Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 27 January–3 February 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
25.0% |
23.3–26.8% |
22.8–27.3% |
22.4–27.7% |
21.6–28.6% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
22.0% |
20.3–23.7% |
19.9–24.2% |
19.5–24.6% |
18.7–25.5% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
18.2% |
16.7–19.8% |
16.2–20.3% |
15.9–20.7% |
15.2–21.5% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
8.1% |
7.1–9.3% |
6.8–9.6% |
6.6–9.9% |
6.1–10.5% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.2% |
5.0–7.5% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.4–8.3% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.8% |
3.6–7.3% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.8–4.7% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.5% |
0.7–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
42 |
5% |
96% |
|
43 |
9% |
90% |
|
44 |
7% |
81% |
|
45 |
7% |
74% |
|
46 |
9% |
67% |
|
47 |
26% |
59% |
Median |
48 |
5% |
33% |
|
49 |
16% |
28% |
|
50 |
6% |
12% |
|
51 |
4% |
5% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
7% |
98.5% |
|
38 |
9% |
91% |
|
39 |
6% |
82% |
|
40 |
13% |
76% |
|
41 |
13% |
63% |
Median |
42 |
11% |
50% |
|
43 |
12% |
39% |
|
44 |
6% |
26% |
|
45 |
8% |
20% |
|
46 |
6% |
12% |
|
47 |
2% |
6% |
|
48 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
49 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
29 |
3% |
97% |
|
30 |
12% |
94% |
|
31 |
13% |
82% |
|
32 |
9% |
68% |
|
33 |
24% |
59% |
Median |
34 |
21% |
35% |
|
35 |
4% |
13% |
|
36 |
4% |
9% |
Last Result |
37 |
3% |
5% |
|
38 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
11 |
9% |
97% |
|
12 |
8% |
88% |
|
13 |
12% |
80% |
Last Result |
14 |
21% |
68% |
Median |
15 |
24% |
47% |
|
16 |
12% |
23% |
|
17 |
7% |
11% |
|
18 |
2% |
3% |
|
19 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
4% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
9 |
12% |
95% |
|
10 |
37% |
83% |
Median |
11 |
25% |
45% |
|
12 |
8% |
21% |
|
13 |
7% |
13% |
|
14 |
5% |
6% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
2% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
97% |
|
3 |
0% |
97% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
97% |
|
6 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
7 |
9% |
95% |
|
8 |
19% |
86% |
|
9 |
23% |
67% |
Median |
10 |
19% |
44% |
|
11 |
16% |
24% |
|
12 |
7% |
8% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
15% |
100% |
|
3 |
26% |
85% |
|
4 |
0% |
59% |
|
5 |
0% |
59% |
|
6 |
6% |
59% |
|
7 |
17% |
53% |
Median |
8 |
19% |
36% |
Last Result |
9 |
15% |
17% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
4% |
100% |
|
2 |
19% |
96% |
|
3 |
28% |
77% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.1% |
49% |
|
5 |
0% |
49% |
|
6 |
3% |
49% |
|
7 |
25% |
46% |
|
8 |
13% |
22% |
|
9 |
8% |
8% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
|
1 |
9% |
95% |
|
2 |
53% |
87% |
Median |
3 |
27% |
33% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
6% |
|
6 |
2% |
6% |
|
7 |
3% |
5% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
2% |
3% |
|
2 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
96 |
99.9% |
91–101 |
91–102 |
89–103 |
87–105 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
92 |
98.7% |
88–97 |
86–99 |
85–100 |
83–101 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
87 |
78% |
82–93 |
81–94 |
81–95 |
78–97 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre |
65 |
85 |
53% |
80–90 |
79–91 |
78–92 |
76–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
81 |
17% |
75–86 |
73–87 |
72–88 |
