Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 6–11 November 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 22.4% | 20.8–24.2% | 20.3–24.7% | 20.0–25.1% | 19.2–26.0% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 20.9% | 19.4–22.7% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.5–23.6% | 17.8–24.4% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.0% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–12.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 4.9–8.0% | 4.5–8.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.8–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 41 | 38–43 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–46 |
| Høyre | 36 | 37 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 31–43 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 35 | 33–37 | 32–38 | 32–40 | 31–41 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 1–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 4% | 97% | |
| 38 | 10% | 93% | |
| 39 | 14% | 83% | |
| 40 | 10% | 70% | |
| 41 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 42 | 22% | 44% | |
| 43 | 11% | 21% | |
| 44 | 6% | 10% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 5% | 97% | |
| 34 | 9% | 91% | |
| 35 | 9% | 83% | |
| 36 | 18% | 74% | Last Result |
| 37 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 38 | 15% | 39% | |
| 39 | 10% | 24% | |
| 40 | 8% | 14% | |
| 41 | 5% | 6% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 26% | 94% | |
| 34 | 11% | 68% | |
| 35 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 36 | 16% | 40% | |
| 37 | 16% | 24% | |
| 38 | 3% | 8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 5% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 14 | 9% | 96% | |
| 15 | 12% | 87% | |
| 16 | 24% | 74% | |
| 17 | 21% | 50% | Median |
| 18 | 20% | 29% | |
| 19 | 5% | 9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 11% | 96% | |
| 11 | 25% | 85% | |
| 12 | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 13 | 25% | 35% | |
| 14 | 7% | 10% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 98% | |
| 10 | 20% | 92% | |
| 11 | 44% | 72% | Median |
| 12 | 17% | 28% | |
| 13 | 7% | 11% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 15% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 23% | 83% | |
| 10 | 28% | 59% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 31% | |
| 12 | 9% | 12% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 37% | 95% | |
| 3 | 23% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 34% | |
| 5 | 0% | 34% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 34% | |
| 7 | 22% | 33% | |
| 8 | 9% | 12% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 53% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 33% | 46% | |
| 3 | 8% | 13% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 7 | 4% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 105 | 100% | 101–108 | 100–109 | 99–109 | 96–112 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 94 | 99.9% | 91–98 | 90–99 | 89–100 | 86–102 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 93 | 99.6% | 89–97 | 88–97 | 87–98 | 85–100 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 89 | 93% | 85–91 | 84–93 | 82–94 | 80–96 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 78 | 0.5% | 75–81 | 73–82 | 72–83 | 70–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 75 | 0.1% | 71–78 | 70–79 | 70–81 | 67–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 73 | 0% | 70–76 | 68–77 | 68–78 | 65–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 69 | 0% | 66–73 | 65–74 | 64–76 | 62–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 65 | 0% | 62–68 | 61–70 | 60–71 | 58–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 64 | 0% | 60–66 | 59–67 | 58–69 | 57–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 63 | 0% | 60–66 | 59–67 | 58–68 | 56–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 52 | 0% | 49–57 | 48–58 | 48–60 | 46–62 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 52 | 0% | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 44–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 47–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–54 | 48–56 | 47–56 | 46–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 47 | 0% | 44–50 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–54 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 26 | 0% | 24–31 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 21–34 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 99 | 2% | 98% | |
