Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 7–8 January 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 23.2% | 21.5–24.9% | 21.0–25.4% | 20.6–25.9% | 19.9–26.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 21.1% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.0–23.3% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.4% | 16.9–20.0% | 16.4–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 40 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 33–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 39 | 36–43 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 33–46 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 35 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–42 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 9–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 | 7–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–6 | 1–7 | 1–7 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 4% | 97% | Last Result |
| 37 | 3% | 93% | |
| 38 | 7% | 89% | |
| 39 | 14% | 83% | |
| 40 | 21% | 69% | Median |
| 41 | 12% | 48% | |
| 42 | 11% | 36% | |
| 43 | 11% | 25% | |
| 44 | 8% | 14% | |
| 45 | 3% | 7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 8% | 96% | |
| 37 | 11% | 88% | |
| 38 | 11% | 77% | |
| 39 | 20% | 67% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 47% | |
| 41 | 16% | 39% | |
| 42 | 9% | 22% | |
| 43 | 9% | 13% | |
| 44 | 3% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 8% | 96% | |
| 33 | 15% | 88% | |
| 34 | 17% | 74% | |
| 35 | 28% | 57% | Median |
| 36 | 12% | 29% | |
| 37 | 7% | 17% | |
| 38 | 3% | 10% | |
| 39 | 3% | 7% | |
| 40 | 2% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 7% | 97% | |
| 11 | 15% | 90% | |
| 12 | 25% | 76% | |
| 13 | 18% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 19% | 32% | |
| 15 | 9% | 13% | |
| 16 | 3% | 5% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 8% | 97% | |
| 9 | 12% | 90% | |
| 10 | 17% | 78% | |
| 11 | 31% | 61% | Median |
| 12 | 14% | 30% | |
| 13 | 6% | 17% | |
| 14 | 8% | 11% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 18% | 93% | Last Result |
| 9 | 31% | 76% | Median |
| 10 | 27% | 45% | |
| 11 | 13% | 18% | |
| 12 | 4% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 25% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 71% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 71% | |
| 6 | 11% | 70% | |
| 7 | 40% | 59% | Median |
| 8 | 14% | 19% | Last Result |
| 9 | 5% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 14% | 96% | |
| 2 | 51% | 82% | Median |
| 3 | 27% | 31% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 6 | 2% | 4% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29% | 100% | |
| 2 | 38% | 71% | Median |
| 3 | 24% | 33% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 6 | 6% | 9% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 99 | 100% | 95–103 | 94–104 | 93–105 | 91–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 91 | 97% | 86–95 | 85–96 | 84–98 | 81–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 88 | 88% | 84–93 | 83–94 | 82–95 | 80–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 86 | 70% | 82–90 | 81–92 | 79–93 | 78–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 80 | 10% | 76–84 | 75–86 | 75–87 | 73–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 70 | 0% | 66–74 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 61–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 68 | 0% | 64–72 | 63–73 | 61–74 | 59–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 63 | 0% | 60–67 | 58–68 | 57–69 | 55–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 60 | 0% | 57–65 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 53–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 59 | 0% | 56–63 | 55–64 | 54–65 | 51–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 58 | 0% | 55–62 | 54–63 | 53–64 | 51–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 50 | 0% | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 43–60 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 49 | 0% | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–55 | 40–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 48 | 0% | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 41–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 47 | 0% | 45–51 | 44–52 | 42–53 | 41–54 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 46 | 0% | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–53 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 19 | 0% | 15–23 | 14–23 | 14–24 | 12–26 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 94 | 3% | 96% | |
| 95 | 5% | 94% | |
| 96 | 6% | 89% | Last Result |
| 97 | 10% | 82% | |
| 98 | 10% | 72% | |
| 99 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 100 | 14% | 47% | |
| 101 | 14% | 34% | |
| 102 | 6% | 19% | |
