Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 24–28 February 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 29.5% | 27.7–31.4% | 27.2–31.9% | 26.7–32.4% | 25.9–33.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 21.7% | 20.1–23.5% | 19.7–23.9% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.5–25.2% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 19.3% | 17.8–21.0% | 17.4–21.5% | 17.0–21.9% | 16.3–22.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 56 | 52–61 | 51–61 | 51–61 | 49–63 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 41 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–48 | 35–49 |
| Høyre | 36 | 36 | 34–39 | 32–40 | 31–42 | 30–44 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 1–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–12 |
| Rødt | 8 | 1 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 0–7 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 5% | 98% | |
| 52 | 8% | 93% | |
| 53 | 8% | 85% | |
| 54 | 9% | 77% | |
| 55 | 16% | 68% | |
| 56 | 23% | 52% | Median |
| 57 | 9% | 29% | |
| 58 | 4% | 20% | |
| 59 | 2% | 16% | |
| 60 | 2% | 14% | |
| 61 | 10% | 12% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 5% | 97% | |
| 39 | 8% | 92% | |
| 40 | 13% | 85% | |
| 41 | 24% | 71% | Median |
| 42 | 15% | 47% | |
| 43 | 3% | 32% | |
| 44 | 11% | 29% | |
| 45 | 10% | 18% | |
| 46 | 3% | 8% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 34 | 34% | 93% | |
| 35 | 6% | 59% | |
| 36 | 11% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 37 | 9% | 42% | |
| 38 | 12% | 33% | |
| 39 | 13% | 22% | |
| 40 | 4% | 9% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 12% | 98% | |
| 13 | 23% | 87% | Last Result |
| 14 | 23% | 64% | Median |
| 15 | 19% | 41% | |
| 16 | 11% | 22% | |
| 17 | 6% | 11% | |
| 18 | 3% | 5% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 93% | |
| 2 | 0% | 89% | |
| 3 | 0% | 89% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0% | 89% | |
| 7 | 10% | 89% | |
| 8 | 25% | 79% | |
| 9 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 10 | 29% | 43% | |
| 11 | 8% | 13% | |
| 12 | 5% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 24% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 69% | |
| 5 | 0% | 69% | |
| 6 | 0% | 69% | |
| 7 | 2% | 69% | |
| 8 | 24% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 40% | 44% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0% | 16% | |
| 5 | 0% | 16% | |
| 6 | 0% | 16% | |
| 7 | 3% | 15% | |
| 8 | 9% | 12% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 22% | 94% | |
| 2 | 7% | 72% | |
| 3 | 61% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 73% | 99.2% | Median |
| 2 | 21% | 26% | |
| 3 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 96 | 99.5% | 90–101 | 88–101 | 87–101 | 85–102 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 88 | 90% | 84–94 | 81–95 | 79–97 | 79–99 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 87 | 79% | 83–93 | 79–93 | 78–95 | 78–96 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 85 | 51% | 80–90 | 77–92 | 76–93 | 75–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 82 | 21% | 76–86 | 76–90 | 74–91 | 73–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 82 | 21% | 77–85 | 76–87 | 75–90 | 72–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 81 | 10% | 75–85 | 74–88 | 72–90 | 70–90 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 78 | 5% | 74–82 | 73–84 | 72–89 | 69–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 81 | 5% | 75–84 | 73–84 | 72–86 | 69–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 79 | 2% | 74–82 | 72–82 | 70–84 | 68–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 73 | 0.5% | 68–79 | 68–81 | 68–82 | 67–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 70 | 0% | 66–73 | 66–74 | 65–76 | 63–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 68 | 0% | 64–72 | 61–73 | 60–75 | 56–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 66 | 0% | 62–70 | 59–71 | 58–73 | 54–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 64 | 0% | 59–68 | 57–69 | 55–70 | 52–75 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 46 | 0% | 42–51 | 40–51 | 38–53 | 37–56 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 18 | 0% | 12–22 | 9–23 | 4–23 | 3–24 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 90 | 3% | 92% | |
| 91 | 2% | 89% | |
| 92 | 5% | 87% | |
| 93 | 6% | 82% | |
| 94 | 14% | 76% | |
| 95 | 4% | 62% | |
| 96 | 11% | 58% | Last Result |
| 97 | 18% | 47% | Median |
| 98 | 2% | 29% | |
| 99 | 14% | 27% | |
| 100 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 101 | 10% | 11% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 83 | 2% | 94% | |
| 84 | 2% | 92% | |
| 85 | 4% | 90% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 86% | |
| 87 | 2% | 73% | |
| 88 | 31% | 72% | |
| 89 | 2% | 41% | Median |
| 90 | 9% | 39% | |
| 91 | 7% | 30% | |
| 92 | 8% | 23% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 94 | 7% | 14% | |
