Opinion Poll by Norstat for NRK, 8–13 January 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 23.7% | 22.0–25.5% | 21.6–26.0% | 21.1–26.4% | 20.4–27.3% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 19.8% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.4–22.4% | 16.7–23.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.9% | 4.2–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 44 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 38–50 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 35–41 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–47 |
| Høyre | 36 | 35 | 32–39 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 11–17 | 11–18 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 6–10 | 1–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–6 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 5% | 98% | |
| 41 | 7% | 92% | |
| 42 | 16% | 85% | |
| 43 | 11% | 69% | |
| 44 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 45 | 11% | 40% | |
| 46 | 13% | 29% | |
| 47 | 8% | 16% | |
| 48 | 4% | 8% | |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 35 | 8% | 95% | |
| 36 | 16% | 88% | |
| 37 | 20% | 72% | |
| 38 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 39 | 12% | 36% | |
| 40 | 7% | 23% | |
| 41 | 8% | 17% | |
| 42 | 4% | 9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 16% | 97% | |
| 33 | 14% | 81% | |
| 34 | 14% | 67% | |
| 35 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 36 | 13% | 42% | Last Result |
| 37 | 9% | 29% | |
| 38 | 10% | 21% | |
| 39 | 6% | 11% | |
| 40 | 4% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 7% | 96% | |
| 12 | 14% | 89% | |
| 13 | 13% | 75% | Last Result |
| 14 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 15 | 19% | 45% | |
| 16 | 16% | 26% | |
| 17 | 4% | 11% | |
| 18 | 4% | 6% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 16% | 95% | Last Result |
| 9 | 22% | 78% | |
| 10 | 25% | 56% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 32% | |
| 12 | 9% | 12% | |
| 13 | 3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 13% | 92% | Last Result |
| 9 | 28% | 78% | Median |
| 10 | 24% | 50% | |
| 11 | 14% | 26% | |
| 12 | 9% | 12% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 6 | 6% | 92% | |
| 7 | 26% | 85% | |
| 8 | 22% | 60% | Median |
| 9 | 21% | 38% | |
| 10 | 11% | 16% | |
| 11 | 4% | 6% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 22% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 29% | 77% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 47% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 47% | |
| 6 | 13% | 47% | |
| 7 | 23% | 34% | |
| 8 | 8% | 10% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 100% | |
| 2 | 44% | 82% | Median |
| 3 | 23% | 38% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 6 | 5% | 14% | |
| 7 | 8% | 10% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 101 | 100% | 96–106 | 95–107 | 93–108 | 91–109 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 96 | 99.9% | 91–101 | 90–103 | 89–103 | 87–106 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 93 | 99.3% | 88–98 | 87–100 | 86–101 | 84–103 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 89 | 89% | 84–93 | 83–95 | 82–96 | 80–98 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 79 | 5% | 75–84 | 73–85 | 72–85 | 71–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 72 | 0.1% | 67–78 | 66–79 | 64–80 | 63–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 69 | 0% | 65–75 | 63–76 | 62–78 | 60–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 67 | 0% | 62–72 | 61–74 | 60–75 | 58–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 64 | 0% | 60–70 | 59–71 | 58–73 | 56–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 63 | 0% | 58–68 | 57–69 | 55–70 | 53–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 54–66 | 52–67 | 51–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 53 | 0% | 48–58 | 46–59 | 45–60 | 42–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 49–56 | 48–57 | 47–58 | 46–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 46–55 | 44–57 | 43–57 | 40–60 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 49 | 0% | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–56 | 42–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 46 | 0% | 42–50 | 40–51 | 37–52 | 36–55 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 18–26 | 16–27 | 15–28 | 12–30 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 95 | 3% | 96% | |
| 96 | 4% | 93% | Last Result |
| 97 | 7% | 90% | |
| 98 | 7% | 82% | |
| 99 | 11% | 75% | Median |
| 100 | 11% | 64% | |
| 101 | 11% | 53% | |
| 102 | 8% | 42% | |
| 103 | 7% | 33% | |
| 104 | 9% | 27% | |
| 105 | 6% | 18% | |
| 106 | 6% | 12% | |
| 107 | 2% | 6% | |
| 108 | 2% | 4% | |
| 109 | 2% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 89 | 2% | 98% | |
| 90 | 3% | 95% | |
| 91 | 3% | 92% | |
| 92 | 6% | 89% | |
| 93 | 8% | 83% | Median |
| 94 | 10% | 75% | |
| 95 | 12% | 65% | |
| 96 | 13% | 53% | |
| 97 | 6% | 40% | |
| 98 | 7% | 34% | |
| 99 | 6% | 27% | |
| 100 | 8% | 21% | |
| 101 | 4% | 13% | |
| 102 | 4% | 9% | |
| 103 | 3% | 5% | |