69–90 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre |
57 |
79 |
6% |
75–83 |
74–85 |
73–85 |
71–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet |
97 |
76 |
0.9% |
70–81 |
69–82 |
67–82 |
65–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
72 |
0% |
67–77 |
65–78 |
64–80 |
61–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
71 |
0% |
66–77 |
65–78 |
64–79 |
62–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
70 |
0% |
64–75 |
63–76 |
61–77 |
59–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
65 |
0% |
60–70 |
59–70 |
58–72 |
54–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
59 |
0% |
53–63 |
51–64 |
50–66 |
48–68 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
56 |
0% |
52–60 |
51–62 |
50–63 |
49–65 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
53 |
0% |
49–58 |
47–59 |
46–60 |
41–63 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
51 |
0% |
46–56 |
45–56 |
44–57 |
39–59 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
41 |
0% |
37–45 |
36–46 |
35–47 |
33–50 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
17 |
0% |
13–21 |
12–22 |
12–23 |
6–25 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
89 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
90 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
91 |
6% |
95% |
|
92 |
4% |
90% |
|
93 |
5% |
86% |
|
94 |
10% |
80% |
|
95 |
11% |
70% |
|
96 |
10% |
59% |
Last Result |
97 |
12% |
49% |
|
98 |
11% |
37% |
Median |
99 |
9% |
26% |
|
100 |
5% |
17% |
|
101 |
4% |
12% |
|
102 |
5% |
8% |
|
103 |
2% |
4% |
|
104 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
106 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
85 |
2% |
98.7% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
97% |
|
87 |
3% |
95% |
|
88 |
8% |
92% |
|
89 |
4% |
84% |
|
90 |
13% |
80% |
|
91 |
14% |
66% |
|
92 |
11% |
52% |
Median |
93 |
9% |
42% |
|
94 |
8% |
33% |
|
95 |
6% |
25% |
|
96 |
4% |
19% |
|
97 |
5% |
15% |
|
98 |
4% |
10% |
|
99 |
3% |
6% |
|
100 |
2% |
3% |
|
101 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
81 |
6% |
98% |
|
82 |
3% |
93% |
|
83 |
7% |
90% |
|
84 |
5% |
83% |
|
85 |
16% |
78% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
62% |
|
87 |
9% |
55% |
|
88 |
14% |
47% |
|
89 |
5% |
32% |
Median |
90 |
7% |
28% |
|
91 |
6% |
21% |
|
92 |
3% |
14% |
|
93 |
5% |
11% |
|
94 |
3% |
6% |
|
95 |
2% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
97 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
78 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
79 |
5% |
96% |
|
80 |
3% |
91% |
|
81 |
8% |
88% |
|
82 |
11% |
81% |
|
83 |
12% |
69% |
|
84 |
5% |
57% |
|
85 |
10% |
53% |
Majority |
86 |
11% |
43% |
|
87 |
6% |
31% |
Median |
88 |
6% |
25% |
|
89 |
6% |
20% |
|
90 |
6% |
13% |
|
91 |
2% |
7% |
|
92 |
2% |
5% |
|
93 |
2% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
73 |
2% |
97% |
|
74 |
3% |
95% |
|
75 |
5% |
91% |
|
76 |
4% |
86% |
|
77 |
6% |
82% |
Median |
78 |
7% |
76% |
|
79 |
5% |
69% |
|
80 |
12% |
64% |
|
81 |
8% |
52% |
|
82 |
7% |
44% |
|
83 |
12% |
37% |
|
84 |
8% |
26% |
|
85 |
7% |
17% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
10% |
|
87 |
6% |
9% |
|
88 |
2% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
74 |
5% |
96% |
|
75 |
7% |
91% |
|
76 |
9% |
84% |
|
77 |
12% |
75% |
|
78 |
10% |
63% |
|
79 |
5% |
53% |
|
80 |
14% |
47% |
Median |
81 |
5% |
33% |
|
82 |
6% |
29% |
|
83 |
13% |
23% |
|
84 |
4% |
10% |
|
85 |
4% |
6% |
Majority |
86 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
|
69 |
4% |
95% |
|
70 |
4% |
91% |
|
71 |
5% |
87% |
|
72 |
4% |
82% |
|
73 |
6% |
78% |
|
74 |
7% |
72% |
Median |
75 |
