Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 5 February 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 30.7% | 28.9–32.6% | 28.4–33.1% | 28.0–33.5% | 27.2–34.4% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 24.3% | 22.7–26.0% | 22.2–26.5% | 21.8–27.0% | 21.0–27.8% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 15.6% | 14.3–17.1% | 13.9–17.6% | 13.6–18.0% | 12.9–18.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.4–7.9% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.8–8.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.4–8.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.9–7.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.1% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.7% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 56 | 53–62 | 53–63 | 52–66 | 50–67 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 46 | 41–48 | 40–48 | 39–48 | 39–51 |
| Høyre | 36 | 28 | 25–32 | 24–32 | 24–32 | 22–33 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–15 | 9–16 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 8–15 | 7–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 1–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–8 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 0–7 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 32% | 95% | |
| 54 | 8% | 63% | |
| 55 | 4% | 55% | |
| 56 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 57 | 19% | 48% | |
| 58 | 6% | 29% | |
| 59 | 4% | 23% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 19% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 18% | |
| 62 | 10% | 17% | |
| 63 | 3% | 6% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 4% | 97% | |
| 41 | 10% | 92% | |
| 42 | 5% | 82% | |
| 43 | 3% | 77% | |
| 44 | 2% | 74% | |
| 45 | 4% | 73% | |
| 46 | 35% | 69% | Median |
| 47 | 21% | 33% | |
| 48 | 11% | 12% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 24 | 5% | 98% | |
| 25 | 22% | 93% | |
| 26 | 3% | 71% | |
| 27 | 13% | 68% | |
| 28 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 29 | 2% | 43% | |
| 30 | 2% | 41% | |
| 31 | 26% | 39% | |
| 32 | 13% | 14% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 20% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 28% | 80% | |
| 11 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 12 | 7% | 34% | |
| 13 | 21% | 26% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 5% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 9 | 9% | 95% | |
| 10 | 6% | 86% | |
| 11 | 32% | 81% | Median |
| 12 | 25% | 48% | |
| 13 | 5% | 23% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 18% | |
| 15 | 17% | 17% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 16% | 96% | Last Result |
| 9 | 32% | 81% | Median |
| 10 | 38% | 49% | |
| 11 | 7% | 11% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 36% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 35% | 64% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 29% | |
| 5 | 0% | 29% | |
| 6 | 0% | 29% | |
| 7 | 21% | 29% | |
| 8 | 7% | 8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 34% | 96% | |
| 2 | 37% | 61% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 25% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 7% | |
| 7 | 2% | 7% | |
| 8 | 5% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 90% | 98.8% | Median |
| 2 | 4% | 9% | |
| 3 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 90 | 80% | 84–96 | 84–96 | 84–98 | 83–100 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 89 | 68% | 83–95 | 83–95 | 83–97 | 82–99 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 92 | 85% | 84–96 | 84–96 | 83–96 | 80–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 82 | 29% | 76–89 | 76–89 | 76–90 | 76–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 80 | 22% | 75–87 | 75–87 | 75–88 | 73–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 79 | 18% | 74–86 | 74–86 | 74–87 | 72–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 77 | 15% | 73–85 | 73–85 | 73–86 | 72–89 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 80 | 32% | 74–86 | 74–86 | 72–86 | 70–87 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 79 | 20% | 73–85 | 73–85 | 71–85 | 69–86 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 77 | 0.1% | 71–84 | 70–84 | 69–84 | 67–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 70 | 0% | 66–76 | 66–76 | 66–80 | 64–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 68 | 0% | 65–75 | 65–75 | 65–79 | 63–81 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 73 | 0% | 68–78 | 67–78 | 67–78 | 64–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 67 | 0% | 64–73 | 64–73 | 62–76 | 61–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 66 | 0% | 63–75 | 63–75 | 63–75 | 62–80 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 34 | 0% | 30–39 | 30–39 | 29–39 | 26–41 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 19 | 0% | 15–20 | 12–21 | 11–22 | 11–24 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 19% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 12% | 80% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 68% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 65% | |
| 88 | 6% | 64% | Median |
| 89 | 5% | 58% | |
| 90 | 9% | 53% | |
| 91 | 3% | 45% | |
| 92 | 18% | 41% | |
| 93 | 4% | 23% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 20% | |
| 95 | 4% | 19% | |
| 96 | 10% | 15% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 19% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 13% | 80% | |
| 85 | 3% | 68% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 87 | 6% | 63% | Median |
| 88 | 6% | 57% | |
| 89 | 9% | 51% | |
| 90 | 4% | 42% | |
| 91 | 17% | 38% | |
| 92 | 4% | 21% | |
| 93 | 2% | 17% | |
| 94 | 2% | 16% | |
| 95 | 10% | 14% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 98 | 2% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 11% | 96% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 85% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 84% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 78% | |
