Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 27–31 January 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 25.1% | 23.6–26.6% | 23.2–27.1% | 22.8–27.4% | 22.2–28.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.8% | 18.5–21.2% | 18.1–21.6% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.1–22.7% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 18.9% | 17.6–20.3% | 17.2–20.7% | 16.9–21.1% | 16.3–21.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 8.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.3–10.2% | 6.8–10.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5–9.4% | 7.3–9.7% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.6–10.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9–6.5% | 4.6–6.7% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.2–7.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.0–5.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1–3.2% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.6–3.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–3.0% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.6% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Kystpartiet | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.3% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 45 | 43–48 | 42–48 | 42–49 | 42–50 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 37 | 35–42 | 35–42 | 35–42 | 34–42 |
| Høyre | 36 | 35 | 32–38 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 29–39 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 13–19 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 15 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 12–18 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kystpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 4% | 92% | |
| 44 | 26% | 89% | |
| 45 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 46 | 14% | 50% | |
| 47 | 19% | 36% | |
| 48 | 13% | 17% | |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 11% | 98% | |
| 36 | 33% | 87% | |
| 37 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 38 | 15% | 44% | |
| 39 | 2% | 29% | |
| 40 | 4% | 27% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 42 | 22% | 22% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 32 | 11% | 98% | |
| 33 | 27% | 87% | |
| 34 | 5% | 60% | |
| 35 | 27% | 55% | Median |
| 36 | 4% | 28% | Last Result |
| 37 | 8% | 24% | |
| 38 | 12% | 15% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 15 | 12% | 96% | |
| 16 | 49% | 83% | Median |
| 17 | 31% | 35% | |
| 18 | 3% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 13% | 100% | |
| 13 | 23% | 87% | Last Result |
| 14 | 3% | 63% | |
| 15 | 31% | 60% | Median |
| 16 | 8% | 29% | |
| 17 | 3% | 22% | |
| 18 | 18% | 18% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 27% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 14% | 72% | |
| 11 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 12 | 37% | 38% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 39% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 57% | |
| 5 | 0% | 57% | |
| 6 | 0% | 57% | |
| 7 | 22% | 57% | Median |
| 8 | 30% | 36% | Last Result |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 21% | 89% | |
| 2 | 47% | 68% | Median |
| 3 | 21% | 21% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | |
| 1 | 84% | 85% | Median |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.0% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 104 | 100% | 98–108 | 98–108 | 98–109 | 98–109 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 89 | 77% | 83–92 | 83–93 | 83–94 | 83–95 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 88 | 76% | 82–91 | 82–92 | 82–93 | 82–94 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 87 | 67% | 80–90 | 80–91 | 80–92 | 80–93 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 81 | 12% | 77–86 | 77–86 | 77–86 | 76–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 80 | 23% | 77–86 | 76–86 | 75–86 | 74–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 79 | 22% | 76–85 | 75–85 | 74–85 | 73–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 71 | 0% | 67–76 | 67–76 | 67–76 | 65–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 65–74 | 65–74 | 65–74 | 63–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 69 | 0% | 65–73 | 65–73 | 65–73 | 62–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 64 | 0% | 60–70 | 60–70 | 59–70 | 59–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 56 | 0% | 53–61 | 53–61 | 52–61 | 52–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 55 | 0% | 52–60 | 52–60 | 52–60 | 51–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 53 | 0% | 51–58 | 51–58 | 51–58 | 48–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 53 | 0% | 48–57 | 48–57 | 48–57 | 48–58 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 43 | 0% | 38–46 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 25 | 0% | 21–26 | 21–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 98 | 22% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 100 | 2% | 78% | |
| 101 | 4% | 76% | |
| 102 | 8% | 72% | |
| 103 | 5% | 64% | |
| 104 | 14% | 59% | |
| 105 | 6% | 46% | Median |
| 106 | 1.3% | 40% | |
| 107 | 12% | 38% | |
| 108 | 22% | 27% | |
