Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 10–16 February 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 26.6% | 24.4–28.9% | 23.8–29.6% | 23.3–30.2% | 22.3–31.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 22.4% | 20.4–24.6% | 19.8–25.2% | 19.3–25.8% | 18.4–26.9% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 19.1% | 17.2–21.2% | 16.7–21.8% | 16.2–22.3% | 15.4–23.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.1% | 5.4–9.5% | 4.9–10.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.9% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% | 4.4–8.1% | 3.9–8.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.2–7.2% | 4.0–7.5% | 3.5–8.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.7% | 2.3–6.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.9% | 2.3–5.2% | 2.0–5.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.3–3.2% | 1.2–3.5% | 1.0–3.9% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% | 0.1–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 50 | 47–53 | 46–55 | 44–56 | 41–58 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 43 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–48 | 35–49 |
| Høyre | 36 | 34 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–40 | 28–43 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 9–17 | 8–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 1–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 6–13 | 1–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 0–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 7% | 93% | |
| 48 | 13% | 86% | Last Result |
| 49 | 22% | 72% | |
| 50 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 51 | 9% | 42% | |
| 52 | 6% | 33% | |
| 53 | 18% | 27% | |
| 54 | 3% | 9% | |
| 55 | 3% | 6% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 3% | 96% | |
| 39 | 14% | 94% | |
| 40 | 12% | 80% | |
| 41 | 11% | 68% | |
| 42 | 7% | 57% | |
| 43 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 44 | 20% | 45% | |
| 45 | 16% | 25% | |
| 46 | 4% | 9% | |
| 47 | 2% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 30 | 6% | 96% | |
| 31 | 11% | 90% | |
| 32 | 16% | 79% | |
| 33 | 10% | 63% | |
| 34 | 24% | 53% | Median |
| 35 | 15% | 30% | |
| 36 | 3% | 15% | Last Result |
| 37 | 4% | 12% | |
| 38 | 3% | 8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 5% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 9% | 93% | |
| 11 | 14% | 84% | |
| 12 | 27% | 70% | Median |
| 13 | 19% | 44% | Last Result |
| 14 | 8% | 24% | |
| 15 | 7% | 16% | |
| 16 | 6% | 9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 11% | 96% | |
| 9 | 23% | 85% | |
| 10 | 22% | 63% | Median |
| 11 | 9% | 41% | |
| 12 | 11% | 32% | |
| 13 | 15% | 21% | |
| 14 | 4% | 6% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 7 | 5% | 97% | |
| 8 | 13% | 92% | Last Result |
| 9 | 20% | 80% | |
| 10 | 32% | 60% | Median |
| 11 | 16% | 27% | |
| 12 | 7% | 11% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 16% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 44% | 84% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 40% | |
| 5 | 0% | 40% | |
| 6 | 5% | 40% | |
| 7 | 14% | 35% | |
| 8 | 13% | 21% | Last Result |
| 9 | 5% | 8% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 12% | 98% | |
| 2 | 31% | 86% | |
| 3 | 37% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 18% | |
| 5 | 0% | 18% | |
| 6 | 3% | 18% | |
| 7 | 7% | 16% | |
| 8 | 6% | 9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | |
| 1 | 79% | 88% | Median |