| 88 | 5% | 77% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 72% | |
| 90 | 8% | 71% | Median |
| 91 | 10% | 63% | |
| 92 | 18% | 53% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 34% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 34% | |
| 95 | 2% | 33% | |
| 96 | 31% | 31% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 76 | 20% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 79% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 79% | |
| 79 | 4% | 78% | |
| 80 | 15% | 74% | |
| 81 | 2% | 59% | Median |
| 82 | 9% | 57% | |
| 83 | 2% | 49% | |
| 84 | 17% | 46% | |
| 85 | 2% | 29% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 28% | |
| 87 | 5% | 21% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 16% | |
| 89 | 12% | 15% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 20% | 98.5% | |
| 76 | 3% | 79% | |
| 77 | 12% | 76% | |
| 78 | 10% | 64% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 54% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 52% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 43% | |
| 82 | 17% | 42% | |
| 83 | 2% | 25% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 23% | |
| 85 | 2% | 22% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 19% | |
| 87 | 11% | 15% | |
| 88 | 3% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 19% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 79% | |
| 76 | 13% | 76% | |
| 77 | 9% | 63% | |
| 78 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 79 | 9% | 50% | |
| 80 | 2% | 41% | |
| 81 | 17% | 40% | |
| 82 | 2% | 22% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 85 | 3% | 18% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 15% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 73 | 31% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 2% | 69% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 67% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 66% | |
| 77 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 78 | 10% | 47% | |
| 79 | 8% | 37% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 29% | |
| 81 | 5% | 28% | |
| 82 | 1.5% | 23% | |
| 83 | 6% | 22% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 85 | 11% | 15% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 74 | 10% | 96% | |
| 75 | 2% | 86% | |
| 76 | 2% | 84% | |
| 77 | 4% | 83% | |
| 78 | 17% | 79% | |
| 79 | 4% | 62% | |
| 80 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 81 | 6% | 49% | |
| 82 | 6% | 43% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 37% | |
| 84 | 3% | 36% | |
| 85 | 13% | 32% | Majority |
| 86 | 19% | 20% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 73 | 10% | 95% | |
| 74 | 4% | 85% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 81% | |
| 76 | 4% | 80% | |
| 77 | 18% | 77% | |
| 78 | 3% | 59% | |
| 79 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 80 | 5% | 47% | |
| 81 | 6% | 42% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 36% | |
| 83 | 3% | 35% | |
| 84 | 12% | 32% | |
| 85 | 19% | 20% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 10% | 95% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 85% | |
| 73 | 8% | 83% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 75% | |
| 75 | 20% | 74% | |
| 76 | 3% | 54% | |
| 77 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 78 | 2% | 41% | |
| 79 | 3% | 39% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 36% | |
| 81 | 13% | 34% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 21% | |
| 83 | 2% | 21% | |
| 84 | 19% | 19% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 21% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 4% | 78% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 75% | |
| 69 | 23% | 74% | |
| 70 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 71 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 72 | 2% | 47% | |
| 73 | 3% | 45% | |
| 74 | 2% | 43% | |
| 75 | 23% | 41% | |
| 76 | 14% | 18% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 20% | 98.7% | |
| 66 | 4% | 78% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 74% | |
| 68 | 26% | 74% | |
| 69 | 2% | 48% | Median |
| 70 | 0.6% | 46% | |
| 71 | 3% | 45% | |
| 72 | 2% | 42% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 40% | |
| 74 | 20% | 38% | |
| 75 | 14% | 18% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 3% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 67 | 6% | 98% | |
| 68 | 4% | 92% | |
| 69 | 10% | 88% | |
| 70 | 3% | 78% | |
| 71 | 6% | 75% | |
| 72 | 18% | 69% | |
| 73 | 2% | 51% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 49% | Median |
| 75 | 11% | 48% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 37% | |
| 77 | 22% | 36% | |
| 78 | 13% | 14% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 64 | 21% | 96% | |
| 65 | 14% | 75% | |
| 66 | 11% | 61% | |
| 67 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 68 | 1.3% | 41% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 39% | |
| 70 | 2% | 39% | |
| 71 | 3% | 37% | |
| 72 | 17% | 34% | |
| 73 | 12% | 17% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 21% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 12% | 78% | |
| 65 | 2% | 66% | |
| 66 | 20% | 64% | |
| 67 | 11% | 43% | Median |
| 68 | 5% | 33% | |
| 69 | 5% | 27% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 73 | 2% | 20% | |
| 74 | 2% | 18% | |
| 75 | 14% | 16% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 30 | 19% | 96% | |
| 31 | 11% | 78% | |
| 32 | 10% | 67% | |
| 33 | 2% | 56% | Median |
| 34 | 12% | 55% | |
| 35 | 4% | 43% | |
| 36 | 2% | 39% | |
| 37 | 2% | 36% | |
| 38 | 13% | 35% | |
| 39 | 20% | 21% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 14 | 2% | 94% | |
| 15 | 11% | 92% | |
| 16 | 13% | 81% | Median |
| 17 | 4% | 67% | |
| 18 | 12% | 64% | |
| 19 | 29% | 51% | |
| 20 | 17% | 23% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 22 | 4% | 5% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 5 February 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1062
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.30%