Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 3–4 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 23.7% 21.9–25.7% 21.4–26.3% 20.9–26.8% 20.0–27.8%
Høyre 20.4% 22.8% 21.0–24.8% 20.5–25.4% 20.1–25.9% 19.2–26.9%
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 18.1% 16.4–20.0% 16.0–20.5% 15.6–20.9% 14.8–21.8%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 8.7% 7.6–10.2% 7.3–10.5% 7.0–10.9% 6.4–11.6%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.4% 4.5–6.5% 4.2–6.9% 4.0–7.2% 3.6–7.8%
Rødt 4.7% 5.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.9–7.0% 3.5–7.6%
Venstre 4.6% 4.6% 3.8–5.7% 3.6–6.0% 3.4–6.3% 3.0–6.9%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.2% 3.5–5.3% 3.2–5.6% 3.0–5.9% 2.7–6.4%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 2.9% 2.2–3.8% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.3% 1.7–4.8%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fremskrittspartiet 21 43 40–47 39–48 39–50 37–51
Høyre 36 40 37–44 36–46 35–47 33–48
Arbeiderpartiet 48 35 32–38 32–39 31–39 29–42
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 14 12–17 11–18 10–19 9–20
Senterpartiet 28 9 7–11 6–12 6–12 0–14
Rødt 8 9 7–10 5–11 1–12 1–13
Venstre 8 7 3–9 3–10 2–10 2–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 7 2–9 2–9 1–10 1–11
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 2 1–3 1–3 1–6 1–7
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.3% 100%  
37 0.9% 99.6%  
38 1.2% 98.8%  
39 4% 98%  
40 6% 94%  
41 7% 87%  
42 16% 80%  
43 21% 64% Median
44 8% 44%  
45 8% 36%  
46 12% 28%  
47 7% 16%  
48 5% 8%  
49 0.9% 4%  
50 1.3% 3%  
51 1.2% 2%  
52 0.1% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.4% 99.9%  
34 2% 99.4%  
35 1.0% 98%  
36 3% 97% Last Result
37 5% 94%  
38 13% 89%  
39 21% 76%  
40 13% 55% Median
41 8% 42%  
42 17% 34%  
43 3% 17%  
44 5% 14%  
45 2% 9%  
46 4% 7%  
47 2% 3%  
48 0.5% 1.0%  
49 0.3% 0.5%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 99.8%  
29 0.2% 99.5%  
30 0.7% 99.4%  
31 3% 98.7%  
32 13% 96%  
33 18% 83%  
34 9% 65%  
35 11% 55% Median
36 12% 44%  
37 17% 32%  
38 8% 15%  
39 5% 7%  
40 0.9% 2%  
41 0.8% 2%  
42 0.6% 0.7%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.7%  
10 2% 99.3%  
11 5% 97%  
12 19% 92%  
13 11% 73% Last Result
14 13% 62% Median
15 18% 50%  
16 13% 31%  
17 10% 19%  
18 4% 8%  
19 4% 5%  
20 0.6% 0.8%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 1.3% 99.4%  
2 0.1% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0.2% 98%  
6 6% 98%  
7 10% 91%  
8 27% 81%  
9 30% 55% Median
10 9% 24%  
11 8% 15%  
12 5% 7%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 5% 100%  
2 0.1% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0.3% 95%  
6 2% 95%  
7 19% 93%  
8 21% 73% Last Result
9 27% 53% Median
10 19% 26%  
11 3% 7%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.8% 1.0%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 3% 100%  
3 16% 97%  
4 0% 81%  
5 1.3% 81%  
6 4% 80%  
7 28% 76% Median
8 29% 48% Last Result
9 12% 19%  
10 4% 6%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.5% 0.5%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 4% 100%  
2 12% 96%  
3 17% 84% Last Result
4 0% 67%  
5 0% 67%  
6 8% 67%  
7 23% 59% Median
8 18% 36%  
9 15% 18%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.6% 0.7%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 50% 99.7%  
2 37% 50% Median
3 9% 13% Last Result
4 0% 4%  
5 0.1% 4%  
6 2% 4%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.2% 0.3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 105 100% 101–110 99–112 99–115 96–117
