Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 4–5 February 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 24.6% | 22.7–26.7% | 22.2–27.3% | 21.7–27.8% | 20.8–28.8% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 24.6% | 22.7–26.7% | 22.2–27.3% | 21.7–27.8% | 20.8–28.8% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 18.1% | 16.4–20.0% | 16.0–20.5% | 15.6–21.0% | 14.8–21.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5–9.0% | 6.2–9.4% | 6.0–9.7% | 5.5–10.4% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.1% | 5.1–7.3% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.6–8.0% | 4.2–8.6% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.9% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.3–7.6% | 3.9–8.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.5–6.0% | 3.3–6.2% | 2.9–6.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.7–4.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.6% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.8–4.1% | 1.5–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 46 | 42–50 | 40–51 | 39–52 | 38–54 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 44 | 41–49 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| Høyre | 36 | 33 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 27–38 | 25–39 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 9–19 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 6–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 1–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 40 | 3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 4% | 94% | |
| 42 | 3% | 90% | |
| 43 | 8% | 87% | |
| 44 | 11% | 80% | |
| 45 | 10% | 69% | |
| 46 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 47 | 14% | 47% | |
| 48 | 13% | 34% | Last Result |
| 49 | 8% | 21% | |
| 50 | 4% | 13% | |
| 51 | 4% | 9% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 4% | 97% | |
| 41 | 5% | 93% | |
| 42 | 15% | 88% | |
| 43 | 16% | 73% | |
| 44 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 45 | 12% | 46% | |
| 46 | 9% | 35% | |
| 47 | 7% | 26% | |
| 48 | 7% | 19% | |
| 49 | 8% | 12% | |
| 50 | 3% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 28 | 3% | 96% | |
| 29 | 7% | 93% | |
| 30 | 10% | 87% | |
| 31 | 15% | 77% | |
| 32 | 10% | 62% | |
| 33 | 17% | 52% | Median |
| 34 | 16% | 35% | |
| 35 | 9% | 19% | |
| 36 | 5% | 10% | Last Result |
| 37 | 2% | 5% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 11 | 10% | 95% | |
| 12 | 13% | 85% | |
| 13 | 20% | 72% | Last Result |
| 14 | 22% | 51% | Median |
| 15 | 17% | 29% | |
| 16 | 6% | 12% | |
| 17 | 4% | 6% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 6% | 97% | |
| 9 | 13% | 91% | |
| 10 | 17% | 78% | |
| 11 | 25% | 60% | Median |
| 12 | 18% | 35% | |
| 13 | 11% | 17% | |
| 14 | 5% | 6% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 7 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 11% | 96% | Last Result |
| 9 | 24% | 85% | |
| 10 | 22% | 62% | Median |
| 11 | 24% | 40% | |
| 12 | 10% | 16% | |
| 13 | 4% | 6% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 20% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 77% | |
| 5 | 0% | 77% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 7 | 15% | 76% | |
| 8 | 26% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 22% | 35% | |
| 10 | 10% | 13% | |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | |
| 1 | 13% | 88% | |
| 2 | 44% | 75% | Median |
| 3 | 24% | 31% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 7 | 4% | 6% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 55% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 33% | 44% | |
