Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 2 December 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 24.4% | 22.5–26.5% | 21.9–27.1% | 21.5–27.6% | 20.6–28.7% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 21.0% | 19.1–23.0% | 18.6–23.5% | 18.2–24.0% | 17.3–25.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 17.6% | 15.9–19.5% | 15.5–20.1% | 15.1–20.5% | 14.3–21.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.4–12.3% | 9.0–12.7% | 8.7–13.1% | 8.1–13.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.4% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.6–8.1% | 4.2–8.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9–7.1% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.4–7.8% | 4.0–8.4% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.6% | 4.2–6.9% | 3.9–7.2% | 3.5–7.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.3–4.9% | 2.0–5.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.7–4.9% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.3% | 0.5–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 43 | 41–47 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| Høyre | 36 | 38 | 34–39 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–44 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 33 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 28–37 | 26–39 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 19 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 15–23 | 13–24 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 3–14 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 5% | 97% | |
| 41 | 6% | 92% | |
| 42 | 28% | 87% | |
| 43 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 44 | 14% | 50% | |
| 45 | 15% | 36% | |
| 46 | 8% | 21% | |
| 47 | 3% | 13% | |
| 48 | 4% | 10% | |
| 49 | 3% | 6% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 5% | 96% | |
| 34 | 9% | 91% | |
| 35 | 11% | 82% | |
| 36 | 8% | 71% | Last Result |
| 37 | 11% | 62% | |
| 38 | 29% | 51% | Median |
| 39 | 14% | 22% | |
| 40 | 3% | 8% | |
| 41 | 3% | 5% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 30 | 2% | 96% | |
| 31 | 9% | 94% | |
| 32 | 27% | 85% | |
| 33 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 34 | 8% | 41% | |
| 35 | 18% | 33% | |
| 36 | 8% | 16% | |
| 37 | 6% | 8% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 14 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 4% | 98% | |
| 16 | 11% | 94% | |
| 17 | 12% | 83% | |
| 18 | 13% | 72% | |
| 19 | 27% | 59% | Median |
| 20 | 16% | 32% | |
| 21 | 12% | 17% | |
| 22 | 2% | 5% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 3% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 9 | 18% | 95% | |
| 10 | 16% | 77% | |
| 11 | 38% | 61% | Median |
| 12 | 10% | 23% | |
| 13 | 11% | 14% | |
| 14 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 8% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 15% | 90% | |
| 10 | 32% | 75% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 44% | |
| 12 | 16% | 23% | |
| 13 | 5% | 8% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 7 | 3% | 97% | |
| 8 | 15% | 93% | |
| 9 | 23% | 79% | |
| 10 | 21% | 55% | Median |
| 11 | 21% | 34% | |
| 12 | 11% | 13% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 10% | 97% | |
| 2 | 44% | 87% | Median |
| 3 | 28% | 43% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0% | 15% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 7 | 9% | 14% | |
| 8 | 4% | 6% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 61% | 99.6% | Median |
| 2 | 29% | 39% | |
| 3 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 7 | 4% | 6% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 104 | 100% | 99–107 | 98–108 | 97–110 | 95–112 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 96 | 100% | 92–100 | 91–101 | 90–103 | 89–105 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 94 | 99.8% | 90–98 | 89–99 | 88–101 | 86–103 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 91 | 98% | 87–95 | 86–97 | 85–98 | 82–101 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 80 | 11% | 77–85 | 76–86 | 75–88 | 73–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 74 | 0% | 70–78 | 69–79 | 67–80 | 65–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 72 | 0% | 68–76 | 67–77 | 65–78 | 63–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 67 | 0% | 63–70 | 61–71 | 59–72 | 57–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 64 | 0% | 61–69 | 60–70 | 58–71 | 56–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 63 | 0% | 60–67 | 58–68 | 56–69 | 54–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 58–65 | 56–65 | 55–67 | 52–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–55 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 45–59 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 50 | 0% | 46–54 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 43–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 47 | 0% | 44–51 | 43–53 | 40–54 | 37–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 46 | 0% | 42–49 | 40–50 | 39–51 | 35–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 43 | 0% | 40–46 | 37–47 | 36–47 | 33–49 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 23 | 0% | 20–26 | 19–27 | 17–28 | 12–31 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 97 | 2% | 98% | |