| 104 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 1.5% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 95% | |
| 88 | 4% | 94% | |
| 89 | 6% | 90% | |
| 90 | 8% | 84% | |
| 91 | 8% | 76% | Median |
| 92 | 12% | 68% | |
| 93 | 11% | 56% | |
| 94 | 9% | 45% | |
| 95 | 8% | 36% | |
| 96 | 8% | 28% | |
| 97 | 4% | 20% | |
| 98 | 8% | 16% | |
| 99 | 3% | 8% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 101 | 3% | 4% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 4% | 96% | |
| 84 | 4% | 93% | |
| 85 | 9% | 89% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 80% | |
| 87 | 14% | 73% | |
| 88 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 89 | 9% | 51% | |
| 90 | 12% | 41% | |
| 91 | 8% | 29% | |
| 92 | 7% | 21% | |
| 93 | 4% | 13% | |
| 94 | 3% | 9% | |
| 95 | 3% | 6% | |
| 96 | 2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 3% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 6% | 91% | |
| 76 | 7% | 85% | |
| 77 | 10% | 78% | |
| 78 | 14% | 68% | |
| 79 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 80 | 13% | 46% | |
| 81 | 9% | 33% | |
| 82 | 8% | 23% | |
| 83 | 6% | 16% | |
| 84 | 5% | 10% | |
| 85 | 3% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 96% | |
| 67 | 6% | 93% | |
| 68 | 5% | 88% | |
| 69 | 7% | 82% | |
| 70 | 12% | 75% | |
| 71 | 8% | 63% | |
| 72 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 73 | 8% | 47% | |
| 74 | 7% | 38% | |
| 75 | 8% | 32% | |
| 76 | 7% | 23% | |
| 77 | 4% | 16% | |
| 78 | 4% | 12% | |
| 79 | 4% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 4% | 95% | |
| 65 | 6% | 91% | |
| 66 | 6% | 85% | |
| 67 | 12% | 79% | |
| 68 | 13% | 67% | |
| 69 | 7% | 54% | |
| 70 | 7% | 47% | Median |
| 71 | 4% | 40% | |
| 72 | 13% | 36% | |
| 73 | 5% | 23% | |
| 74 | 7% | 18% | |
| 75 | 3% | 12% | |
| 76 | 4% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 5% | 96% | |
| 62 | 4% | 91% | |
| 63 | 5% | 87% | |
| 64 | 9% | 82% | |
| 65 | 6% | 73% | Median |
| 66 | 7% | 66% | |
| 67 | 12% | 59% | |
| 68 | 12% | 47% | |
| 69 | 5% | 35% | |
| 70 | 8% | 30% | |
| 71 | 7% | 21% | |
| 72 | 6% | 14% | |
| 73 | 3% | 9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 59 | 3% | 97% | |
| 60 | 5% | 93% | |
| 61 | 8% | 88% | |
| 62 | 13% | 81% | |
| 63 | 9% | 68% | |
| 64 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 65 | 9% | 47% | |
| 66 | 7% | 38% | |
| 67 | 8% | 31% | |
| 68 | 5% | 23% | |
| 69 | 8% | 18% | |
| 70 | 4% | 11% | |
| 71 | 3% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 4% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 7% | 93% | |
| 59 | 7% | 86% | |
| 60 | 9% | 79% | |
| 61 | 12% | 70% | |
| 62 | 7% | 58% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 51% | |
| 64 | 8% | 40% | |
| 65 | 12% | 32% | |
| 66 | 5% | 20% | |
| 67 | 4% | 15% | |
| 68 | 4% | 11% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 3% | 94% | |
| 56 | 6% | 90% | |
| 57 | 8% | 84% | |
| 58 | 17% | 76% | |
| 59 | 9% | 59% | |
| 60 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 61 | 9% | 42% | |
| 62 | 8% | 34% | |
| 63 | 11% | 25% | |
| 64 | 5% | 14% | |
| 65 | 4% | 10% | |
| 66 | 2% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 2% | 95% | |
| 48 | 4% | 92% | |
| 49 | 4% | 88% | |
| 50 | 7% | 84% | |
| 51 | 10% | 77% | Median |
| 52 | 13% | 67% | |
| 53 | 9% | 54% | |
| 54 | 9% | 44% | |
| 55 | 9% | 36% | |
| 56 | 7% | 27% | |
| 57 | 6% | 20% | |
| 58 | 4% | 14% | |
| 59 | 6% | 10% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 48 | 4% | 96% | |
| 49 | 8% | 92% | |
| 50 | 16% | 84% | |
| 51 | 18% | 69% | |
| 52 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 53 | 8% | 41% | |
| 54 | 11% | 33% | |
| 55 | 8% | 22% | |
| 56 | 7% | 14% | |
| 57 | 3% | 7% | |
| 58 | 3% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 2% | 96% | |
| 45 | 3% | 94% | |
| 46 | 5% | 91% | |
| 47 | 8% | 86% | |
| 48 | 8% | 78% | |
| 49 | 11% | 70% | Median |
| 50 | 12% | 59% | |
| 51 | 8% | 47% | |
| 52 | 11% | 39% | |
| 53 | 9% | 29% | |
| 54 | 7% | 19% | |
| 55 | 3% | 12% | |
| 56 | 3% | 8% | |
| 57 | 3% | 5% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 44 | 5% | 97% | |
| 45 | 7% | 92% | |
| 46 | 7% | 85% | |
| 47 | 8% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
| 48 | 11% | 71% | |
| 49 | 16% | 60% | |
| 50 | 11% | 44% | |
| 51 | 7% | 32% | |
| 52 | 6% | 25% | |
| 53 | 6% | 20% | |
| 54 | 7% | 13% | |
| 55 | 3% | 6% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 41 | 3% | 95% | |
| 42 | 3% | 92% | |
| 43 | 10% | 89% | |
| 44 | 13% | 79% | |
| 45 | 11% | 66% | |
| 46 | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 47 | 12% | 37% | |
| 48 | 7% | 25% | |
| 49 | 6% | 17% | |
| 50 | 5% | 11% | |
| 51 | 2% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98% | |
| 16 | 2% | 95% | |
| 17 | 3% | 94% | |
| 18 | 4% | 91% | |
| 19 | 9% | 87% | |
| 20 | 12% | 78% | Median |
| 21 | 11% | 66% | |
| 22 | 12% | 55% | |
| 23 | 11% | 43% | |
| 24 | 12% | 32% | |
| 25 | 4% | 20% | |
| 26 | 7% | 16% | |
| 27 | 6% | 9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): NRK
- Fieldwork period: 8–13 January 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 992
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.16%