Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 5–9 August 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 24.4% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.2–26.7% | 21.8–27.2% | 21.0–28.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.1% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.1–23.3% | 18.7–23.7% | 17.9–24.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 16.3% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.3% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.5–19.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.0–13.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 46 | 40–49 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 37–53 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 36–41 | 35–43 | 34–43 | 32–45 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 31 | 27–34 | 26–34 | 24–35 | 23–36 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 7–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 3–11 | 3–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 8 | 3–9 | 3–11 | 2–11 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 8 | 6–9 | 3–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 |
| Rødt | 8 | 1 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 40 | 26% | 96% | |
| 41 | 2% | 70% | |
| 42 | 8% | 68% | |
| 43 | 2% | 60% | |
| 44 | 3% | 58% | |
| 45 | 3% | 55% | |
| 46 | 24% | 51% | Median |
| 47 | 5% | 28% | |
| 48 | 6% | 23% | |
| 49 | 12% | 17% | |
| 50 | 3% | 5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 35 | 4% | 97% | |
| 36 | 12% | 94% | |
| 37 | 3% | 82% | |
| 38 | 12% | 79% | |
| 39 | 21% | 67% | Median |
| 40 | 12% | 46% | |
| 41 | 25% | 34% | |
| 42 | 3% | 9% | |
| 43 | 4% | 6% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 25 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 26 | 5% | 96% | |
| 27 | 3% | 91% | |
| 28 | 6% | 88% | |
| 29 | 9% | 82% | |
| 30 | 9% | 72% | |
| 31 | 28% | 63% | Median |
| 32 | 5% | 36% | |
| 33 | 20% | 30% | |
| 34 | 6% | 10% | |
| 35 | 2% | 4% | |
| 36 | 2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 14 | 30% | 98.6% | |
| 15 | 8% | 69% | |
| 16 | 7% | 61% | |
| 17 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 18 | 21% | 44% | |
| 19 | 14% | 22% | |
| 20 | 4% | 8% | |
| 21 | 2% | 4% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 9% | 96% | |
| 9 | 51% | 87% | Median |
| 10 | 19% | 36% | |
| 11 | 6% | 18% | |
| 12 | 4% | 11% | |
| 13 | 4% | 7% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 7 | 5% | 96% | |
| 8 | 51% | 91% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 21% | 40% | |
| 10 | 12% | 19% | |
| 11 | 5% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 7% | 96% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 7 | 22% | 88% | |
| 8 | 32% | 66% | Median |
| 9 | 24% | 34% | |
| 10 | 4% | 10% | |
| 11 | 5% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 6% | 96% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0% | 90% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 7 | 27% | 89% | |
| 8 | 44% | 62% | Median |
| 9 | 10% | 18% | |
| 10 | 5% | 8% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 53% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 47% | |
| 3 | 0% | 47% | |
| 4 | 0% | 47% | |
| 5 | 0% | 47% | |
| 6 | 14% | 47% | |
| 7 | 22% | 33% | |
| 8 | 7% | 12% | Last Result |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 90% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 10% | |
| 2 | 8% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 102 | 100% | 95–104 | 94–107 | 93–108 | 91–110 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 99 | 100% | 93–103 | 92–103 | 91–104 | 88–108 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 91 | 91% | 85–95 | 84–97 | 83–99 | 81–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 83 | 43% | 78–88 | 77–90 | 76–90 | 73–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 80 | 13% | 73–85 | 73–86 | 73–88 | 71–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 100 | 76 | 3% | 73–82 | 71–84 | 69–85 | 68–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 75 | 1.3% | 70–80 | 69–80 | 68–82 | 65–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 73 | 0.1% | 67–77 | 66–79 | 66–81 | 65–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 68 | 0% | 65–75 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 60–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 72 | 66 | 0% | 63–73 | 61–74 | 60–74 | 58–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 66 | 0% | 60–69 | 59–71 | 59–73 | 59–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 65 | 0% | 59–67 | 58–68 | 57–70 | 53–73 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 61 | 0% | 55–65 | 55–67 | 53–67 | 51–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 57 | 0% | 52–59 | 51–60 | 50–63 | 48–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 56 | 0% | 51–59 | 50–61 | 50–62 | 50–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 49 | 0% | 45–51 | 45–52 | 44–54 | 42–57 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 25 | 0% | 23–30 | 22–31 | 21–32 | 19–34 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 94 | 6% | 96% | |
| 95 | 3% | 91% | |
| 96 | 4% | 88% | Last Result |
| 97 | 13% | 84% | |
| 98 | 3% | 71% | |
| 99 | 7% | 68% | |
| 100 | 5% | 61% | |
| 101 | 6% | 57% | |
| 102 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 103 | 4% | 41% | |
| 104 | 28% | 38% | |
