Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 5–6 November 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
22.4% |
20.6–24.4% |
20.1–25.0% |
19.6–25.5% |
18.8–26.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
21.3% |
19.5–23.3% |
19.0–23.8% |
18.5–24.3% |
17.7–25.3% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
20.9% |
19.1–22.9% |
18.6–23.4% |
18.2–23.9% |
17.4–24.9% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
9.4% |
8.1–10.8% |
7.8–11.2% |
7.5–11.6% |
7.0–12.4% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
7.4% |
6.4–8.8% |
6.1–9.2% |
5.8–9.5% |
5.3–10.2% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.9% |
3.7–6.2% |
3.5–6.5% |
3.1–7.1% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.4% |
3.6–5.5% |
3.3–5.8% |
3.1–6.0% |
2.8–6.6% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.3% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.3–4.8% |
2.0–5.4% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.5% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.7–3.9% |
1.4–4.4% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.3–1.5% |
0.2–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
35 |
3% |
98% |
|
36 |
3% |
95% |
Last Result |
37 |
11% |
92% |
|
38 |
8% |
81% |
|
39 |
11% |
73% |
|
40 |
11% |
62% |
|
41 |
9% |
51% |
Median |
42 |
9% |
42% |
|
43 |
9% |
33% |
|
44 |
14% |
23% |
|
45 |
2% |
10% |
|
46 |
4% |
7% |
|
47 |
2% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
34 |
3% |
98% |
|
35 |
6% |
96% |
|
36 |
5% |
89% |
|
37 |
6% |
85% |
|
38 |
8% |
78% |
|
39 |
24% |
71% |
Median |
40 |
13% |
47% |
|
41 |
10% |
34% |
|
42 |
11% |
24% |
|
43 |
6% |
14% |
|
44 |
3% |
7% |
|
45 |
3% |
4% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
32 |
1.5% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
34 |
2% |
97% |
|
35 |
6% |
95% |
|
36 |
17% |
89% |
|
37 |
13% |
73% |
|
38 |
19% |
60% |
Median |
39 |
14% |
41% |
|
40 |
10% |
27% |
|
41 |
8% |
18% |
|
42 |
3% |
10% |
|
43 |
3% |
7% |
|
44 |
2% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
13 |
4% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
14 |
6% |
95% |
|
15 |
10% |
89% |
|
16 |
15% |
78% |
|
17 |
27% |
64% |
Median |
18 |
15% |
37% |
|
19 |
8% |
22% |
|
20 |
8% |
14% |
|
21 |
4% |
6% |
|
22 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
23 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
11 |
11% |
96% |
|
12 |
14% |
85% |
|
13 |
19% |
71% |
|
14 |
24% |
52% |
Median |
15 |
13% |
28% |
|
16 |
9% |
15% |
|
17 |
4% |
5% |
|
18 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
17% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.3% |
83% |
|
3 |
0% |
83% |
|
4 |
0% |
83% |
|
5 |
0% |
83% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
83% |
|
7 |
10% |
83% |
|
8 |
29% |
73% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
22% |
44% |
|
10 |
13% |
22% |
|
11 |
6% |
9% |
|
12 |
2% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
8% |
100% |
|
3 |
21% |
92% |
|
4 |
0% |
71% |
|
5 |
0% |
71% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
71% |
|
7 |
11% |
71% |
|
8 |
29% |
60% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
21% |
31% |
|
10 |
7% |
10% |
|
11 |
3% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
37% |
100% |
|
2 |
25% |
63% |
Median |
3 |
15% |
37% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
22% |
|
5 |
0% |
22% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
22% |
|
7 |
8% |
21% |
|
8 |
10% |
13% |
|
9 |
2% |
3% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
33% |
100% |
|
1 |
37% |
67% |
Median |
2 |
22% |
29% |
|
3 |
5% |
7% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
102 |
100% |
96–106 |
95–108 |
94–110 |
92–112 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
91 |
95% |
86–96 |
84–98 |
83–99 |
81–102 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
88 |
82% |
83–92 |
81–95 |
80–96 |
78–99 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
87 |
73% |
81–92 |
80–93 |
79–95 |
77–97 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
