Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 2–4 July 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 20.4% 27.5% 25.5–29.6% 24.9–30.2% 24.4–30.7% 23.5–31.8%
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 20.6% 18.8–22.6% 18.3–23.1% 17.9–23.6% 17.1–24.6%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 13.0% 11.5–14.6% 11.1–15.1% 10.8–15.5% 10.1–16.4%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 8.9% 7.7–10.4% 7.4–10.8% 7.1–11.2% 6.6–11.9%
Rødt 4.7% 6.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6% 4.5–7.9% 4.1–8.5%
Venstre 4.6% 4.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.4% 3.6–6.7% 3.2–7.3%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 4.7% 3.8–5.8% 3.6–6.1% 3.4–6.4% 3.0–7.0%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.2% 3.1–5.5% 2.9–5.8% 2.6–6.4%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 3.8% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.1% 2.6–5.3% 2.3–5.9%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.3%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2% 0.5–2.6%
Kystpartiet 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4% 0.3–1.5% 0.2–1.8%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.6% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4% 0.3–1.5% 0.2–1.8%
Liberalistene 0.2% 0.1% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 36 50 47–53 47–53 46–54 45–59
Arbeiderpartiet 48 39 35–48 35–48 35–48 34–50
Fremskrittspartiet 21 25 22–32 22–32 19–32 19–32
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 15 13–18 13–18 12–18 12–21
Rødt 8 10 9–12 8–12 8–13 8–14
Venstre 8 10 8–10 8–11 7–12 2–13
Senterpartiet 28 7 1–10 1–11 1–11 0–13
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 7 3–8 3–8 2–9 2–11
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 3 2–7 2–7 2–8 1–9
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0–2
Kystpartiet 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liberalistene 0 0 0 0 0 0

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100% Last Result
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.4% 99.9%  
45 0.5% 99.5%  
46 2% 99.0%  
47 10% 97%  
48 3% 87%  
49 7% 83%  
50 37% 76% Median
51 17% 39%  
52 2% 23%  
53 17% 21%  
54 2% 4%  
55 1.0% 2%  
56 0.1% 0.7%  
57 0.1% 0.6%  
58 0% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.5%  
60 0% 0.4%  
61 0.3% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100%  
34 0.5% 99.9%  
35 17% 99.5%  
36 1.2% 82%  
37 0.3% 81%  
38 9% 81%  
39 38% 72% Median
40 3% 34%  
41 7% 31%  
42 1.0% 24%  
43 5% 23%  
44 0.4% 18%  
45 0.2% 18%  
46 0.3% 18%  
47 0.5% 17%  
48 16% 17% Last Result
49 0.4% 1.4%  
50 0.8% 1.0%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 0.4% 99.9%  
19 3% 99.5%  
20 0.7% 96%  
21 0.7% 96% Last Result
22 6% 95%  
23 1.3% 89%  
24 29% 88%  
25 37% 59% Median
26 4% 23%  
27 0.3% 19%  
28 2% 19%  
29 0.3% 17%  
30 0.1% 17%  
31 0.4% 17%  
32 16% 16%  
33 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.8%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 35% 97% Last Result
14 3% 62%  
15 20% 59% Median
16 20% 40%  
17 9% 20%  
18 10% 11%  
19 0.5% 1.5%  
20 0.4% 1.0%  
21 0.3% 0.7%  
22 0.1% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.3%  
24 0% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.1% 99.9%  
8 8% 99.8% Last Result
9 37% 92%  
10 11% 55% Median
11 3% 44%  
12 36% 41%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.7% 0.9%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.5% 100%  
3 1.3% 99.5%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0.1% 98%  
7 2% 98%  
8 25% 96% Last Result
9 12% 70%  
10 53% 58% Median
11 0.7% 6%  
12 3% 5%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 16% 99.0%  
2 0.5% 83%  
3 0.1% 82%  
4 0% 82%  
5 0% 82%  
6 0.1% 82%  
7 38% 82% Median
8 10% 44%  
9 19% 34%  
10 5% 15%  
11 8% 10%  
12 0.2% 2%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 2% 99.8%  
3 44% 97% Last Result
4 0% 54%  
5 0% 54%  
6 0.1% 54%  
7 4% 53% Median
8 46% 49%  
9 1.4% 3%  
10 0.4% 1.3%  
11 0.9% 0.9%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100%  