| 3 | 8% | 12% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 99.9% | 92–102 | 91–103 | 90–104 | 87–106 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 88 | 85% | 83–93 | 82–94 | 81–95 | 78–97 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 86 | 67% | 82–91 | 80–92 | 79–94 | 76–96 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 84 | 44% | 80–89 | 78–90 | 77–91 | 74–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 82 | 29% | 77–87 | 75–88 | 74–89 | 71–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 81 | 12% | 75–85 | 74–86 | 72–87 | 69–90 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 77 | 2% | 72–82 | 71–83 | 70–84 | 68–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 74 | 0.3% | 70–79 | 68–80 | 66–81 | 64–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 71 | 0% | 66–76 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 61–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 72 | 0% | 67–77 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 62–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 71 | 0% | 66–75 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 61–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 61 | 0% | 56–65 | 55–67 | 53–68 | 51–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 60 | 0% | 55–64 | 54–65 | 52–67 | 51–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 59 | 0% | 54–63 | 53–65 | 52–66 | 50–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 58 | 0% | 52–61 | 51–62 | 50–63 | 48–65 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 42 | 0% | 38–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 | 33–50 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 20 | 0% | 16–24 | 15–25 | 14–26 | 12–28 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 3% | 96% | |
| 92 | 3% | 93% | |
| 93 | 5% | 90% | |
| 94 | 10% | 85% | |
| 95 | 8% | 75% | |
| 96 | 7% | 67% | Last Result |
| 97 | 12% | 60% | |
| 98 | 15% | 49% | Median |
| 99 | 7% | 34% | |
| 100 | 8% | 26% | |
| 101 | 6% | 18% | |
| 102 | 6% | 12% | |
| 103 | 3% | 6% | |
| 104 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 97% | |
| 83 | 4% | 94% | |
| 84 | 5% | 90% | |
| 85 | 13% | 85% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 72% | |
| 87 | 11% | 66% | |
| 88 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 89 | 12% | 44% | |
| 90 | 9% | 32% | |
| 91 | 6% | 23% | |
| 92 | 5% | 17% | |
| 93 | 5% | 12% | |
| 94 | 2% | 7% | |
| 95 | 3% | 5% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 97% | |
| 81 | 3% | 94% | |
| 82 | 6% | 91% | |
| 83 | 7% | 85% | |
| 84 | 11% | 78% | |
| 85 | 6% | 67% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 61% | |
| 87 | 16% | 48% | Median |
| 88 | 6% | 33% | |
| 89 | 8% | 27% | |
| 90 | 4% | 18% | |
| 91 | 7% | 14% | |
| 92 | 3% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 3% | 96% | |
| 79 | 3% | 93% | |
| 80 | 7% | 90% | |
| 81 | 7% | 83% | |
| 82 | 9% | 77% | |
| 83 | 10% | 67% | |
| 84 | 14% | 58% | |
| 85 | 10% | 44% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 34% | |
| 87 | 8% | 25% | |
| 88 | 5% | 17% | |
| 89 | 6% | 12% | |
| 90 | 2% | 6% | |
| 91 | 2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 2% | 96% | |
| 76 | 3% | 94% | |
| 77 | 5% | 91% | |
| 78 | 5% | 86% | |
| 79 | 5% | 81% | |
| 80 | 8% | 76% | |
| 81 | 6% | 68% | |
| 82 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 83 | 12% | 47% | |
| 84 | 6% | 35% | |
| 85 | 10% | 29% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 19% | |
| 87 | 6% | 12% | |
| 88 | 3% | 6% | |
| 89 | 2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 4% | 92% | |
| 76 | 6% | 88% | |
| 77 | 4% | 82% | |
| 78 | 7% | 78% | |
| 79 | 8% | 71% | |
| 80 | 12% | 64% | |
| 81 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 82 | 11% | 41% | |
| 83 | 6% | 30% | |
| 84 | 12% | 25% | |
