Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 6–10 January 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 24.3% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.2–26.7% | 21.8–27.1% | 21.0–28.0% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 23.8% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.7–26.2% | 21.3–26.6% | 20.5–27.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 44 | 41–44 | 39–44 | 38–45 | 38–50 |
| Høyre | 36 | 45 | 40–45 | 37–45 | 37–45 | 37–46 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 40 | 39–40 | 39–42 | 39–44 | 35–44 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 10 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–17 | 10–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 7–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–7 | 1–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 4% | 96% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 42 | 2% | 90% | |
| 43 | 6% | 87% | |
| 44 | 77% | 81% | Median |
| 45 | 3% | 4% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 37 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 40 | 2% | 92% | |
| 41 | 4% | 89% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 43 | 2% | 84% | |
| 44 | 4% | 82% | |
| 45 | 77% | 78% | Median |
| 46 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 39 | 13% | 98% | |
| 40 | 77% | 85% | Median |
| 41 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 7% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 44 | 4% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 80% | 99.7% | Median |
| 11 | 6% | 20% | |
| 12 | 2% | 14% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 12% | Last Result |
| 14 | 6% | 11% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 17 | 4% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 78% | 97% | Median |
| 9 | 8% | 19% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 12 | 5% | 10% | |
| 13 | 5% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 12% | 96% | |
| 10 | 82% | 84% | Median |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 97% | Median |
| 3 | 1.1% | 15% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 14% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 7 | 7% | 14% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 89% | 99.3% | Median |
| 3 | 5% | 10% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 7 | 2% | 5% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 8% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 85% | |
| 5 | 0% | 85% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 7 | 77% | 85% | Median |
| 8 | 8% | 8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 106 | 100% | 103–106 | 99–106 | 99–106 | 96–108 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre | 71 | 100 | 100% | 96–100 | 93–100 | 89–101 | 89–104 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 98 | 99.9% | 91–98 | 88–98 | 86–98 | 86–100 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 96 | 91% | 87–96 | 84–96 | 83–96 | 83–96 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 89 | 83% | 80–89 | 80–89 | 80–89 | 79–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 70 | 0.1% | 70–78 | 70–80 | 70–82 | 68–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 68 | 0% | 68–72 | 68–76 | 67–79 | 64–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 62 | 0% | 62–73 | 62–75 | 62–77 | 62–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 60 | 0% | 60–69 | 60–70 | 60–72 | 60–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 62 | 0% | 62–66 | 62–69 | 62–69 | 60–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 58 | 0% | 58–62 | 58–67 | 58–69 | 55–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 52 | 0% | 52–58 | 52–62 | 52–66 | 52–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 50–55 | 50–57 | 50–64 | 47–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 50 | 0% | 50–53 | 50–55 | 49–56 | 46–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 48–51 | 48–52 | 48–56 | 45–56 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 54 | 0% | 52–54 | 48–54 | 48–54 | 43–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 17 | 0% | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 12–24 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 99 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 101 | 2% | 93% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 103 | 5% | 91% | |
| 104 | 6% | 87% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 80% | |
| 106 | 78% | 80% | Median |
| 107 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 93 | 4% | 95% | |
| 94 | 0% | 91% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 97 | 7% | 90% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 83% | |
| 99 | 2% | 82% | |
| 100 | 77% | 80% | Median |
| 101 | 2% | 4% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 96% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 91 | 4% | 94% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 94 | 2% | 88% | |
| 95 | 6% | 86% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 80% | |
| 97 | 2% | 80% | |
| 98 | 77% | 78% | Median |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 5% | 96% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 88 | 8% | 89% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 81% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 80% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 80% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 80% | |
| 93 | 2% | 79% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 96 | 77% | 77% | Median |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 10% | 99.0% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 82 | 5% | 89% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 85 | 5% | 83% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 78% | |
| 89 | 77% | 78% | Median |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 77% | 99.1% | Median |
| 71 | 2% | 22% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 73 | 6% | 20% | |
| 74 | 2% | 14% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 12% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 78 | 4% | 10% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0% | 4% | |
| 82 | 4% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 77% | 96% | Median |
| 69 | 2% | 20% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 18% | |
| 71 | 6% | 17% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 74 | 0% | 9% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 76 | 4% | 9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 4% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 77% | 99.8% | Median |
| 63 | 0.1% | 23% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 23% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 23% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 23% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 23% | |
| 68 | 2% | 23% | |
| 69 | 2% | 20% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 71 | 7% | 18% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 74 | 5% | 10% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 4% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 79% | 99.7% | Median |
| 61 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 64 | 7% | 20% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 67 | 2% | 13% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 69 | 4% | 10% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 4% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 78% | 98.6% | Median |
| 63 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 64 | 6% | 20% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 66 | 4% | 13% | |
| 67 | 2% | 9% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 69 | 4% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 79% | 98.9% | Median |
| 59 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 60 | 2% | 20% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 62 | 8% | 17% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 67 | 4% | 8% | |
| 68 | 0% | 5% | |
| 69 | 4% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 77% | 99.5% | Median |
| 53 | 0.1% | 23% | |
| 54 | 0% | 23% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 23% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 57 | 12% | 22% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 59 | 2% | 9% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 4% | |
| 66 | 4% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 78% | 99.3% | Median |
| 51 | 0.9% | 21% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 54 | 5% | 19% | |
| 55 | 7% | 15% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 4% | |
| 64 | 4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 50 | 77% | 97% | Median |
| 51 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 53 | 8% | 18% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 55 | 4% | 9% | |
| 56 | 4% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 48 | 85% | 98% | Median |
| 49 | 2% | 13% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 52 | 5% | 9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 4% | |
| 56 | 4% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 48 | 5% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 52 | 14% | 92% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 54 | 77% | 77% | Median |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98% | |
| 17 | 81% | 96% | Median |
| 18 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 21 | 2% | 13% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 23 | 4% | 11% | |
| 24 | 6% | 6% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 6–10 January 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 994
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.31%