Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 3 December 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 26.3% | 24.6–28.1% | 24.2–28.6% | 23.7–29.0% | 23.0–29.9% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 19.3% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.4–21.3% | 17.0–21.7% | 16.3–22.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.1% | 16.6–19.6% | 16.2–20.1% | 15.9–20.5% | 15.2–21.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.4–10.8% | 7.0–11.4% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.7% | 5.5–8.0% | 5.3–8.3% | 4.9–8.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.6–5.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.4–5.3% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 48 | 44–51 | 42–53 | 42–54 | 42–55 |
| Høyre | 36 | 34 | 31–39 | 31–39 | 30–39 | 29–41 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 35 | 32–38 | 31–38 | 29–38 | 28–39 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 12–21 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 1–11 | 1–11 | 1–12 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 2% | 92% | |
| 44 | 11% | 90% | |
| 45 | 6% | 80% | |
| 46 | 10% | 73% | |
| 47 | 8% | 64% | |
| 48 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 49 | 20% | 48% | |
| 50 | 16% | 28% | |
| 51 | 5% | 12% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 31 | 20% | 97% | |
| 32 | 8% | 77% | |
| 33 | 16% | 69% | |
| 34 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 35 | 8% | 42% | |
| 36 | 6% | 34% | Last Result |
| 37 | 6% | 28% | |
| 38 | 2% | 21% | |
| 39 | 17% | 19% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 31 | 3% | 96% | |
| 32 | 7% | 93% | |
| 33 | 22% | 86% | |
| 34 | 13% | 64% | |
| 35 | 24% | 51% | Median |
| 36 | 6% | 27% | |
| 37 | 10% | 21% | |
| 38 | 9% | 11% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 7% | 97% | Last Result |
| 14 | 9% | 90% | |
| 15 | 24% | 81% | |
| 16 | 29% | 57% | Median |
| 17 | 15% | 28% | |
| 18 | 5% | 12% | |
| 19 | 6% | 7% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 18% | 98.8% | |
| 10 | 13% | 81% | |
| 11 | 10% | 68% | |
| 12 | 24% | 58% | Median |
| 13 | 20% | 34% | |
| 14 | 9% | 14% | |
| 15 | 4% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 7 | 14% | 92% | |
| 8 | 21% | 78% | Last Result |
| 9 | 22% | 57% | Median |
| 10 | 12% | 35% | |
| 11 | 20% | 22% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 27% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 68% | |
| 5 | 0% | 68% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 68% | |
| 7 | 10% | 68% | |
| 8 | 32% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 19% | 27% | |
| 10 | 6% | 8% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 15% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 31% | 83% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 52% | |
| 5 | 0% | 52% | |
| 6 | 2% | 52% | |
| 7 | 29% | 51% | Median |
| 8 | 15% | 22% | |
| 9 | 6% | 7% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 100% | |
| 2 | 21% | 82% | |
| 3 | 29% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 32% | |
| 5 | 0% | 32% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 32% | |
| 7 | 22% | 32% | |
| 8 | 7% | 10% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 105 | 100% | 102–109 | 100–111 | 100–112 | 95–114 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 97 | 100% | 93–103 | 92–103 | 91–104 | 90–108 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 94 | 98.8% | 90–98 | 87–100 | 87–100 | 84–104 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 89 | 82% | 84–93 | 82–95 | 81–97 | 79–100 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 81 | 26% | 77–88 | 75–88 | 74–89 | 73–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 74 | 0.4% | 70–78 | 68–81 | 68–81 | 64–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 71 | 0% | 66–76 | 64–76 | 63–79 | 62–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 71 | 0% | 65–75 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 60–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 65 | 0% | 62–71 | 60–72 | 59–73 | 57–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 58–67 | 57–67 | 55–69 | 54–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 63 | 0% | 59–66 | 57–68 | 56–68 | 54–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 56 | 0% | 51–60 | 48–61 | 47–62 | 46–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 47–56 | 45–58 | 44–58 | 44–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–54 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 42–58 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 46 | 0% | 42–50 | 39–53 | 39–54 | 37–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 47 | 0% | 42–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 39–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 23 | 0% | 18–28 | 18–29 | 17–30 | 15–31 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 100 | 3% | 98% | |
| 101 | 3% | 95% | |
| 102 | 4% | 91% | |
| 103 | 5% | 87% | |
| 104 | 16% | 82% | |
| 105 | 20% | 66% | |
| 106 | 18% | 46% | |
| 107 | 9% | 28% | |
| 108 | 5% | 19% | |
| 109 | 4% | 14% | Median |
| 110 | 2% | 10% | |
| 111 | 3% | 7% | |
| 112 | 2% | 4% | |
| 113 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 92 | 2% | 96% | |
| 93 | 14% | 95% | |
| 94 | 6% | 81% | |
