Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse, 4–10 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
19.9% |
18.1–21.8% |
17.6–22.4% |
17.2–22.9% |
16.3–23.9% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
19.9% |
18.1–21.8% |
17.6–22.4% |
17.2–22.9% |
16.3–23.9% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
19.3% |
17.6–21.3% |
17.1–21.8% |
16.7–22.3% |
15.9–23.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
10.8% |
9.5–12.4% |
9.1–12.8% |
8.8–13.2% |
8.2–14.0% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
7.2% |
6.1–8.6% |
5.8–8.9% |
5.6–9.3% |
5.1–10.0% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
6.5% |
5.5–7.8% |
5.2–8.2% |
5.0–8.5% |
4.5–9.2% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.1% |
4.2–6.2% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.7–6.9% |
3.3–7.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.6% |
2.7–4.9% |
2.5–5.2% |
2.2–5.7% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.3% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.3–4.9% |
2.0–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
32 |
5% |
98% |
|
33 |
7% |
93% |
|
34 |
7% |
87% |
|
35 |
13% |
80% |
|
36 |
20% |
66% |
Median |
37 |
10% |
46% |
|
38 |
15% |
37% |
|
39 |
12% |
22% |
|
40 |
4% |
10% |
|
41 |
3% |
6% |
|
42 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
43 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
30 |
2% |
97% |
|
31 |
5% |
95% |
|
32 |
13% |
89% |
|
33 |
13% |
76% |
|
34 |
15% |
62% |
Median |
35 |
15% |
47% |
|
36 |
10% |
32% |
Last Result |
37 |
6% |
22% |
|
38 |
7% |
16% |
|
39 |
5% |
8% |
|
40 |
2% |
3% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
30 |
2% |
98% |
|
31 |
5% |
96% |
|
32 |
4% |
91% |
|
33 |
6% |
87% |
|
34 |
10% |
82% |
|
35 |
15% |
72% |
|
36 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
37 |
16% |
49% |
|
38 |
13% |
33% |
|
39 |
12% |
20% |
|
40 |
4% |
9% |
|
41 |
2% |
4% |
|
42 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
2% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
14 |
4% |
98% |
|
15 |
11% |
94% |
|
16 |
11% |
82% |
|
17 |
16% |
71% |
|
18 |
14% |
55% |
Median |
19 |
12% |
41% |
|
20 |
11% |
29% |
|
21 |
10% |
17% |
|
22 |
2% |
7% |
|
23 |
2% |
5% |
|
24 |
3% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
9 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
10 |
5% |
95% |
|
11 |
17% |
91% |
|
12 |
26% |
73% |
Median |
13 |
21% |
48% |
|
14 |
21% |
27% |
|
15 |
5% |
6% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
7% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
9 |
15% |
91% |
|
10 |
28% |
76% |
Median |
11 |
18% |
48% |
|
12 |
15% |
31% |
|
13 |
11% |
16% |
|
14 |
3% |
5% |
|
15 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
8% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
3 |
0% |
92% |
|
4 |
0% |
92% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
6 |
4% |
92% |
|
7 |
17% |
88% |
|
8 |
28% |
71% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
24% |
43% |
|
10 |
10% |
19% |
|
11 |
6% |
9% |
|
12 |
2% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
17% |
100% |
|
2 |
36% |
83% |
Median |
3 |
13% |
48% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
35% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
35% |
|
6 |
9% |
35% |
|
7 |
17% |
26% |
|
8 |
7% |
9% |
|
9 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
6% |
97% |
|
2 |
50% |
90% |
Median |
3 |
19% |
41% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
22% |
|
5 |
0% |
22% |
|
6 |
10% |
22% |
|
7 |
9% |
12% |
|
8 |
2% |
4% |
|
9 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
97 |
100% |
92–101 |
90–103 |
90–104 |
88–106 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
88 |
72% |
82–93 |
81–95 |
81–96 |
79–99 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
