Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 2–8 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
28.2% |
26.4–30.1% |
26.0–30.7% |
25.5–31.1% |
24.7–32.0% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
21.0% |
19.4–22.8% |
19.0–23.2% |
18.6–23.7% |
17.9–24.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
13.0% |
11.7–14.5% |
11.4–14.9% |
11.1–15.3% |
10.5–16.0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
10.6% |
9.4–12.0% |
9.1–12.3% |
8.8–12.7% |
8.3–13.4% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.6% |
4.5–6.8% |
4.3–7.1% |
3.9–7.6% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.8% |
3.6–7.3% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
4.9% |
4.1–5.9% |
3.9–6.2% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.4–6.9% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.4% |
3.7–5.4% |
3.5–5.6% |
3.3–5.9% |
3.0–6.4% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–5.0% |
2.3–5.4% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
45 |
4% |
97% |
|
46 |
4% |
93% |
|
47 |
15% |
89% |
|
48 |
9% |
74% |
|
49 |
24% |
65% |
Median |
50 |
9% |
41% |
|
51 |
11% |
32% |
|
52 |
10% |
22% |
|
53 |
6% |
12% |
|
54 |
2% |
6% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
56 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
35 |
4% |
98% |
|
36 |
2% |
94% |
|
37 |
8% |
92% |
|
38 |
12% |
84% |
|
39 |
9% |
72% |
|
40 |
6% |
63% |
|
41 |
6% |
57% |
|
42 |
15% |
51% |
Median |
43 |
20% |
37% |
|
44 |
7% |
17% |
|
45 |
6% |
10% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
47 |
2% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
18 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
19 |
3% |
96% |
|
20 |
9% |
93% |
|
21 |
18% |
85% |
Last Result |
22 |
12% |
66% |
|
23 |
16% |
54% |
Median |
24 |
10% |
39% |
|
25 |
12% |
29% |
|
26 |
7% |
17% |
|
27 |
5% |
10% |
|
28 |
3% |
5% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
14 |
1.3% |
99.2% |
|
15 |
7% |
98% |
|
16 |
16% |
91% |
|
17 |
14% |
74% |
|
18 |
16% |
61% |
Median |
19 |
22% |
45% |
|
20 |
13% |
23% |
|
21 |
5% |
9% |
|
22 |
3% |
4% |
|
23 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
25 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
3 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
7 |
8% |
98% |
|
8 |
14% |
91% |
|
9 |
32% |
77% |
Median |
10 |
19% |
45% |
|
11 |
17% |
26% |
|
12 |
5% |
9% |
|
13 |
3% |
4% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
3 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
96% |
|
5 |
0% |
96% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
7 |
7% |
96% |
|
8 |
25% |
89% |
Last Result |
9 |
33% |
64% |
Median |
10 |
20% |
31% |
|
11 |
6% |
11% |
|
12 |
4% |
5% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
11% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
89% |
|
3 |
0% |
89% |
|
4 |
0% |
89% |
|
5 |
0% |
89% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
7 |
20% |
89% |
|
8 |
20% |
69% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
27% |
49% |
|
10 |
12% |
22% |
|
11 |
6% |
10% |
|
12 |
3% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
6% |
100% |
|
3 |
15% |
94% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
80% |
|
5 |
0% |
80% |
|
6 |
0.9% |
80% |
|
7 |
32% |
79% |
Median |
8 |
23% |
47% |
|
9 |
19% |
24% |
|
10 |
4% |
5% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
15% |
100% |
|
2 |
38% |
85% |
Median |
3 |
12% |
48% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
35% |
|
5 |
0% |
35% |
|
6 |
6% |
35% |
|
7 |
21% |
29% |
|
8 |
7% |
8% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
97 |
100% |
92–104 |
91–105 |
90–107 |
88–109 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
92 |
98% |
87–97 |
86–99 |
85–101 |
83–103 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
87 |
76% |
83–94 |
82–95 |
81–97 |