| 2 | 6% | 8% | |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 94 | 99.3% | 90–99 | 88–100 | 87–101 | 84–105 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 85 | 57% | 80–90 | 78–91 | 77–93 | 75–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 84 | 44% | 78–89 | 77–91 | 76–92 | 73–94 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 84 | 40% | 79–89 | 77–90 | 76–92 | 74–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 83 | 29% | 77–87 | 76–90 | 75–91 | 71–93 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 81 | 11% | 76–85 | 74–86 | 73–88 | 71–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 78 | 3% | 73–82 | 71–83 | 70–86 | 67–88 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 76 | 0.4% | 71–80 | 70–81 | 69–83 | 67–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 75 | 0.2% | 69–79 | 68–80 | 67–81 | 64–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–78 | 67–79 | 66–81 | 62–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–78 | 67–79 | 66–80 | 63–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 65 | 0% | 61–69 | 60–71 | 58–73 | 55–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 64 | 0% | 60–68 | 58–70 | 57–72 | 54–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 62 | 0% | 58–67 | 58–68 | 56–69 | 54–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 61 | 0% | 57–64 | 56–65 | 54–66 | 51–70 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 41 | 0% | 37–46 | 36–48 | 35–50 | 34–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 18 | 0% | 14–24 | 13–25 | 12–26 | 11–29 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 4% | 94% | |
| 90 | 8% | 90% | |
| 91 | 4% | 82% | |
| 92 | 5% | 78% | |
| 93 | 18% | 73% | Median |
| 94 | 10% | 55% | |
| 95 | 5% | 45% | |
| 96 | 13% | 40% | Last Result |
| 97 | 11% | 27% | |
| 98 | 5% | 16% | |
| 99 | 4% | 11% | |
| 100 | 3% | 7% | |
| 101 | 2% | 4% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 4% | 97% | |
| 79 | 2% | 93% | |
| 80 | 6% | 91% | |
| 81 | 3% | 85% | |
| 82 | 12% | 83% | |
| 83 | 5% | 71% | |
| 84 | 9% | 66% | Median |
| 85 | 17% | 57% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 40% | |
| 87 | 13% | 34% | |
| 88 | 4% | 21% | |
| 89 | 7% | 17% | |
| 90 | 4% | 11% | |
| 91 | 3% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 3% | 98% | |
| 77 | 3% | 95% | |
| 78 | 3% | 93% | |
| 79 | 6% | 90% | |
| 80 | 8% | 84% | |
| 81 | 7% | 76% | |
| 82 | 6% | 69% | |
| 83 | 14% | 64% | Median |
| 84 | 6% | 50% | |
| 85 | 15% | 44% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 29% | |
| 87 | 4% | 23% | |
| 88 | 8% | 18% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 90 | 4% | 9% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 92 | 4% | 5% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 77 | 4% | 97% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 79 | 7% | 92% | |
| 80 | 2% | 85% | |
| 81 | 8% | 82% | |
| 82 | 8% | 74% | |
| 83 | 10% | 66% | Median |
| 84 | 16% | 56% | |
| 85 | 6% | 40% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 34% | |
| 87 | 5% | 22% | |
| 88 | 5% | 16% | |
| 89 | 4% | 11% | |
| 90 | 3% | 7% | |
| 91 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 5% | 97% | |
| 77 | 3% | 92% | |
| 78 | 5% | 89% | |
| 79 | 6% | 84% | |
| 80 | 11% | 78% | |
| 81 | 4% | 67% | |
| 82 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 83 | 6% | 51% | |
| 84 | 16% | 45% | |
| 85 | 7% | 29% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 22% | |
| 87 | 9% | 19% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 89 | 2% | 9% | |
| 90 | 2% | 7% | |
| 91 | 4% | 5% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 74 | 3% | 97% | |
| 75 | 3% | 94% | |
| 76 | 5% | 92% | |
| 77 | 8% | 87% | |
| 78 | 3% | 79% | |
| 79 | 10% | 76% | |
| 80 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 81 | 15% | 54% | |
