Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 4 November 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 24.1% | 22.1–26.2% | 21.5–26.9% | 21.0–27.4% | 20.1–28.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 20.1% | 18.3–22.2% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.3–23.3% | 16.5–24.3% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.4% | 17.6–21.5% | 17.1–22.0% | 16.6–22.5% | 15.8–23.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3–10.1% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.7–10.9% | 6.1–11.6% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0–8.5% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.4–9.3% | 4.9–10.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.1% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.3–7.8% | 3.9–8.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.6–5.5% | 2.3–6.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.9% | 2.3–5.1% | 2.0–5.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.6% | 1.7–5.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.8–2.7% | 0.6–3.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 44 | 40–48 | 38–49 | 37–50 | 35–52 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 30–44 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 36 | 32–40 | 32–41 | 31–43 | 31–45 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 10–21 |
| Rødt | 8 | 13 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 8–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 1–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 1–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 37 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 97% | |
| 39 | 3% | 95% | |
| 40 | 4% | 92% | |
| 41 | 9% | 88% | |
| 42 | 7% | 79% | |
| 43 | 11% | 72% | |
| 44 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 45 | 13% | 46% | |
| 46 | 8% | 32% | |
| 47 | 12% | 24% | |
| 48 | 5% | 12% | |
| 49 | 3% | 7% | |
| 50 | 3% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 33 | 2% | 97% | |
| 34 | 5% | 95% | |
| 35 | 4% | 90% | |
| 36 | 13% | 86% | |
| 37 | 11% | 73% | |
| 38 | 20% | 62% | Median |
| 39 | 22% | 42% | |
| 40 | 9% | 19% | |
| 41 | 5% | 11% | |
| 42 | 2% | 6% | |
| 43 | 3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 8% | 97% | |
| 33 | 4% | 89% | |
| 34 | 6% | 85% | |
| 35 | 12% | 79% | |
| 36 | 30% | 67% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 37% | |
| 38 | 6% | 30% | |
| 39 | 4% | 24% | |
| 40 | 11% | 19% | |
| 41 | 4% | 8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 5% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 12 | 5% | 97% | |
| 13 | 9% | 92% | Last Result |
| 14 | 16% | 83% | |
| 15 | 12% | 67% | |
| 16 | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 17 | 24% | 37% | |
| 18 | 5% | 13% | |
| 19 | 4% | 8% | |
| 20 | 3% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 6% | 96% | |
| 11 | 20% | 90% | |
| 12 | 14% | 70% | |
| 13 | 20% | 56% | Median |
| 14 | 21% | 36% | |
| 15 | 8% | 14% | |
| 16 | 3% | 7% | |
| 17 | 3% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 2% | 98% | |
| 8 | 6% | 96% | |
| 9 | 10% | 91% | |
| 10 | 23% | 81% | |
| 11 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 21% | 40% | |
| 13 | 14% | 20% | |
| 14 | 4% | 6% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 34% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 35% | 65% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 31% | |
| 5 | 0% | 31% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 31% | |
| 7 | 9% | 29% | |
| 8 | 11% | 20% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17% | 100% | |
| 2 | 46% | 83% | Median |
| 3 | 13% | 37% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 24% | |
| 5 | 0% | 24% | |
| 6 | 1.5% | 24% | |
| 7 | 8% | 23% | |
| 8 | 11% | 15% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 41% | 91% | Median |