78–100 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
81 |
20% |
76–86 |
75–88 |
74–89 |
71–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
81 |
18% |
74–85 |
73–86 |
71–87 |
68–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
78 |
14% |
74–85 |
73–85 |
72–86 |
68–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
76 |
0.5% |
71–81 |
69–82 |
67–83 |
65–85 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
72 |
0.1% |
68–77 |
67–79 |
66–80 |
63–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
72 |
0% |
66–78 |
66–78 |
65–79 |
63–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
71 |
0% |
64–76 |
63–77 |
61–78 |
59–80 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
68 |
0% |
64–73 |
63–74 |
62–75 |
59–77 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
65 |
0% |
60–70 |
58–71 |
58–73 |
56–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
60 |
0% |
55–66 |
54–67 |
53–68 |
50–70 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
59 |
0% |
54–63 |
54–64 |
53–66 |
51–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
57 |
0% |
52–63 |
52–63 |
50–63 |
48–65 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
50 |
0% |
46–54 |
45–55 |
44–56 |
42–57 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
25 |
0% |
20–29 |
19–30 |
19–31 |
17–34 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0.1% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
89 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
90 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
91 |
3% |
97% |
|
92 |
11% |
94% |
|
93 |
8% |
83% |
|
94 |
2% |
75% |
|
95 |
11% |
73% |
|
96 |
6% |
62% |
Last Result |
97 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
98 |
10% |
49% |
|
99 |
5% |
39% |
|
100 |
7% |
34% |
|
101 |
8% |
27% |
|
102 |
3% |
19% |
|
103 |
5% |
15% |
|
104 |
3% |
10% |
|
105 |
3% |
7% |
|
106 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
107 |
2% |
4% |
|
108 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
109 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
2% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
97% |
|
87 |
3% |
91% |
|
88 |
8% |
87% |
|
89 |
9% |
79% |
|
90 |
14% |
71% |
Median |
91 |
6% |
56% |
|
92 |
7% |
50% |
|
93 |
7% |
43% |
|
94 |
9% |
35% |
|
95 |
9% |
26% |
|
96 |
6% |
17% |
|
97 |
3% |
11% |
|
98 |
3% |
8% |
|
99 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
100 |
2% |
4% |
|
101 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
81 |
2% |
98% |
|
82 |
2% |
96% |
|
83 |
13% |
94% |
|
84 |
6% |
81% |
|
85 |
7% |
76% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
69% |
|
87 |
11% |
61% |
|
88 |
7% |
50% |
Median |
89 |
6% |
43% |
|
90 |
9% |
37% |
|
91 |
4% |
28% |
|
92 |
7% |
24% |
|
93 |
4% |
18% |
|
94 |
7% |
14% |
|
95 |
3% |
7% |
|
96 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
97 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
75 |
2% |
97% |
|
76 |
11% |
95% |
|
77 |
4% |
84% |
|
78 |
7% |
80% |
|
79 |
8% |
73% |
|
80 |
6% |
65% |
|
81 |
13% |
59% |
Median |
82 |
8% |
46% |
|
83 |
10% |
38% |
|
84 |
8% |
28% |
|
85 |
6% |
20% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
13% |
|
87 |
3% |
9% |
|
88 |
3% |
6% |
|
89 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
91 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
73 |
3% |
95% |
|
74 |
7% |
93% |
|
75 |
4% |
86% |
|
76 |
7% |
82% |
|
77 |
3% |
76% |
|
78 |
10% |
73% |
|
79 |
6% |
62% |
Median |
80 |
7% |
57% |
|
81 |
11% |
50% |
|
82 |
8% |
39% |
|
83 |
6% |
31% |
|
84 |
6% |
24% |
|
85 |
13% |
18% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
6% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
72 |
3% |
98% |
|
73 |
3% |
95% |
|
74 |
5% |
92% |
|
75 |
9% |
87% |
|
76 |
9% |
78% |
|
77 |
7% |
69% |
|
78 |
13% |
62% |
Median |
79 |
6% |
49% |
|
80 |
7% |
43% |
|
81 |
7% |
