Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG, 8–13 January 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 24.5% | 22.8–26.3% | 22.3–26.8% | 21.9–27.3% | 21.1–28.2% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 16.7% | 15.3–18.3% | 14.9–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.9–19.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 44 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–49 | 39–52 |
| Høyre | 36 | 42 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–49 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 32 | 30–34 | 29–35 | 27–36 | 25–38 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 1–12 | 1–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 9% | 93% | |
| 43 | 23% | 83% | |
| 44 | 22% | 60% | Median |
| 45 | 15% | 38% | |
| 46 | 7% | 24% | |
| 47 | 6% | 16% | |
| 48 | 5% | 10% | |
| 49 | 3% | 6% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 37 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 38 | 4% | 97% | |
| 39 | 9% | 93% | |
| 40 | 11% | 84% | |
| 41 | 15% | 73% | |
| 42 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 43 | 10% | 49% | |
| 44 | 13% | 38% | |
| 45 | 10% | 25% | |
| 46 | 7% | 15% | |
| 47 | 4% | 8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 29 | 2% | 96% | |
| 30 | 8% | 94% | |
| 31 | 21% | 86% | |
| 32 | 28% | 65% | Median |
| 33 | 25% | 37% | |
| 34 | 5% | 12% | |
| 35 | 4% | 7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 11% | 96% | |
| 12 | 21% | 85% | |
| 13 | 25% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 20% | 39% | |
| 15 | 9% | 19% | |
| 16 | 7% | 10% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 8% | 98% | |
| 9 | 17% | 90% | |
| 10 | 21% | 73% | |
| 11 | 30% | 52% | Median |
| 12 | 13% | 22% | |
| 13 | 6% | 10% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 8% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 25% | 90% | |
| 10 | 27% | 64% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 38% | |
| 12 | 13% | 18% | |
| 13 | 5% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 7 | 8% | 96% | |
| 8 | 23% | 88% | Last Result |
| 9 | 34% | 66% | Median |
| 10 | 23% | 32% | |
| 11 | 6% | 9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 30% | 93% | |
| 3 | 22% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 41% | |
| 5 | 0% | 41% | |
| 6 | 3% | 41% | |
| 7 | 26% | 38% | |
| 8 | 11% | 13% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 46% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 23% | 49% | |
| 3 | 18% | 26% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 2% | 8% | |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 110 | 100% | 105–113 | 104–114 | 103–116 | 101–119 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 103 | 100% | 99–108 | 98–109 | 97–110 | 95–113 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 99 | 100% | 95–103 | 94–104 | 93–106 | 90–108 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 97 | 100% | 93–101 | 92–102 | 91–103 | 88–106 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 87 | 74% | 83–91 | 82–92 | 81–93 | 79–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 69 | 0% | 65–73 | 63–74 | 62–75 | 59–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 65 | 0% | 60–68 | 59–70 | 58–71 | 54–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 62 | 0% | 58–66 | 57–68 | 56–68 | 53–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–65 | 53–66 | 51–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 58 | 0% | 54–63 | 53–63 | 52–64 | 49–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 56 | 0% | 52–59 | 51–60 | 50–61 | 47–63 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 55 | 0% | 50–59 | 50–60 | 49–60 | 47–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 49 | 0% | 45–53 | 44–55 | 43–55 | 40–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 44 | 0% | 41–48 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 37–52 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 45 | 0% | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 37–52 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 43 | 0% | 40–45 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 35–48 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 23 | 0% | 19–26 | 18–27 | 18–28 | 17–30 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 104 | 3% | 97% | |
| 105 | 7% | 94% | |
| 106 | 7% | 87% | |
| 107 | 8% | 80% | |
| 108 | 9% | 72% | Median |
| 109 | 11% | 63% | |
| 110 | 17% | 53% | |
| 111 | 9% | 36% | |
| 112 | 12% | 27% | |
| 113 | 6% | 15% | |
| 114 | 5% | 9% | |
| 115 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 97 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 98 | 3% | 96% | |