| 85 | 4% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 5% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 3% | 93% | |
| 73 | 9% | 90% | |
| 74 | 10% | 81% | |
| 75 | 9% | 71% | |
| 76 | 7% | 62% | |
| 77 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 78 | 11% | 44% | |
| 79 | 8% | 32% | |
| 80 | 6% | 25% | |
| 81 | 6% | 19% | |
| 82 | 6% | 13% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 3% | 96% | |
| 69 | 2% | 93% | |
| 70 | 8% | 91% | |
| 71 | 4% | 83% | |
| 72 | 7% | 79% | |
| 73 | 12% | 72% | |
| 74 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 75 | 7% | 48% | |
| 76 | 15% | 41% | |
| 77 | 8% | 26% | |
| 78 | 6% | 18% | |
| 79 | 4% | 11% | |
| 80 | 3% | 7% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 5% | 94% | |
| 67 | 5% | 89% | |
| 68 | 7% | 83% | |
| 69 | 8% | 77% | |
| 70 | 8% | 69% | |
| 71 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 72 | 12% | 47% | Last Result |
| 73 | 6% | 35% | |
| 74 | 8% | 29% | |
| 75 | 9% | 21% | |
| 76 | 5% | 12% | |
| 77 | 2% | 7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 94% | |
| 67 | 3% | 92% | |
| 68 | 6% | 89% | |
| 69 | 6% | 83% | |
| 70 | 5% | 77% | |
| 71 | 12% | 72% | |
| 72 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 73 | 15% | 48% | |
| 74 | 10% | 33% | |
| 75 | 7% | 24% | |
| 76 | 6% | 16% | |
| 77 | 4% | 10% | |
| 78 | 3% | 7% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 96% | |
| 65 | 2% | 93% | |
| 66 | 5% | 90% | |
| 67 | 5% | 85% | |
| 68 | 6% | 80% | |
| 69 | 11% | 74% | |
| 70 | 10% | 63% | |
| 71 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 72 | 16% | 42% | |
| 73 | 8% | 26% | |
| 74 | 7% | 18% | |
| 75 | 4% | 11% | |
| 76 | 2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 3% | 95% | |
| 56 | 4% | 92% | |
| 57 | 6% | 89% | |
| 58 | 7% | 83% | |
| 59 | 9% | 76% | |
| 60 | 11% | 66% | Median |
| 61 | 10% | 55% | |
| 62 | 14% | 46% | |
| 63 | 12% | 32% | |
| 64 | 8% | 20% | |
| 65 | 3% | 12% | |
| 66 | 3% | 8% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 97% | |
| 54 | 4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 3% | 92% | |
| 56 | 6% | 88% | |
| 57 | 8% | 82% | |
| 58 | 8% | 73% | |
| 59 | 14% | 66% | |
| 60 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 61 | 11% | 40% | Last Result |
| 62 | 11% | 28% | |
| 63 | 6% | 18% | |
| 64 | 5% | 11% | |
| 65 | 2% | 7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 4% | 94% | |
| 55 | 5% | 90% | |
| 56 | 8% | 85% | |
| 57 | 8% | 77% | |
| 58 | 7% | 69% | |
| 59 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 60 | 11% | 49% | |
| 61 | 15% | 38% | |
| 62 | 9% | 23% | |
| 63 | 5% | 14% | |
| 64 | 3% | 8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 3% | 96% | |
| 52 | 4% | 93% | |
| 53 | 5% | 90% | |
| 54 | 10% | 84% | |
| 55 | 7% | 75% | |
| 56 | 7% | 68% | |
| 57 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 58 | 19% | 51% | |
| 59 | 13% | 32% | |
| 60 | 8% | 19% | |
| 61 | 4% | 11% | |
| 62 | 4% | 7% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 3% | 96% | |
| 37 | 3% | 93% | |
| 38 | 6% | 90% | |
| 39 | 10% | 84% | |
| 40 | 9% | 74% | |
| 41 | 11% | 65% | |
| 42 | 10% | 55% | |
| 43 | 13% | 44% | Median |
| 44 | 8% | 31% | |
| 45 | 11% | 23% | |
| 46 | 6% | 12% | |
| 47 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 48 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 2% | 98% | |
| 15 | 3% | 96% | |
| 16 | 9% | 93% | |
| 17 | 7% | 84% | |
| 18 | 8% | 77% | |
| 19 | 10% | 69% | |
| 20 | 11% | 59% | |
| 21 | 10% | 48% | Median |
| 22 | 12% | 38% | |
| 23 | 7% | 26% | |
| 24 | 10% | 19% | |
| 25 | 5% | 8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 4–5 February 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 772
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.11%