Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 30 July–1 August 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.8% | 24.8–29.0% | 24.3–29.6% | 23.8–30.1% | 22.9–31.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.2% | 19.4–23.2% | 18.9–23.7% | 18.4–24.2% | 17.6–25.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 15.0% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.0–17.3% | 12.6–17.7% | 11.9–18.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 4.9–9.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8–8.2% | 5.5–8.5% | 5.3–8.9% | 4.8–9.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.7–7.5% | 4.5–7.8% | 4.0–8.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.6–7.4% | 4.3–7.7% | 3.9–8.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.3–6.3% | 3.0–6.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.1–4.7% | 1.8–5.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.8–2.6% | 0.6–3.0% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.4–1.7% | 0.3–2.1% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% | 0.1–1.4% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% | 0.1–1.4% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.0–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 46–48 | 43–53 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 38 | 38–39 | 38–43 | 35–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26–28 | 24–37 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11–13 | 8–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11–13 | 9–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–12 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9–13 | 7–14 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6–8 | 2–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–6 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 48 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 49 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 94% | 98.9% | Median |
| 39 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 94% | 98% | Median |
| 27 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 12 | 2% | 97% | |
| 13 | 94% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 12 | 2% | 97% | |
| 13 | 94% | 96% | Median |
| 14 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 95% | 99.7% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 2% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 13 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 8 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.2% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 108 | 100% | 108 | 107–108 | 104–108 | 99–109 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 96 | 100% | 96 | 96 | 94–96 | 90–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 95 | 100% | 95 | 95 | 93–95 | 89–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 87 | 98.7% | 87 | 87 | 85–88 | 82–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 74 | 0% | 74 | 74 | 73–77 | 71–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 73 | 0% | 73 | 73 | 73–75 | 70–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 72 | 0% | 72 | 72 | 72–74 | 66–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 73 | 0% | 73 | 73 | 70–73 | 62–76 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 69 | 0% | 69 | 68–69 | 64–69 | 58–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 65 | 0% | 65 | 65 | 65–66 | 60–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 64 | 0% | 64 | 64 | 64 | 57–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 60 | 0% | 60 | 60–61 | 60–64 | 59–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 60 | 0% | 60 | 60 | 58–61 | 51–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 59 | 0% | 59 | 59 | 55–59 | 50–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 51 | 51 | 51–54 | 46–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 51 | 0% | 51 | 51 | 51–52 | 47–57 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 34 | 0% | 34 | 34 | 25–34 | 22–35 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 108 | 94% | 95% | Median |
| 109 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 96 | 95% | 97% | Median |
| 97 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 93 | 2% | 98% | |
| 94 | 0% | 96% | |
| 95 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 96 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 98.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 87 | 94% | 97% | Median |
| 88 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 74 | 94% | 97% | Median |
| 75 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 74 | 0% | 4% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 73 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 73 | 94% | 97% | Median |
| 74 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 70 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 65 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 66 | 2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 65 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 94% | 99.3% | Median |
| 61 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 60 | 94% | 97% | Median |
| 61 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 2% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 59 | 94% | 96% | Median |
| 60 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 2% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 94% | 98.6% | Median |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 94% | 98% | Median |
| 52 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 28 | 0% | 96% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 34 | 94% | 96% | Median |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 30 July–1 August 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 760
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.14%