Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 6–10 January 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
24.3% |
22.7–26.2% |
22.2–26.7% |
21.8–27.1% |
21.0–28.0% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
23.8% |
22.2–25.7% |
21.7–26.2% |
21.3–26.6% |
20.5–27.5% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
21.0% |
19.4–22.8% |
19.0–23.2% |
18.6–23.7% |
17.9–24.5% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
6.9% |
6.0–8.1% |
5.7–8.4% |
5.5–8.7% |
5.1–9.3% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.0–7.8% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.5% |
4.4–6.8% |
4.2–7.0% |
3.8–7.6% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.6% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.6–5.0% |
2.3–5.4% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.2% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.6% |
0.3–1.9% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
38 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
4% |
96% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
91% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
42 |
2% |
90% |
|
43 |
6% |
87% |
|
44 |
77% |
81% |
Median |
45 |
3% |
4% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
37 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
40 |
2% |
92% |
|
41 |
4% |
89% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
85% |
|
43 |
2% |
84% |
|
44 |
4% |
82% |
|
45 |
77% |
78% |
Median |
46 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
39 |
13% |
98% |
|
40 |
77% |
85% |
Median |
41 |
0.9% |
8% |
|
42 |
2% |
7% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
44 |
4% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
80% |
99.7% |
Median |
11 |
6% |
20% |
|
12 |
2% |
14% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
12% |
Last Result |
14 |
6% |
11% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
17 |
4% |
4% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
9 |
8% |
19% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
10% |
|
12 |
5% |
10% |
|
13 |
5% |
5% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
9 |
12% |
96% |
|
10 |
82% |
84% |
Median |
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
82% |
97% |
Median |
3 |
1.1% |
15% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
14% |
|
5 |
0% |
14% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
7 |
7% |
14% |
|
8 |
5% |
7% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
2 |
89% |
99.3% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
10% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
5% |
|
5 |
0% |
5% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
7 |
2% |
5% |
|
8 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
9 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
8% |
93% |
|
4 |
0% |
85% |
|
5 |
0% |
85% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
85% |
|
7 |
77% |
85% |
Median |
8 |
8% |
8% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
96 |
106 |
100% |
103–106 |
99–106 |
99–106 |
96–108 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre |
71 |
100 |
100% |
96–100 |
93–100 |
89–101 |
89–104 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
68 |
98 |
99.9% |
91–98 |
88–98 |
86–98 |
86–100 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre |
65 |
96 |
91% |
87–96 |
84–96 |
83–96 |
83–96 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre |
57 |
89 |
83% |
80–89 |
80–89 |
80–89 |
79–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
70 |
0.1% |
70–78 |
70–80 |
70–82 |
68–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
68 |
0% |
68–72 |
68–76 |
67–79 |
64–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
62 |
0% |
62–73 |
62–75 |
62–77 |
62–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
60 |
0% |
60–69 |
60–70 |
60–72 |
60–72 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
62 |
0% |
62–66 |
62–69 |
62–69 |
60–72 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
58 |
0% |
58–62 |
58–67 |
58–69 |
55–69 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
52 |
0% |
52–58 |
52–62 |
52–66 |
52–66 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
50 |
0% |
50–55 |
50–57 |
50–64 |
47–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
50 |
0% |
50–53 |
50–55 |
49–56 |
46–56 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
48 |
0% |
48–51 |
48–52 |
48–56 |
45–56 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
47 |
54 |
0% |
52–54 |
48–54 |
48–54 |
43–55 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
39 |
17 |
0% |
17–23 |
17–24 |
16–24 |
12–24 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
97 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
99 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
100 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
101 |
2% |
93% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
103 |
5% |
91% |
|
104 |
6% |
87% |
|
105 |
0.5% |
80% |
|
106 |
78% |
80% |
Median |
107 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
93 |
4% |
95% |
|
94 |
0% |
91% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
96 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
97 |
7% |
90% |
|
98 |
1.0% |
83% |
|
99 |
2% |
82% |
|
100 |
77% |
80% |
Median |
101 |
2% |
4% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0% |
96% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
95% |
|
90 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
91 |
4% |
94% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
90% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
94 |
2% |
88% |
|
95 |
6% |
86% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
80% |
|
97 |
2% |
80% |
|
98 |
77% |
78% |
Median |
99 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
100 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
84 |
5% |
96% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
91% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
87 |
1.4% |
90% |
|
88 |
8% |
89% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
81% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
80% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
80% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
80% |
|
93 |
2% |
79% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
77% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
77% |
|
96 |
77% |
77% |
Median |
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
10% |
99.0% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
82 |
5% |
89% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
84% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
84% |
|
85 |
5% |
83% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
79% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
79% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
78% |
|
89 |
77% |
78% |
Median |
90 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
77% |
99.1% |
Median |
71 |
2% |
22% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
20% |
|
73 |
6% |
20% |
|
74 |
2% |
14% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
12% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
11% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
11% |
|
78 |
4% |
10% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
81 |
0% |
4% |
|
82 |
4% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
67 |
2% |
98% |
|
68 |
77% |
96% |
Median |
69 |
2% |
20% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
18% |
|
71 |
6% |
17% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
10% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
74 |
0% |
9% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
76 |
4% |
9% |
|
77 |
0% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
79 |
4% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
77% |
99.8% |
Median |
63 |
0.1% |
23% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
23% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
23% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
23% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
23% |
|
68 |
2% |
23% |
|
69 |
2% |
20% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
18% |
|
71 |
7% |
18% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
11% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
10% |
|
74 |
5% |
10% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
77 |
4% |
4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
79% |
99.7% |
Median |
61 |
0.2% |
21% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
21% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
21% |
|
64 |
7% |
20% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
14% |
|
67 |
2% |
13% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
69 |
4% |
10% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
72 |
4% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
78% |
98.6% |
Median |
63 |
0.5% |
20% |
|
64 |
6% |
20% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
66 |
4% |
13% |
|
67 |
2% |
9% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
69 |
4% |
5% |
|
70 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
79% |
98.9% |
Median |
59 |
0.1% |
20% |
|
60 |
2% |
20% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
18% |
|
62 |
8% |
17% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
67 |
4% |
8% |
|
68 |
0% |
5% |
|
69 |
4% |
5% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
77% |
99.5% |
Median |
53 |
0.1% |
23% |
|
54 |
0% |
23% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
23% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
23% |
|
57 |
12% |
22% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
10% |
|
59 |
2% |
9% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
65 |
0% |
4% |
|
66 |
4% |
4% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
78% |
99.3% |
Median |
51 |
0.9% |
21% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
20% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
20% |
|
54 |
5% |
19% |
|
55 |
7% |
15% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
57 |
2% |
7% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
62 |
0% |
4% |
|
63 |
0% |
4% |
|
64 |
4% |
4% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
50 |
77% |
97% |
Median |
51 |
1.3% |
20% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
19% |
|
53 |
8% |
18% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
10% |
|
55 |
4% |
9% |
|
56 |
4% |
5% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
48 |
85% |
98% |
Median |
49 |
2% |
13% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
52 |
5% |
9% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
54 |
0% |
4% |
|
55 |
0% |
4% |
|
56 |
4% |
4% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
98.5% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
98% |
Last Result |
48 |
5% |
98% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
52 |
14% |
92% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
77% |
|
54 |
77% |
77% |
Median |
55 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
15 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
16 |
2% |
98% |
|
17 |
81% |
96% |
Median |
18 |
1.3% |
15% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
13% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
13% |
|
21 |
2% |
13% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
23 |
4% |
11% |
|
24 |
6% |
6% |
|
25 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 6–10 January 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 994
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.31%