Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 3–9 December 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 25.3% | 23.6–27.1% | 23.1–27.6% | 22.7–28.1% | 21.9–29.0% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–24.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.7–11.4% | 7.2–12.0% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 46 | 42–50 | 42–51 | 42–52 | 41–54 |
| Høyre | 36 | 36 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 32–41 | 31–42 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 34 | 32–37 | 32–37 | 31–38 | 28–39 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 12–20 | 11–21 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 6–13 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 6–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 6 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–6 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 10% | 98.6% | |
| 43 | 7% | 89% | |
| 44 | 11% | 82% | |
| 45 | 18% | 72% | |
| 46 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 47 | 11% | 42% | |
| 48 | 13% | 31% | |
| 49 | 8% | 19% | |
| 50 | 4% | 11% | |
| 51 | 2% | 7% | |
| 52 | 3% | 5% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 9% | 94% | |
| 34 | 15% | 85% | |
| 35 | 13% | 70% | |
| 36 | 11% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 37 | 18% | 46% | |
| 38 | 10% | 28% | |
| 39 | 13% | 19% | |
| 40 | 3% | 6% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 20% | 97% | |
| 33 | 20% | 76% | |
| 34 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 35 | 14% | 43% | |
| 36 | 15% | 29% | |
| 37 | 11% | 14% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 4% | 98% | |
| 13 | 10% | 94% | Last Result |
| 14 | 10% | 84% | |
| 15 | 21% | 74% | |
| 16 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 17 | 10% | 36% | |
| 18 | 12% | 26% | |
| 19 | 11% | 15% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 6% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 14% | 94% | Last Result |
| 9 | 26% | 79% | |
| 10 | 29% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 14% | 25% | |
| 12 | 7% | 11% | |
| 13 | 4% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 8% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 19% | 91% | Last Result |
| 9 | 24% | 72% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 49% | |
| 11 | 19% | 31% | |
| 12 | 10% | 12% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 93% | |
| 3 | 0% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 6 | 6% | 93% | |
| 7 | 19% | 87% | |
| 8 | 25% | 68% | Median |
| 9 | 25% | 43% | |
| 10 | 12% | 18% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 17% | 98.9% | |
| 3 | 31% | 82% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 51% | |
| 5 | 0% | 51% | |
| 6 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 7 | 24% | 42% | |
| 8 | 13% | 18% | |
| 9 | 5% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 31% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 51% | 69% | Median |
| 3 | 12% | 18% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 6 | 2% | 6% | |
| 7 | 3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 105 | 100% | 100–109 | 99–110 | 98–111 | 95–113 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 99 | 100% | 94–104 | 93–105 | 92–107 | 90–108 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 97 | 100% | 92–101 | 91–103 | 90–104 | 88–106 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 92 | 98.5% | 87–96 | 86–98 | 85–99 | 83–101 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 82 | 23% | 78–87 | 77–88 | 76–89 | 75–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 70 | 0% | 64–74 | 63–75 | 62–76 | 60–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 67 | 0% | 62–72 | 61–73 | 60–74 | 57–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 65 | 0% | 60–69 | 59–71 | 57–72 | 55–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 62 | 0% | 57–66 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 54–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 54–65 | 53–66 | 50–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 52–63 | 51–64 | 49–66 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 51 | 0% | 46–55 | 45–56 | 45–57 | 43–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 49 | 0% | 45–53 | 43–55 | 40–56 | 38–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 43–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 47 | 0% | 43–51 | 41–52 | 38–53 | 36–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 42 | 0% | 39–45 | 36–46 | 34–47 | 33–48 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 19–27 | 17–28 | 14–28 | 12–30 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 97 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 98 | 2% | 98% | |
| 99 | 4% | 95% | |
| 100 | 4% | 91% | |
| 101 | 7% | 87% | |
| 102 | 6% | 80% | |
| 103 | 9% | 74% | |
| 104 | 15% | 66% | |
| 105 | 14% | 51% | |
| 106 | 8% | 38% | Median |
| 107 | 6% | 30% | |
| 108 | 6% | 24% | |
| 109 | 8% | 17% | |
| 110 | 4% | 9% | |
