Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 5 February 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
30.7% |
28.9–32.6% |
28.4–33.1% |
28.0–33.5% |
27.2–34.4% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
24.3% |
22.7–26.0% |
22.2–26.5% |
21.8–27.0% |
21.0–27.8% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
15.6% |
14.3–17.1% |
13.9–17.6% |
13.6–18.0% |
12.9–18.7% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
6.5% |
5.6–7.6% |
5.4–7.9% |
5.2–8.2% |
4.8–8.7% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.4–8.2% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.5% |
4.4–6.8% |
4.2–7.0% |
3.9–7.5% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.2% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.5–4.7% |
2.2–5.1% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.3–4.0% |
2.1–4.2% |
1.9–4.6% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.7% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–1.0% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–1.0% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.7% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
52 |
3% |
98% |
|
53 |
32% |
95% |
|
54 |
8% |
63% |
|
55 |
4% |
55% |
|
56 |
2% |
51% |
Median |
57 |
19% |
48% |
|
58 |
6% |
29% |
|
59 |
4% |
23% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
19% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
18% |
|
62 |
10% |
17% |
|
63 |
3% |
6% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
4% |
97% |
|
41 |
10% |
92% |
|
42 |
5% |
82% |
|
43 |
3% |
77% |
|
44 |
2% |
74% |
|
45 |
4% |
73% |
|
46 |
35% |
69% |
Median |
47 |
21% |
33% |
|
48 |
11% |
12% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
22 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
23 |
0.6% |
98.5% |
|
24 |
5% |
98% |
|
25 |
22% |
93% |
|
26 |
3% |
71% |
|
27 |
13% |
68% |
|
28 |
13% |
56% |
Median |
29 |
2% |
43% |
|
30 |
2% |
41% |
|
31 |
26% |
39% |
|
32 |
13% |
14% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
20% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
28% |
80% |
|
11 |
18% |
52% |
Median |
12 |
7% |
34% |
|
13 |
21% |
26% |
Last Result |
14 |
2% |
5% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
16 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
9 |
9% |
95% |
|
10 |
6% |
86% |
|
11 |
32% |
81% |
Median |
12 |
25% |
48% |
|
13 |
5% |
23% |
|
14 |
1.1% |
18% |
|
15 |
17% |
17% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
8 |
16% |
96% |
Last Result |
9 |
32% |
81% |
Median |
10 |
38% |
49% |
|
11 |
7% |
11% |
|
12 |
2% |
4% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
36% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
35% |
64% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
29% |
|
5 |
0% |
29% |
|
6 |
0% |
29% |
|
7 |
21% |
29% |
|
8 |
7% |
8% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
34% |
96% |
|
2 |
37% |
61% |
Median |
3 |
18% |
25% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
7% |
|
5 |
0% |
7% |
|
6 |
0% |
7% |
|
7 |
2% |
7% |
|
8 |
5% |
5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
90% |
98.8% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
9% |
|
3 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
2% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
90 |
80% |
84–96 |
84–96 |
84–98 |
83–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
89 |
68% |
83–95 |
83–95 |
83–97 |
82–99 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
92 |
85% |
84–96 |
84–96 |
83–96 |
80–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
82 |
29% |
76–89 |
76–89 |
76–90 |
76–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
80 |
22% |
75–87 |
75–87 |
75–88 |
73–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
79 |
18% |
74–86 |
74–86 |
74–87 |
72–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
77 |
15% |
73–85 |
73–85 |
73–86 |
72–89 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
80 |
32% |
74–86 |
74–86 |
72–86 |
70–87 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
79 |
20% |
73–85 |
73–85 |
71–85 |
69–86 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre |
65 |
77 |
0.1% |
71–84 |
70–84 |
69–84 |
67–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
70 |
0% |
66–76 |
66–76 |
66–80 |
64–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
68 |
0% |
65–75 |
65–75 |
65–79 |
63–81 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre |
57 |
73 |
0% |
68–78 |
67–78 |
67–78 |
64–80 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
67 |
0% |
64–73 |
64–73 |
62–76 |
61–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
66 |
0% |
63–75 |
63–75 |
63–75 |
62–80 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
34 |
0% |
30–39 |
30–39 |
29–39 |
26–41 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
19 |
0% |
15–20 |
12–21 |
11–22 |
11–24 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
19% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
12% |
80% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
68% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
65% |
|
88 |
6% |
64% |
Median |
89 |
5% |
58% |
|
90 |
9% |
53% |
|
91 |
3% |
45% |
|
92 |
18% |
41% |
|
93 |
4% |
23% |
|
94 |
0.7% |
20% |
|
95 |
4% |
19% |
|
96 |
10% |
15% |
|
97 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
98 |
2% |
4% |
|
99 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
101 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
19% |
99.4% |
|
84 |
13% |
80% |
|
85 |
3% |
68% |
Majority |
86 |
1.4% |
64% |
|
87 |
6% |
63% |
Median |
88 |
6% |
57% |
|
89 |
9% |
51% |
|
90 |
4% |
42% |
|
91 |
17% |
38% |
|
92 |
4% |
21% |
|
93 |
2% |
17% |
|
94 |
2% |
16% |
|
95 |
10% |
14% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
97 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
98 |
2% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
82 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
83 |
2% |
98% |
|
84 |
11% |
96% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
85% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
84% |
|
87 |
1.5% |
78% |
|
88 |
5% |
77% |
|
89 |
1.4% |
72% |
|
90 |
8% |
71% |
Median |
