Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 2 September 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 25.4% | 23.4–27.5% | 22.9–28.2% | 22.4–28.7% | 21.5–29.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.1% | 19.3–23.1% | 18.7–23.7% | 18.3–24.2% | 17.4–25.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 16.8% | 15.1–18.6% | 14.6–19.2% | 14.2–19.6% | 13.5–20.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6–10.3% | 7.2–10.7% | 7.0–11.1% | 6.4–11.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7–8.1% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.2–8.8% | 4.7–9.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.5–7.9% | 4.0–8.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 4.1–7.4% | 3.7–8.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.2–4.8% | 1.9–5.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–4.0% | 1.4–4.5% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.9–2.8% | 0.7–3.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.3% | 0.5–2.7% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% | 0.1–1.7% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.0–1.2% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 43 | 42–50 | 41–50 | 41–50 | 37–50 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 35–41 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–51 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 30 | 23–35 | 23–35 | 22–35 | 22–41 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 14–18 | 12–20 | 11–20 | 10–20 |
| Rødt | 8 | 14 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 8–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 14 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 1–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 7–14 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–7 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 41 | 6% | 98% | |
| 42 | 26% | 92% | |
| 43 | 29% | 66% | Median |
| 44 | 1.3% | 37% | |
| 45 | 13% | 35% | |
| 46 | 2% | 22% | |
| 47 | 7% | 21% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 50 | 11% | 11% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 14% | 97% | |
| 36 | 14% | 83% | |
| 37 | 2% | 68% | |
| 38 | 8% | 66% | |
| 39 | 29% | 59% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 30% | |
| 41 | 15% | 22% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 44 | 4% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 3% | 100% | |
| 23 | 10% | 97% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 25 | 5% | 87% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 82% | |
| 27 | 7% | 81% | |
| 28 | 3% | 74% | |
| 29 | 2% | 71% | |
| 30 | 29% | 69% | Median |
| 31 | 20% | 40% | |
| 32 | 2% | 20% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 35 | 14% | 17% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 12 | 2% | 97% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 95% | Last Result |
| 14 | 8% | 94% | |
| 15 | 19% | 87% | |
| 16 | 12% | 68% | |
| 17 | 44% | 56% | Median |
| 18 | 5% | 11% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 20 | 5% | 6% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 17% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 4% | 82% | |
| 12 | 12% | 78% | |
| 13 | 10% | 66% | |
| 14 | 30% | 56% | Median |
| 15 | 14% | 26% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 17 | 12% | 12% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 8% | 98% | |
| 9 | 6% | 90% | |
| 10 | 26% | 84% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 58% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 57% | |
| 13 | 4% | 55% | |
| 14 | 17% | 52% | Median |
| 15 | 34% | 34% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 48% | 97% | Median |
| 10 | 5% | 49% | |
| 11 | 20% | 44% | |
| 12 | 3% | 23% | |
| 13 | 5% | 21% | |
| 14 | 15% | 15% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 100% | |
| 2 | 33% | 53% | Median |
| 3 | 10% | 20% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0% | 11% | |
| 7 | 7% | 11% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.9% | 64% | |
| 2 | 58% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 100% | 93–103 | 91–104 | 90–106 | 88–108 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 88 | 68% | 83–92 | 83–94 | 80–96 | 80–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 85 | 55% | 82–90 | 82–92 | 77–94 | 77–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 83 | 37% | 82–88 | 81–89 | 77–92 | 77–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 83 | 35% | 78–86 | 76–86 | 75–91 | 69–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 80 | 32% | 76–85 | 74–85 | 72–88 | 68–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 73 | 0.9% | 72–77 | 70–80 | 67–81 | 67–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 72 | 0% | 63–73 | 63–76 | 63–78 | 61–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 71 | 0% | 65–75 | 64–77 | 62–78 | 60–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 61–72 | 61–75 | 61–78 | 58–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 67 | 0% | 60–71 | 60–71 | 59–75 | 57–75 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 55 | 0% | 52–61 | 52–61 | 52–62 | 49–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 56 | 0% | 50–61 | 50–61 | 47–62 | 45–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 55 | 0% | 48–58 | 48–60 | 48–60 | 48–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 53 | 0% | 47–55 | 47–56 | 47–57 | 46–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 51 | 0% | 45–54 | 45–54 | 45–57 | 44–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 24 | 0% | 21–30 | 21–30 | 18–30 | 14–30 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.4% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 92 | 2% | 95% | |
| 93 | 6% | 93% | |
| 94 | 15% | 87% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 72% | Last Result |
| 97 | 29% | 71% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 42% | Median |
| 99 | 1.1% | 41% | |
| 100 | 18% | 39% | |
| 101 | 1.1% | 22% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 103 | 15% | 20% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 105 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 106 | 2% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 82 | 0% | 96% | |
| 83 | 28% | 96% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 68% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 68% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 68% | Median |
| 87 | 6% | 58% | |
| 88 | 6% | 52% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 46% | |
| 90 | 3% | 45% | |
| 91 | 28% | 42% | |