84 |
47% |
79–89 |
78–91 |
77–92 |
75–95 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
81 |
16% |
76–86 |
75–88 |
74–89 |
73–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
78 |
7% |
72–84 |
71–85 |
71–87 |
68–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
75 |
1.0% |
69–80 |
68–82 |
67–83 |
64–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
74 |
0.6% |
69–78 |
67–79 |
67–81 |
65–85 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
70 |
0% |
67–75 |
65–76 |
65–78 |
63–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
71 |
0.1% |
65–75 |
64–76 |
63–78 |
62–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
67 |
0% |
62–72 |
61–73 |
60–74 |
57–76 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
66 |
0% |
61–72 |
59–73 |
59–74 |
56–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
55 |
0% |
51–61 |
49–62 |
48–63 |
46–66 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
55 |
0% |
50–59 |
49–60 |
48–61 |
46–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
52 |
0% |
48–56 |
46–58 |
45–59 |
43–61 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
48 |
0% |
44–53 |
43–54 |
41–56 |
41–59 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
49 |
0% |
45–52 |
43–54 |
43–55 |
41–57 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
26 |
0% |
23–30 |
21–31 |
21–33 |
19–35 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
89 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
90 |
4% |
98% |
|
91 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
92 |
5% |
92% |
|
93 |
6% |
87% |
|
94 |
6% |
81% |
Median |
95 |
8% |
75% |
|
96 |
16% |
66% |
Last Result |
97 |
13% |
51% |
|
98 |
9% |
38% |
|
99 |
7% |
28% |
|
100 |
5% |
21% |
|
101 |
6% |
16% |
|
102 |
4% |
10% |
|
103 |
3% |
6% |
|
104 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
105 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
106 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
81 |
5% |
98.5% |
|
82 |
4% |
93% |
|
83 |
4% |
89% |
|
84 |
14% |
86% |
Median |
85 |
7% |
72% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
65% |
|
87 |
6% |
59% |
|
88 |
6% |
53% |
|
89 |
6% |
47% |
|
90 |
6% |
41% |
|
91 |
10% |
35% |
|
92 |
10% |
25% |
|
93 |
7% |
14% |
|
94 |
2% |
7% |
|
95 |
2% |
5% |
|
96 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
97 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
77 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
78 |
5% |
97% |
|
79 |
5% |
92% |
|
80 |
4% |
87% |
|
81 |
7% |
82% |
|
82 |
8% |
75% |
Median |
83 |
10% |
68% |
|
84 |
11% |
58% |
|
85 |
14% |
47% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
33% |
|
87 |
4% |
27% |
|
88 |
6% |
23% |
|
89 |
8% |
17% |
|
90 |
3% |
9% |
|
91 |
3% |
6% |
|
92 |
2% |
4% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
75 |
3% |
97% |
|
76 |
6% |
95% |
|
77 |
6% |
89% |
|
78 |
5% |
83% |
|
79 |
11% |
78% |
|
80 |
8% |
67% |
Median |
81 |
14% |
59% |
|
82 |
12% |
45% |
|
83 |
9% |
33% |
|
84 |
8% |
24% |
|
85 |
5% |
16% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
11% |
|
87 |
2% |
8% |
|
88 |
2% |
5% |
|
89 |
2% |
4% |
|
90 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
4% |
98% |
|
72 |
4% |
94% |
|
73 |
2% |
90% |
|
74 |
4% |
87% |
|
75 |
5% |
84% |
|
76 |
8% |
78% |
Median |
77 |
11% |
70% |
|
78 |
9% |
59% |
|
79 |
10% |
50% |
|
80 |
7% |
40% |
|
81 |
5% |
33% |
|
82 |
7% |
28% |
|
83 |
9% |
21% |
|
84 |
6% |
13% |
|
85 |
3% |
7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
87 |
2% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
67 |
2% |
98% |
|
68 |
3% |
96% |
|
69 |
5% |
93% |
|
70 |
9% |
89% |
|
71 |
6% |
80% |
|
72 |
5% |
74% |
|
73 |
7% |
69% |
|
74 |
6% |
62% |
Median |
75 |
7% |
56% |
|
76 |
9% |
49% |
|
77 |
16% |
40% |
|
78 |
3% |
24% |
|
79 |
5% |