91 |
10% |
63% |
|
92 |
18% |
53% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
34% |
|
94 |
0.6% |
34% |
|
95 |
2% |
33% |
|
96 |
31% |
31% |
Last Result |
97 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
76 |
20% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
79% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
79% |
|
79 |
4% |
78% |
|
80 |
15% |
74% |
|
81 |
2% |
59% |
Median |
82 |
9% |
57% |
|
83 |
2% |
49% |
|
84 |
17% |
46% |
|
85 |
2% |
29% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
28% |
|
87 |
5% |
21% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
16% |
|
89 |
12% |
15% |
|
90 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
91 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
20% |
98.5% |
|
76 |
3% |
79% |
|
77 |
12% |
76% |
|
78 |
10% |
64% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
54% |
Median |
80 |
9% |
52% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
43% |
|
82 |
17% |
42% |
|
83 |
2% |
25% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
23% |
|
85 |
2% |
22% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
19% |
|
87 |
11% |
15% |
|
88 |
3% |
5% |
|
89 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
93 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
19% |
98% |
|
75 |
3% |
79% |
|
76 |
13% |
76% |
|
77 |
9% |
63% |
|
78 |
3% |
53% |
Median |
79 |
9% |
50% |
|
80 |
2% |
41% |
|
81 |
17% |
40% |
|
82 |
2% |
22% |
|
83 |
1.3% |
20% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
19% |
|
85 |
3% |
18% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
15% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
90 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
73 |
31% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
2% |
69% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
67% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
66% |
|
77 |
18% |
66% |
Median |
78 |
10% |
47% |
|
79 |
8% |
37% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
29% |
|
81 |
5% |
28% |
|
82 |
1.5% |
23% |
|
83 |
6% |
22% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
16% |
|
85 |
11% |
15% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
4% |
|
87 |
2% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
72 |
2% |
98% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
74 |
10% |
96% |
|
75 |
2% |
86% |
|
76 |
2% |
84% |
|
77 |
4% |
83% |
|
78 |
17% |
79% |
|
79 |
4% |
62% |
|
80 |
9% |
58% |
Median |
81 |
6% |
49% |
|
82 |
6% |
43% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
37% |
|
84 |
3% |
36% |
|
85 |
13% |
32% |
Majority |
86 |
19% |
20% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
2% |
98% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
73 |
10% |
95% |
|
74 |
4% |
85% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
81% |
|
76 |
4% |
80% |
|
77 |
18% |
77% |
|
78 |
3% |
59% |
|
79 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
80 |
5% |
47% |
|
81 |
6% |
42% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
36% |
|
83 |
3% |
35% |
|
84 |
12% |
32% |
|
85 |
19% |
20% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
69 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
2% |
97% |
|
71 |
10% |
95% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
85% |
|
73 |
8% |
83% |
|
74 |
1.1% |
75% |
|
75 |
20% |
74% |
|
76 |
3% |
54% |
|
77 |
9% |
51% |
Median |
78 |
2% |
41% |
|
79 |
3% |
39% |
|
80 |
1.2% |
36% |
|
81 |
13% |
34% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
21% |
|
83 |
2% |
21% |
|
84 |
19% |
19% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
21% |
99.1% |
|
67 |
4% |
78% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
75% |
|
69 |
23% |
74% |
|
70 |
2% |
50% |
Median |
71 |
0.9% |
48% |
|
72 |
2% |
47% |
|
73 |
3% |
45% |
|
74 |
2% |
43% |
|
75 |
23% |
41% |
|
76 |
14% |
18% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
20% |
98.7% |
|
66 |
4% |
78% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
74% |
|
68 |
26% |
74% |
|
69 |
2% |
48% |
Median |
70 |
0.6% |
46% |
|
71 |
3% |
45% |
|
72 |
2% |
42% |
|
73 |
1.5% |
40% |
|
74 |
20% |
38% |
|
75 |
14% |
18% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
3% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
67 |
6% |
98% |
|
68 |
4% |
92% |
|
69 |
10% |
88% |
|
70 |
3% |
78% |
|
71 |
6% |
75% |
|
72 |
18% |
69% |
|
73 |
2% |
51% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
49% |
Median |
75 |
11% |
48% |
|
76 |
1.4% |
37% |
|
77 |
22% |
36% |
|
78 |
13% |
14% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
64 |
21% |
96% |
|
65 |
14% |
75% |
|
66 |
11% |
61% |
|
67 |
10% |
50% |
Median |
68 |
1.3% |
41% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
39% |
|
70 |
2% |
39% |
|
71 |
3% |
37% |
|
72 |
17% |
34% |
|
73 |
12% |
17% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
3% |
Last Result |
77 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
21% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
12% |
78% |
|
65 |
2% |
66% |
|
66 |
20% |
64% |
|
67 |
11% |
43% |
Median |
68 |
5% |
33% |
|
69 |
5% |
27% |
|
70 |
1.4% |
23% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
21% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
20% |
|
73 |
2% |
20% |
|
74 |
2% |
18% |
|
75 |
14% |
16% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
28 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
29 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
30 |
19% |
96% |
|
31 |
11% |
78% |
|
32 |
10% |
67% |
|
33 |
2% |
56% |
Median |
34 |
12% |
55% |
|
35 |
4% |
43% |
|
36 |
2% |
39% |
|
37 |
2% |
36% |
|
38 |
13% |
35% |
|
39 |
20% |
21% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
5% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
14 |
2% |
94% |
|
15 |
11% |
92% |
|
16 |
13% |
81% |
Median |
17 |
4% |
67% |
|
18 |
12% |
64% |
|
19 |
29% |
51% |
|
20 |
17% |
23% |
|
21 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
22 |
4% |
5% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 5 February 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1062
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.30%