| 92 | 5% | 14% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 94 | 4% | 8% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 96 | 2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 82 | 30% | 95% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 66% | |
| 84 | 11% | 66% | Median |
| 85 | 16% | 55% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 38% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 38% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 37% | |
| 89 | 16% | 36% | |
| 90 | 13% | 20% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 92 | 3% | 6% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 95 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 82 | 41% | 95% | Median |
| 83 | 17% | 54% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 37% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 36% | |
| 87 | 15% | 36% | |
| 88 | 13% | 21% | |
| 89 | 3% | 8% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 92 | 2% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 3% | 97% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 78 | 13% | 93% | |
| 79 | 15% | 80% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 65% | |
| 81 | 2% | 63% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 62% | |
| 83 | 16% | 61% | |
| 84 | 11% | 45% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 35% | Majority |
| 86 | 30% | 34% | Median |
| 87 | 0% | 5% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 3% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 74 | 5% | 96% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 76 | 5% | 91% | |
| 77 | 28% | 86% | |
| 78 | 3% | 58% | |
| 79 | 1.5% | 56% | |
| 80 | 7% | 54% | |
| 81 | 6% | 48% | |
| 82 | 10% | 42% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 32% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 32% | Median |
| 85 | 28% | 32% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 4% | |
| 88 | 4% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 70 | 5% | 96% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 72 | 6% | 90% | |
| 73 | 54% | 84% | Median |
| 74 | 7% | 30% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 76 | 4% | 22% | |
| 77 | 12% | 19% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 12% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 86% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 84% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 67 | 2% | 83% | |
| 68 | 3% | 81% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 79% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 71 | 23% | 77% | |
| 72 | 36% | 54% | |
| 73 | 10% | 18% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 8% | Median |
| 75 | 2% | 8% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 78 | 4% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 65 | 15% | 95% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 80% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 79% | |
| 68 | 18% | 78% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 60% | |
| 70 | 2% | 60% | |
| 71 | 29% | 58% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 29% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 74 | 15% | 28% | |
| 75 | 6% | 13% | |
| 76 | 2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 78 | 3% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 14% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 84% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 84% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 65 | 2% | 83% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 81% | |
| 67 | 2% | 80% | |
| 68 | 1.5% | 78% | |
| 69 | 24% | 77% | |
| 70 | 8% | 53% | |
| 71 | 10% | 45% | |
| 72 | 28% | 35% | Median |
| 73 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 78 | 3% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 13% | 96% | |
| 61 | 0% | 83% | |
| 62 | 2% | 83% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 81% | |
| 64 | 7% | 80% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 73% | |
| 66 | 2% | 72% | |
| 67 | 32% | 70% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 39% | |
| 69 | 6% | 38% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 32% | Median |
| 71 | 28% | 32% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 4% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 28% | 98% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 70% | |
| 54 | 8% | 70% | Median |
| 55 | 15% | 61% | |
| 56 | 2% | 46% | |
| 57 | 3% | 44% | |
| 58 | 21% | 41% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 60 | 5% | 20% | |
| 61 | 11% | 14% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 98% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 50 | 12% | 96% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 52 | 9% | 83% | |
| 53 | 15% | 75% | |
| 54 | 3% | 60% | |
| 55 | 6% | 57% | |
| 56 | 28% | 52% | Median |
| 57 | 12% | 23% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 61 | 5% | 10% | Last Result |
| 62 | 3% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 3% | 87% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 84% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 53 | 8% | 82% | |
| 54 | 15% | 75% | |
| 55 | 39% | 59% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 21% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 20% | Median |
| 58 | 12% | 19% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 60 | 4% | 6% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 13% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 4% | 86% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 50 | 2% | 81% | |
| 51 | 12% | 79% | |
| 52 | 15% | 67% | |
| 53 | 11% | 52% | |
| 54 | 29% | 41% | |
| 55 | 6% | 11% | Median |
| 56 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 57 | 3% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 13% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 3% | 86% | |
| 47 | 2% | 83% | |
| 48 | 2% | 81% | |
| 49 | 11% | 79% | |
| 50 | 17% | 68% | |
| 51 | 10% | 51% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 53 | 6% | 39% | Median |
| 54 | 29% | 33% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 57 | 3% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 16 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 19 | 2% | 97% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 21 | 17% | 95% | |
| 22 | 1.5% | 78% | |
| 23 | 17% | 76% | |
| 24 | 34% | 60% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 25% | Median |
| 26 | 8% | 24% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 28 | 2% | 16% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 30 | 14% | 14% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 2 September 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 740
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.67%