| 95 | 12% | 75% | |
| 96 | 7% | 62% | |
| 97 | 7% | 55% | |
| 98 | 10% | 48% | |
| 99 | 4% | 38% | |
| 100 | 5% | 34% | Median |
| 101 | 4% | 30% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 103 | 21% | 24% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 105 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 98.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 98% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 89 | 2% | 94% | |
| 90 | 9% | 92% | |
| 91 | 11% | 84% | |
| 92 | 4% | 73% | |
| 93 | 7% | 69% | |
| 94 | 16% | 62% | |
| 95 | 12% | 45% | |
| 96 | 17% | 33% | |
| 97 | 4% | 16% | Median |
| 98 | 4% | 11% | |
| 99 | 2% | 8% | |
| 100 | 3% | 5% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 82 | 4% | 97% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 84 | 10% | 92% | |
| 85 | 5% | 82% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 78% | |
| 87 | 11% | 75% | |
| 88 | 5% | 64% | |
| 89 | 19% | 60% | |
| 90 | 7% | 41% | Median |
| 91 | 15% | 34% | |
| 92 | 7% | 19% | |
| 93 | 3% | 12% | |
| 94 | 4% | 9% | |
| 95 | 2% | 5% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 4% | 97% | |
| 76 | 3% | 93% | |
| 77 | 3% | 90% | |
| 78 | 5% | 88% | |
| 79 | 7% | 83% | |
| 80 | 4% | 76% | |
| 81 | 27% | 72% | |
| 82 | 5% | 44% | Median |
| 83 | 6% | 39% | |
| 84 | 6% | 33% | |
| 85 | 3% | 26% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 23% | |
| 87 | 3% | 18% | |
| 88 | 11% | 15% | |
| 89 | 2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 4% | 92% | |
| 71 | 4% | 89% | |
| 72 | 17% | 84% | |
| 73 | 13% | 67% | |
| 74 | 16% | 54% | |
| 75 | 5% | 38% | Median |
| 76 | 5% | 33% | |
| 77 | 11% | 27% | |
| 78 | 8% | 16% | |
| 79 | 2% | 8% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 81 | 3% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 66 | 15% | 93% | |
| 67 | 2% | 78% | |
| 68 | 5% | 77% | |
| 69 | 6% | 72% | |
| 70 | 7% | 66% | |
| 71 | 10% | 58% | |
| 72 | 18% | 48% | |
| 73 | 6% | 30% | Median |
| 74 | 2% | 25% | |
| 75 | 10% | 23% | |
| 76 | 8% | 13% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 65 | 21% | 97% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 76% | |
| 67 | 4% | 75% | |
| 68 | 5% | 70% | |
| 69 | 4% | 66% | |
| 70 | 11% | 62% | |
| 71 | 7% | 52% | |
| 72 | 5% | 45% | Median |
| 73 | 14% | 39% | |
| 74 | 7% | 25% | |
| 75 | 14% | 19% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 94% | |
| 62 | 6% | 91% | |
| 63 | 16% | 84% | |
| 64 | 8% | 69% | |
| 65 | 17% | 61% | |
| 66 | 9% | 44% | Median |
| 67 | 3% | 35% | |
| 68 | 7% | 32% | |
| 69 | 11% | 25% | |
| 70 | 3% | 13% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 72 | 6% | 9% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 15% | 93% | |
| 59 | 5% | 78% | |
| 60 | 8% | 73% | |
| 61 | 11% | 66% | |
| 62 | 17% | 54% | |
| 63 | 6% | 37% | Median |
| 64 | 8% | 31% | |
| 65 | 4% | 23% | |
| 66 | 7% | 18% | |
| 67 | 8% | 11% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 69 | 3% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 3% | 96% | |
| 58 | 3% | 93% | |
| 59 | 4% | 90% | |
| 60 | 5% | 86% | |
| 61 | 9% | 81% | |
| 62 | 17% | 72% | |
| 63 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 64 | 16% | 34% | |
| 65 | 5% | 18% | |
| 66 | 4% | 13% | |
| 67 | 3% | 9% | |
| 68 | 3% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 96% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 50 | 2% | 93% | |
| 51 | 13% | 91% | |
| 52 | 2% | 78% | |
| 53 | 6% | 75% | |
| 54 | 9% | 70% | |
| 55 | 5% | 61% | |
| 56 | 23% | 56% | |
| 57 | 6% | 33% | Median |
| 58 | 10% | 27% | |
| 59 | 5% | 17% | |
| 60 | 7% | 12% | |
| 61 | 3% | 6% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 2% | 97% | |
| 46 | 2% | 95% | |
| 47 | 7% | 93% | |
| 48 | 2% | 86% | |
| 49 | 15% | 84% | |
| 50 | 21% | 69% | |
| 51 | 7% | 48% | |
| 52 | 4% | 42% | |
| 53 | 10% | 37% | |
| 54 | 7% | 27% | Median |
| 55 | 7% | 20% | |
| 56 | 5% | 13% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 58 | 6% | 7% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 5% | 93% | |
| 48 | 4% | 87% | |
| 49 | 30% | 84% | |
| 50 | 16% | 53% | |
| 51 | 7% | 37% | Median |
| 52 | 10% | 31% | |
| 53 | 4% | 21% | |
| 54 | 12% | 17% | |
| 55 | 2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 2% | 94% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 42 | 2% | 91% | |
| 43 | 4% | 89% | |
| 44 | 3% | 85% | |
| 45 | 18% | 83% | |
| 46 | 24% | 65% | |
| 47 | 10% | 40% | Last Result |
| 48 | 11% | 30% | |
| 49 | 9% | 19% | Median |
| 50 | 2% | 10% | |
| 51 | 2% | 9% | |
| 52 | 2% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 16% | 97% | |
| 43 | 4% | 81% | |
| 44 | 7% | 77% | |
| 45 | 12% | 70% | |
| 46 | 6% | 58% | |
| 47 | 23% | 52% | Median |
| 48 | 7% | 29% | |
| 49 | 7% | 21% | |
| 50 | 5% | 14% | |
| 51 | 7% | 9% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 2% | 98% | |
| 18 | 11% | 97% | |
| 19 | 4% | 86% | |
| 20 | 1.5% | 82% | |
| 21 | 9% | 80% | |
| 22 | 7% | 72% | |
| 23 | 15% | 65% | |
| 24 | 17% | 50% | |
| 25 | 5% | 32% | |
| 26 | 4% | 27% | |
| 27 | 5% | 23% | Median |
| 28 | 8% | 17% | |
| 29 | 5% | 9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 3 December 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1080
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.20%