Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 30 January 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 26.1% | 24.5–27.8% | 24.1–28.3% | 23.7–28.7% | 22.9–29.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.4% | 17.0–19.9% | 16.6–20.3% | 16.2–20.7% | 15.6–21.4% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 18.3% | 16.9–19.8% | 16.5–20.2% | 16.2–20.6% | 15.5–21.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.8–10.6% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.2–11.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 8.2% | 7.3–9.3% | 7.0–9.6% | 6.8–9.9% | 6.3–10.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0–5.6% | 3.8–5.9% | 3.6–6.1% | 3.3–6.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.5–5.9% | 3.2–6.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.3–5.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.5–3.9% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.3% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 48 | 44–55 | 44–55 | 43–55 | 42–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 35 | 32–37 | 32–37 | 31–37 | 29–38 |
| Høyre | 36 | 32 | 29–36 | 29–37 | 28–39 | 28–39 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 15–17 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–19 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 1–10 | 1–12 | 1–12 | 1–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 44 | 7% | 96% | |
| 45 | 5% | 89% | |
| 46 | 4% | 83% | |
| 47 | 28% | 80% | |
| 48 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 49 | 11% | 49% | |
| 50 | 7% | 38% | |
| 51 | 7% | 31% | |
| 52 | 8% | 24% | |
| 53 | 5% | 17% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 55 | 11% | 12% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 32 | 8% | 97% | |
| 33 | 14% | 89% | |
| 34 | 17% | 75% | |
| 35 | 32% | 58% | Median |
| 36 | 14% | 26% | |
| 37 | 10% | 12% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 8% | 97% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 31 | 27% | 88% | |
| 32 | 24% | 61% | Median |
| 33 | 10% | 37% | |
| 34 | 2% | 27% | |
| 35 | 2% | 25% | |
| 36 | 16% | 23% | Last Result |
| 37 | 3% | 7% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 39 | 3% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 14 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 7% | 93% | |
| 16 | 44% | 85% | Median |
| 17 | 31% | 41% | |
| 18 | 4% | 10% | |
| 19 | 3% | 6% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 13% | 92% | |
| 14 | 14% | 80% | |
| 15 | 28% | 65% | Median |
| 16 | 23% | 37% | |
| 17 | 12% | 14% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 28% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 68% | |
| 5 | 0% | 68% | |
| 6 | 0% | 68% | |
| 7 | 2% | 68% | |
| 8 | 23% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 7% | 44% | |
| 10 | 34% | 37% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 84% | |
| 3 | 0% | 84% | |
| 4 | 0% | 84% | |
| 5 | 0% | 84% | |
| 6 | 0% | 84% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 8 | 51% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 5% | 32% | |
| 10 | 19% | 27% | |
| 11 | 2% | 8% | |
| 12 | 6% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 21% | 86% | |
| 3 | 49% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0% | 15% | |
| 6 | 0% | 15% | |
| 7 | 10% | 15% | |
| 8 | 4% | 6% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 84% | |
| 2 | 48% | 80% | Median |
| 3 | 28% | 31% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 2% | 4% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 59% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 16% | 41% | |
| 2 | 26% | 26% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 106 | 100% | 101–111 | 99–111 | 99–112 | 97–114 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 94 | 100% | 91–97 | 89–98 | 88–99 | 86–103 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 91 | 96% | 85–94 | 85–95 | 84–97 | 82–100 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 89 | 83% | 83–94 | 82–94 | 82–95 | 79–100 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 80 | 20% | 78–91 | 76–91 | 74–91 | 73–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 2% | 72–82 | 72–82 | 71–83 | 67–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 74 | 0% | 69–76 | 69–78 | 68–79 | 64–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 71 | 0% | 67–74 | 67–77 | 66–79 | 64–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 69 | 0% | 65–72 | 65–74 | 65–76 | 63–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 66 | 0% | 62–68 | 62–69 | 62–71 | 60–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 62 | 0% | 55–66 | 55–69 | 55–69 | 54–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 55 | 0% | 51–58 | 51–61 | 50–62 | 48–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 52 | 0% | 49–54 | 48–55 | 48–58 | 45–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–53 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 50 | 0% | 46–52 | 46–52 | 46–53 | 44–55 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 43 | 0% | 36–47 | 36–48 | 36–49 | 34–50 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 25 | 0% | 20–29 | 18–29 | 18–30 | 16–32 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 99 | 5% | 98% | |
| 100 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 101 | 11% | 92% | |
| 102 | 2% | 82% | |
| 103 | 2% | 80% | |
| 104 | 8% | 78% | |