35% |
|
82 |
7% |
29% |
|
83 |
3% |
21% |
|
84 |
4% |
18% |
|
85 |
10% |
14% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
4% |
|
87 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
70 |
3% |
95% |
|
71 |
3% |
92% |
|
72 |
6% |
88% |
|
73 |
9% |
83% |
|
74 |
9% |
74% |
|
75 |
7% |
64% |
|
76 |
8% |
58% |
|
77 |
6% |
49% |
Median |
78 |
14% |
44% |
|
79 |
8% |
29% |
|
80 |
8% |
21% |
|
81 |
4% |
13% |
|
82 |
6% |
9% |
|
83 |
2% |
3% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
66 |
2% |
98% |
|
67 |
3% |
96% |
|
68 |
12% |
93% |
|
69 |
9% |
81% |
|
70 |
4% |
72% |
|
71 |
8% |
69% |
|
72 |
11% |
60% |
Median |
73 |
10% |
50% |
|
74 |
13% |
40% |
|
75 |
7% |
27% |
|
76 |
9% |
20% |
|
77 |
3% |
11% |
|
78 |
2% |
8% |
|
79 |
3% |
6% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
65 |
3% |
98% |
|
66 |
5% |
95% |
|
67 |
8% |
90% |
|
68 |
5% |
82% |
|
69 |
7% |
77% |
|
70 |
5% |
70% |
|
71 |
7% |
65% |
Median |
72 |
14% |
58% |
|
73 |
5% |
44% |
|
74 |
6% |
38% |
|
75 |
9% |
32% |
|
76 |
5% |
23% |
|
77 |
4% |
17% |
|
78 |
9% |
14% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
61 |
2% |
98% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
63 |
3% |
95% |
|
64 |
3% |
93% |
|
65 |
5% |
90% |
|
66 |
3% |
85% |
|
67 |
8% |
81% |
|
68 |
6% |
73% |
|
69 |
6% |
67% |
|
70 |
10% |
61% |
Median |
71 |
7% |
51% |
|
72 |
6% |
44% |
Last Result |
73 |
11% |
38% |
|
74 |
2% |
27% |
|
75 |
8% |
25% |
|
76 |
11% |
17% |
|
77 |
3% |
6% |
|
78 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
2% |
98% |
|
63 |
4% |
96% |
|
64 |
6% |
92% |
|
65 |
10% |
85% |
|
66 |
13% |
75% |
|
67 |
6% |
62% |
|
68 |
8% |
56% |
|
69 |
6% |
47% |
Median |
70 |
11% |
42% |
|
71 |
12% |
31% |
|
72 |
6% |
20% |
|
73 |
7% |
14% |
|
74 |
2% |
6% |
|
75 |
3% |
5% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
59 |
2% |
95% |
|
60 |
4% |
92% |
|
61 |
3% |
89% |
|
62 |
17% |
86% |
|
63 |
6% |
69% |
|
64 |
6% |
63% |
|
65 |
11% |
57% |
Median |
66 |
8% |
45% |
|
67 |
11% |
38% |
|
68 |
9% |
26% |
|
69 |
5% |
18% |
|
70 |
4% |
13% |
|
71 |
4% |
9% |
|
72 |
2% |
5% |
|
73 |
2% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
55 |
5% |
95% |
|
56 |
6% |
90% |
|
57 |
4% |
84% |
|
58 |
13% |
79% |
|
59 |
8% |
67% |
|
60 |
10% |
59% |
Median |
61 |
4% |
49% |
|
62 |
7% |
45% |
|
63 |
4% |
38% |
|
64 |
7% |
34% |
|
65 |
9% |
27% |
|
66 |
13% |
19% |
|
67 |
2% |
5% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
8% |
97% |
|
55 |
8% |
89% |
|
56 |
7% |
81% |
|
57 |
12% |
74% |
|
58 |
10% |
63% |
|
59 |
10% |
53% |
|
60 |
8% |
43% |
Median |
61 |
8% |
35% |
Last Result |
62 |
13% |
27% |
|
63 |
6% |
14% |
|
64 |
4% |
8% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
66 |
2% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
51 |
2% |
97% |
|
52 |
6% |
95% |
|
53 |
5% |
89% |
|
54 |
8% |
84% |
|
55 |
11% |
75% |
|
56 |
12% |
65% |
|
57 |
9% |
53% |
|
58 |
5% |
44% |
Median |
59 |
15% |
39% |
|
60 |
6% |
25% |
|
61 |
3% |
19% |
|
62 |
6% |
16% |
|
63 |
8% |
10% |
|
64 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
44 |
2% |
98% |
|
45 |
4% |
96% |
|
46 |
3% |
91% |
|
47 |
9% |
88% |
|
48 |
12% |
79% |
|
49 |
12% |
67% |
|
50 |
7% |
55% |
|
51 |
7% |
48% |
Median |
52 |
13% |
41% |
|
53 |
10% |
28% |
|
54 |
9% |
19% |
|
55 |
5% |
9% |
|
56 |
3% |
5% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
18 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
19 |
4% |
98% |
|
20 |
4% |
94% |
|
21 |
5% |
90% |
|
22 |
4% |
85% |
|
23 |
8% |
80% |
|
24 |
16% |
72% |
|
25 |
8% |
56% |
Median |
26 |
9% |
48% |
|
27 |
15% |
40% |
|
28 |
9% |
24% |
|
29 |
10% |
16% |
|
30 |
3% |
6% |
|
31 |
2% |
3% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 2–8 April 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 999
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.42%