| 111 | 3% | 5% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 3% | 96% | |
| 94 | 4% | 92% | |
| 95 | 5% | 88% | |
| 96 | 7% | 83% | |
| 97 | 14% | 76% | |
| 98 | 10% | 62% | |
| 99 | 11% | 52% | |
| 100 | 8% | 42% | Median |
| 101 | 7% | 34% | |
| 102 | 8% | 27% | |
| 103 | 7% | 18% | |
| 104 | 3% | 11% | |
| 105 | 4% | 8% | |
| 106 | 2% | 5% | |
| 107 | 2% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 4% | 96% | |
| 92 | 4% | 92% | |
| 93 | 5% | 88% | |
| 94 | 7% | 83% | |
| 95 | 14% | 75% | |
| 96 | 11% | 61% | |
| 97 | 10% | 50% | |
| 98 | 8% | 40% | Median |
| 99 | 6% | 33% | |
| 100 | 9% | 27% | |
| 101 | 8% | 18% | |
| 102 | 2% | 10% | |
| 103 | 5% | 8% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 96% | |
| 87 | 5% | 93% | |
| 88 | 7% | 88% | |
| 89 | 6% | 81% | |
| 90 | 7% | 75% | |
| 91 | 10% | 68% | |
| 92 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 93 | 14% | 43% | |
| 94 | 9% | 29% | |
| 95 | 6% | 20% | |
| 96 | 5% | 15% | |
| 97 | 4% | 10% | |
| 98 | 2% | 5% | |
| 99 | 2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 3% | 98% | |
| 77 | 3% | 95% | |
| 78 | 7% | 92% | |
| 79 | 6% | 85% | |
| 80 | 9% | 79% | |
| 81 | 8% | 70% | |
| 82 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 83 | 13% | 46% | |
| 84 | 10% | 32% | |
| 85 | 6% | 23% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 17% | |
| 87 | 6% | 11% | |
| 88 | 3% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 96% | |
| 64 | 3% | 93% | |
| 65 | 7% | 90% | |
| 66 | 5% | 82% | |
| 67 | 9% | 77% | |
| 68 | 11% | 68% | |
| 69 | 7% | 58% | Median |
| 70 | 7% | 51% | |
| 71 | 10% | 44% | |
| 72 | 9% | 35% | |
| 73 | 12% | 26% | |
| 74 | 6% | 14% | |
| 75 | 3% | 8% | |
| 76 | 3% | 5% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 5% | 93% | |
| 63 | 6% | 88% | |
| 64 | 6% | 82% | |
| 65 | 8% | 75% | |
| 66 | 9% | 67% | |
| 67 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 68 | 6% | 50% | |
| 69 | 11% | 44% | |
| 70 | 7% | 33% | |
| 71 | 13% | 26% | |
| 72 | 6% | 13% | |
| 73 | 2% | 7% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 59 | 3% | 96% | |
| 60 | 4% | 93% | |
| 61 | 3% | 89% | |
| 62 | 7% | 86% | |
| 63 | 11% | 78% | |
| 64 | 7% | 67% | |
| 65 | 19% | 60% | |
| 66 | 12% | 41% | Median |
| 67 | 7% | 29% | |
| 68 | 7% | 22% | |
| 69 | 5% | 14% | |
| 70 | 3% | 10% | |
| 71 | 3% | 7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 6% | 95% | |
| 58 | 7% | 89% | |
| 59 | 10% | 82% | |
| 60 | 10% | 72% | |
| 61 | 8% | 62% | Median |
| 62 | 9% | 54% | |
| 63 | 13% | 44% | |
| 64 | 13% | 31% | |
| 65 | 7% | 17% | |
| 66 | 3% | 10% | |
| 67 | 4% | 8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 96% | |
| 55 | 2% | 94% | |
| 56 | 7% | 91% | |
| 57 | 9% | 85% | |
| 58 | 6% | 75% | |
| 59 | 10% | 69% | |
| 60 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 61 | 7% | 44% | |
| 62 | 16% | 37% | |
| 63 | 8% | 20% | |
| 64 | 7% | 13% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | |
| 54 | 7% | 91% | |
| 55 | 10% | 84% | |
| 56 | 7% | 74% | |
| 57 | 11% | 68% | |
| 58 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 59 | 12% | 46% | |
| 60 | 16% | 35% | |
| 61 | 8% | 19% | |
| 62 | 5% | 11% | |
| 63 | 3% | 6% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 4% | 98% | |
| 46 | 5% | 93% | |
| 47 | 6% | 88% | Last Result |
| 48 | 6% | 81% | |
| 49 | 11% | 76% | |
| 50 | 12% | 65% | |
| 51 | 13% | 53% | |
| 52 | 13% | 40% | Median |
| 53 | 7% | 27% | |
| 54 | 6% | 21% | |
| 55 | 6% | 15% | |
| 56 | 5% | 9% | |
| 57 | 3% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 43 | 2% | 96% | |
| 44 | 2% | 94% | |
| 45 | 5% | 92% | |
| 46 | 11% | 87% | |
| 47 | 10% | 76% | |
| 48 | 8% | 66% | |
| 49 | 11% | 58% | |
| 50 | 9% | 47% | Median |
| 51 | 13% | 37% | |
| 52 | 8% | 24% | |
| 53 | 7% | 17% | |
| 54 | 3% | 10% | |
| 55 | 2% | 7% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 5% | 97% | |
| 47 | 6% | 92% | |
| 48 | 14% | 85% | |
| 49 | 12% | 71% | |
| 50 | 15% | 60% | Median |
| 51 | 19% | 44% | |
| 52 | 11% | 26% | |
| 53 | 8% | 15% | |
| 54 | 4% | 7% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 42 | 2% | 95% | |
| 43 | 5% | 92% | |
| 44 | 12% | 87% | |
| 45 | 10% | 75% | |
| 46 | 8% | 66% | |
| 47 | 12% | 57% | |
| 48 | 9% | 45% | Median |
| 49 | 14% | 37% | |
| 50 | 7% | 23% | |
| 51 | 8% | 16% | |
| 52 | 3% | 8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 35 | 2% | 97% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 39 | 4% | 92% | |
| 40 | 10% | 88% | |
| 41 | 17% | 78% | |
| 42 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 43 | 14% | 43% | |
| 44 | 12% | 29% | |
| 45 | 8% | 17% | |
| 46 | 7% | 9% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 17 | 2% | 96% | |
| 18 | 4% | 94% | |
| 19 | 7% | 91% | |
| 20 | 9% | 84% | |
| 21 | 12% | 75% | |
| 22 | 16% | 63% | |
| 23 | 10% | 46% | |
| 24 | 8% | 36% | Median |
| 25 | 7% | 28% | |
| 26 | 7% | 21% | |
| 27 | 8% | 14% | |
| 28 | 3% | 5% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 3–9 December 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.25%