| 103 | 6% | 14% | |
| 104 | 4% | 8% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 85 | 3% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 94% | |
| 87 | 6% | 87% | |
| 88 | 6% | 81% | |
| 89 | 11% | 75% | |
| 90 | 9% | 64% | Median |
| 91 | 17% | 55% | |
| 92 | 12% | 38% | |
| 93 | 5% | 26% | |
| 94 | 6% | 21% | |
| 95 | 7% | 15% | |
| 96 | 3% | 8% | |
| 97 | 2% | 5% | |
| 98 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 3% | 96% | |
| 84 | 4% | 92% | |
| 85 | 10% | 88% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 78% | |
| 87 | 6% | 72% | |
| 88 | 17% | 66% | Median |
| 89 | 15% | 49% | |
| 90 | 12% | 34% | |
| 91 | 4% | 22% | |
| 92 | 6% | 18% | |
| 93 | 6% | 12% | |
| 94 | 2% | 6% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 97% | |
| 81 | 4% | 96% | |
| 82 | 6% | 91% | |
| 83 | 10% | 85% | |
| 84 | 5% | 75% | |
| 85 | 10% | 70% | Majority |
| 86 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 87 | 12% | 45% | |
| 88 | 12% | 33% | |
| 89 | 5% | 21% | |
| 90 | 7% | 15% | |
| 91 | 3% | 9% | |
| 92 | 3% | 6% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 4% | 98% | |
| 76 | 4% | 94% | |
| 77 | 5% | 90% | |
| 78 | 12% | 84% | |
| 79 | 15% | 73% | Median |
| 80 | 15% | 58% | |
| 81 | 16% | 43% | |
| 82 | 8% | 28% | |
| 83 | 6% | 19% | |
| 84 | 3% | 13% | |
| 85 | 4% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 6% | 93% | |
| 67 | 6% | 88% | |
| 68 | 6% | 82% | |
| 69 | 22% | 76% | |
| 70 | 16% | 54% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 38% | |
| 72 | 7% | 29% | |
| 73 | 8% | 22% | |
| 74 | 6% | 14% | |
| 75 | 3% | 8% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 62 | 2% | 97% | |
| 63 | 5% | 96% | |
| 64 | 5% | 90% | |
| 65 | 7% | 85% | |
| 66 | 7% | 78% | |
| 67 | 21% | 71% | |
| 68 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 69 | 9% | 35% | |
| 70 | 6% | 26% | |
| 71 | 8% | 20% | |
| 72 | 6% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 3% | 94% | |
| 60 | 10% | 91% | |
| 61 | 10% | 81% | |
| 62 | 21% | 71% | |
| 63 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 64 | 13% | 40% | |
| 65 | 8% | 27% | |
| 66 | 7% | 20% | |
| 67 | 6% | 13% | |
| 68 | 3% | 7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 6% | 94% | |
| 58 | 6% | 88% | |
| 59 | 12% | 81% | |
| 60 | 23% | 69% | |
| 61 | 12% | 46% | Median |
| 62 | 9% | 34% | |
| 63 | 7% | 25% | |
| 64 | 8% | 18% | |
| 65 | 5% | 11% | |
| 66 | 3% | 5% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 55 | 4% | 96% | |
| 56 | 5% | 92% | |
| 57 | 9% | 87% | |
| 58 | 22% | 78% | |
| 59 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 60 | 15% | 42% | |
| 61 | 8% | 27% | |
| 62 | 7% | 19% | |
| 63 | 4% | 13% | |
| 64 | 5% | 9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 96% | |
| 55 | 8% | 93% | |
| 56 | 9% | 86% | |
| 57 | 16% | 77% | |
| 58 | 17% | 61% | |
| 59 | 10% | 44% | Median |
| 60 | 14% | 34% | |
| 61 | 7% | 20% | |
| 62 | 7% | 14% | |
| 63 | 3% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 96% | |
| 47 | 7% | 93% | |
| 48 | 15% | 86% | |
| 49 | 13% | 71% | |
| 50 | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 51 | 6% | 38% | |
| 52 | 11% | 31% | |
| 53 | 5% | 21% | |
| 54 | 6% | 16% | |
| 55 | 4% | 10% | |
| 56 | 2% | 6% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 43 | 2% | 96% | |
| 44 | 5% | 95% | |
| 45 | 4% | 90% | |
| 46 | 7% | 86% | |
| 47 | 11% | 79% | Last Result |
| 48 | 10% | 68% | |
| 49 | 19% | 58% | Median |
| 50 | 10% | 40% | |
| 51 | 10% | 29% | |
| 52 | 7% | 19% | |
| 53 | 6% | 12% | |
| 54 | 3% | 6% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 4% | 96% | |
| 45 | 10% | 92% | |
| 46 | 14% | 81% | |
| 47 | 10% | 67% | |
| 48 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 49 | 13% | 38% | |
| 50 | 7% | 25% | |
| 51 | 7% | 19% | |
| 52 | 5% | 12% | |
| 53 | 4% | 6% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 43 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 44 | 3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 7% | 93% | |
| 46 | 15% | 86% | |
| 47 | 29% | 71% | |
| 48 | 17% | 42% | Median |
| 49 | 8% | 25% | |
| 50 | 6% | 18% | |
| 51 | 5% | 12% | |
| 52 | 4% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 42 | 4% | 96% | |
| 43 | 12% | 92% | |
| 44 | 16% | 80% | |
| 45 | 11% | 64% | |
| 46 | 20% | 53% | Median |
| 47 | 10% | 33% | |
| 48 | 7% | 23% | |
| 49 | 9% | 16% | |
| 50 | 3% | 8% | |
| 51 | 3% | 5% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 14 | 4% | 98% | |
| 15 | 4% | 94% | |
| 16 | 8% | 90% | |
| 17 | 11% | 81% | |
| 18 | 9% | 70% | |
| 19 | 12% | 61% | |
| 20 | 22% | 49% | Median |
| 21 | 10% | 27% | |
| 22 | 6% | 17% | |
| 23 | 6% | 11% | |
| 24 | 3% | 5% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 7–8 January 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1002
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.99%