Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 3 October 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 23.3% | 21.7–25.1% | 21.2–25.5% | 20.9–26.0% | 20.1–26.8% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.2% | 18.6–21.8% | 18.2–22.3% | 17.8–22.7% | 17.1–23.5% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 20.1% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.1–22.2% | 17.8–22.6% | 17.1–23.4% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.3% | 4.9–8.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.7–8.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.4–5.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.5% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 43 | 42–43 | 40–43 | 39–44 | 37–47 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 37 | 37–38 | 36–41 | 35–42 | 34–44 |
| Høyre | 36 | 36 | 36 | 35–36 | 33–38 | 31–40 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 11 | 11–12 | 11–13 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 8–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 3–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 8 | 3–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–7 | 1–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 40 | 5% | 97% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 42 | 5% | 91% | |
| 43 | 83% | 86% | Median |
| 44 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 2% | 96% | |
| 37 | 80% | 94% | Median |
| 38 | 5% | 14% | |
| 39 | 2% | 9% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 41 | 4% | 7% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 35 | 4% | 95% | |
| 36 | 87% | 91% | Last Result, Median |
| 37 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 82% | 98.5% | Median |
| 11 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 12 | 5% | 16% | |
| 13 | 6% | 10% | |
| 14 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 83% | 96% | Median |
| 12 | 5% | 13% | |
| 13 | 5% | 8% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 6% | 98% | |
| 11 | 4% | 92% | |
| 12 | 5% | 87% | |
| 13 | 80% | 82% | Median |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 2% | 98% | |
| 8 | 85% | 96% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 4% | 11% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 11 | 3% | 7% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 93% | |
| 3 | 3% | 91% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 88% | |
| 5 | 0% | 88% | |
| 6 | 0% | 88% | |
| 7 | 5% | 88% | |
| 8 | 81% | 82% | Median |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 89% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 5% | 9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 2 | 5% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 99 | 100% | 99–101 | 99–103 | 99–104 | 95–109 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 97 | 100% | 91–97 | 91–97 | 89–97 | 87–101 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 89 | 97% | 89–90 | 87–90 | 84–93 | 83–97 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 87 | 95% | 86–87 | 84–88 | 82–89 | 79–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 79 | 2% | 78–79 | 77–81 | 75–82 | 70–85 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 79 | 0.2% | 77–79 | 76–79 | 74–81 | 70–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 71 | 0% | 71–76 | 71–77 | 70–78 | 67–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 68 | 0% | 68–70 | 68–72 | 68–76 | 64–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 66 | 0% | 66–67 | 66–69 | 63–72 | 61–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 69 | 0% | 66–69 | 65–69 | 64–69 | 59–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 58 | 0% | 58–65 | 58–66 | 58–66 | 56–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 57 | 0% | 57 | 57–61 | 52–63 | 51–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 49 | 0% | 49–55 | 49–56 | 49–57 | 49–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 47 | 0% | 47–51 | 47–54 | 47–55 | 45–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 48 | 0% | 48–51 | 48–53 | 48–54 | 46–55 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 46 | 0% | 46–48 | 45–50 | 42–50 | 40–54 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 20 | 0% | 20–24 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–29 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 98 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 99 | 80% | 98% | Median |
| 100 | 5% | 17% | |
| 101 | 4% | 13% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 103 | 4% | 7% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 91 | 7% | 97% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 93 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 96 | 5% | 87% | |
| 97 | 80% | 82% | Median |
| 98 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 99 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 97% | |
| 87 | 2% | 95% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 89 | 81% | 92% | Median |
| 90 | 6% | 10% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 85 | 2% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 92% | |
| 87 | 79% | 88% | Median |
| 88 | 6% | 9% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 77 | 3% | 96% | |
| 78 | 6% | 93% | |
| 79 | 80% | 87% | Median |
| 80 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 76 | 5% | 96% | |
| 77 | 4% | 92% | |
| 78 | 4% | 88% | |
| 79 | 81% | 85% | Median |
| 80 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 80% | 95% | Median |
| 72 | 2% | 15% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 75 | 2% | 12% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 77 | 7% | 10% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 81% | 98% | Median |
| 69 | 6% | 16% | |
| 70 | 5% | 11% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 66 | 81% | 96% | Median |
| 67 | 7% | 14% | |
| 68 | 2% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 65 | 7% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 90% | |
| 67 | 2% | 88% | |
| 68 | 3% | 86% | |
| 69 | 80% | 82% | Median |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 79% | 98.5% | Median |
| 59 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 60 | 4% | 19% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 15% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 14% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 65 | 5% | 11% | |
| 66 | 5% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 86% | 95% | Median |
| 58 | 2% | 9% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 63 | 3% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 79% | 99.7% | Median |
| 50 | 6% | 21% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 52 | 2% | 15% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 55 | 3% | 11% | |
| 56 | 4% | 8% | |
| 57 | 2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 47 | 82% | 99.1% | Median |
| 48 | 3% | 17% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 50 | 2% | 13% | |
| 51 | 2% | 11% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 54 | 5% | 8% | |
| 55 | 3% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 83% | 98% | Median |
| 49 | 2% | 15% | |
| 50 | 3% | 14% | |
| 51 | 2% | 11% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 53 | 5% | 8% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 46 | 80% | 95% | Median |
| 47 | 3% | 15% | Last Result |
| 48 | 3% | 12% | |
| 49 | 3% | 9% | |
| 50 | 4% | 6% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 81% | 99.7% | Median |
| 21 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 23 | 6% | 17% | |
| 24 | 2% | 11% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 27 | 4% | 7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 3 October 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1051
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.15%