Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 3–8 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 28.4% | 26.6–30.3% | 26.1–30.8% | 25.7–31.2% | 24.8–32.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.2% | 19.6–22.9% | 19.1–23.4% | 18.7–23.8% | 18.0–24.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 45–52 | 45–53 | 45–54 | 43–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 41 | 37–45 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 34–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 23 | 20–28 | 20–28 | 20–29 | 19–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 3–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 8% | 98% | |
| 46 | 8% | 90% | |
| 47 | 18% | 81% | |
| 48 | 25% | 64% | Median |
| 49 | 17% | 39% | |
| 50 | 5% | 22% | |
| 51 | 5% | 17% | |
| 52 | 6% | 12% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 8% | 95% | |
| 38 | 6% | 87% | |
| 39 | 6% | 81% | |
| 40 | 8% | 75% | |
| 41 | 31% | 67% | Median |
| 42 | 13% | 36% | |
| 43 | 7% | 24% | |
| 44 | 7% | 17% | |
| 45 | 6% | 10% | |
| 46 | 2% | 4% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 20 | 9% | 98% | |
| 21 | 9% | 90% | Last Result |
| 22 | 24% | 81% | |
| 23 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 24 | 9% | 47% | |
| 25 | 18% | 38% | |
| 26 | 3% | 20% | |
| 27 | 5% | 16% | |
| 28 | 8% | 12% | |
| 29 | 2% | 4% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 2% | 98% | |
| 13 | 4% | 96% | Last Result |
| 14 | 11% | 91% | |
| 15 | 11% | 80% | |
| 16 | 21% | 69% | Median |
| 17 | 40% | 48% | |
| 18 | 6% | 8% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 10% | 96% | |
| 11 | 24% | 87% | |
| 12 | 22% | 63% | Median |
| 13 | 25% | 41% | |
| 14 | 9% | 17% | |
| 15 | 7% | 7% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 8 | 10% | 96% | |
| 9 | 41% | 86% | Median |
| 10 | 22% | 46% | |
| 11 | 16% | 23% | |
| 12 | 3% | 7% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 10% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 34% | 87% | |
| 10 | 28% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 21% | 25% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 27% | 95% | |
| 3 | 18% | 69% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 51% | |
| 5 | 0% | 51% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 51% | |
| 7 | 23% | 50% | Median |
| 8 | 23% | 27% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 2 | 49% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 39% | 48% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 7 | 5% | 8% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 99.9% | 90–98 | 89–100 | 89–101 | 87–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 89 | 96% | 86–94 | 85–96 | 84–98 | 83–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 85 | 50% | 81–89 | 79–90 | 79–91 | 77–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 83 | 44% | 79–87 | 78–89 | 77–89 | 73–90 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 81 | 19% | 78–86 | 77–88 | 77–88 | 75–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 79 | 1.3% | 74–82 | 72–83 | 70–84 | 68–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 74 | 0% | 69–78 | 68–79 | 67–80 | 65–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 73 | 0.1% | 70–78 | 68–79 | 67–79 | 64–81 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 72 | 0.1% | 68–76 | 68–78 | 66–79 | 65–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 71 | 0% | 67–76 | 66–76 | 64–77 | 61–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 67 | 0% | 63–69 | 61–70 | 59–70 | 57–72 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 61 | 0% | 57–65 | 56–66 | 56–66 | 55–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 59 | 0% | 52–63 | 52–64 | 51–65 | 49–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 57 | 0% | 54–60 | 52–61 | 49–61 | 48–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 53 | 0% | 49–57 | 48–59 | 47–60 | 45–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 50 | 0% | 47–54 | 46–55 | 44–56 | 43–57 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 14–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 89 | 5% | 98% | |
| 90 | 11% | 92% | |
| 91 | 10% | 82% | |
| 92 | 10% | 72% | Median |
| 93 | 6% | 62% | |
| 94 | 5% | 56% | |
| 95 | 17% | 50% | |
| 96 | 10% | 33% | Last Result |
| 97 | 7% | 23% | |
| 98 | 7% | 16% | |
| 99 | 4% | 9% | |
| 100 | 3% | 6% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 93% | |
| 87 | 10% | 88% | |
| 88 | 10% | 79% | |
| 89 | 37% | 69% | |
| 90 | 10% | 31% | Median |
| 91 | 4% | 21% | |
| 92 | 4% | 18% | |
