Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 13–20 January 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 26.2% | 24.3–28.3% | 23.7–28.9% | 23.2–29.5% | 22.3–30.5% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 21.8% | 20.0–23.8% | 19.5–24.4% | 19.0–24.9% | 18.2–25.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.8% | 17.1–20.7% | 16.6–21.3% | 16.2–21.7% | 15.4–22.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2–9.7% | 6.8–10.1% | 6.6–10.5% | 6.1–11.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.5% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.3–7.0% | 4.1–7.3% | 3.7–7.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.6–6.7% | 3.2–7.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.4–5.1% | 2.1–5.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4–4.1% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.1–4.6% | 1.8–5.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.9–4.3% | 1.6–4.8% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.2% | 0.5–2.6% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.4–1.7% | 0.3–2.0% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.3–1.5% | 0.2–1.8% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 49 | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–54 | 41–57 |
| Høyre | 36 | 40 | 38–43 | 36–44 | 36–45 | 34–46 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 37 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 31–41 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 10–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 0–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 9–10 | 8–11 | 1–12 | 1–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 0–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–8 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 4% | 95% | |
| 47 | 4% | 91% | |
| 48 | 10% | 87% | |
| 49 | 55% | 77% | Median |
| 50 | 7% | 21% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 53 | 3% | 13% | |
| 54 | 9% | 10% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 38 | 8% | 93% | |
| 39 | 11% | 86% | |
| 40 | 47% | 75% | Median |
| 41 | 2% | 28% | |
| 42 | 11% | 27% | |
| 43 | 10% | 15% | |
| 44 | 2% | 5% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 9% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 7% | 91% | |
| 33 | 2% | 84% | |
| 34 | 2% | 82% | |
| 35 | 3% | 80% | |
| 36 | 3% | 77% | |
| 37 | 54% | 74% | Median |
| 38 | 3% | 20% | |
| 39 | 12% | 17% | |
| 40 | 2% | 6% | |
| 41 | 3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 12 | 4% | 98% | |
| 13 | 8% | 93% | Last Result |
| 14 | 6% | 86% | |
| 15 | 10% | 80% | |
| 16 | 48% | 70% | Median |
| 17 | 3% | 22% | |
| 18 | 17% | 19% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 1.5% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 12% | 98% | |
| 9 | 18% | 85% | |
| 10 | 7% | 68% | |
| 11 | 49% | 61% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 12% | |
| 13 | 3% | 6% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 8 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 9 | 32% | 92% | |
| 10 | 51% | 60% | Median |
| 11 | 7% | 10% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 2 | 21% | 96% | |
| 3 | 61% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 14% | |
| 6 | 0% | 14% | |
| 7 | 5% | 14% | |
| 8 | 5% | 9% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 61% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 26% | 38% | |
| 3 | 10% | 12% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 49% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 30% | 50% | Median |
| 3 | 16% | 20% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 104 | 100% | 103–109 | 101–111 | 100–112 | 96–114 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre | 71 | 95 | 100% | 94–101 | 94–103 | 93–104 | 89–107 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 93 | 99.9% | 93–99 | 91–100 | 89–102 | 86–104 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 90 | 98% | 90–96 | 88–96 | 86–97 | 82–101 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 89 | 95% | 87–93 | 85–93 | 83–95 | 80–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 75 | 0% | 69–75 | 68–77 | 66–79 | 64–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 73 | 0% | 67–74 | 65–74 | 64–75 | 61–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 68 | 0% | 63–69 | 63–73 | 63–74 | 58–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 65 | 0% | 59–66 | 59–68 | 59–70 | 53–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 64 | 0% | 59–65 | 57–67 | 56–68 | 54–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 64 | 0% | 57–64 | 57–64 | 56–67 | 52–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 52 | 0% | 46–55 | 45–57 | 45–59 | 44–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 53 | 0% | 48–54 | 45–55 | 45–56 | 44–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 44–53 | 43–54 | 43–56 | 42–58 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 44 | 0% | 44–51 | 42–51 | 41–53 | 39–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 41–48 | 40–50 | 40–51 | 36–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 15 | 0% | 12–21 | 12–21 | 12–22 | 10–27 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 101 | 3% | 97% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 103 | 8% | 93% | |
