Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagbladet and Vårt Land, 5–10 August 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
25.2% |
23.5–27.1% |
23.0–27.6% |
22.6–28.0% |
21.8–28.9% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
20.6% |
19.0–22.3% |
18.5–22.8% |
18.2–23.2% |
17.4–24.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
16.0% |
14.6–17.6% |
14.2–18.0% |
13.9–18.4% |
13.2–19.2% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
8.6% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.0–10.5% |
6.5–11.2% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
7.6% |
6.6–8.8% |
6.3–9.1% |
6.1–9.4% |
5.7–10.0% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.8% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.7–7.1% |
4.5–7.4% |
4.1–8.0% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.9% |
4.1–5.9% |
3.9–6.1% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.3–6.9% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.3% |
3.5–5.2% |
3.3–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–5.0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.5% |
0.8–2.8% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.6–2.6% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
41 |
2% |
97% |
|
42 |
14% |
95% |
|
43 |
9% |
81% |
|
44 |
9% |
72% |
|
45 |
40% |
64% |
Median |
46 |
3% |
24% |
|
47 |
7% |
21% |
|
48 |
11% |
14% |
|
49 |
2% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
3% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
34 |
2% |
96% |
|
35 |
9% |
94% |
|
36 |
4% |
85% |
|
37 |
6% |
81% |
|
38 |
41% |
74% |
Median |
39 |
16% |
33% |
|
40 |
3% |
17% |
|
41 |
10% |
14% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
43 |
2% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
25 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
26 |
35% |
97% |
|
27 |
3% |
62% |
|
28 |
11% |
59% |
Median |
29 |
12% |
49% |
|
30 |
8% |
36% |
|
31 |
17% |
29% |
|
32 |
3% |
11% |
|
33 |
3% |
8% |
|
34 |
2% |
5% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
36 |
2% |
2% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
33% |
92% |
|
13 |
9% |
58% |
Last Result, Median |
14 |
7% |
49% |
|
15 |
7% |
42% |
|
16 |
7% |
35% |
|
17 |
11% |
28% |
|
18 |
15% |
17% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
6% |
99.2% |
|
11 |
8% |
93% |
|
12 |
4% |
85% |
|
13 |
10% |
81% |
|
14 |
11% |
71% |
|
15 |
56% |
60% |
Median |
16 |
3% |
4% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
7% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
9 |
55% |
93% |
Median |
10 |
6% |
37% |
|
11 |
22% |
32% |
|
12 |
7% |
10% |
|
13 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
14 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
3 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
97% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
7 |
10% |
97% |
|
8 |
63% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
14% |
24% |
|
10 |
7% |
10% |
|
11 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
26% |
97% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
72% |
|
5 |
0% |
72% |
|
6 |
0% |
72% |
|
7 |
25% |
72% |
Median |
8 |
10% |
47% |
|
9 |
35% |
37% |
|
10 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
15% |
100% |
|
2 |
34% |
85% |
|
3 |
4% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
47% |
|
5 |
0% |
47% |
|
6 |
40% |
47% |
|
7 |
6% |
7% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.6% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
103 |
100% |
98–105 |
96–107 |
96–108 |
94–109 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
93 |
98% |
87–96 |
86–97 |
86–97 |
83–99 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
88 |
92% |
85–91 |
83–93 |
83–94 |
80–96 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
82 |
13% |
79–85 |
78–87 |
77–87 |
74–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
80 |
7% |
77–83 |
75–85 |
74–85 |
72–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
74 |
1.2% |
72–81 |
71–82 |
71–82 |
68–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
77 |
0.3% |
73–80 |
71–80 |
69–81 |
67–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
73 |
0.1% |
71–77 |
70–78 |
69–79 |
67–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
71 |
0% |
66–74 |
64–76 |
64–77 |
61–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
65 |
0% |
62–71 |
62–72 |
61–72 |
59–76 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
65 |
0% |
63–70 |
61–72 |
60–72 |
59–74 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
63 |
0% |
56–68 |
56–68 |
55–68 |
52–69 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
61 |
0% |
54–63 |
54–64 |
54–66 |
52–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
58 |
0% |
55–62 |
54–62 |
52–63 |
50–65 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
51 |
0% |
49–57 |
48–59 |
47–59 |
46–60 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
53 |
0% |
49–54 |
47–54 |
47–56 |
45–60 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
29 |
0% |
24–32 |
22–33 |
22–33 |
21–35 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
96 |
5% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
97 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
98 |
5% |
93% |
|
99 |
3% |
88% |
|
100 |
11% |
84% |
|
101 |
7% |
74% |
|
102 |
3% |
66% |
|
103 |
43% |
64% |
Median |
104 |
9% |
21% |