| 99 | 5% | 93% | |
| 100 | 6% | 88% | Median |
| 101 | 10% | 83% | |
| 102 | 14% | 72% | |
| 103 | 14% | 58% | |
| 104 | 10% | 44% | |
| 105 | 10% | 34% | |
| 106 | 10% | 24% | |
| 107 | 4% | 14% | |
| 108 | 5% | 10% | |
| 109 | 2% | 5% | |
| 110 | 2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 93 | 2% | 98% | |
| 94 | 5% | 96% | |
| 95 | 6% | 90% | |
| 96 | 6% | 84% | |
| 97 | 10% | 78% | Median |
| 98 | 9% | 68% | |
| 99 | 19% | 58% | |
| 100 | 5% | 39% | |
| 101 | 14% | 34% | |
| 102 | 7% | 19% | |
| 103 | 4% | 12% | |
| 104 | 3% | 8% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 4% | 95% | |
| 93 | 9% | 91% | |
| 94 | 6% | 82% | |
| 95 | 11% | 77% | |
| 96 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 97 | 9% | 54% | |
| 98 | 16% | 45% | |
| 99 | 5% | 29% | |
| 100 | 12% | 24% | |
| 101 | 5% | 12% | |
| 102 | 2% | 7% | |
| 103 | 3% | 5% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 96% | |
| 83 | 7% | 92% | |
| 84 | 11% | 85% | |
| 85 | 10% | 74% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 87 | 16% | 54% | |
| 88 | 10% | 38% | |
| 89 | 11% | 29% | |
| 90 | 5% | 18% | |
| 91 | 6% | 13% | |
| 92 | 3% | 7% | |
| 93 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 4% | 94% | |
| 65 | 5% | 91% | |
| 66 | 8% | 86% | |
| 67 | 15% | 79% | |
| 68 | 5% | 64% | Median |
| 69 | 19% | 58% | |
| 70 | 9% | 39% | |
| 71 | 10% | 30% | |
| 72 | 6% | 20% | |
| 73 | 6% | 14% | |
| 74 | 5% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 96% | |
| 60 | 5% | 93% | |
| 61 | 4% | 88% | |
| 62 | 10% | 84% | |
| 63 | 10% | 74% | |
| 64 | 10% | 64% | |
| 65 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 66 | 14% | 40% | |
| 67 | 10% | 26% | |
| 68 | 6% | 16% | |
| 69 | 5% | 10% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 3% | 95% | |
| 58 | 10% | 92% | |
| 59 | 8% | 82% | |
| 60 | 7% | 74% | Median |
| 61 | 10% | 68% | |
| 62 | 12% | 58% | |
| 63 | 15% | 46% | |
| 64 | 8% | 31% | |
| 65 | 7% | 23% | |
| 66 | 6% | 16% | |
| 67 | 4% | 10% | |
| 68 | 4% | 6% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 3% | 95% | |
| 56 | 5% | 93% | |
| 57 | 12% | 88% | |
| 58 | 9% | 76% | |
| 59 | 10% | 67% | Median |
| 60 | 14% | 57% | |
| 61 | 13% | 44% | |
| 62 | 9% | 30% | |
| 63 | 5% | 21% | |
| 64 | 9% | 16% | |
| 65 | 2% | 7% | |
| 66 | 3% | 5% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 5% | 95% | |
| 55 | 6% | 89% | |
| 56 | 12% | 83% | |
| 57 | 10% | 71% | Median |
| 58 | 17% | 62% | |
| 59 | 11% | 45% | |
| 60 | 9% | 34% | |
| 61 | 8% | 25% | |
| 62 | 6% | 18% | |
| 63 | 7% | 11% | |
| 64 | 3% | 5% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 3% | 96% | |
| 52 | 7% | 93% | |
| 53 | 7% | 87% | |
| 54 | 14% | 80% | |
| 55 | 14% | 66% | |
| 56 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 57 | 14% | 39% | |
| 58 | 11% | 25% | |
| 59 | 5% | 14% | |
| 60 | 4% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 4% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 50 | 7% | 97% | |
| 51 | 7% | 89% | |
| 52 | 8% | 83% | |
| 53 | 11% | 75% | Median |
| 54 | 12% | 64% | |
| 55 | 12% | 52% | |
| 56 | 12% | 40% | |
| 57 | 12% | 28% | |
| 58 | 6% | 17% | |
| 59 | 4% | 10% | |
| 60 | 4% | 6% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 5% | 96% | |
| 45 | 7% | 91% | |
| 46 | 12% | 84% | |
| 47 | 7% | 72% | Median |
| 48 | 12% | 65% | |
| 49 | 10% | 52% | |
| 50 | 10% | 43% | |
| 51 | 8% | 32% | |
| 52 | 12% | 24% | |
| 53 | 4% | 13% | |
| 54 | 4% | 9% | |
| 55 | 3% | 5% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 6% | 95% | |
| 42 | 9% | 89% | |
| 43 | 16% | 80% | |
| 44 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 45 | 19% | 50% | |
| 46 | 11% | 31% | |
| 47 | 7% | 20% | |
| 48 | 5% | 13% | |
| 49 | 3% | 7% | |
| 50 | 2% | 5% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 5% | 94% | |
| 43 | 13% | 89% | |
| 44 | 18% | 76% | |
| 45 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 46 | 18% | 45% | |
| 47 | 11% | 27% | |
| 48 | 8% | 16% | |
| 49 | 4% | 8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 4% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 4% | 97% | |
| 40 | 10% | 93% | |
| 41 | 12% | 83% | |
| 42 | 18% | 71% | |
| 43 | 22% | 53% | Median |
| 44 | 15% | 31% | |
| 45 | 10% | 16% | |
| 46 | 3% | 6% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 4% | 98% | |
| 19 | 6% | 94% | |
| 20 | 5% | 88% | |
| 21 | 13% | 83% | |
| 22 | 19% | 69% | Median |
| 23 | 19% | 50% | |
| 24 | 8% | 31% | |
| 25 | 9% | 23% | |
| 26 | 6% | 14% | |
| 27 | 5% | 8% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG
- Fieldwork period: 8–13 January 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.48%