80 |
15% |
75–85 |
74–87 |
72–88 |
70–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
79 |
10% |
75–84 |
73–86 |
72–87 |
69–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
76 |
2% |
71–81 |
70–82 |
68–84 |
66–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
73 |
0.4% |
69–79 |
67–80 |
66–82 |
63–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
72 |
0.3% |
67–77 |
66–79 |
65–81 |
62–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
69 |
0% |
65–73 |
63–75 |
62–76 |
60–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
66 |
0% |
61–71 |
59–73 |
58–74 |
56–76 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
55 |
0% |
52–62 |
51–63 |
49–64 |
48–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
55 |
0% |
52–60 |
50–61 |
50–62 |
48–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
53 |
0% |
49–57 |
48–59 |
47–61 |
45–63 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
52 |
0% |
48–56 |
47–57 |
46–59 |
45–61 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
49 |
0% |
44–53 |
42–53 |
41–55 |
39–58 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
21 |
0% |
17–26 |
16–27 |
15–28 |
14–30 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
94 |
2% |
98% |
|
95 |
5% |
96% |
|
96 |
3% |
91% |
Last Result |
97 |
5% |
88% |
|
98 |
7% |
83% |
|
99 |
9% |
76% |
|
100 |
9% |
67% |
|
101 |
5% |
59% |
|
102 |
12% |
54% |
|
103 |
7% |
42% |
Median |
104 |
8% |
35% |
|
105 |
7% |
27% |
|
106 |
11% |
20% |
|
107 |
2% |
9% |
|
108 |
2% |
6% |
|
109 |
2% |
5% |
|
110 |
2% |
3% |
|
111 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
112 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
113 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
115 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
83 |
1.5% |
98.8% |
|
84 |
3% |
97% |
|
85 |
3% |
95% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
92% |
|
87 |
4% |
88% |
|
88 |
10% |
84% |
|
89 |
11% |
74% |
|
90 |
8% |
63% |
|
91 |
7% |
55% |
Median |
92 |
7% |
48% |
|
93 |
19% |
41% |
|
94 |
6% |
22% |
|
95 |
2% |
17% |
|
96 |
5% |
14% |
|
97 |
4% |
9% |
|
98 |
3% |
5% |
|
99 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
102 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
81 |
2% |
97% |
|
82 |
3% |
95% |
|
83 |
5% |
92% |
|
84 |
4% |
87% |
|
85 |
6% |
82% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
76% |
|
87 |
10% |
66% |
|
88 |
9% |
56% |
|
89 |
9% |
46% |
Median |
90 |
10% |
37% |
|
91 |
6% |
28% |
|
92 |
12% |
22% |
|
93 |
3% |
9% |
|
94 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
95 |
2% |
5% |
|
96 |
2% |
3% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
99 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
79 |
2% |
98% |
|
80 |
4% |
96% |
|
81 |
3% |
92% |
|
82 |
4% |
90% |
|
83 |
6% |
86% |
|
84 |
6% |
80% |
|
85 |
7% |
73% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
66% |
|
87 |
10% |
58% |
|
88 |
14% |
48% |
Median |
89 |
8% |
35% |
|
90 |
4% |
27% |
|
91 |
11% |
22% |
|
92 |
5% |
11% |
|
93 |
2% |
6% |
|
94 |
2% |
5% |
|
95 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
96 |
2% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
98.7% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
74 |
4% |
96% |
|
75 |
4% |
92% |
|
76 |
5% |
88% |
|
77 |
7% |
83% |
|
78 |
12% |
76% |
|
79 |
11% |
65% |
|
80 |
10% |
54% |
Median |
81 |
7% |
43% |
|
82 |
5% |
37% |
|
83 |
12% |
32% |
|
84 |
5% |
20% |
|
85 |
6% |
15% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
9% |
|
87 |
2% |
5% |
|
88 |
2% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
72 |
2% |
98% |
|
73 |
3% |
96% |
|
74 |
2% |
93% |
|
75 |
4% |
91% |
|
76 |
13% |
87% |
|
77 |
6% |
75% |
|
78 |
12% |
68% |
|
79 |
9% |
57% |
Median |
80 |
9% |
48% |
|
81 |
11% |
39% |
|
82 |
7% |
28% |
|
83 |
6% |
20% |
|
84 |
4% |
14% |
|
85 |
3% |
10% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
7% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
97% |
|
70 |
3% |
95% |
|
71 |
4% |
93% |
|
72 |
5% |
88% |
|
73 |
3% |
83% |
|
74 |
6% |
80% |
|
75 |
19% |
74% |