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 98 100% 93–103 93–105 91–108 89–109
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 97 99.9% 92–102 91–103 89–106 87–107
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 91 97% 86–96 85–98 84–99 82–101
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 84 49% 79–88 79–90 77–92 76–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 69 0% 62–73 61–75 60–76 58–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 66 0% 60–72 58–73 58–74 54–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt 97 67 0% 60–71 60–72 58–74 56–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 60 0% 55–65 54–65 53–66 50–69
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 60 0% 55–64 53–64 52–66 50–69
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 58 0% 53–63 53–63 51–65 49–67
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 53 0% 48–59 47–60 46–62 44–63
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 52 0% 46–57 44–58 43–58 41–61
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 50 0% 44–55 42–56 42–56 40–58
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 49 0% 45–53 44–55 44–55 41–57
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 44 0% 40–47 40–48 38–48 35–51
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 21 0% 18–26 16–27 15–28 12–29

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.2% 99.8%  
96 0.4% 99.6% Last Result
97 0.4% 99.2%  
98 1.0% 98.8%  
99 4% 98%  
100 3% 94%  
101 4% 91%  
102 5% 86%  
103 6% 81%  
104 12% 75%  
105 14% 63%  
106 13% 49% Median
107 8% 35%  
108 10% 27%  
109 5% 17%  
110 3% 12%  
111 2% 9%  
112 3% 7%  
113 0.5% 4%  
114 0.8% 3%  
115 2% 3%  
116 0.2% 0.9%  
117 0.6% 0.7%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.8%  
89 0.3% 99.6%  
90 1.4% 99.3%  
91 0.9% 98%  
92 0.9% 97%  
93 6% 96%  
94 5% 90%  
95 7% 85%  
96 6% 78%  
97 4% 73%  
98 21% 69%  
99 10% 48% Median
100 8% 38%  
101 9% 30%  
102 7% 21%  
103 5% 15%  
104 4% 10%  
105 2% 6%  
106 0.5% 4%  
107 0.9% 4%  
108 2% 3%  
109 0.7% 1.0%  
110 0.2% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Majority
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.4% 99.6%  
88 0.5% 99.2%  
89 2% 98.7%  
90 2% 97%  
91 2% 96%  
92 6% 93%  
93 7% 87%  
94 5% 79%  
95 7% 74%  
96 10% 67%  
97 14% 58% Median
98 13% 43%  
99 8% 31%  
100 9% 23%  
101 4% 14%  
102 4% 10%  
103 1.3% 6%  
104 1.0% 5%  
105 0.5% 4%  
106 2% 3%  
107 0.6% 1.0%  
108 0.2% 0.4%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.7%  
82 0.3% 99.6%  
83 2% 99.3%  
84 1.3% 98%  
85 3% 97% Majority
86 6% 93%  
87 6% 87%  
88 8% 81%  
89 9% 74%  
90 12% 64% Median
91 7% 52%  
92 15% 45%  
93 10% 30%  
94 3% 20%  
95 5% 17%  
96 4% 11%  
97 2% 8%  
98 2% 6%  
99 1.1% 3%  
100 1.2% 2%  
101 0.7% 1.1%  
102 0.1% 0.5%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.5% 99.6%  
77 2% 99.1%  
78 2% 97%  
79 6% 96%  
80 4% 89%  
81 9% 85%  
82 14% 77%  
83 7% 63% Median
84 7% 56%  
85 19% 49% Majority
86 9% 30%  
87 8% 21%  
88 3% 12%  
89 4% 9%  
90 1.3% 5%  
91 1.2% 4%  
92 0.8% 3%  
93 1.1% 2%  
94 0.3% 0.7%  
95 0.3% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 0.4% 99.6%  
59 1.0% 99.1%  
60 1.0% 98%  
61 2% 97%  
62 6% 95%  
63 5% 88%  
64 6% 83%  
65 4% 77%  
66 6% 74%  
67 6% 67%  
68 8% 61%  
69 14% 53% Median
70 9% 39%  
71 10% 30%  
72 9% 20%  
73 4% 11%  
74 2% 7%  
75 3% 5%  
76 1.0% 3%  
77 0.3% 1.5%  
78 0.9% 1.2%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 0.6% 99.6%  