| 93 | 2% | 14% | |
| 94 | 3% | 11% | |
| 95 | 2% | 8% | |
| 96 | 2% | 6% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 98 | 2% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 93% | |
| 81 | 17% | 91% | |
| 82 | 11% | 74% | |
| 83 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 84 | 6% | 57% | |
| 85 | 6% | 50% | Majority |
| 86 | 16% | 44% | |
| 87 | 13% | 28% | |
| 88 | 5% | 15% | |
| 89 | 2% | 10% | |
| 90 | 3% | 8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 3% | 96% | |
| 79 | 3% | 92% | |
| 80 | 5% | 90% | |
| 81 | 13% | 85% | |
| 82 | 16% | 72% | |
| 83 | 6% | 56% | |
| 84 | 6% | 50% | |
| 85 | 7% | 44% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 37% | |
| 87 | 17% | 26% | |
| 88 | 2% | 8% | |
| 89 | 6% | 7% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 6% | 98% | |
| 78 | 9% | 92% | |
| 79 | 18% | 83% | |
| 80 | 10% | 65% | |
| 81 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 82 | 4% | 49% | |
| 83 | 16% | 45% | |
| 84 | 9% | 29% | |
| 85 | 9% | 19% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 11% | |
| 87 | 2% | 8% | |
| 88 | 3% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 2% | 94% | |
| 74 | 3% | 92% | |
| 75 | 2% | 89% | |
| 76 | 5% | 87% | |
| 77 | 3% | 82% | |
| 78 | 10% | 79% | Median |
| 79 | 37% | 69% | |
| 80 | 10% | 32% | |
| 81 | 10% | 21% | |
| 82 | 5% | 12% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 3% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 7% | 94% | |
| 70 | 3% | 87% | |
| 71 | 3% | 84% | |
| 72 | 5% | 81% | |
| 73 | 22% | 76% | |
| 74 | 6% | 54% | |
| 75 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 76 | 13% | 42% | |
| 77 | 5% | 29% | |
| 78 | 14% | 24% | |
| 79 | 7% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 7% | 91% | |
| 71 | 7% | 84% | |
| 72 | 11% | 77% | Last Result |
| 73 | 17% | 67% | |
| 74 | 5% | 49% | |
| 75 | 6% | 44% | |
| 76 | 9% | 38% | Median |
| 77 | 11% | 29% | |
| 78 | 11% | 18% | |
| 79 | 5% | 8% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 68 | 12% | 96% | |
| 69 | 10% | 85% | |
| 70 | 17% | 75% | |
| 71 | 5% | 58% | Median |
| 72 | 16% | 53% | |
| 73 | 7% | 38% | |
| 74 | 9% | 31% | |
| 75 | 4% | 22% | |
| 76 | 9% | 18% | |
| 77 | 2% | 9% | |
| 78 | 3% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 95% | |
| 67 | 7% | 92% | |
| 68 | 6% | 86% | |
| 69 | 3% | 80% | |
| 70 | 17% | 77% | |
| 71 | 14% | 59% | |
| 72 | 5% | 45% | |
| 73 | 4% | 40% | Median |
| 74 | 12% | 36% | |
| 75 | 11% | 24% | |
| 76 | 10% | 13% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 2% | 93% | |
| 63 | 4% | 91% | |
| 64 | 9% | 88% | |
| 65 | 5% | 79% | |
| 66 | 15% | 74% | Median |
| 67 | 17% | 59% | |
| 68 | 18% | 42% | |
| 69 | 19% | 24% | |
| 70 | 3% | 5% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 4% | 93% | |
| 58 | 6% | 89% | |
| 59 | 23% | 84% | |
| 60 | 9% | 61% | Median |
| 61 | 17% | 52% | |
| 62 | 11% | 35% | |
| 63 | 5% | 23% | |
| 64 | 7% | 19% | |
| 65 | 5% | 11% | |
| 66 | 4% | 6% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 7% | 97% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 54 | 4% | 88% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 56 | 19% | 84% | |
| 57 | 5% | 65% | |
| 58 | 7% | 59% | |
| 59 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 60 | 16% | 46% | |
| 61 | 9% | 30% | |
| 62 | 10% | 21% | |
| 63 | 3% | 11% | |
| 64 | 5% | 8% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | |
| 54 | 9% | 90% | |
| 55 | 9% | 81% | |
| 56 | 4% | 72% | |
| 57 | 19% | 69% | Median |
| 58 | 27% | 50% | |
| 59 | 11% | 23% | |
| 60 | 7% | 12% | |
| 61 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 96% | |
| 49 | 8% | 95% | |
| 50 | 4% | 87% | |
| 51 | 5% | 83% | |
| 52 | 15% | 78% | Median |
| 53 | 15% | 63% | |
| 54 | 15% | 48% | |
| 55 | 12% | 34% | |
| 56 | 10% | 21% | |
| 57 | 2% | 12% | |
| 58 | 3% | 10% | |
| 59 | 3% | 7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 2% | 97% | |
| 46 | 3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 8% | 93% | |
| 48 | 4% | 85% | |
| 49 | 7% | 81% | |
| 50 | 24% | 74% | Median |
| 51 | 15% | 50% | |
| 52 | 12% | 35% | |
| 53 | 7% | 22% | |
| 54 | 10% | 16% | |
| 55 | 3% | 6% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 18 | 2% | 98% | |
| 19 | 5% | 96% | |
| 20 | 14% | 91% | |
| 21 | 19% | 77% | Median |
| 22 | 14% | 58% | |
| 23 | 20% | 43% | |
| 24 | 11% | 23% | |
| 25 | 6% | 12% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 27 | 3% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 3–8 April 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.04%