|
76 |
7% |
55% |
|
77 |
8% |
48% |
Median |
78 |
8% |
40% |
|
79 |
11% |
32% |
|
80 |
9% |
21% |
|
81 |
5% |
13% |
|
82 |
4% |
8% |
|
83 |
2% |
5% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
67 |
4% |
97% |
|
68 |
2% |
93% |
|
69 |
14% |
91% |
|
70 |
6% |
76% |
|
71 |
7% |
70% |
|
72 |
12% |
63% |
Median |
73 |
13% |
51% |
|
74 |
8% |
38% |
|
75 |
5% |
31% |
|
76 |
7% |
25% |
|
77 |
4% |
19% |
|
78 |
4% |
15% |
|
79 |
5% |
11% |
|
80 |
2% |
6% |
|
81 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
84 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
66 |
3% |
97% |
|
67 |
5% |
95% |
|
68 |
12% |
89% |
|
69 |
8% |
78% |
|
70 |
8% |
70% |
|
71 |
9% |
62% |
Median |
72 |
14% |
52% |
|
73 |
11% |
39% |
|
74 |
6% |
28% |
|
75 |
4% |
23% |
|
76 |
4% |
19% |
|
77 |
6% |
15% |
|
78 |
3% |
9% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
80 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
82 |
2% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
62 |
2% |
98% |
|
63 |
2% |
96% |
|
64 |
2% |
94% |
|
65 |
8% |
92% |
|
66 |
8% |
84% |
|
67 |
14% |
76% |
|
68 |
10% |
62% |
|
69 |
10% |
52% |
Median |
70 |
14% |
42% |
|
71 |
6% |
28% |
|
72 |
6% |
22% |
|
73 |
6% |
16% |
|
74 |
3% |
9% |
|
75 |
3% |
6% |
|
76 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
77 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
58 |
2% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
97% |
|
60 |
2% |
95% |
|
61 |
3% |
92% |
|
62 |
11% |
89% |
|
63 |
8% |
78% |
|
64 |
9% |
70% |
|
65 |
8% |
62% |
Median |
66 |
14% |
54% |
|
67 |
5% |
40% |
|
68 |
9% |
35% |
|
69 |
8% |
26% |
|
70 |
7% |
19% |
|
71 |
4% |
12% |
|
72 |
2% |
8% |
Last Result |
73 |
3% |
6% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
3% |
95% |
|
52 |
16% |
92% |
|
53 |
5% |
76% |
|
54 |
12% |
71% |
|
55 |
9% |
59% |
Median |
56 |
12% |
50% |
|
57 |
7% |
37% |
|
58 |
7% |
31% |
|
59 |
5% |
23% |
|
60 |
4% |
18% |
|
61 |
4% |
15% |
|
62 |
4% |
11% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
64 |
3% |
5% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
50 |
4% |
98% |
|
51 |
3% |
94% |
|
52 |
8% |
91% |
|
53 |
13% |
83% |
|
54 |
11% |
70% |
|
55 |
15% |
59% |
Median |
56 |
13% |
43% |
|
57 |
7% |
30% |
|
58 |
7% |
23% |
|
59 |
4% |
16% |
|
60 |
7% |
12% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
5% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
4% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
46 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
47 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
48 |
3% |
97% |
|
49 |
5% |
94% |
|
50 |
10% |
88% |
|
51 |
17% |
79% |
|
52 |
10% |
62% |
|
53 |
13% |
52% |
Median |
54 |
12% |
39% |
|
55 |
9% |
27% |
|
56 |
7% |
18% |
|
57 |
3% |
11% |
|
58 |
3% |
8% |
|
59 |
2% |
5% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
47 |
4% |
97% |
|
48 |
5% |
93% |
|
49 |
11% |
88% |
|
50 |
14% |
78% |
|
51 |
11% |
63% |
|
52 |
14% |
53% |
Median |
53 |
14% |
39% |
|
54 |
8% |
25% |
|
55 |
6% |
17% |
|
56 |
4% |
10% |
|
57 |
2% |
7% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
59 |
2% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
2% |
98% |
|
42 |
2% |
96% |
|
43 |
4% |
95% |
|
44 |
6% |
91% |
|
45 |
5% |
85% |
|
46 |
6% |
80% |
|
47 |
12% |
74% |
Last Result |
48 |
11% |
62% |
|
49 |
11% |
52% |
|
50 |
5% |
41% |
Median |
51 |
13% |
36% |
|
52 |
8% |
23% |
|
53 |
11% |
15% |
|
54 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
55 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
15 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
16 |
6% |
96% |
|
17 |
3% |
91% |
|
18 |
7% |
88% |
|
19 |
10% |
81% |
|
20 |
11% |
71% |
|
21 |
11% |
60% |
|
22 |
7% |
49% |
|
23 |
14% |
42% |
Median |
24 |
10% |
28% |
|
25 |
7% |
18% |
|
26 |
5% |
10% |
|
27 |
3% |
6% |
|
28 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
29 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 5–6 November 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 780
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.16%