Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 4–5 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
23.4% |
21.6–25.4% |
21.1–26.0% |
20.6–26.5% |
19.8–27.5% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
19.0% |
17.3–20.8% |
16.8–21.4% |
16.4–21.8% |
15.6–22.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
15.7% |
14.2–17.5% |
13.7–18.0% |
13.4–18.4% |
12.6–19.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
9.9% |
8.6–11.3% |
8.3–11.8% |
8.0–12.1% |
7.4–12.9% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
8.0% |
6.9–9.3% |
6.6–9.7% |
6.3–10.1% |
5.8–10.8% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
7.5% |
6.4–8.8% |
6.1–9.2% |
5.9–9.5% |
5.4–10.2% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
5.9% |
4.9–7.1% |
4.6–7.4% |
4.4–7.7% |
4.0–8.3% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.5% |
2.8–4.5% |
2.6–4.8% |
2.4–5.0% |
2.1–5.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.3% |
2.5–4.6% |
2.3–4.9% |
2.0–5.4% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.1% |
0.9–2.3% |
0.8–2.4% |
0.6–2.8% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.6–1.8% |
0.5–2.0% |
0.4–2.3% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.4–1.6% |
0.2–2.0% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.0–1.2% |
Kystpartiet |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
37 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
40 |
7% |
95% |
|
41 |
10% |
88% |
|
42 |
4% |
78% |
|
43 |
3% |
74% |
|
44 |
63% |
71% |
Median |
45 |
4% |
8% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
47 |
3% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
33 |
69% |
95% |
Median |
34 |
4% |
26% |
|
35 |
12% |
21% |
|
36 |
4% |
9% |
|
37 |
3% |
5% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
2% |
98% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
24 |
61% |
96% |
Median |
25 |
0.6% |
35% |
|
26 |
3% |
34% |
|
27 |
3% |
31% |
|
28 |
6% |
28% |
|
29 |
1.2% |
22% |
|
30 |
2% |
20% |
|
31 |
12% |
19% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
36 |
5% |
5% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
14 |
6% |
99.2% |
|
15 |
1.3% |
93% |
|
16 |
6% |
92% |
|
17 |
6% |
86% |
|
18 |
65% |
80% |
Median |
19 |
2% |
15% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
13% |
|
21 |
5% |
13% |
|
22 |
5% |
8% |
|
23 |
3% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
12 |
4% |
96% |
|
13 |
5% |
92% |
|
14 |
10% |
87% |
|
15 |
12% |
77% |
|
16 |
64% |
66% |
Median |
17 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
4% |
96% |
|
12 |
3% |
92% |
|
13 |
6% |
89% |
|
14 |
69% |
83% |
Median |
15 |
9% |
14% |
|
16 |
4% |
5% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
5% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
4 |
0% |
95% |
|
5 |
0% |
95% |
|
6 |
0% |
95% |
|
7 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
8 |
72% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
5% |
23% |
|
10 |
10% |
17% |
|
11 |
4% |
7% |
|
12 |
2% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
|
1 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
2 |
14% |
95% |
|
3 |
9% |
81% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
72% |
|
5 |
0% |
72% |
|
6 |
0% |
72% |
|
7 |
1.1% |
72% |
|
8 |
67% |
71% |
Median |
9 |
2% |
4% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
9% |
100% |
|
2 |
10% |
91% |
|
3 |
62% |
80% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
18% |
|
5 |
0% |
18% |
|
6 |
3% |
18% |
|
7 |
7% |
15% |
|
8 |
5% |
8% |
|
9 |
3% |
3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.3% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
2 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
98 |
100% |
95–101 |
94–103 |
91–104 |
90–104 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
87 |
85% |
84–92 |
83–95 |
82–96 |
81–96 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
84 |
14% |
80–87 |
80–90 |
78–91 |
75–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
84 |
23% |
81–88 |
78–88 |
76–90 |
74–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet |
97 |
81 |
9% |
76–84 |
73–85 |
72–86 |
72–87 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
76 |
4% |
76–82 |
75–83 |
72–86 |
70–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
76 |
0% |
73–77 |
69–80 |
68–80 |
66–83 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
68 |
0% |
68–73 |
67–76 |
65–78 |
62–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
70 |
0% |
68–73 |
65–74 |
64–77 |
64–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
68 |
0% |
68–73 |
66–74 |
61–76 |
60–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
65 |
0% |
63–70 |
60–71 |
59–71 |
59–71 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
58 |
0% |
52–60 |
50–63 |
50–65 |
48–69 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
60 |
0% |
51–60 |
49–61 |
49–63 |
47–63 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
55 |
0% |
50–55 |
48–55 |
47–60 |
46–63 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
51 |
0% |
49–56 |
49–57 |
47–57 |
47–58 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
47 |
0% |
46–50 |
46–51 |
43–52 |
42–56 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
30 |
0% |
24–30 |
20–31 |
16–33 |
16–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
89 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
90 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
2% |
98% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
94 |
3% |
95% |
|
95 |
7% |
92% |
|
96 |
8% |
85% |
Last Result |
97 |
0.6% |
77% |
|
98 |
65% |
76% |
Median |
99 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
10% |
|
101 |
3% |
10% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
103 |
3% |
6% |
|
104 |
3% |
3% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
83 |
5% |
95% |
|
84 |
5% |
90% |
|
85 |
1.5% |
85% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
84% |
|
87 |
63% |
81% |
Median |
88 |
1.0% |
18% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
17% |
|
90 |
4% |
16% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
12% |
|
92 |
3% |
11% |
|
93 |
0% |
9% |
|
94 |
2% |
9% |
|
95 |
2% |
6% |
|
96 |
4% |
4% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
2% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
98% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
78 |
2% |
98% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
80 |
6% |
95% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
82 |
11% |
89% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
78% |
|
84 |
63% |
77% |
Median |
85 |
3% |
14% |
Majority |
86 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
87 |
3% |
11% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
90 |
3% |
6% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
92 |
0% |
2% |
|
93 |
0% |
2% |
|
94 |
2% |
2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
78 |
3% |
97% |
|
79 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
81 |
3% |
92% |
|
82 |
1.3% |
89% |
|
83 |
4% |
88% |
|
84 |
61% |
85% |
Median |
85 |
1.3% |
23% |
Majority |
86 |
11% |
22% |
|
87 |
0.4% |
11% |
|
88 |
6% |
11% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
90 |
2% |
5% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
92 |
0% |
2% |
|
93 |
2% |
2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
2% |
96% |
|
74 |
2% |
94% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
91% |
|
76 |
3% |
91% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
89% |
|
78 |
4% |
88% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
84% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
83% |
|
81 |
63% |
82% |
Median |
82 |
3% |
19% |
|
83 |
0.8% |
15% |
|
84 |
5% |
15% |
|
85 |
5% |
9% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
5% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
98% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
75 |
2% |
96% |
|
76 |
61% |
94% |
Median |
77 |
0.8% |
32% |
|
78 |
2% |
31% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
29% |
|
80 |
15% |
28% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
14% |
|
82 |
6% |
13% |
|
83 |
2% |
6% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
3% |
98% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
72 |
4% |
94% |
|
73 |
7% |
90% |
|
74 |
8% |
83% |
|
75 |
3% |
75% |
|
76 |
61% |
72% |
Median |
77 |
0.6% |
10% |
|
78 |
2% |
10% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
80 |
5% |
7% |
|
81 |
0% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
83 |
2% |
2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
2% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
65 |
2% |
98% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
68 |
63% |
95% |
Median |
69 |
3% |
32% |
|
70 |
3% |
28% |
|
71 |
5% |
26% |
|
72 |
9% |
20% |
|
73 |
2% |
11% |
|
74 |
4% |
10% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
76 |
2% |
5% |
|
77 |
0% |
3% |
|
78 |
3% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
3% |
97% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
67 |
3% |
93% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
90% |
|
69 |
2% |
90% |
|
70 |
64% |
88% |
Median |
71 |
0.3% |
23% |
|
72 |
9% |
23% |
Last Result |
73 |
6% |
14% |
|
74 |
3% |
8% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
77 |
2% |
4% |
|
78 |
2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
66 |
4% |
96% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
68 |
62% |
91% |
Median |
69 |
3% |
29% |
|
70 |
1.4% |
27% |
|
71 |
5% |
25% |
|
72 |
6% |
20% |
|
73 |
10% |
15% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
75 |
2% |
5% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
77 |
2% |
2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
3% |
97% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
62 |
3% |
93% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
90% |
|
64 |
3% |
89% |
|
65 |
64% |
86% |
Median |
66 |
3% |
22% |
|
67 |
2% |
19% |
|
68 |
3% |
17% |
|
69 |
4% |
14% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
71 |
9% |
9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
50 |
3% |
98% |
|
51 |
2% |
94% |
|
52 |
9% |
92% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
83% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
83% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
83% |
|
56 |
3% |
82% |
|
57 |
1.4% |
79% |
|
58 |
62% |
78% |
Median |
59 |
3% |
16% |
|
60 |
5% |
13% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
8% |
|
62 |
2% |
7% |
|
63 |
2% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
67 |
0% |
2% |
|
68 |
0% |
2% |
|
69 |
2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
98% |
|
49 |
7% |
98% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
91% |
|
51 |
8% |
91% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
83% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
82% |
|
54 |
4% |
82% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
78% |
|
56 |
3% |
77% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
74% |
|
58 |
4% |
74% |
|
59 |
3% |
70% |
|
60 |
62% |
67% |
Median |
61 |
2% |
6% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
63 |
3% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
46 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
48 |
4% |
97% |
|
49 |
3% |
94% |
|
50 |
7% |
91% |
|
51 |
8% |
85% |
|
52 |
2% |
77% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
74% |
|
54 |
6% |
74% |
|
55 |
63% |
68% |
Median |
56 |
2% |
5% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
62 |
2% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
49 |
6% |
96% |
|
50 |
3% |
90% |
|
51 |
66% |
87% |
Median |
52 |
1.0% |
21% |
|
53 |
3% |
20% |
|
54 |
3% |
17% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
14% |
|
56 |
4% |
13% |
|
57 |
8% |
9% |
|
58 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
46 |
11% |
96% |
|
47 |
62% |
85% |
Median |
48 |
1.2% |
22% |
|
49 |
10% |
21% |
|
50 |
4% |
11% |
|
51 |
2% |
7% |
|
52 |
3% |
5% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
3% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
97% |
|
18 |
0% |
97% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
20 |
2% |
97% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
22 |
2% |
94% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
24 |
10% |
92% |
|
25 |
2% |
82% |
|
26 |
3% |
80% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
77% |
|
28 |
3% |
77% |
|
29 |
4% |
74% |
|
30 |
62% |
71% |
Median |
31 |
4% |
8% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
33 |
4% |
4% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 4–5 June 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 802
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.05%