2 39% 98%  
3 18% 60% Last Result, Median
4 0% 42%  
5 0% 42%  
6 0.2% 42%  
7 37% 42%  
8 2% 4%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Kystpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 18%  
2 4% 4%  
3 0.5% 0.5%  
4 0% 0%  

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Liberalistene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 100 99.2% 91–103 91–103 90–103 84–106
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 96 98% 89–100 87–100 87–100 83–103
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 93 95% 85–94 84–94 82–94 76–98
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 65 85 75% 79–91 79–91 77–91 72–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 75 3% 74–81 74–83 74–86 69–92
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 57 75 0.3% 71–83 70–83 69–83 66–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet 97 72 0.9% 68–78 68–80 68–81 64–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 74 0.1% 65–78 65–81 65–81 65–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 68 0% 65–77 65–77 65–77 61–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 66 0% 62–73 62–73 62–74 59–80
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 60 0% 59–70 59–70 59–70 54–75
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 66 0% 62–68 60–70 58–70 57–73
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 58 0% 49–62 49–63 49–66 48–68
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 52 0% 51–63 51–63 51–63 48–66
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 54 0% 47–58 47–60 47–60 44–62
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 46 0% 44–52 44–53 44–53 40–58
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 24 0% 14–26 14–27 14–28 14–29

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.8% 100%  
85 0.2% 99.2% Majority
86 0.2% 99.0%  
87 0.2% 98.8%  
88 0.1% 98.6%  
89 0.6% 98.5%  
90 0.5% 98%  
91 16% 97%  
92 1.2% 81%  
93 2% 80%  
94 3% 78%  
95 6% 76%  
96 4% 70% Last Result
97 1.4% 66%  
98 8% 64%  
99 2% 56% Median
100 35% 54%  
101 0.3% 19%  
102 0.2% 19%  
103 17% 19%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0.2% 1.5%  
106 0.9% 1.3%  
107 0.3% 0.4%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 0.7% 99.5%  
84 0.8% 98.8%  
85 0% 98% Majority
86 0.4% 98%  
87 5% 98%  
88 0.4% 93%  
89 3% 92%  
90 6% 89%  
91 6% 83%  
92 17% 77%  
93 1.4% 60%  
94 1.5% 58%  
95 2% 57% Median
96 17% 55%  
97 0.7% 38%  
98 0.5% 37%  
99 0% 37%  
100 35% 37%  
101 0.8% 1.5%  
102 0.1% 0.7%  
103 0.2% 0.6%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.6% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.3%  
78 0.1% 99.3%  
79 0.4% 99.2%  
80 0.1% 98.9%  
81 0.7% 98.7%  
82 1.1% 98%  
83 0.4% 97%  
84 2% 96%  
85 6% 95% Majority
86 3% 89%  
87 7% 86%  
88 3% 79%  
89 3% 76%  
90 17% 73%  
91 0.3% 56%  
92 3% 56% Median
93 35% 53%  
94 16% 18%  
95 0% 2%  
96 0% 2%  
97 0.5% 2%  
98 0.8% 1.3%  
99 0.1% 0.4%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0% 99.8%  
71 0% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.7% 99.5%  
74 0% 98.8%  
75 0.4% 98.8%  
76 0.8% 98%  
77 0.5% 98%  
78 0.6% 97%  
79 11% 96%  
80 0.2% 85%  
81 3% 85%  
82 5% 82%  
83 0.7% 77%  
84 2% 77%  
85 38% 75% Median, Majority
86 2% 37%  
87 17% 35%  
88 0.3% 18%  
89 0% 18%  
90 0.4% 18%  
91 17% 18%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.7%  
69 1.0% 99.6%  
70 0.1% 98.7%  
71 0.6% 98.6%  
72 0% 98%  
73 0.3% 98%  
74 21% 98% Median
75 35% 77%  
76 0.3% 41%  
77 0.8% 41%  
78 18% 40%  
79 2% 22%  
80 3% 21%  
81 8% 17%  
82 4% 9%  
83 2% 6%  
84 0.6% 4%  
85 0.2% 3% Majority
86 2% 3%  
87 0.3% 1.3%  
88 0% 1.0%  
89 0.2% 1.0%  
90 0% 0.7%  
91 0% 0.7%  
92 0.6% 0.7%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0.7% 99.6%  
67 0.9% 98.9%  
68 0.1% 98%  
69 0.8% 98%  
70 4% 97%  
71 8% 93%  
72 3% 85%  
73 7% 82%  
74 0.8% 74%  
75 36% 74% Median
76 2% 37%  
77 16% 36%  
78 1.0% 19%  
79 0.2% 18%  
80 0.3% 18%  
81 0.3% 18%  
82 0.1% 18%  
83 17% 18%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.3% Majority