| 105 | 8% | 70% | Median |
| 106 | 28% | 63% | |
| 107 | 10% | 34% | |
| 108 | 6% | 24% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 18% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 111 | 12% | 15% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 113 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 87 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 3% | 97% | |
| 90 | 2% | 95% | |
| 91 | 5% | 93% | |
| 92 | 14% | 88% | |
| 93 | 19% | 74% | Median |
| 94 | 21% | 55% | |
| 95 | 8% | 34% | |
| 96 | 5% | 26% | |
| 97 | 16% | 21% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 8% | 96% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 88% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 83% | |
| 88 | 3% | 82% | |
| 89 | 2% | 79% | |
| 90 | 2% | 77% | Median |
| 91 | 44% | 75% | |
| 92 | 2% | 30% | |
| 93 | 3% | 28% | |
| 94 | 19% | 25% | |
| 95 | 2% | 6% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 3% | 98% | |
| 83 | 8% | 95% | |
| 84 | 4% | 86% | |
| 85 | 2% | 83% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 80% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 88 | 18% | 77% | Median |
| 89 | 29% | 59% | |
| 90 | 3% | 30% | |
| 91 | 9% | 26% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 94 | 12% | 14% | |
| 95 | 2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 76 | 2% | 95% | |
| 77 | 2% | 94% | |
| 78 | 12% | 92% | |
| 79 | 19% | 80% | |
| 80 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 81 | 13% | 45% | |
| 82 | 4% | 31% | |
| 83 | 5% | 27% | |
| 84 | 2% | 22% | |
| 85 | 2% | 20% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 18% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 91 | 10% | 12% | |
| 92 | 2% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 72 | 10% | 96% | |
| 73 | 8% | 86% | |
| 74 | 5% | 78% | |
| 75 | 7% | 73% | |
| 76 | 3% | 66% | |
| 77 | 33% | 63% | Median |
| 78 | 10% | 30% | |
| 79 | 2% | 20% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 82 | 13% | 16% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 11% | 96% | |
| 70 | 8% | 85% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 72 | 7% | 76% | |
| 73 | 9% | 69% | |
| 74 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 75 | 34% | 49% | |
| 76 | 6% | 15% | |
| 77 | 3% | 9% | |
| 78 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 79 | 4% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 7% | 96% | |
| 68 | 13% | 89% | |
| 69 | 6% | 76% | |
| 70 | 2% | 71% | |
| 71 | 27% | 69% | Median |
| 72 | 19% | 42% | |
| 73 | 3% | 23% | |
| 74 | 10% | 20% | |
| 75 | 2% | 10% | |
| 76 | 2% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 18% | 98% | |
| 66 | 6% | 81% | |
| 67 | 4% | 75% | |
| 68 | 3% | 71% | |
| 69 | 27% | 68% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 41% | |
| 71 | 11% | 30% | |
| 72 | 12% | 19% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 74 | 2% | 7% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 11% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 87% | |
| 64 | 9% | 84% | |
| 65 | 16% | 75% | |
| 66 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 67 | 27% | 48% | |
| 68 | 13% | 21% | |
| 69 | 4% | 8% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 10% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 57 | 3% | 87% | |
| 58 | 3% | 85% | |
| 59 | 2% | 82% | |
| 60 | 5% | 80% | |
| 61 | 15% | 75% | |
| 62 | 28% | 60% | Median |
| 63 | 2% | 32% | |
| 64 | 10% | 30% | |
| 65 | 3% | 20% | |
| 66 | 10% | 17% | |
| 67 | 2% | 8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 4% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 10% | 95% | |
| 52 | 8% | 86% | |
| 53 | 4% | 78% | |
| 54 | 19% | 74% | |
| 55 | 23% | 54% | Median |
| 56 | 10% | 32% | |
| 57 | 3% | 21% | |
| 58 | 11% | 18% | |
| 59 | 2% | 7% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 5% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 5% | 98% | |
| 49 | 12% | 92% | |
| 50 | 9% | 81% | |
| 51 | 10% | 71% | |
| 52 | 36% | 61% | Median |
| 53 | 11% | 26% | |
| 54 | 8% | 14% | |
| 55 | 2% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 2% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 3% | 97% | |
| 49 | 20% | 94% | |
| 50 | 18% | 74% | |
| 51 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 52 | 19% | 39% | |
| 53 | 13% | 20% | |
| 54 | 2% | 7% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 10% | 98% | |
| 47 | 8% | 88% | |
| 48 | 6% | 80% | |
| 49 | 15% | 74% | |
| 50 | 34% | 59% | Median |
| 51 | 8% | 26% | |
| 52 | 14% | 18% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 36 | 10% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 38 | 5% | 88% | |
| 39 | 18% | 84% | |
| 40 | 2% | 65% | |
| 41 | 5% | 63% | |
| 42 | 4% | 57% | Median |
| 43 | 5% | 53% | |
| 44 | 32% | 48% | |
| 45 | 2% | 16% | |
| 46 | 2% | 14% | |
| 47 | 6% | 11% | Last Result |
| 48 | 3% | 5% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 5% | 98% | |
| 19 | 2% | 93% | |
| 20 | 12% | 91% | |
| 21 | 12% | 79% | |
| 22 | 2% | 67% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 65% | |
| 24 | 8% | 65% | |
| 25 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 26 | 12% | 45% | |
| 27 | 17% | 32% | |
| 28 | 2% | 15% | |
| 29 | 10% | 13% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 30 January 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1171
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.35%