21% |
|
80 |
6% |
16% |
|
81 |
3% |
9% |
|
82 |
2% |
6% |
|
83 |
2% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
68 |
5% |
95% |
|
69 |
7% |
90% |
|
70 |
7% |
83% |
Median |
71 |
8% |
77% |
|
72 |
5% |
68% |
|
73 |
9% |
64% |
|
74 |
4% |
54% |
|
75 |
12% |
50% |
|
76 |
13% |
37% |
|
77 |
10% |
25% |
|
78 |
8% |
15% |
|
79 |
2% |
7% |
|
80 |
2% |
5% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
|
65 |
3% |
98% |
|
66 |
4% |
94% |
|
67 |
12% |
90% |
|
68 |
7% |
78% |
|
69 |
13% |
71% |
|
70 |
9% |
58% |
Median |
71 |
11% |
49% |
|
72 |
11% |
38% |
|
73 |
9% |
27% |
|
74 |
5% |
18% |
|
75 |
5% |
13% |
|
76 |
3% |
8% |
|
77 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
78 |
2% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
64 |
3% |
96% |
|
65 |
3% |
93% |
|
66 |
5% |
90% |
|
67 |
6% |
85% |
|
68 |
6% |
79% |
Median |
69 |
14% |
73% |
|
70 |
7% |
59% |
|
71 |
11% |
52% |
|
72 |
3% |
41% |
|
73 |
10% |
38% |
|
74 |
13% |
28% |
|
75 |
6% |
15% |
|
76 |
5% |
9% |
|
77 |
2% |
5% |
|
78 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
2% |
98% |
|
61 |
4% |
97% |
|
62 |
5% |
92% |
|
63 |
9% |
87% |
|
64 |
8% |
78% |
|
65 |
4% |
70% |
|
66 |
11% |
66% |
Median |
67 |
12% |
56% |
|
68 |
8% |
44% |
|
69 |
10% |
36% |
|
70 |
6% |
26% |
|
71 |
8% |
20% |
|
72 |
6% |
12% |
|
73 |
2% |
5% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
1.3% |
98.9% |
|
59 |
3% |
98% |
|
60 |
2% |
95% |
|
61 |
7% |
93% |
|
62 |
5% |
86% |
|
63 |
4% |
80% |
|
64 |
9% |
77% |
Median |
65 |
16% |
68% |
|
66 |
8% |
51% |
|
67 |
8% |
43% |
|
68 |
6% |
35% |
|
69 |
7% |
29% |
|
70 |
5% |
22% |
|
71 |
7% |
18% |
|
72 |
4% |
11% |
Last Result |
73 |
4% |
7% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
48 |
3% |
98% |
|
49 |
2% |
96% |
|
50 |
3% |
94% |
|
51 |
4% |
91% |
|
52 |
7% |
87% |
Median |
53 |
8% |
80% |
|
54 |
8% |
72% |
|
55 |
16% |
65% |
|
56 |
11% |
49% |
|
57 |
5% |
38% |
|
58 |
6% |
33% |
|
59 |
11% |
28% |
|
60 |
7% |
17% |
|
61 |
5% |
11% |
|
62 |
3% |
6% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
48 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
49 |
4% |
96% |
|
50 |
5% |
93% |
|
51 |
8% |
88% |
|
52 |
9% |
79% |
|
53 |
9% |
70% |
|
54 |
10% |
62% |
Median |
55 |
12% |
51% |
|
56 |
13% |
40% |
|
57 |
7% |
27% |
|
58 |
4% |
20% |
|
59 |
10% |
16% |
|
60 |
3% |
6% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
3% |
Last Result |
62 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
46 |
3% |
97% |
|
47 |
2% |
94% |
|
48 |
8% |
91% |
|
49 |
4% |
83% |
|
50 |
10% |
79% |
Median |
51 |
9% |
69% |
|
52 |
17% |
60% |
|
53 |
11% |
43% |
|
54 |
12% |
32% |
|
55 |
6% |
20% |
|
56 |
4% |
13% |
|
57 |
4% |
9% |
|
58 |
2% |
6% |
|
59 |
2% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
43 |
4% |
96% |
|
44 |
8% |
92% |
|
45 |
6% |
84% |
|
46 |
11% |
78% |
Median |
47 |
10% |
67% |
Last Result |
48 |
10% |
57% |
|
49 |
8% |
47% |
|
50 |
14% |
40% |
|
51 |
8% |
25% |
|
52 |
6% |
17% |
|
53 |
5% |
11% |
|
54 |
2% |
6% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
43 |
3% |
98% |
|
44 |
3% |
95% |
|
45 |
7% |
92% |
|
46 |
7% |
85% |
|
47 |
7% |
78% |
|
48 |
15% |
71% |
Median |
49 |
11% |
56% |
|
50 |
17% |
46% |
|
51 |
9% |
29% |
|
52 |
11% |
20% |
|
53 |
4% |
9% |
|
54 |
2% |
5% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
20 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
21 |
3% |
98% |
|
22 |
4% |
94% |
|
23 |
9% |
90% |
|
24 |
10% |
81% |
Median |
25 |
15% |
71% |
|
26 |
9% |
56% |
|
27 |
13% |
47% |
|
28 |
14% |
34% |
|
29 |
8% |
20% |
|
30 |
4% |
12% |
|
31 |
4% |
8% |
|
32 |
2% |
4% |
|
33 |
2% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 4–10 June 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 750
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.63%