Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 26–30 August 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
27.5% |
25.7–29.4% |
25.2–29.9% |
24.8–30.4% |
24.0–31.3% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
18.5% |
17.0–20.1% |
16.6–20.6% |
16.2–21.0% |
15.5–21.8% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
16.8% |
15.4–18.4% |
15.0–18.9% |
14.6–19.3% |
13.9–20.0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
8.6% |
7.6–9.8% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.0–10.5% |
6.5–11.1% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.1–7.6% |
4.9–7.9% |
4.5–8.4% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.4% |
4.3–6.7% |
4.2–7.0% |
3.8–7.5% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–5.0% |
2.3–5.4% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.6% |
0.3–1.9% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.6% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Folkets parti |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
98.5% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
47 |
67% |
97% |
Median |
48 |
0.2% |
30% |
|
49 |
17% |
30% |
|
50 |
7% |
13% |
|
51 |
4% |
6% |
|
52 |
0% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
98.5% |
|
33 |
6% |
98% |
|
34 |
17% |
92% |
|
35 |
7% |
75% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
68% |
|
37 |
65% |
68% |
Median |
38 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
39 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
16% |
96% |
|
28 |
6% |
80% |
|
29 |
0.6% |
75% |
|
30 |
1.4% |
74% |
|
31 |
1.0% |
73% |
|
32 |
2% |
72% |
|
33 |
2% |
70% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
68% |
|
35 |
0.9% |
67% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
66% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
65% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
65% |
|
39 |
64% |
64% |
Median |
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
66% |
99.2% |
Median |
13 |
2% |
33% |
Last Result |
14 |
5% |
31% |
|
15 |
3% |
26% |
|
16 |
17% |
23% |
|
17 |
4% |
6% |
|
18 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
10 |
70% |
95% |
Median |
11 |
2% |
25% |
|
12 |
2% |
23% |
|
13 |
1.5% |
22% |
|
14 |
16% |
20% |
|
15 |
4% |
4% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
9 |
5% |
98% |
|
10 |
5% |
92% |
|
11 |
70% |
87% |
Median |
12 |
0.6% |
18% |
|
13 |
16% |
17% |
|
14 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
8 |
66% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
6% |
31% |
|
10 |
4% |
25% |
|
11 |
4% |
21% |
|
12 |
14% |
17% |
|
13 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
1 |
1.4% |
99.4% |
|
2 |
85% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
6% |
13% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
7% |
|
5 |
0% |
7% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
7 |
5% |
6% |
|
8 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
18% |
100% |
|
2 |
71% |
81% |
Median |
3 |
4% |
11% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
6% |
|
6 |
0% |
6% |
|
7 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
8 |
5% |
5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
106 |
100% |
104–106 |
102–106 |
100–108 |
98–111 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
98 |
100% |
91–98 |
91–102 |
91–102 |
88–104 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
96 |
100% |
90–96 |
90–96 |
88–96 |
85–102 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
94 |
98% |
88–94 |
87–94 |
86–95 |
82–97 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
86 |
67% |
76–86 |
76–86 |
76–86 |
74–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
72 |
0% |
72–78 |
72–78 |
70–80 |
66–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
70 |
0% |
69–77 |
66–77 |
66–77 |
64–80 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
63 |
0% |
63–69 |
63–72 |
63–72 |
60–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
61 |
0% |
61–65 |
61–67 |
61–69 |
56–70 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
62 |
0% |
62–64 |
62–66 |
59–68 |
56–69 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
57 |
0% |
57–64 |
57–66 |
57–66 |
55–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
59 |
0% |
59–64 |
57–65 |
56–65 |
54–68 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
51 |
0% |
51–54 |
50–58 |
48–58 |
46–60 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
49 |
0% |
49–50 |
47–52 |
45–54 |
45–57 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
49 |
0% |
49–50 |
47–52 |
46–52 |
45–58 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
47 |
0% |
44–48 |
43–49 |
43–50 |
39–54 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
20 |
0% |
20–28 |
20–28 |
20–28 |
19–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
96 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
97 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
99 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
100 |
2% |
98% |
|
101 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
102 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
104 |
19% |
94% |
|
105 |
7% |
75% |
|
106 |
64% |
68% |
Median |
107 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
109 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
110 |
0% |
2% |
|
111 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
113 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
2% |
100% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
91 |
15% |
98% |
|
92 |
3% |
83% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
80% |
|
94 |
3% |
80% |
|
95 |
1.2% |
77% |
|
96 |
0.9% |
76% |