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.5%  
66 1.0% 99.3%  
67 0.5% 98%  
68 35% 98%  
69 0.1% 63%  
70 0.9% 63%  
71 5% 62% Median
72 18% 57%  
73 2% 39%  
74 0.3% 38%  
75 0.4% 38%  
76 18% 37%  
77 5% 19%  
78 7% 14%  
79 0.1% 8%  
80 5% 8%  
81 0.2% 3%  
82 0.7% 2%  
83 0.4% 2%  
84 0.3% 1.2%  
85 0.6% 0.9% Majority
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 16% 99.8%  
66 1.1% 84%  
67 0.5% 82%  
68 0.2% 82%  
69 16% 82%  
70 6% 66%  
71 4% 60% Median
72 0.8% 56%  
73 2% 55%  
74 35% 54%  
75 4% 19%  
76 2% 14%  
77 0.7% 12%  
78 2% 12%  
79 0.8% 10%  
80 0.8% 9%  
81 7% 8%  
82 0% 1.3%  
83 1.0% 1.3%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 1.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 98.8%  
63 0.2% 98.6%  
64 0.1% 98%  
65 17% 98%  
66 3% 81%  
67 2% 78% Median
68 35% 76%  
69 2% 41%  
70 6% 39%  
71 2% 33%  
72 8% 30% Last Result
73 2% 22%  
74 0.8% 20%  
75 0.6% 19%  
76 0.1% 19%  
77 17% 19%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.2% 2%  
80 0.2% 1.3%  
81 0% 1.2%  
82 0.2% 1.1%  
83 0.1% 0.9%  
84 0.8% 0.8%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 0% 99.7%  
58 0% 99.7%  
59 1.0% 99.7%  
60 0% 98.7%  
61 0.2% 98.6%  
62 19% 98%  
63 0.2% 80%  
64 3% 80% Median
65 0.7% 77%  
66 51% 76%  
67 4% 25%  
68 2% 21%  
69 0.8% 19%  
70 2% 18%  
71 1.1% 16%  
72 4% 15%  
73 7% 10%  
74 0.5% 3%  
75 1.1% 2%  
76 0% 1.4%  
77 0% 1.4%  
78 0.4% 1.3%  
79 0.2% 0.9%  
80 0.6% 0.7%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 0.1% 99.6%  
55 0% 99.4%  
56 0.9% 99.4%  
57 0.6% 98.5%  
58 0.1% 98%  
59 37% 98%  
60 16% 61%  
61 3% 44% Median
62 2% 41%  
63 0.7% 40%  
64 21% 39%  
65 0.6% 18%  
66 2% 17%  
67 2% 15%  
68 0.4% 13%  
69 0.4% 12%  
70 10% 12%  
71 0.6% 2%  
72 0.1% 1.4%  
73 0.7% 1.3%  
74 0% 0.7%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0% 0.2%  
77 0.2% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100% Last Result
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.8% 99.7%  
58 2% 98.9%  
59 0.6% 97%  
60 2% 96%  
61 4% 94%  
62 19% 91%  
63 7% 71%  
64 4% 64%  
65 2% 60%  
66 17% 58%  
67 0.2% 41% Median
68 35% 41%  
69 0.2% 6%  
70 4% 5%  
71 0.7% 1.3%  
72 0.1% 0.6%  
73 0.3% 0.6%  
74 0% 0.3%  
75 0% 0.2%  
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.2% 100%  
46 0% 99.7%  
47 0.1% 99.7%  
48 0.2% 99.6%  
49 16% 99.4%  
50 0.1% 83%  
51 0.2% 83%  
52 3% 83%  
53 2% 80%  
54 16% 79%  
55 1.4% 62%  
56 7% 61% Median
57 0.3% 54%  
58 4% 54%  
59 1.5% 50%  
60 2% 48%  
61 36% 46%  
62 0.1% 10%  
63 6% 10%  
64 0.5% 4%  
65 0.4% 3%  
66 0.6% 3%  
67 1.3% 2%  
68 0.6% 0.8%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.8% 99.8%  
49 0.4% 99.0%  
50 0.1% 98.6%  
51 17% 98.5%  
52 37% 82%  
53 4% 45%  
54 2% 41% Median
55 1.3% 38%  
56 6% 37%  
57 2% 31%  
58 0.6% 29%  
59 6% 29%  
60 4% 23%  
61 0.4% 19% Last Result
62 0.3% 18%  
63 16% 18%  
64 1.0% 2%  
65 0.8% 1.5%  
66 0.4% 0.7%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.8%  
43 0.2% 99.8%  
44 0.2% 99.6%  
45 0.1% 99.4%  
46 0.2% 99.4%  
47 16% 99.1%  
48 0.9% 83%  
49 2% 82%  
50 2% 80%  
51 3% 78%  
52 16% 75%  
53 7% 59% Median
54 36% 52%  
55 0.5% 17%  
56 4% 16%  
57 2% 12%  
58 1.4% 11%  
59 0.7% 9%  
60 7% 9%  
61 0.7% 1.5%  
62 0.3% 0.8%  
63 0.1% 0.5%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.4% 100%  
38 0% 99.6%  
39 0% 99.6%  
40 0.1% 99.6%  
41 0.8% 99.5%  
42 0.3% 98.7%  
43 0.1% 98%  
44 17% 98%  
45 3% 81%  
46 40% 78% Median
47 2% 38%  
48 2% 36%  
49 17% 33%  
50 2% 17%  
51 1.2% 14%  
52 7% 13%  
53 4% 6%  
54 0.4% 2%  
55 0.1% 2%  
56 0.8% 2%  
57 0% 0.9%  
58 0.6% 0.9%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0% 0.2%  
61 0.2% 0.2%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0.1% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.6%  
14 16% 99.5%  
15 0.6% 83%  
16 0.4% 83%  
17 0.2% 82%  
18 2% 82%  
19 0.6% 80%  
20 16% 79%  
21 2% 63%  
22 4% 61%  
23 4% 57%  
24 4% 53% Median
25 38% 49%  
26 0.9% 10%  
27 6% 10%  
28 2% 3%  
29 0.7% 1.1%  
30 0.3% 0.4%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations