 6% | 10% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 15% | 94% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 80% | |
| 5 | 0% | 80% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 7 | 32% | 79% | Median |
| 8 | 23% | 47% | |
| 9 | 19% | 24% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15% | 100% | |
| 2 | 38% | 85% | Median |
| 3 | 12% | 48% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 35% | |
| 5 | 0% | 35% | |
| 6 | 6% | 35% | |
| 7 | 21% | 29% | |
| 8 | 7% | 8% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 100% | 92–104 | 91–105 | 90–107 | 88–109 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 92 | 98% | 87–97 | 86–99 | 85–101 | 83–103 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 87 | 76% | 83–94 | 82–95 | 81–97 | 78–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 81 | 20% | 76–86 | 75–88 | 74–89 | 71–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 81 | 18% | 74–85 | 73–86 | 71–87 | 68–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 78 | 14% | 74–85 | 73–85 | 72–86 | 68–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 76 | 0.5% | 71–81 | 69–82 | 67–83 | 65–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 72 | 0.1% | 68–77 | 67–79 | 66–80 | 63–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 72 | 0% | 66–78 | 66–78 | 65–79 | 63–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 71 | 0% | 64–76 | 63–77 | 61–78 | 59–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 68 | 0% | 64–73 | 63–74 | 62–75 | 59–77 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 65 | 0% | 60–70 | 58–71 | 58–73 | 56–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 60 | 0% | 55–66 | 54–67 | 53–68 | 50–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 59 | 0% | 54–63 | 54–64 | 53–66 | 51–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 57 | 0% | 52–63 | 52–63 | 50–63 | 48–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 50 | 0% | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 42–57 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 25 | 0% | 20–29 | 19–30 | 19–31 | 17–34 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 3% | 97% | |
| 92 | 11% | 94% | |
| 93 | 8% | 83% | |
| 94 | 2% | 75% | |
| 95 | 11% | 73% | |
| 96 | 6% | 62% | Last Result |
| 97 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 98 | 10% | 49% | |
| 99 | 5% | 39% | |
| 100 | 7% | 34% | |
| 101 | 8% | 27% | |
| 102 | 3% | 19% | |
| 103 | 5% | 15% | |
| 104 | 3% | 10% | |
| 105 | 3% | 7% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 107 | 2% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 97% | |
| 87 | 3% | 91% | |
| 88 | 8% | 87% | |
| 89 | 9% | 79% | |
| 90 | 14% | 71% | Median |
| 91 | 6% | 56% | |
| 92 | 7% | 50% | |
| 93 | 7% | 43% | |
| 94 | 9% | 35% | |
| 95 | 9% | 26% | |
| 96 | 6% | 17% | |
| 97 | 3% | 11% | |
| 98 | 3% | 8% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 96% | |
| 83 | 13% | 94% | |
| 84 | 6% | 81% | |
| 85 | 7% | 76% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 69% | |
| 87 | 11% | 61% | |
| 88 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 89 | 6% | 43% | |
| 90 | 9% | 37% | |
| 91 | 4% | 28% | |
| 92 | 7% | 24% | |
| 93 | 4% | 18% | |
| 94 | 7% | 14% | |
| 95 | 3% | 7% | |
| 96 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 97 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 75 | 2% | 97% | |
| 76 | 11% | 95% | |
| 77 | 4% | 84% | |
| 78 | 7% | 80% | |
| 79 | 8% | 73% | |
| 80 | 6% | 65% | |
| 81 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 82 | 8% | 46% | |
| 83 | 10% | 38% | |
| 84 | 8% | 28% | |
| 85 | 6% | 20% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 13% | |
| 87 | 3% | 9% | |
| 88 | 3% | 6% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 73 | 3% | 95% | |
| 74 | 7% | 93% | |
| 75 | 4% | 86% | |
| 76 | 7% | 82% | |
| 77 | 3% | 76% | |
| 78 | 10% | 73% | |
| 79 | 6% | 62% | Median |
| 80 | 7% | 57% | |
| 81 | 11% | 50% | |
| 82 | 8% | 39% | |
| 83 | 6% | 31% | |
| 84 | 6% | 24% | |