55 0.2% 99.0%  
56 0.5% 98.8%  
57 0.4% 98%  
58 3% 98%  
59 1.4% 95%  
60 8% 93%  
61 5% 86%  
62 8% 81%  
63 8% 73%  
64 8% 65%  
65 5% 58%  
66 5% 53%  
67 7% 48% Median
68 9% 40%  
69 6% 31%  
70 11% 25%  
71 3% 14%  
72 5% 11%  
73 2% 6%  
74 2% 4%  
75 0.3% 1.2%  
76 0.5% 0.9%  
77 0.2% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 0.5% 99.6%  
57 0.6% 99.1%  
58 1.1% 98%  
59 2% 97%  
60 6% 95%  
61 3% 89%  
62 6% 87%  
63 7% 81%  
64 5% 73%  
65 7% 68%  
66 7% 61%  
67 9% 54% Median
68 13% 44%  
69 5% 31%  
70 15% 27%  
71 3% 11%  
72 3% 8%  
73 1.3% 4%  
74 2% 3%  
75 1.0% 2%  
76 0.4% 0.7%  
77 0.2% 0.4%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.4% 99.7%  
51 1.0% 99.3%  
52 0.5% 98%  
53 2% 98%  
54 6% 96%  
55 7% 91%  
56 6% 84%  
57 6% 78%  
58 4% 72%  
59 9% 68%  
60 13% 59% Median
61 16% 46%  
62 9% 30%  
63 5% 22%  
64 4% 16%  
65 8% 12%  
66 2% 4%  
67 1.2% 2%  
68 0.4% 1.2%  
69 0.3% 0.8%  
70 0.3% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.8%  
50 0.2% 99.5%  
51 1.1% 99.3%  
52 1.0% 98%  
53 3% 97%  
54 2% 94%  
55 6% 92%  
56 11% 86%  
57 4% 75%  
58 10% 71%  
59 9% 61%  
60 11% 52% Median
61 10% 41%  
62 7% 31%  
63 10% 24%  
64 9% 13%  
65 2% 5%  
66 1.2% 3%  
67 1.2% 2%  
68 0.3% 0.8%  
69 0.3% 0.6%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.8%  
49 0.5% 99.5%  
50 1.4% 99.0%  
51 1.2% 98%  
52 1.0% 97%  
53 12% 96%  
54 3% 84%  
55 8% 81%  
56 5% 73%  
57 7% 69%  
58 12% 61% Median
59 10% 49%  
60 18% 39%  
61 3% 21%  
62 6% 18%  
63 8% 12%  
64 1.2% 4%  
65 1.3% 3%  
66 1.0% 2%  
67 0.3% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.8%  
44 0.9% 99.6%  
45 0.7% 98.7%  
46 1.4% 98%  
47 2% 97% Last Result
48 6% 94%  
49 4% 88%  
50 6% 83%  
51 9% 77%  
52 11% 69%  
53 8% 58%  
54 21% 50% Median
55 4% 29%  
56 5% 25%  
57 5% 20%  
58 2% 15%  
59 7% 12%  
60 2% 5%  
61 0.4% 3%  
62 0.3% 3%  
63 2% 2%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.1% 99.7%  
41 0.6% 99.7%  
42 0.6% 99.1%  
43 3% 98%  
44 0.4% 95%  
45 2% 95%  
46 3% 93%  
47 4% 90%  
48 14% 85%  
49 6% 72%  
50 9% 66%  
51 7% 57%  
52 9% 50%  
53 8% 42% Median
54 5% 34%  
55 14% 29%  
56 5% 16%  
57 4% 11%  
58 4% 7%  
59 0.9% 2%  
60 0.5% 2%  
61 0.8% 1.1%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.1% 99.8%  
38 0.1% 99.7%  
39 0.1% 99.6%  
40 0.7% 99.5%  
41 0.7% 98.8%  
42 4% 98%  
43 1.4% 95%  
44 4% 93%  
45 4% 90%  
46 3% 85%  
47 18% 82%  
48 7% 65%  
49 7% 58%  
50 8% 51%  
51 6% 43% Median
52 7% 37%  
53 11% 30%  
54 7% 19%  
55 5% 12%  
56 5% 7%  
57 0.5% 1.3%  
58 0.4% 0.8%  
59 0.2% 0.4%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.4% 99.9%  
42 0.4% 99.4%  
43 1.1% 99.0%  
44 4% 98%  
45 7% 94%  
46 5% 87%  
47 10% 83%  
48 11% 73%  
49 12% 62% Median
50 12% 49%  
51 11% 37%  
52 10% 26%  
53 8% 16%  
54 1.5% 8%  
55 5% 6%  
56 0.5% 1.2%  
57 0.4% 0.7%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.2% 99.7%  
35 0.2% 99.5%  
36 0.3% 99.3%  
37 0.9% 99.0%  
38 0.7% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 7% 95%  
41 14% 88%  
42 10% 74%  
43 9% 64%  
44 10% 55% Median
45 19% 45%  
46 12% 25%  
47 4% 13%  
48 7% 9%  
49 1.1% 2%  
50 0.5% 1.2%  
51 0.4% 0.6%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 0.4% 99.7%  
13 0.9% 99.3%  
14 0.8% 98%  
15 1.4% 98%  
16 2% 96%  
17 4% 94%  
18 10% 90%  
19 9% 80%  
20 13% 71%  
21 11% 59%  
22 8% 48%  
23 9% 39% Median
24 5% 30%  
25 9% 25%  
26 9% 16%  
27 3% 7%  
28 2% 4%  
29 1.2% 2%  
30 0.2% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations