Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG, 4–6 February 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 26.7% | 25.0–28.6% | 24.5–29.1% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.2–30.4% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 23.6% | 21.9–25.4% | 21.5–25.9% | 21.1–26.3% | 20.3–27.2% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.8–21.7% | 16.1–22.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 48 | 44–49 | 44–49 | 44–51 | 43–54 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 42 | 41–49 | 39–49 | 39–49 | 38–49 |
| Høyre | 36 | 35 | 30–37 | 30–38 | 30–38 | 30–39 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 11 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 3–11 | 3–11 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 1–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–7 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 9% | 98.7% | |
| 45 | 3% | 89% | |
| 46 | 19% | 87% | |
| 47 | 3% | 68% | |
| 48 | 42% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 49 | 19% | 23% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 41 | 17% | 94% | |
| 42 | 53% | 77% | Median |
| 43 | 3% | 24% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 21% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 49 | 17% | 17% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 2% | 88% | |
| 32 | 4% | 86% | |
| 33 | 28% | 81% | |
| 34 | 3% | 53% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 50% | Median |
| 36 | 0.5% | 49% | Last Result |
| 37 | 42% | 49% | |
| 38 | 5% | 7% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 10 | 42% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 12 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 13 | 30% | 48% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 17% | |
| 15 | 9% | 15% | |
| 16 | 3% | 6% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 23% | 98% | |
| 11 | 2% | 75% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 73% | |
| 13 | 57% | 72% | Median |
| 14 | 14% | 15% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 22% | 97% | |
| 8 | 4% | 75% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 71% | |
| 10 | 42% | 64% | Median |
| 11 | 21% | 21% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 10% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 63% | 89% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 20% | 27% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 11 | 5% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 50% | 99.3% | Median |
| 2 | 12% | 50% | |
| 3 | 37% | 37% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 26% | 26% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 102 | 100% | 97–103 | 96–103 | 95–103 | 94–105 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 90 | 92% | 85–92 | 84–92 | 83–92 | 81–94 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 90 | 91% | 85–92 | 83–92 | 82–92 | 80–94 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 89 | 78% | 82–89 | 80–89 | 79–89 | 78–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 79 | 9% | 77–84 | 77–86 | 77–87 | 75–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 79 | 8% | 77–84 | 77–85 | 77–86 | 75–88 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 79 | 0.1% | 71–82 | 71–82 | 71–82 | 70–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 72 | 0.1% | 72–78 | 72–80 | 72–81 | 71–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 71 | 0% | 69–75 | 69–77 | 69–79 | 69–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 71 | 0% | 69–75 | 69–76 | 69–78 | 68–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 67 | 0% | 66–72 | 66–73 | 66–74 | 64–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 62 | 0% | 59–65 | 59–65 | 59–67 | 57–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 62 | 0% | 59–65 | 59–65 | 59–66 | 56–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 59 | 0% | 58–62 | 58–63 | 58–65 | 55–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 61 | 0% | 56–62 | 56–62 | 56–65 | 54–69 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 46 | 0% | 43–48 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 40–50 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 24 | 0% | 20–27 | 19–27 | 18–27 | 18–27 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 96 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 97 | 7% | 94% | |
| 98 | 12% | 87% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 75% | |
| 100 | 5% | 74% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 70% | Median |
| 102 | 26% | 69% | |
| 103 | 42% | 43% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 84 | 5% | 97% | |
| 85 | 12% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 79% | |
| 88 | 5% | 78% | Median |
| 89 | 9% | 73% | |
| 90 | 43% | 64% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 92 | 19% | 20% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 83 | 5% | 97% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 85 | 12% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 87 | 5% | 78% | |
| 88 | 9% | 73% | Median |
| 89 | 1.1% | 64% | |
| 90 | 42% | 63% | |
| 91 | 2% | 21% | |
| 92 | 18% | 18% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 80 | 5% | 97% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 82 | 12% | 91% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 79% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 79% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 78% | Majority |
| 86 | 14% | 77% | |
| 87 | 2% | 64% | Median |
| 88 | 0.6% | 62% | |
| 89 | 59% | 61% | |
| 90 | 2% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 18% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 2% | 82% | |
| 79 | 42% | 79% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 37% | Median |
| 81 | 9% | 36% | |
| 82 | 5% | 27% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 84 | 12% | 21% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 8% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 89 | 2% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 20% | 99.0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 79% | |
| 79 | 43% | 79% | |
| 80 | 9% | 36% | Median |
| 81 | 5% | 27% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 22% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 21% | |
| 84 | 12% | 20% | |
| 85 | 5% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 88 | 2% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 15% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 82% | |
| 75 | 10% | 82% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 77 | 3% | 71% | Median |
| 78 | 1.1% | 68% | |
| 79 | 47% | 67% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 81 | 2% | 20% | |
| 82 | 17% | 17% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 64% | 98% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 34% | Median |
| 74 | 1.4% | 32% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 31% | |
| 76 | 9% | 30% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 78 | 12% | 21% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 80 | 5% | 8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 18% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 81% | |
| 71 | 48% | 79% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 32% | Median |
| 73 | 1.0% | 31% | |
| 74 | 9% | 30% | |
| 75 | 12% | 21% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 77 | 6% | 9% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 20% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 5% | 79% | |
| 71 | 43% | 74% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 31% | Median |
| 73 | 10% | 31% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 75 | 12% | 21% | |
| 76 | 6% | 9% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 42% | 98.6% | |
| 67 | 26% | 57% | Median |
| 68 | 0.3% | 31% | |
| 69 | 5% | 30% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 71 | 12% | 25% | |
| 72 | 7% | 13% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 6% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 59 | 18% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 81% | |
| 61 | 13% | 79% | |
| 62 | 42% | 65% | Median |
| 63 | 4% | 23% | |
| 64 | 3% | 19% | |
| 65 | 12% | 16% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 59 | 20% | 98.5% | |
| 60 | 13% | 79% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 65% | |
| 62 | 44% | 65% | Median |
| 63 | 4% | 20% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 65 | 12% | 16% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 42% | 98% | |
| 59 | 28% | 56% | Median |
| 60 | 7% | 28% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 22% | Last Result |
| 62 | 15% | 21% | |
| 63 | 3% | 6% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 18% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 81% | |
| 58 | 11% | 81% | |
| 59 | 7% | 69% | |
| 60 | 4% | 62% | |
| 61 | 42% | 58% | Median |
| 62 | 12% | 16% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 97% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 43 | 18% | 94% | |
| 44 | 16% | 76% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 60% | |
| 46 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 47 | 0.7% | 45% | Last Result |
| 48 | 42% | 45% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 95% | |
| 20 | 20% | 93% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 72% | |
| 23 | 2% | 71% | |
| 24 | 42% | 70% | Median |
| 25 | 6% | 27% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 22% | |
| 27 | 21% | 21% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG
- Fieldwork period: 4–6 February 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 4.10%