| 2 | 23% | 50% | |
| 3 | 17% | 27% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 7 | 4% | 9% | |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 4% | |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 99 | 100% | 94–103 | 93–105 | 91–106 | 88–109 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 92 | 97% | 87–97 | 85–98 | 84–100 | 82–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 87 | 87% | 84–93 | 82–95 | 80–97 | 77–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 86 | 70% | 81–91 | 79–92 | 78–94 | 75–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 82 | 24% | 77–87 | 75–88 | 74–90 | 72–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 79 | 7% | 73–83 | 71–85 | 69–87 | 66–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 76 | 1.2% | 70–80 | 68–81 | 67–83 | 63–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 68 | 0% | 63–73 | 61–75 | 60–76 | 57–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0% | 63–72 | 61–75 | 59–76 | 58–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 61–70 | 59–72 | 58–74 | 56–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 63 | 0% | 58–67 | 56–68 | 55–70 | 53–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 52 | 0% | 48–58 | 46–60 | 45–61 | 43–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 48–57 | 47–57 | 45–59 | 43–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 45–54 | 43–56 | 43–58 | 41–60 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 50 | 0% | 46–55 | 44–57 | 43–58 | 40–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 38–57 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 16 | 0% | 13–22 | 13–23 | 12–25 | 10–27 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 93 | 3% | 96% | |
| 94 | 3% | 92% | |
| 95 | 4% | 90% | |
| 96 | 11% | 86% | Last Result |
| 97 | 11% | 75% | Median |
| 98 | 8% | 64% | |
| 99 | 8% | 56% | |
| 100 | 12% | 48% | |
| 101 | 6% | 35% | |
| 102 | 13% | 29% | |
| 103 | 7% | 16% | |
| 104 | 3% | 9% | |
| 105 | 2% | 6% | |
| 106 | 2% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 95% | |
| 87 | 3% | 93% | |
| 88 | 14% | 90% | Median |
| 89 | 12% | 76% | |
| 90 | 6% | 64% | |
| 91 | 7% | 58% | |
| 92 | 14% | 51% | |
| 93 | 5% | 38% | |
| 94 | 12% | 33% | |
| 95 | 7% | 21% | |
| 96 | 3% | 13% | |
| 97 | 3% | 11% | |
| 98 | 3% | 8% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 2% | 96% | |
| 83 | 3% | 94% | |
| 84 | 3% | 90% | |
| 85 | 3% | 87% | Majority |
| 86 | 20% | 84% | Median |
| 87 | 15% | 64% | |
| 88 | 5% | 49% | |
| 89 | 8% | 44% | |
| 90 | 12% | 36% | |
| 91 | 5% | 25% | |
| 92 | 6% | 19% | |
| 93 | 6% | 13% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 95 | 2% | 6% | |
| 96 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 92% | |
| 82 | 4% | 89% | |
| 83 | 5% | 85% | |
| 84 | 10% | 80% | |
| 85 | 17% | 70% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 14% | 52% | |
| 87 | 5% | 39% | |
| 88 | 5% | 33% | |
| 89 | 9% | 28% | |
| 90 | 6% | 19% | |
| 91 | 4% | 13% | |
| 92 | 4% | 9% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 94 | 2% | 4% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 3% | 95% | |
| 77 | 5% | 92% | |
| 78 | 6% | 87% | |
| 79 | 6% | 81% | |
| 80 | 9% | 75% | |
| 81 | 7% | 65% | |
| 82 | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 83 | 3% | 38% | |
| 84 | 12% | 35% | |
| 85 | 4% | 24% | Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 20% | |
| 87 | 4% | 11% | |
| 88 | 2% | 6% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 90 | 3% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 72 | 2% | 94% | |
| 73 | 3% | 92% | |
| 74 | 2% | 89% | |
| 75 | 7% | 87% | |
| 76 | 6% | 79% | |
| 77 | 6% | 74% | |
| 78 | 12% | 68% | Median |
| 79 | 7% | 56% | |
| 80 | 4% | 48% | |
| 81 | 14% | 44% | |
| 82 | 20% | 31% | |
| 83 | 2% | 11% | |
