Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 23–29 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 25.4% | 23.4–27.5% | 22.9–28.2% | 22.4–28.7% | 21.5–29.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 22.6% | 20.7–24.6% | 20.1–25.2% | 19.7–25.7% | 18.8–26.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 17.0% | 15.4–18.9% | 14.9–19.4% | 14.5–19.9% | 13.7–20.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6–9.1% | 6.2–9.5% | 6.0–9.9% | 5.5–10.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 4.1–7.4% | 3.7–8.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.5% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 4.1–7.4% | 3.7–8.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.6–6.8% | 3.3–7.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% | 3.0–5.9% | 2.6–6.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.4–5.1% | 2.1–5.6% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.2% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.5% | 1.1–3.9% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% | 0.1–1.7% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 49 | 43–49 | 42–49 | 40–49 | 39–52 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 39–44 | 39–47 | 36–49 | 34–50 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 30 | 30–34 | 28–37 | 28–37 | 26–38 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 8–18 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 2–12 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–10 | 7–13 | 6–14 | 1–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 7 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 1–11 | 1–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–7 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–6 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 43 | 8% | 94% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 86% | |
| 45 | 3% | 84% | |
| 46 | 18% | 81% | |
| 47 | 4% | 64% | |
| 48 | 1.5% | 60% | |
| 49 | 56% | 59% | Median |
| 50 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 39 | 53% | 96% | Median |
| 40 | 2% | 43% | |
| 41 | 2% | 41% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 39% | |
| 43 | 5% | 38% | |
| 44 | 26% | 33% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 7% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 28 | 4% | 98% | |
| 29 | 2% | 94% | |
| 30 | 59% | 92% | Median |
| 31 | 4% | 33% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 29% | |
| 33 | 18% | 28% | |
| 34 | 4% | 11% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 37 | 4% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 19% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 79% | |
| 12 | 10% | 78% | |
| 13 | 4% | 67% | Last Result |
| 14 | 6% | 63% | |
| 15 | 2% | 57% | |
| 16 | 50% | 55% | Median |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 23% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 52% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 6% | 24% | |
| 10 | 6% | 18% | |
| 11 | 4% | 11% | |
| 12 | 7% | 7% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 2% | 98% | |
| 7 | 3% | 96% | |
| 8 | 3% | 93% | |
| 9 | 55% | 90% | Median |
| 10 | 24% | 34% | |
| 11 | 2% | 10% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 7% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 7 | 69% | 96% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 27% | Last Result |
| 9 | 15% | 23% | |
| 10 | 4% | 8% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 14% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 3% | 85% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 82% | |
| 5 | 0% | 82% | |
| 6 | 19% | 82% | |
| 7 | 55% | 64% | Median |
| 8 | 6% | 9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 16% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 79% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 72% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.4% | 28% | |
| 2 | 26% | 27% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 99 | 100% | 97–101 | 94–103 | 91–104 | 90–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 97 | 99.9% | 91–97 | 91–98 | 89–101 | 87–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 90 | 97% | 87–91 | 85–94 | 82–95 | 80–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 87 | 88% | 83–88 | 83–92 | 80–92 | 78–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 78 | 3% | 77–81 | 74–83 | 72–86 | 67–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 79 | 0.2% | 74–79 | 71–80 | 71–82 | 69–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 74 | 0.1% | 71–76 | 68–77 | 68–80 | 61–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 71 | 0.1% | 71–75 | 69–78 | 66–80 | 63–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 69 | 0% | 66–71 | 64–75 | 63–78 | 59–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 71 | 0% | 68–73 | 66–74 | 65–77 | 59–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 64 | 0% | 64–66 | 62–70 | 59–71 | 57–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 58 | 0% | 58–63 | 55–64 | 53–66 | 48–68 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 60 | 0% | 56–60 | 55–60 | 53–62 | 50–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 55 | 0% | 54–57 | 53–61 | 51–62 | 48–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 51–57 | 51–60 | 48–61 | 44–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 48–54 | 48–55 | 46–58 | 42–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 20 | 0% | 20–24 | 19–27 | 16–27 | 12–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 94 | 2% | 96% | |
| 95 | 2% | 94% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 92% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 98 | 4% | 90% | |
| 99 | 74% | 86% | Median |
| 100 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 101 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 103 | 5% | 9% | |
| 104 | 3% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 89 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 91 | 7% | 96% | |
| 92 | 4% | 89% | |
| 93 | 4% | 85% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 81% | |
| 95 | 18% | 80% | |
| 96 | 4% | 62% | |
| 97 | 51% | 58% | Median |
| 98 | 2% | 7% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 85 | 5% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 89 | 25% | 89% | |
| 90 | 54% | 64% | Median |
| 91 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 92 | 2% | 10% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 94 | 4% | 7% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 83 | 6% | 95% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 88% | Majority |
| 86 | 24% | 88% | |
| 87 | 54% | 64% | Median |
| 88 | 2% | 10% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 92 | 4% | 5% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 74 | 4% | 96% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 77 | 23% | 90% | |
| 78 | 53% | 67% | Median |
| 79 | 3% | 14% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 83 | 4% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 73 | 3% | 94% | |
| 74 | 2% | 91% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 77 | 5% | 88% | |
| 78 | 2% | 84% | |
| 79 | 74% | 82% | Median |
| 80 | 4% | 8% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 70 | 3% | 94% | |
| 71 | 6% | 90% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 73 | 17% | 83% | |
| 74 | 52% | 66% | Median |
| 75 | 2% | 14% | |
| 76 | 6% | 12% | |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 70 | 2% | 95% | |
| 71 | 68% | 93% | Median |
| 72 | 3% | 25% | |
| 73 | 2% | 21% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 20% | |
| 75 | 9% | 19% | |
| 76 | 2% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 7% | |
| 78 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 3% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 4% | 94% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 67 | 23% | 89% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 66% | |
| 69 | 51% | 66% | Median |
| 70 | 4% | 15% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 9% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 8% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 2% | 94% | |
| 68 | 8% | 91% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 83% | |
| 70 | 19% | 82% | |
| 71 | 51% | 64% | Median |
| 72 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 73 | 4% | 11% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 62 | 2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 64 | 72% | 93% | Median |
| 65 | 4% | 22% | |
| 66 | 9% | 18% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 56 | 4% | 95% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 58 | 51% | 91% | Median |
| 59 | 6% | 40% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 34% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 33% | |
| 62 | 7% | 32% | |
| 63 | 20% | 25% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 20% | 94% | |
| 57 | 6% | 74% | |
| 58 | 3% | 67% | |
| 59 | 7% | 64% | |
| 60 | 53% | 57% | Median |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 53 | 5% | 95% | |
| 54 | 19% | 90% | |
| 55 | 54% | 72% | Median |
| 56 | 8% | 18% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 58 | 2% | 9% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 51 | 52% | 97% | Median |
| 52 | 0.8% | 44% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 43% | |
| 54 | 8% | 42% | |
| 55 | 2% | 34% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 32% | |
| 57 | 23% | 31% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 60 | 3% | 6% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 48 | 53% | 96% | Median |
| 49 | 0.8% | 44% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 43% | |
| 51 | 3% | 42% | |
| 52 | 7% | 39% | |
| 53 | 3% | 33% | |
| 54 | 23% | 30% | |
| 55 | 2% | 7% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 58 | 3% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 20 | 73% | 94% | Median |
| 21 | 3% | 21% | |
| 22 | 5% | 18% | |
| 23 | 3% | 13% | |
| 24 | 2% | 10% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 27 | 5% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 23–29 April 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 740
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.70%