| 85 | 13% | 18% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 95% | |
| 74 | 5% | 92% | |
| 75 | 9% | 87% | |
| 76 | 9% | 78% | |
| 77 | 7% | 69% | |
| 78 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 79 | 6% | 49% | |
| 80 | 7% | 43% | |
| 81 | 7% | 35% | |
| 82 | 7% | 29% | |
| 83 | 3% | 21% | |
| 84 | 4% | 18% | |
| 85 | 10% | 14% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 3% | 95% | |
| 71 | 3% | 92% | |
| 72 | 6% | 88% | |
| 73 | 9% | 83% | |
| 74 | 9% | 74% | |
| 75 | 7% | 64% | |
| 76 | 8% | 58% | |
| 77 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 78 | 14% | 44% | |
| 79 | 8% | 29% | |
| 80 | 8% | 21% | |
| 81 | 4% | 13% | |
| 82 | 6% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 12% | 93% | |
| 69 | 9% | 81% | |
| 70 | 4% | 72% | |
| 71 | 8% | 69% | |
| 72 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 73 | 10% | 50% | |
| 74 | 13% | 40% | |
| 75 | 7% | 27% | |
| 76 | 9% | 20% | |
| 77 | 3% | 11% | |
| 78 | 2% | 8% | |
| 79 | 3% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 5% | 95% | |
| 67 | 8% | 90% | |
| 68 | 5% | 82% | |
| 69 | 7% | 77% | |
| 70 | 5% | 70% | |
| 71 | 7% | 65% | Median |
| 72 | 14% | 58% | |
| 73 | 5% | 44% | |
| 74 | 6% | 38% | |
| 75 | 9% | 32% | |
| 76 | 5% | 23% | |
| 77 | 4% | 17% | |
| 78 | 9% | 14% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 63 | 3% | 95% | |
| 64 | 3% | 93% | |
| 65 | 5% | 90% | |
| 66 | 3% | 85% | |
| 67 | 8% | 81% | |
| 68 | 6% | 73% | |
| 69 | 6% | 67% | |
| 70 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 71 | 7% | 51% | |
| 72 | 6% | 44% | Last Result |
| 73 | 11% | 38% | |
| 74 | 2% | 27% | |
| 75 | 8% | 25% | |
| 76 | 11% | 17% | |
| 77 | 3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 4% | 96% | |
| 64 | 6% | 92% | |
| 65 | 10% | 85% | |
| 66 | 13% | 75% | |
| 67 | 6% | 62% | |
| 68 | 8% | 56% | |
| 69 | 6% | 47% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 42% | |
| 71 | 12% | 31% | |
| 72 | 6% | 20% | |
| 73 | 7% | 14% | |
| 74 | 2% | 6% | |
| 75 | 3% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 59 | 2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 4% | 92% | |
| 61 | 3% | 89% | |
| 62 | 17% | 86% | |
| 63 | 6% | 69% | |
| 64 | 6% | 63% | |
| 65 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 66 | 8% | 45% | |
| 67 | 11% | 38% | |
| 68 | 9% | 26% | |
| 69 | 5% | 18% | |
| 70 | 4% | 13% | |
| 71 | 4% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 5% | 95% | |
| 56 | 6% | 90% | |
| 57 | 4% | 84% | |
| 58 | 13% | 79% | |
| 59 | 8% | 67% | |
| 60 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 61 | 4% | 49% | |
| 62 | 7% | 45% | |
| 63 | 4% | 38% | |
| 64 | 7% | 34% | |
| 65 | 9% | 27% | |
| 66 | 13% | 19% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 8% | 97% | |
| 55 | 8% | 89% | |
| 56 | 7% | 81% | |
| 57 | 12% | 74% | |
| 58 | 10% | 63% | |
| 59 | 10% | 53% | |
| 60 | 8% | 43% | Median |
| 61 | 8% | 35% | Last Result |
| 62 | 13% | 27% | |
| 63 | 6% | 14% | |
| 64 | 4% | 8% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 66 | 2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 6% | 95% | |
| 53 | 5% | 89% | |
| 54 | 8% | 84% | |
| 55 | 11% | 75% | |
| 56 | 12% | 65% | |
| 57 | 9% | 53% | |
| 58 | 5% | 44% | Median |
| 59 | 15% | 39% | |
| 60 | 6% | 25% | |
| 61 | 3% | 19% | |
| 62 | 6% | 16% | |
| 63 | 8% | 10% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 3% | 91% | |
| 47 | 9% | 88% | |
| 48 | 12% | 79% | |
| 49 | 12% | 67% | |
| 50 | 7% | 55% | |
| 51 | 7% | 48% | Median |
| 52 | 13% | 41% | |
| 53 | 10% | 28% | |
| 54 | 9% | 19% | |
| 55 | 5% | 9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 4% | 94% | |
| 21 | 5% | 90% | |
| 22 | 4% | 85% | |
| 23 | 8% | 80% | |
| 24 | 16% | 72% | |
| 25 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 26 | 9% | 48% | |
| 27 | 15% | 40% | |
| 28 | 9% | 24% | |
| 29 | 10% | 16% | |
| 30 | 3% | 6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 2–8 April 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 999
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.42%