| 100 | 2% | 96% | |
| 101 | 6% | 94% | |
| 102 | 8% | 88% | |
| 103 | 12% | 81% | |
| 104 | 17% | 69% | Median |
| 105 | 17% | 52% | |
| 106 | 6% | 35% | |
| 107 | 13% | 29% | |
| 108 | 9% | 16% | |
| 109 | 4% | 6% | |
| 110 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 89 | 2% | 98% | |
| 90 | 2% | 96% | |
| 91 | 6% | 94% | |
| 92 | 8% | 88% | |
| 93 | 17% | 80% | Median |
| 94 | 13% | 63% | |
| 95 | 17% | 50% | |
| 96 | 10% | 33% | |
| 97 | 6% | 23% | |
| 98 | 9% | 17% | |
| 99 | 3% | 8% | |
| 100 | 3% | 4% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 5% | 94% | |
| 90 | 8% | 89% | |
| 91 | 8% | 81% | |
| 92 | 22% | 73% | Median |
| 93 | 14% | 51% | |
| 94 | 13% | 37% | |
| 95 | 6% | 24% | |
| 96 | 8% | 18% | |
| 97 | 6% | 10% | |
| 98 | 3% | 5% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 2% | 95% | |
| 85 | 3% | 93% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 90% | |
| 87 | 13% | 85% | |
| 88 | 12% | 72% | |
| 89 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 90 | 20% | 40% | |
| 91 | 11% | 21% | |
| 92 | 4% | 10% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 4% | 94% | |
| 75 | 6% | 90% | |
| 76 | 13% | 84% | |
| 77 | 12% | 71% | |
| 78 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 79 | 16% | 36% | |
| 80 | 9% | 19% | |
| 81 | 4% | 10% | |
| 82 | 3% | 6% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 70 | 4% | 98% | |
| 71 | 6% | 94% | |
| 72 | 9% | 88% | |
| 73 | 6% | 79% | |
| 74 | 13% | 73% | |
| 75 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 76 | 22% | 46% | |
| 77 | 8% | 24% | |
| 78 | 7% | 16% | |
| 79 | 4% | 9% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 4% | 95% | |
| 70 | 10% | 91% | |
| 71 | 7% | 81% | |
| 72 | 10% | 74% | |
| 73 | 17% | 64% | |
| 74 | 13% | 47% | Median |
| 75 | 18% | 34% | |
| 76 | 7% | 17% | |
| 77 | 6% | 10% | |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 9% | 94% | |
| 67 | 18% | 85% | |
| 68 | 12% | 68% | Median |
| 69 | 16% | 56% | |
| 70 | 11% | 40% | |
| 71 | 8% | 29% | |
| 72 | 9% | 21% | |
| 73 | 5% | 13% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 61 | 4% | 97% | |
| 62 | 8% | 93% | |
| 63 | 11% | 85% | |
| 64 | 11% | 75% | |
| 65 | 23% | 64% | Median |
| 66 | 15% | 41% | |
| 67 | 11% | 26% | |
| 68 | 6% | 15% | |
| 69 | 3% | 9% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 59 | 3% | 97% | |
| 60 | 7% | 94% | |
| 61 | 9% | 87% | |
| 62 | 11% | 78% | |
| 63 | 14% | 67% | |
| 64 | 27% | 53% | Median |
| 65 | 8% | 26% | |
| 66 | 9% | 18% | |
| 67 | 3% | 8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 4% | 97% | |
| 60 | 10% | 92% | |
| 61 | 14% | 82% | |
| 62 | 7% | 68% | |
| 63 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 64 | 17% | 45% | |
| 65 | 12% | 28% | |
| 66 | 7% | 16% | |
| 67 | 5% | 9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 11% | 94% | |
| 50 | 8% | 83% | |
| 51 | 15% | 75% | Median |
| 52 | 11% | 60% | |
| 53 | 12% | 49% | |
| 54 | 14% | 38% | |
| 55 | 6% | 24% | |
| 56 | 5% | 18% | |
| 57 | 5% | 13% | |
| 58 | 3% | 7% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 47 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 48 | 5% | 94% | |
| 49 | 10% | 89% | |
| 50 | 12% | 79% | |
| 51 | 17% | 68% | Median |
| 52 | 10% | 51% | |
| 53 | 8% | 41% | |
| 54 | 12% | 33% | |
| 55 | 11% | 22% | |
| 56 | 5% | 11% | |
| 57 | 3% | 5% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 7% | 96% | |
| 48 | 11% | 90% | |
| 49 | 15% | 79% | |
| 50 | 12% | 64% | Median |
| 51 | 12% | 52% | |
| 52 | 12% | 40% | |
| 53 | 11% | 28% | |
| 54 | 5% | 17% | |
| 55 | 6% | 12% | |
| 56 | 3% | 6% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 7% | 97% | |
| 49 | 11% | 91% | |
| 50 | 12% | 80% | |
| 51 | 21% | 68% | |
| 52 | 16% | 47% | Median |
| 53 | 14% | 31% | |
| 54 | 8% | 17% | |
| 55 | 4% | 9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 10% | 95% | |
| 45 | 10% | 86% | |
| 46 | 21% | 75% | |
| 47 | 21% | 54% | Median |
| 48 | 11% | 33% | |
| 49 | 11% | 23% | |
| 50 | 6% | 12% | |
| 51 | 3% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 23 | 2% | 98% | |
| 24 | 8% | 96% | |
| 25 | 26% | 87% | |
| 26 | 18% | 61% | Median |
| 27 | 4% | 44% | |
| 28 | 5% | 40% | |
| 29 | 14% | 35% | |
| 30 | 10% | 21% | |
| 31 | 7% | 10% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 6–11 November 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.33%