9% |
65% |
|
76 |
11% |
56% |
|
77 |
13% |
46% |
|
78 |
10% |
33% |
|
79 |
7% |
23% |
|
80 |
5% |
15% |
|
81 |
6% |
11% |
|
82 |
3% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
65 |
2% |
97% |
|
66 |
2% |
95% |
|
67 |
6% |
93% |
|
68 |
6% |
86% |
|
69 |
6% |
81% |
Median |
70 |
9% |
75% |
|
71 |
4% |
66% |
|
72 |
13% |
62% |
|
73 |
9% |
49% |
|
74 |
6% |
40% |
|
75 |
8% |
34% |
|
76 |
9% |
25% |
|
77 |
7% |
17% |
|
78 |
5% |
10% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
81 |
2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
65 |
2% |
96% |
|
66 |
5% |
94% |
|
67 |
5% |
89% |
|
68 |
5% |
84% |
Median |
69 |
6% |
79% |
|
70 |
13% |
73% |
|
71 |
12% |
60% |
|
72 |
6% |
48% |
Last Result |
73 |
14% |
42% |
|
74 |
8% |
28% |
|
75 |
5% |
20% |
|
76 |
4% |
15% |
|
77 |
6% |
11% |
|
78 |
2% |
5% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
80 |
2% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
63 |
2% |
96% |
|
64 |
5% |
94% |
|
65 |
7% |
89% |
|
66 |
3% |
82% |
|
67 |
6% |
79% |
Median |
68 |
5% |
73% |
|
69 |
8% |
67% |
|
70 |
15% |
60% |
|
71 |
8% |
44% |
|
72 |
7% |
36% |
|
73 |
11% |
30% |
|
74 |
5% |
19% |
|
75 |
4% |
14% |
|
76 |
6% |
9% |
|
77 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
78 |
2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
|
58 |
2% |
98% |
|
59 |
3% |
95% |
|
60 |
4% |
92% |
|
61 |
6% |
88% |
|
62 |
9% |
83% |
|
63 |
10% |
73% |
|
64 |
7% |
64% |
Median |
65 |
6% |
56% |
|
66 |
10% |
50% |
|
67 |
14% |
39% |
|
68 |
9% |
25% |
|
69 |
5% |
16% |
|
70 |
6% |
11% |
|
71 |
2% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
50 |
2% |
98% |
|
51 |
2% |
96% |
|
52 |
2% |
94% |
|
53 |
5% |
92% |
|
54 |
8% |
87% |
|
55 |
5% |
80% |
Median |
56 |
4% |
74% |
|
57 |
12% |
70% |
|
58 |
7% |
58% |
|
59 |
11% |
51% |
|
60 |
12% |
40% |
|
61 |
5% |
28% |
|
62 |
12% |
23% |
|
63 |
4% |
11% |
|
64 |
2% |
7% |
|
65 |
2% |
5% |
|
66 |
2% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
51 |
6% |
97% |
|
52 |
7% |
92% |
|
53 |
7% |
85% |
|
54 |
15% |
78% |
|
55 |
10% |
63% |
Median |
56 |
10% |
53% |
|
57 |
12% |
43% |
|
58 |
11% |
30% |
|
59 |
9% |
19% |
|
60 |
2% |
10% |
|
61 |
3% |
9% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
5% |
|
63 |
2% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
46 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
47 |
3% |
97% |
|
48 |
3% |
94% |
|
49 |
4% |
91% |
|
50 |
6% |
87% |
|
51 |
7% |
81% |
|
52 |
15% |
74% |
Median |
53 |
17% |
59% |
|
54 |
10% |
41% |
|
55 |
6% |
31% |
|
56 |
6% |
25% |
|
57 |
6% |
19% |
|
58 |
5% |
13% |
|
59 |
6% |
9% |
|
60 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
45 |
3% |
97% |
|
46 |
4% |
94% |
|
47 |
4% |
90% |
|
48 |
8% |
86% |
|
49 |
9% |
79% |
|
50 |
15% |
70% |
Median |
51 |
19% |
55% |
|
52 |
8% |
36% |
|
53 |
7% |
28% |
|
54 |
6% |
21% |
|
55 |
4% |
15% |
|
56 |
6% |
10% |
|
57 |
2% |
4% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
36 |
6% |
97% |
|
37 |
5% |
90% |
|
38 |
16% |
86% |
|
39 |
5% |
70% |
|
40 |
9% |
65% |
|
41 |
18% |
56% |
|
42 |
8% |
38% |
Median |
43 |
10% |
30% |
|
44 |
9% |
20% |
|
45 |
4% |
11% |
|
46 |
3% |
7% |
|
47 |
2% |
5% |
Last Result |
48 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
12 |
5% |
98% |
|
13 |
5% |
93% |
|
14 |
7% |
88% |
|
15 |
12% |
80% |
|
16 |
13% |
68% |
|
17 |
8% |
56% |
|
18 |
7% |
48% |
Median |
19 |
15% |
41% |
|
20 |
11% |
26% |
|
21 |
5% |
15% |
|
22 |
7% |
10% |
|
23 |
2% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 27 January–3 February 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1002
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.63%