| 98 | 2% | 97% | |
| 99 | 5% | 95% | |
| 100 | 7% | 90% | |
| 101 | 15% | 83% | |
| 102 | 4% | 68% | |
| 103 | 7% | 64% | Median |
| 104 | 16% | 57% | |
| 105 | 16% | 41% | |
| 106 | 4% | 26% | |
| 107 | 15% | 21% | |
| 108 | 2% | 6% | |
| 109 | 2% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 91 | 6% | 97% | |
| 92 | 4% | 92% | |
| 93 | 16% | 87% | |
| 94 | 9% | 71% | Median |
| 95 | 8% | 62% | |
| 96 | 12% | 55% | |
| 97 | 16% | 42% | |
| 98 | 9% | 26% | |
| 99 | 6% | 17% | |
| 100 | 3% | 11% | |
| 101 | 3% | 8% | |
| 102 | 2% | 5% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 104 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 89 | 6% | 97% | |
| 90 | 5% | 91% | |
| 91 | 6% | 87% | |
| 92 | 20% | 81% | |
| 93 | 8% | 61% | Median |
| 94 | 5% | 53% | |
| 95 | 13% | 47% | |
| 96 | 14% | 34% | |
| 97 | 7% | 20% | |
| 98 | 6% | 12% | |
| 99 | 2% | 7% | |
| 100 | 2% | 5% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 97% | |
| 87 | 6% | 94% | |
| 88 | 8% | 88% | |
| 89 | 8% | 80% | |
| 90 | 21% | 73% | |
| 91 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 92 | 9% | 45% | |
| 93 | 20% | 36% | |
| 94 | 4% | 15% | |
| 95 | 4% | 11% | |
| 96 | 2% | 7% | |
| 97 | 2% | 5% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 4% | 96% | |
| 77 | 6% | 92% | |
| 78 | 10% | 86% | |
| 79 | 11% | 77% | |
| 80 | 16% | 65% | |
| 81 | 14% | 49% | Median |
| 82 | 5% | 34% | |
| 83 | 14% | 29% | |
| 84 | 5% | 15% | |
| 85 | 4% | 11% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 7% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 6% | 93% | |
| 71 | 7% | 88% | |
| 72 | 14% | 80% | |
| 73 | 13% | 66% | |
| 74 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 47% | |
| 76 | 20% | 39% | |
| 77 | 6% | 19% | |
| 78 | 5% | 13% | |
| 79 | 6% | 9% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 95% | |
| 68 | 3% | 92% | |
| 69 | 6% | 89% | |
| 70 | 9% | 83% | |
| 71 | 16% | 74% | |
| 72 | 12% | 58% | |
| 73 | 8% | 45% | Median |
| 74 | 9% | 38% | |
| 75 | 16% | 29% | |
| 76 | 4% | 13% | |
| 77 | 6% | 8% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 63 | 5% | 91% | |
| 64 | 13% | 85% | |
| 65 | 6% | 73% | Median |
| 66 | 16% | 66% | |
| 67 | 22% | 50% | |
| 68 | 10% | 28% | |
| 69 | 6% | 18% | |
| 70 | 5% | 12% | |
| 71 | 3% | 7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 15% | 94% | |
| 62 | 4% | 79% | |
| 63 | 16% | 74% | |
| 64 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 65 | 7% | 43% | |
| 66 | 4% | 36% | |
| 67 | 15% | 32% | |
| 68 | 6% | 17% | |
| 69 | 5% | 10% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 58 | 2% | 96% | |
| 59 | 2% | 94% | |
| 60 | 9% | 92% | |
| 61 | 6% | 83% | |
| 62 | 15% | 77% | |
| 63 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 64 | 7% | 46% | |
| 65 | 19% | 39% | |
| 66 | 7% | 20% | |
| 67 | 7% | 13% | |
| 68 | 3% | 7% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 95% | |
| 57 | 3% | 94% | |
| 58 | 4% | 91% | |
| 59 | 8% | 87% | |
| 60 | 10% | 79% | |
| 61 | 16% | 69% | |
| 62 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 38% | |
| 64 | 19% | 29% | |
| 65 | 6% | 11% | |
| 66 | 2% | 5% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 3% | 96% | |
| 49 | 7% | 93% | |
| 50 | 6% | 86% | |
| 51 | 32% | 80% | |
| 52 | 13% | 48% | Median |
| 53 | 8% | 35% | |
| 54 | 8% | 27% | |
| 55 | 12% | 19% | |
| 56 | 4% | 7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 46 | 8% | 96% | |
| 47 | 5% | 88% | Last Result |
| 48 | 15% | 83% | |
| 49 | 6% | 68% | |
| 50 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 51 | 18% | 47% | |
| 52 | 5% | 29% | |
| 53 | 12% | 24% | |
| 54 | 2% | 12% | |
| 55 | 5% | 10% | |
| 56 | 2% | 4% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 4% | 95% | |
| 44 | 4% | 91% | |
| 45 | 10% | 87% | |
| 46 | 10% | 77% | Median |
| 47 | 22% | 67% | |
| 48 | 10% | 46% | |
| 49 | 8% | 36% | |
| 50 | 11% | 28% | |
| 51 | 7% | 16% | |
| 52 | 3% | 9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 97% | |
| 41 | 2% | 95% | |
| 42 | 5% | 93% | |
| 43 | 5% | 88% | |
| 44 | 13% | 83% | |
| 45 | 10% | 70% | Median |
| 46 | 23% | 60% | |
| 47 | 12% | 37% | |
| 48 | 8% | 25% | |
| 49 | 7% | 17% | |
| 50 | 5% | 10% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 37 | 2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 39 | 2% | 94% | |
| 40 | 4% | 92% | |
| 41 | 11% | 88% | |
| 42 | 16% | 77% | |
| 43 | 19% | 61% | Median |
| 44 | 20% | 42% | |
| 45 | 9% | 22% | |
| 46 | 6% | 13% | |
| 47 | 5% | 7% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 19 | 5% | 96% | |
| 20 | 9% | 91% | |
| 21 | 11% | 82% | |
| 22 | 16% | 71% | Median |
| 23 | 8% | 55% | |
| 24 | 23% | 47% | |
| 25 | 10% | 25% | |
| 26 | 7% | 15% | |
| 27 | 3% | 8% | |
| 28 | 3% | 5% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 2 December 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 749
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.30%