Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 26–30 August 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 27.5% | 25.7–29.4% | 25.2–29.9% | 24.8–30.4% | 24.0–31.3% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 47 | 47–50 | 47–51 | 46–51 | 44–54 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 37 | 34–37 | 33–37 | 33–38 | 30–40 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 39 | 27–39 | 27–39 | 26–39 | 26–39 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 7–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 67% | 97% | Median |
| 48 | 0.2% | 30% | |
| 49 | 17% | 30% | |
| 50 | 7% | 13% | |
| 51 | 4% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 33 | 6% | 98% | |
| 34 | 17% | 92% | |
| 35 | 7% | 75% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 68% | |
| 37 | 65% | 68% | Median |
| 38 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 16% | 96% | |
| 28 | 6% | 80% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 75% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 74% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 32 | 2% | 72% | |
| 33 | 2% | 70% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 68% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 67% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 66% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 65% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 65% | |
| 39 | 64% | 64% | Median |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 66% | 99.2% | Median |
| 13 | 2% | 33% | Last Result |
| 14 | 5% | 31% | |
| 15 | 3% | 26% | |
| 16 | 17% | 23% | |
| 17 | 4% | 6% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 10 | 70% | 95% | Median |
| 11 | 2% | 25% | |
| 12 | 2% | 23% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 22% | |
| 14 | 16% | 20% | |
| 15 | 4% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 5% | 98% | |
| 10 | 5% | 92% | |
| 11 | 70% | 87% | Median |
| 12 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 13 | 16% | 17% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 66% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 6% | 31% | |
| 10 | 4% | 25% | |
| 11 | 4% | 21% | |
| 12 | 14% | 17% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 85% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 6% | 13% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 100% | |
| 2 | 71% | 81% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 11% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 8 | 5% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 106 | 100% | 104–106 | 102–106 | 100–108 | 98–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 98 | 100% | 91–98 | 91–102 | 91–102 | 88–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 96 | 100% | 90–96 | 90–96 | 88–96 | 85–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 94 | 98% | 88–94 | 87–94 | 86–95 | 82–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 86 | 67% | 76–86 | 76–86 | 76–86 | 74–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 72 | 0% | 72–78 | 72–78 | 70–80 | 66–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 70 | 0% | 69–77 | 66–77 | 66–77 | 64–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 63 | 0% | 63–69 | 63–72 | 63–72 | 60–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 61 | 0% | 61–65 | 61–67 | 61–69 | 56–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 62 | 0% | 62–64 | 62–66 | 59–68 | 56–69 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 57 | 0% | 57–64 | 57–66 | 57–66 | 55–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 59 | 0% | 59–64 | 57–65 | 56–65 | 54–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 51 | 0% | 51–54 | 50–58 | 48–58 | 46–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 49 | 0% | 49–50 | 47–52 | 45–54 | 45–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 49 | 0% | 49–50 | 47–52 | 46–52 | 45–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 47 | 0% | 44–48 | 43–49 | 43–50 | 39–54 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 20 | 0% | 20–28 | 20–28 | 20–28 | 19–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 102 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 104 | 19% | 94% | |
| 105 | 7% | 75% | |
| 106 | 64% | 68% | Median |
| 107 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 2% | |
| 111 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 2% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 91 | 15% | 98% | |
| 92 | 3% | 83% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 94 | 3% | 80% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 76% | |
| 97 | 2% | 75% | |
| 98 | 65% | 73% | Median |
| 99 | 2% | 8% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 102 | 4% | 6% | |
| 103 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 90 | 17% | 96% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 92 | 2% | 79% | |
| 93 | 2% | 77% | |
| 94 | 4% | 75% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 71% | |
| 96 | 68% | 70% | Median |
| 97 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 85 | 0% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 5% | 96% | |
| 88 | 17% | 91% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 74% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 72% | |
| 91 | 2% | 71% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 69% | |
| 93 | 2% | 69% | |
| 94 | 65% | 67% | Median |
| 95 | 2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 76 | 16% | 98% | |
| 77 | 6% | 82% | |
| 78 | 4% | 77% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 72% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 72% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 71% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 70% | |
| 83 | 3% | 70% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 67% | |
| 85 | 2% | 67% | Majority |
| 86 | 65% | 65% | Median |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 67% | 97% | Median |
| 73 | 0.5% | 30% | |
| 74 | 5% | 29% | |
| 75 | 2% | 25% | |
| 76 | 2% | 23% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 78 | 17% | 20% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 69 | 3% | 93% | |
| 70 | 65% | 90% | Median |
| 71 | 1.1% | 25% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 24% | |
| 74 | 3% | 23% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 76 | 3% | 20% | |
| 77 | 14% | 17% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 80 | 2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 65% | 98% | Median |
| 64 | 0.1% | 33% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 32% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 32% | |
| 67 | 17% | 32% | |
| 68 | 3% | 14% | |
| 69 | 3% | 12% | |
| 70 | 2% | 9% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 72 | 4% | 6% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 66% | 98% | Median |
| 62 | 2% | 32% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 30% | |
| 64 | 2% | 30% | |
| 65 | 21% | 28% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0% | 98% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 62 | 65% | 96% | Median |
| 63 | 7% | 32% | |
| 64 | 19% | 24% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 66 | 2% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 65% | 98.7% | Median |
| 58 | 2% | 33% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 31% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 31% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 30% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 29% | |
| 63 | 16% | 29% | |
| 64 | 4% | 13% | |
| 65 | 2% | 9% | |
| 66 | 6% | 7% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 97% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 59 | 65% | 93% | Median |
| 60 | 1.3% | 28% | |
| 61 | 2% | 26% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 24% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 23% | |
| 64 | 16% | 21% | |
| 65 | 4% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0% | 2% | |
| 67 | 2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 50 | 3% | 96% | |
| 51 | 79% | 93% | Median |
| 52 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 54 | 3% | 12% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 58 | 5% | 7% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 47 | 2% | 96% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 49 | 66% | 93% | Median |
| 50 | 21% | 27% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 5% | 97% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 49 | 66% | 92% | Median |
| 50 | 19% | 26% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 52 | 5% | 7% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 43 | 5% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 93% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 47 | 67% | 88% | Median |
| 48 | 15% | 21% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 5% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 20 | 65% | 99.1% | Median |
| 21 | 1.3% | 35% | |
| 22 | 3% | 33% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 30% | |
| 24 | 2% | 29% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 27% | |
| 26 | 6% | 26% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 28 | 18% | 20% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 26–30 August 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.56%