|
105 |
5% |
12% |
|
106 |
2% |
8% |
|
107 |
2% |
5% |
|
108 |
3% |
3% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
111 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
98% |
|
87 |
10% |
93% |
|
88 |
2% |
82% |
|
89 |
3% |
81% |
|
90 |
5% |
77% |
|
91 |
13% |
72% |
Median |
92 |
2% |
59% |
|
93 |
8% |
57% |
|
94 |
35% |
50% |
|
95 |
5% |
15% |
|
96 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
97 |
7% |
9% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
99 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
83 |
5% |
98% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
85 |
15% |
92% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
78% |
|
87 |
3% |
76% |
|
88 |
37% |
73% |
Median |
89 |
10% |
36% |
|
90 |
3% |
26% |
|
91 |
14% |
23% |
|
92 |
3% |
9% |
|
93 |
3% |
6% |
|
94 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
77 |
2% |
98% |
|
78 |
2% |
96% |
|
79 |
34% |
95% |
|
80 |
6% |
60% |
|
81 |
2% |
55% |
Median |
82 |
22% |
53% |
|
83 |
4% |
31% |
|
84 |
14% |
27% |
|
85 |
5% |
13% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
8% |
|
87 |
3% |
5% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
91 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
74 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
75 |
3% |
97% |
|
76 |
3% |
94% |
|
77 |
15% |
91% |
|
78 |
2% |
76% |
Median |
79 |
10% |
74% |
|
80 |
37% |
63% |
|
81 |
2% |
27% |
|
82 |
2% |
24% |
|
83 |
14% |
22% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
8% |
|
85 |
4% |
7% |
Majority |
86 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
71 |
7% |
98% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
73 |
5% |
89% |
|
74 |
35% |
85% |
|
75 |
8% |
50% |
Median |
76 |
1.4% |
42% |
|
77 |
13% |
40% |
|
78 |
5% |
28% |
|
79 |
2% |
23% |
|
80 |
3% |
20% |
|
81 |
10% |
17% |
|
82 |
5% |
7% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
72 |
4% |
95% |
|
73 |
6% |
90% |
|
74 |
9% |
84% |
|
75 |
17% |
75% |
|
76 |
4% |
58% |
Median |
77 |
10% |
54% |
|
78 |
2% |
43% |
|
79 |
2% |
42% |
|
80 |
37% |
40% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
70 |
3% |
97% |
|
71 |
34% |
94% |
|
72 |
3% |
60% |
|
73 |
14% |
57% |
Median |
74 |
13% |
43% |
|
75 |
6% |
30% |
|
76 |
11% |
24% |
|
77 |
6% |
13% |
|
78 |
3% |
7% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
81 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
4% |
98% |
|
65 |
3% |
95% |
|
66 |
6% |
92% |
|
67 |
2% |
86% |
|
68 |
19% |
84% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
65% |
Median |
70 |
4% |
64% |
|
71 |
41% |
60% |
|
72 |
2% |
19% |
|
73 |
2% |
17% |
|
74 |
9% |
15% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
77 |
4% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
62 |
11% |
97% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
86% |
|
64 |
9% |
85% |
|
65 |
34% |
77% |
|
66 |
12% |
43% |
Median |
67 |
1.1% |
31% |
|
68 |
4% |
30% |
|
69 |
3% |
25% |
|
70 |
10% |
22% |
|
71 |
2% |
12% |
|
72 |
8% |
10% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
61 |
2% |
97% |
|
62 |
2% |
94% |
|
63 |
5% |
92% |
Median |
64 |
9% |
88% |
|
65 |
43% |
78% |
|
66 |
3% |
36% |
|
67 |
7% |
33% |
|
68 |
11% |
26% |
|
69 |
2% |
15% |
|
70 |
6% |
13% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
72 |
5% |
6% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
55 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
56 |
9% |
97% |
|
57 |
4% |
88% |
|
58 |
10% |
84% |
|
59 |
10% |
74% |
|
60 |
6% |
63% |
|
61 |
2% |
58% |
|
62 |
4% |
55% |
|
63 |
3% |
52% |
Median |
64 |
12% |
49% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
37% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
36% |
|
67 |
2% |
35% |
|
68 |
33% |
33% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
54 |
13% |
98% |
|
55 |
4% |
86% |
|
56 |
6% |
82% |
|
57 |
2% |
76% |
|
58 |
14% |
73% |
|
59 |
4% |
59% |
|
60 |
2% |
55% |
Median |
61 |
6% |
54% |
|
62 |
34% |
48% |
|
63 |
8% |
13% |
|
64 |
2% |
5% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
66 |
2% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
54 |
4% |
97% |
|
55 |
10% |
93% |
|
56 |
12% |
84% |
|
57 |
15% |
72% |
|
58 |
12% |
57% |
|
59 |
2% |
45% |
|
60 |
4% |
43% |
Median |
61 |
2% |
39% |
|
62 |
34% |
36% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
49 |
8% |
95% |
|
50 |
34% |
86% |
|
51 |
4% |
52% |
Median |
52 |
11% |
48% |
|
53 |
3% |
37% |
|
54 |
9% |
34% |
|
55 |
5% |
25% |
|
56 |
2% |
20% |
|
57 |
11% |
18% |
|
58 |
2% |
7% |
|
59 |
4% |
5% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
46 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
47 |
5% |
98% |
|
48 |
2% |
93% |
|
49 |
9% |
91% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
82% |
|
51 |
15% |
81% |
|
52 |
8% |
66% |
|
53 |
37% |
57% |
Median |
54 |
16% |
20% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
22 |
5% |
99.3% |
|
23 |
4% |
95% |
|
24 |
6% |
91% |
|
25 |
4% |
85% |
|
26 |
4% |
81% |
|
27 |
12% |
76% |
|
28 |
9% |
64% |
|
29 |
11% |
56% |
|
30 |
2% |
45% |
Median |
31 |
4% |
43% |
|
32 |
34% |
39% |
|
33 |
3% |
5% |
|
34 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet and Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 5–10 August 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 987
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.04%