| 104 | 58% | 85% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 28% | Median |
| 106 | 3% | 27% | |
| 107 | 2% | 24% | |
| 108 | 11% | 22% | |
| 109 | 2% | 11% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 111 | 6% | 8% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 93 | 3% | 98% | |
| 94 | 45% | 95% | |
| 95 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 96 | 4% | 43% | |
| 97 | 14% | 39% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 25% | |
| 99 | 2% | 24% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 101 | 14% | 21% | |
| 102 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 104 | 3% | 5% | |
| 105 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 91 | 3% | 97% | |
| 92 | 3% | 94% | |
| 93 | 46% | 91% | |
| 94 | 6% | 45% | Median |
| 95 | 5% | 39% | |
| 96 | 10% | 33% | |
| 97 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 98 | 3% | 22% | |
| 99 | 13% | 19% | |
| 100 | 2% | 6% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 89 | 4% | 95% | |
| 90 | 48% | 91% | |
| 91 | 4% | 43% | Median |
| 92 | 14% | 39% | |
| 93 | 2% | 25% | |
| 94 | 11% | 24% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 96 | 9% | 11% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 99 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 85 | 2% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 93% | |
| 87 | 2% | 91% | |
| 88 | 5% | 89% | |
| 89 | 48% | 84% | Median |
| 90 | 12% | 35% | |
| 91 | 2% | 24% | |
| 92 | 10% | 22% | |
| 93 | 9% | 12% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 96 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 13% | 94% | |
| 70 | 3% | 81% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 78% | |
| 72 | 10% | 77% | |
| 73 | 5% | 67% | |
| 74 | 6% | 61% | |
| 75 | 46% | 55% | Median |
| 76 | 3% | 9% | |
| 77 | 3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 66 | 2% | 95% | |
| 67 | 14% | 93% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 79% | |
| 69 | 2% | 78% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 71 | 14% | 75% | |
| 72 | 4% | 61% | |
| 73 | 8% | 57% | |
| 74 | 45% | 50% | Median |
| 75 | 3% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 9% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 65 | 10% | 88% | |
| 66 | 5% | 78% | |
| 67 | 11% | 73% | |
| 68 | 50% | 62% | Median |
| 69 | 3% | 12% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 59 | 8% | 98% | |
| 60 | 9% | 90% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 62 | 2% | 80% | |
| 63 | 9% | 78% | |
| 64 | 5% | 69% | |
| 65 | 51% | 64% | Median |
| 66 | 6% | 14% | |
| 67 | 3% | 8% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 57 | 5% | 97% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 59 | 2% | 91% | |
| 60 | 11% | 89% | |
| 61 | 2% | 78% | |
| 62 | 3% | 76% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 73% | |
| 64 | 58% | 72% | Median |
| 65 | 8% | 15% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 7% | 96% | |
| 58 | 9% | 89% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 79% | |
| 61 | 2% | 78% | |
| 62 | 14% | 77% | |
| 63 | 3% | 62% | |
| 64 | 54% | 59% | Median |
| 65 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 9% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 2% | 91% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 49 | 6% | 88% | |
| 50 | 11% | 82% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 71% | |
| 52 | 45% | 70% | Median |
| 53 | 7% | 24% | |
| 54 | 6% | 18% | |
| 55 | 2% | 11% | |
| 56 | 2% | 9% | |
| 57 | 3% | 8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 48 | 3% | 91% | |
| 49 | 9% | 89% | |
| 50 | 3% | 79% | |
| 51 | 3% | 77% | |
| 52 | 4% | 73% | |
| 53 | 49% | 70% | Median |
| 54 | 11% | 21% | |
| 55 | 7% | 10% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 8% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 2% | 91% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 47 | 3% | 87% | |
| 48 | 5% | 85% | |
| 49 | 11% | 79% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 68% | |
| 51 | 52% | 67% | Median |
| 52 | 5% | 15% | |
| 53 | 2% | 10% | |
| 54 | 3% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 42 | 5% | 96% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 44 | 45% | 90% | |
| 45 | 10% | 46% | Median |
| 46 | 6% | 36% | |
| 47 | 11% | 30% | Last Result |
| 48 | 3% | 19% | |
| 49 | 3% | 16% | |
| 50 | 2% | 13% | |
| 51 | 6% | 11% | |
| 52 | 2% | 5% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 1.5% | 91% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 43 | 2% | 88% | |
| 44 | 5% | 86% | |
| 45 | 5% | 81% | |
| 46 | 6% | 76% | |
| 47 | 11% | 70% | |
| 48 | 49% | 59% | Median |
| 49 | 3% | 10% | |
| 50 | 4% | 7% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 52 | 2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 12 | 10% | 98% | |
| 13 | 5% | 89% | |
| 14 | 3% | 84% | |
| 15 | 59% | 81% | |
| 16 | 3% | 21% | Median |
| 17 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 18 | 3% | 17% | |
| 19 | 3% | 14% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 21 | 6% | 10% | |
| 22 | 2% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 13–20 January 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 770
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.49%