| 105 | 3% | 10% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 107 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 108 | 2% | 4% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 4% | 95% | |
| 93 | 5% | 91% | |
| 94 | 4% | 86% | |
| 95 | 3% | 82% | |
| 96 | 14% | 79% | |
| 97 | 2% | 65% | |
| 98 | 11% | 63% | |
| 99 | 4% | 52% | |
| 100 | 6% | 47% | |
| 101 | 6% | 41% | Median |
| 102 | 14% | 35% | |
| 103 | 18% | 21% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 84 | 6% | 97% | |
| 85 | 3% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 88% | |
| 87 | 3% | 84% | |
| 88 | 14% | 82% | |
| 89 | 2% | 68% | |
| 90 | 4% | 65% | |
| 91 | 13% | 61% | |
| 92 | 4% | 48% | |
| 93 | 9% | 44% | Median |
| 94 | 1.2% | 35% | |
| 95 | 28% | 34% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 97 | 2% | 5% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 99 | 3% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 77 | 5% | 97% | |
| 78 | 4% | 92% | |
| 79 | 12% | 88% | |
| 80 | 3% | 76% | |
| 81 | 4% | 73% | |
| 82 | 9% | 69% | |
| 83 | 14% | 60% | |
| 84 | 3% | 45% | |
| 85 | 3% | 43% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 40% | |
| 87 | 18% | 36% | |
| 88 | 12% | 17% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 90 | 3% | 5% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 95 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 9% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 75 | 2% | 89% | |
| 76 | 3% | 87% | |
| 77 | 6% | 85% | |
| 78 | 6% | 79% | |
| 79 | 6% | 73% | |
| 80 | 19% | 67% | |
| 81 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 82 | 4% | 43% | |
| 83 | 16% | 39% | |
| 84 | 9% | 22% | |
| 85 | 6% | 13% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 71 | 2% | 96% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 73 | 28% | 94% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 66% | Median |
| 75 | 13% | 65% | |
| 76 | 4% | 52% | |
| 77 | 9% | 47% | |
| 78 | 4% | 38% | |
| 79 | 3% | 35% | |
| 80 | 14% | 31% | |
| 81 | 2% | 17% | |
| 82 | 6% | 15% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 84 | 6% | 9% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 5% | 96% | |
| 70 | 5% | 92% | |
| 71 | 13% | 87% | |
| 72 | 8% | 74% | |
| 73 | 7% | 66% | |
| 74 | 9% | 59% | |
| 75 | 5% | 50% | |
| 76 | 3% | 45% | |
| 77 | 5% | 42% | Median |
| 78 | 3% | 37% | |
| 79 | 18% | 34% | |
| 80 | 11% | 16% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 9% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 2% | 90% | |
| 68 | 4% | 89% | |
| 69 | 3% | 85% | |
| 70 | 6% | 82% | |
| 71 | 3% | 76% | |
| 72 | 20% | 72% | |
| 73 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 74 | 25% | 49% | |
| 75 | 5% | 25% | |
| 76 | 3% | 19% | |
| 77 | 7% | 17% | |
| 78 | 3% | 10% | |
| 79 | 3% | 7% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 65 | 18% | 97% | |
| 66 | 14% | 79% | Median |
| 67 | 7% | 65% | |
| 68 | 9% | 58% | |
| 69 | 5% | 49% | |
| 70 | 7% | 44% | |
| 71 | 3% | 37% | |
| 72 | 15% | 34% | |
| 73 | 2% | 19% | |
| 74 | 4% | 17% | |
| 75 | 7% | 13% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 63 | 3% | 93% | |
| 64 | 28% | 90% | |
| 65 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 66 | 9% | 55% | |
| 67 | 3% | 45% | |
| 68 | 4% | 43% | |
| 69 | 8% | 39% | |
| 70 | 4% | 32% | |
| 71 | 13% | 28% | |
| 72 | 4% | 15% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 10% | |
| 74 | 6% | 8% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 61 | 2% | 90% | |
| 62 | 2% | 88% | |
| 63 | 5% | 85% | |
| 64 | 21% | 80% | |
| 65 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 66 | 19% | 52% | |
| 67 | 13% | 32% | |
| 68 | 7% | 19% | |
| 69 | 2% | 12% | |
| 70 | 3% | 10% | |
| 71 | 2% | 7% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 3% | 96% | |
| 59 | 11% | 94% | |
| 60 | 4% | 83% | |
| 61 | 2% | 79% | |
| 62 | 3% | 77% | |
| 63 | 11% | 74% | |
| 64 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 65 | 20% | 56% | |
| 66 | 20% | 36% | |
| 67 | 9% | 16% | |
| 68 | 2% | 7% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 6% | 95% | |
| 56 | 3% | 89% | |
| 57 | 19% | 86% | |
| 58 | 3% | 67% | |
| 59 | 5% | 65% | |
| 60 | 7% | 60% | |
| 61 | 3% | 53% | |
| 62 | 20% | 50% | Median |
| 63 | 6% | 30% | |
| 64 | 12% | 24% | |
| 65 | 2% | 12% | |
| 66 | 3% | 9% | |
| 67 | 4% | 6% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 2% | 96% | |
| 52 | 11% | 95% | |
| 53 | 5% | 84% | |
| 54 | 3% | 79% | |
| 55 | 3% | 76% | |
| 56 | 14% | 74% | Median |
| 57 | 19% | 60% | |
| 58 | 25% | 40% | |
| 59 | 8% | 16% | |
| 60 | 3% | 8% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 52 | 3% | 89% | |
| 53 | 2% | 86% | |
| 54 | 6% | 84% | |
| 55 | 28% | 78% | |
| 56 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 57 | 28% | 46% | |
| 58 | 6% | 18% | |
| 59 | 4% | 12% | |
| 60 | 2% | 8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 62 | 2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 45 | 9% | 97% | |
| 46 | 3% | 88% | |
| 47 | 7% | 85% | |
| 48 | 26% | 78% | Median |
| 49 | 9% | 52% | |
| 50 | 30% | 43% | |
| 51 | 4% | 13% | |
| 52 | 4% | 9% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 22 | 4% | 95% | |
| 23 | 8% | 91% | |
| 24 | 13% | 84% | |
| 25 | 29% | 71% | Median |
| 26 | 15% | 41% | |
| 27 | 5% | 26% | |
| 28 | 7% | 22% | |
| 29 | 2% | 14% | |
| 30 | 6% | 12% | |
| 31 | 3% | 7% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 5–9 August 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.91%