| 109 | 4% | 4% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 22% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 78% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 77% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 76% | |
| 87 | 3% | 71% | |
| 88 | 14% | 69% | |
| 89 | 10% | 55% | |
| 90 | 2% | 45% | Median |
| 91 | 15% | 42% | |
| 92 | 21% | 27% | |
| 93 | 3% | 6% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 22% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 78% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 85 | 5% | 76% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 71% | |
| 87 | 13% | 69% | |
| 88 | 9% | 56% | |
| 89 | 4% | 47% | Median |
| 90 | 4% | 43% | |
| 91 | 33% | 38% | |
| 92 | 3% | 6% | |
| 93 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 22% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 78% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 84 | 9% | 76% | |
| 85 | 10% | 67% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 56% | |
| 87 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 88 | 15% | 44% | |
| 89 | 9% | 28% | |
| 90 | 14% | 19% | |
| 91 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 92 | 3% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 31% | 98.9% | |
| 78 | 8% | 67% | |
| 79 | 9% | 60% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 51% | Median |
| 81 | 15% | 50% | |
| 82 | 17% | 35% | |
| 83 | 2% | 18% | |
| 84 | 3% | 16% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 11% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 76 | 3% | 97% | |
| 77 | 33% | 94% | |
| 78 | 3% | 61% | |
| 79 | 4% | 57% | |
| 80 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 81 | 13% | 45% | |
| 82 | 2% | 32% | |
| 83 | 5% | 29% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 23% | Majority |
| 86 | 22% | 22% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 22% | 94% | |
| 77 | 15% | 72% | |
| 78 | 2% | 58% | |
| 79 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 80 | 13% | 45% | |
| 81 | 2% | 32% | |
| 82 | 6% | 29% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 85 | 22% | 22% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 16% | 98% | |
| 68 | 12% | 82% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 70% | |
| 70 | 12% | 69% | |
| 71 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 72 | 3% | 43% | |
| 73 | 6% | 40% | |
| 74 | 4% | 34% | |
| 75 | 8% | 31% | |
| 76 | 22% | 23% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 12% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 14% | 86% | |
| 67 | 3% | 73% | |
| 68 | 12% | 69% | |
| 69 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 70 | 10% | 51% | |
| 71 | 2% | 41% | |
| 72 | 11% | 39% | |
| 73 | 5% | 28% | |
| 74 | 22% | 23% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 65 | 25% | 98% | |
| 66 | 3% | 73% | |
| 67 | 10% | 69% | |
| 68 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 69 | 9% | 51% | |
| 70 | 3% | 43% | |
| 71 | 11% | 39% | |
| 72 | 5% | 28% | |
| 73 | 22% | 23% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 22% | 96% | |
| 61 | 12% | 74% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 62% | |
| 63 | 6% | 61% | |
| 64 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 65 | 6% | 41% | |
| 66 | 8% | 36% | |
| 67 | 4% | 28% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 24% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 23% | |
| 70 | 22% | 22% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 8% | 97% | |
| 54 | 6% | 89% | |
| 55 | 29% | 83% | |
| 56 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 57 | 20% | 47% | |
| 58 | 3% | 27% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 24% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 23% | |
| 61 | 22% | 22% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 8% | 98% | |
| 53 | 7% | 90% | |
| 54 | 16% | 83% | |
| 55 | 20% | 67% | Median |
| 56 | 20% | 47% | |
| 57 | 3% | 27% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 24% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 23% | |
| 60 | 22% | 22% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 51 | 11% | 98% | |
| 52 | 16% | 87% | |
| 53 | 31% | 72% | Median |
| 54 | 9% | 41% | |
| 55 | 3% | 32% | |
| 56 | 5% | 29% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 58 | 22% | 23% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 15% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 14% | 85% | |
| 50 | 9% | 70% | |
| 51 | 3% | 62% | |
| 52 | 4% | 59% | Median |
| 53 | 15% | 55% | |
| 54 | 5% | 40% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 36% | |
| 56 | 12% | 35% | |
| 57 | 22% | 23% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 23% | 97% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 75% | |
| 40 | 5% | 73% | |
| 41 | 2% | 69% | |
| 42 | 9% | 67% | |
| 43 | 14% | 58% | |
| 44 | 21% | 44% | Median |
| 45 | 12% | 23% | |
| 46 | 10% | 10% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 21 | 24% | 96% | |
| 22 | 14% | 72% | |
| 23 | 5% | 58% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 53% | |
| 25 | 19% | 52% | Median |
| 26 | 28% | 33% | |
| 27 | 3% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 27–31 January 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1380
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.80%