|
97 |
2% |
75% |
|
98 |
65% |
73% |
Median |
99 |
2% |
8% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
102 |
4% |
6% |
|
103 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
1.3% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
88 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
89 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
90 |
17% |
96% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
79% |
|
92 |
2% |
79% |
|
93 |
2% |
77% |
|
94 |
4% |
75% |
|
95 |
0.5% |
71% |
|
96 |
68% |
70% |
Median |
97 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
98.5% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
85 |
0% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98% |
|
87 |
5% |
96% |
|
88 |
17% |
91% |
|
89 |
1.3% |
74% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
72% |
|
91 |
2% |
71% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
69% |
|
93 |
2% |
69% |
|
94 |
65% |
67% |
Median |
95 |
2% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
76 |
16% |
98% |
|
77 |
6% |
82% |
|
78 |
4% |
77% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
72% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
72% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
71% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
70% |
|
83 |
3% |
70% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
67% |
|
85 |
2% |
67% |
Majority |
86 |
65% |
65% |
Median |
87 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
98.5% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
72 |
67% |
97% |
Median |
73 |
0.5% |
30% |
|
74 |
5% |
29% |
|
75 |
2% |
25% |
|
76 |
2% |
23% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
21% |
|
78 |
17% |
20% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
83 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
1.4% |
99.1% |
|
66 |
4% |
98% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
69 |
3% |
93% |
|
70 |
65% |
90% |
Median |
71 |
1.1% |
25% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
24% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
24% |
|
74 |
3% |
23% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
20% |
|
76 |
3% |
20% |
|
77 |
14% |
17% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
80 |
2% |
2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
63 |
65% |
98% |
Median |
64 |
0.1% |
33% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
32% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
32% |
|
67 |
17% |
32% |
|
68 |
3% |
14% |
|
69 |
3% |
12% |
|
70 |
2% |
9% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
72 |
4% |
6% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
61 |
66% |
98% |
Median |
62 |
2% |
32% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
30% |
|
64 |
2% |
30% |
|
65 |
21% |
28% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
67 |
3% |
6% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
70 |
2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
0% |
98% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
62 |
65% |
96% |
Median |
63 |
7% |
32% |
|
64 |
19% |
24% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
66 |
2% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
68 |
2% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
57 |
65% |
98.7% |
Median |
58 |
2% |
33% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
31% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
31% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
30% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
29% |
|
63 |
16% |
29% |
|
64 |
4% |
13% |
|
65 |
2% |
9% |
|
66 |
6% |
7% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
57 |
4% |
97% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
59 |
65% |
93% |
Median |
60 |
1.3% |
28% |
|
61 |
2% |
26% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
24% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
23% |
|
64 |
16% |
21% |
|
65 |
4% |
6% |
|
66 |
0% |
2% |
|
67 |
2% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
48 |
2% |
98% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
50 |
3% |
96% |
|
51 |
79% |
93% |
Median |
52 |
1.4% |
14% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
12% |
|
54 |
3% |
12% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
9% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
58 |
5% |
7% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
60 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
47 |
2% |
96% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
49 |
66% |
93% |
Median |
50 |
21% |
27% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
52 |
2% |
6% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
57 |
2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
47 |
5% |
97% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
49 |
66% |
92% |
Median |
50 |
19% |
26% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
52 |
5% |
7% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
43 |
5% |
98% |
|
44 |
3% |
93% |
|
45 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
47 |
67% |
88% |
Median |
48 |
15% |
21% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
50 |
2% |
5% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
54 |
2% |
2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
20 |
65% |
99.1% |
Median |
21 |
1.3% |
35% |
|
22 |
3% |
33% |
|
23 |
0.6% |
30% |
|
24 |
2% |
29% |
|
25 |
1.1% |
27% |
|
26 |
6% |
26% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
20% |
|
28 |
18% |
20% |
|
29 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 26–30 August 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.56%