| 82 | 11% | 39% | |
| 83 | 10% | 28% | |
| 84 | 7% | 18% | |
| 85 | 2% | 11% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 8% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 88 | 2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 4% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 93% | |
| 73 | 6% | 91% | |
| 74 | 8% | 85% | |
| 75 | 7% | 78% | |
| 76 | 13% | 70% | Median |
| 77 | 6% | 58% | |
| 78 | 23% | 52% | |
| 79 | 6% | 29% | |
| 80 | 6% | 23% | |
| 81 | 4% | 17% | |
| 82 | 5% | 13% | |
| 83 | 3% | 8% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 8% | 95% | |
| 72 | 8% | 87% | |
| 73 | 8% | 80% | |
| 74 | 8% | 72% | |
| 75 | 10% | 63% | |
| 76 | 5% | 53% | |
| 77 | 11% | 49% | Median |
| 78 | 18% | 38% | |
| 79 | 2% | 20% | |
| 80 | 9% | 18% | |
| 81 | 4% | 9% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 96% | |
| 69 | 4% | 93% | |
| 70 | 4% | 88% | |
| 71 | 6% | 84% | |
| 72 | 12% | 79% | |
| 73 | 13% | 67% | Median |
| 74 | 4% | 54% | |
| 75 | 21% | 50% | |
| 76 | 7% | 29% | |
| 77 | 7% | 22% | |
| 78 | 3% | 15% | |
| 79 | 6% | 11% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 81 | 3% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 4% | 94% | |
| 69 | 6% | 90% | |
| 70 | 7% | 83% | |
| 71 | 6% | 77% | |
| 72 | 14% | 71% | Last Result |
| 73 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 74 | 3% | 42% | |
| 75 | 10% | 39% | |
| 76 | 15% | 29% | |
| 77 | 3% | 14% | |
| 78 | 2% | 11% | |
| 79 | 5% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 97% | |
| 68 | 5% | 94% | |
| 69 | 4% | 88% | |
| 70 | 6% | 84% | |
| 71 | 9% | 78% | |
| 72 | 16% | 68% | Median |
| 73 | 3% | 53% | |
| 74 | 20% | 50% | |
| 75 | 7% | 30% | |
| 76 | 9% | 23% | |
| 77 | 2% | 14% | |
| 78 | 6% | 12% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 4% | 93% | |
| 62 | 8% | 89% | |
| 63 | 18% | 81% | |
| 64 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 65 | 10% | 50% | |
| 66 | 19% | 40% | |
| 67 | 3% | 22% | |
| 68 | 6% | 19% | |
| 69 | 6% | 13% | |
| 70 | 2% | 7% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 4% | 93% | |
| 61 | 7% | 89% | |
| 62 | 17% | 82% | |
| 63 | 14% | 65% | Median |
| 64 | 10% | 51% | |
| 65 | 20% | 41% | |
| 66 | 3% | 21% | |
| 67 | 6% | 18% | |
| 68 | 6% | 12% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 5% | 95% | |
| 59 | 8% | 90% | |
| 60 | 8% | 82% | |
| 61 | 10% | 74% | Last Result |
| 62 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 49% | |
| 64 | 8% | 39% | |
| 65 | 18% | 31% | |
| 66 | 3% | 14% | |
| 67 | 4% | 11% | |
| 68 | 3% | 7% | |
| 69 | 3% | 5% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 4% | 93% | |
| 58 | 6% | 89% | |
| 59 | 20% | 84% | |
| 60 | 12% | 64% | Median |
| 61 | 16% | 52% | |
| 62 | 19% | 37% | |
| 63 | 4% | 18% | |
| 64 | 6% | 13% | |
| 65 | 2% | 7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 2% | 96% | |
| 37 | 5% | 94% | |
| 38 | 9% | 89% | |
| 39 | 8% | 80% | |
| 40 | 18% | 72% | Median |
| 41 | 12% | 54% | |
| 42 | 9% | 42% | |
| 43 | 7% | 34% | |
| 44 | 8% | 27% | |
| 45 | 5% | 19% | |
| 46 | 4% | 13% | |
| 47 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 48 | 2% | 7% | |
| 49 | 2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 4% | 97% | |
| 14 | 3% | 93% | |
| 15 | 18% | 89% | |
| 16 | 11% | 71% | Median |
| 17 | 10% | 60% | |
| 18 | 8% | 50% | |
| 19 | 6% | 42% | |
| 20 | 6% | 36% | |
| 21 | 5% | 30% | |
| 22 | 7% | 25% | |
| 23 | 8% | 18% | |
| 24 | 4% | 11% | |
| 25 | 4% | 7% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 10–16 February 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 639
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.07%