| 84 | 2% | 9% | |
| 85 | 3% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 88 | 2% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 96% | |
| 69 | 2% | 93% | |
| 70 | 3% | 91% | |
| 71 | 3% | 87% | |
| 72 | 4% | 84% | |
| 73 | 8% | 80% | |
| 74 | 12% | 72% | |
| 75 | 4% | 60% | |
| 76 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 77 | 7% | 42% | |
| 78 | 5% | 35% | |
| 79 | 12% | 31% | |
| 80 | 13% | 19% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 4% | 95% | |
| 63 | 2% | 91% | |
| 64 | 6% | 89% | |
| 65 | 5% | 83% | |
| 66 | 4% | 78% | Median |
| 67 | 8% | 74% | |
| 68 | 18% | 65% | |
| 69 | 5% | 47% | |
| 70 | 20% | 42% | |
| 71 | 4% | 21% | |
| 72 | 5% | 17% | |
| 73 | 4% | 12% | |
| 74 | 2% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 3% | 91% | |
| 64 | 4% | 89% | |
| 65 | 7% | 84% | |
| 66 | 14% | 77% | |
| 67 | 7% | 64% | Median |
| 68 | 12% | 57% | |
| 69 | 8% | 45% | |
| 70 | 9% | 37% | |
| 71 | 9% | 28% | |
| 72 | 10% | 19% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 10% | |
| 74 | 2% | 7% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 96% | |
| 60 | 2% | 94% | |
| 61 | 6% | 92% | |
| 62 | 3% | 86% | |
| 63 | 4% | 83% | |
| 64 | 8% | 79% | |
| 65 | 8% | 71% | Median |
| 66 | 6% | 63% | |
| 67 | 23% | 57% | |
| 68 | 6% | 34% | |
| 69 | 15% | 28% | |
| 70 | 4% | 14% | |
| 71 | 3% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 4% | 92% | |
| 59 | 7% | 88% | |
| 60 | 8% | 81% | |
| 61 | 9% | 73% | |
| 62 | 8% | 65% | |
| 63 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 64 | 6% | 48% | |
| 65 | 23% | 43% | |
| 66 | 4% | 20% | |
| 67 | 10% | 16% | |
| 68 | 2% | 6% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 95% | |
| 47 | 3% | 94% | |
| 48 | 3% | 91% | |
| 49 | 5% | 87% | |
| 50 | 7% | 83% | Median |
| 51 | 12% | 75% | |
| 52 | 14% | 63% | |
| 53 | 13% | 49% | |
| 54 | 7% | 36% | |
| 55 | 5% | 30% | |
| 56 | 9% | 25% | |
| 57 | 4% | 16% | |
| 58 | 4% | 12% | |
| 59 | 2% | 8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 6% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 5% | 96% | |
| 48 | 4% | 90% | |
| 49 | 8% | 87% | |
| 50 | 15% | 78% | |
| 51 | 6% | 63% | |
| 52 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 53 | 15% | 45% | |
| 54 | 9% | 30% | |
| 55 | 5% | 21% | |
| 56 | 3% | 16% | |
| 57 | 10% | 13% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 43 | 4% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 94% | |
| 45 | 5% | 91% | |
| 46 | 4% | 86% | |
| 47 | 6% | 82% | |
| 48 | 11% | 76% | Median |
| 49 | 14% | 64% | |
| 50 | 18% | 50% | |
| 51 | 12% | 33% | |
| 52 | 6% | 21% | |
| 53 | 4% | 15% | |
| 54 | 3% | 10% | |
| 55 | 2% | 8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 58 | 2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 2% | 95% | |
| 46 | 3% | 92% | |
| 47 | 5% | 89% | Last Result |
| 48 | 21% | 83% | Median |
| 49 | 6% | 62% | |
| 50 | 9% | 57% | |
| 51 | 11% | 47% | |
| 52 | 7% | 36% | |
| 53 | 10% | 29% | |
| 54 | 8% | 19% | |
| 55 | 4% | 11% | |
| 56 | 3% | 8% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 5% | 97% | |
| 43 | 3% | 92% | |
| 44 | 7% | 89% | |
| 45 | 8% | 81% | |
| 46 | 9% | 73% | |
| 47 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 48 | 17% | 53% | |
| 49 | 12% | 36% | |
| 50 | 13% | 24% | |
| 51 | 4% | 11% | |
| 52 | 3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 6% | 95% | |
| 14 | 10% | 89% | |
| 15 | 11% | 78% | Median |
| 16 | 20% | 68% | |
| 17 | 11% | 47% | |
| 18 | 6% | 36% | |
| 19 | 6% | 30% | |
| 20 | 5% | 24% | |
| 21 | 6% | 19% | |
| 22 | 6% | 13% | |
| 23 | 2% | 7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 5% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 4 November 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 690
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.05%