| 95 | 3% | 7% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 97 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 96% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 81 | 2% | 94% | |
| 82 | 2% | 92% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 90% | |
| 84 | 10% | 89% | |
| 85 | 8% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 72% | |
| 87 | 25% | 64% | |
| 88 | 3% | 40% | Median |
| 89 | 7% | 37% | |
| 90 | 7% | 30% | |
| 91 | 8% | 23% | |
| 92 | 2% | 15% | |
| 93 | 9% | 13% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 96 | 2% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 3% | 97% | |
| 78 | 2% | 94% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 80 | 2% | 91% | |
| 81 | 5% | 89% | |
| 82 | 4% | 84% | |
| 83 | 11% | 80% | |
| 84 | 18% | 69% | |
| 85 | 7% | 51% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 15% | 44% | |
| 87 | 6% | 29% | |
| 88 | 8% | 23% | |
| 89 | 2% | 15% | |
| 90 | 7% | 13% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 92 | 3% | 6% | |
| 93 | 2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 9% | 95% | |
| 77 | 2% | 87% | |
| 78 | 8% | 85% | |
| 79 | 7% | 77% | |
| 80 | 7% | 70% | |
| 81 | 3% | 63% | Median |
| 82 | 25% | 60% | |
| 83 | 7% | 36% | |
| 84 | 8% | 28% | |
| 85 | 9% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 87 | 2% | 10% | |
| 88 | 2% | 8% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 3% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 75 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 3% | 95% | |
| 77 | 3% | 92% | |
| 78 | 7% | 90% | |
| 79 | 3% | 83% | |
| 80 | 12% | 80% | |
| 81 | 6% | 68% | |
| 82 | 16% | 62% | |
| 83 | 6% | 46% | Median |
| 84 | 19% | 41% | |
| 85 | 12% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 9% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 91 | 2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 96% | |
| 75 | 7% | 93% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 77 | 8% | 85% | |
| 78 | 7% | 77% | |
| 79 | 9% | 70% | |
| 80 | 2% | 61% | Median |
| 81 | 31% | 59% | |
| 82 | 2% | 28% | |
| 83 | 12% | 27% | |
| 84 | 4% | 14% | |
| 85 | 2% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 8% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 90 | 3% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 4% | 94% | |
| 75 | 20% | 90% | |
| 76 | 6% | 69% | |
| 77 | 3% | 63% | Median |
| 78 | 23% | 60% | |
| 79 | 11% | 38% | |
| 80 | 6% | 27% | |
| 81 | 10% | 21% | |
| 82 | 2% | 10% | |
| 83 | 2% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 7% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 75 | 11% | 93% | |
| 76 | 2% | 82% | |
| 77 | 11% | 80% | |
| 78 | 7% | 69% | |
| 79 | 8% | 62% | |
| 80 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 81 | 24% | 52% | |
| 82 | 8% | 27% | |
| 83 | 9% | 20% | |
| 84 | 6% | 10% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 73 | 3% | 94% | |
| 74 | 9% | 91% | |
| 75 | 2% | 81% | |
| 76 | 12% | 80% | |
| 77 | 7% | 68% | |
| 78 | 10% | 61% | |
| 79 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 80 | 29% | 49% | |
| 81 | 2% | 20% | |
| 82 | 14% | 18% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 10% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 70 | 14% | 87% | |
| 71 | 2% | 73% | |
| 72 | 18% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 11% | 53% | |
| 74 | 4% | 42% | |
| 75 | 14% | 38% | |
| 76 | 6% | 24% | |
| 77 | 6% | 18% | |
| 78 | 2% | 13% | |
| 79 | 3% | 11% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 2% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 66 | 10% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 87% | |
| 68 | 19% | 83% | |
| 69 | 5% | 64% | |
| 70 | 25% | 59% | Median |
| 71 | 4% | 34% | |
| 72 | 5% | 30% | |
| 73 | 18% | 25% | |
| 74 | 2% | 6% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 2% | 93% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 64 | 4% | 90% | |
| 65 | 9% | 86% | |
| 66 | 17% | 78% | |
| 67 | 10% | 61% | |
| 68 | 2% | 51% | |
| 69 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 70 | 27% | 42% | |
| 71 | 3% | 16% | |
| 72 | 6% | 12% | |
| 73 | 3% | 6% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 4% | 97% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 61 | 2% | 93% | |
| 62 | 2% | 91% | |
| 63 | 4% | 89% | |
| 64 | 8% | 85% | |
| 65 | 17% | 78% | |
| 66 | 11% | 60% | |
| 67 | 5% | 49% | |
| 68 | 7% | 44% | Median |
| 69 | 23% | 37% | |
| 70 | 7% | 14% | |
| 71 | 4% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 58 | 4% | 95% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 60 | 3% | 89% | |
| 61 | 8% | 87% | |
| 62 | 15% | 79% | |
| 63 | 11% | 63% | |
| 64 | 3% | 53% | |
| 65 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 66 | 16% | 41% | |
| 67 | 11% | 25% | |
| 68 | 9% | 14% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 70 | 3% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 40 | 4% | 96% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 42 | 4% | 90% | |
| 43 | 15% | 86% | |
| 44 | 7% | 71% | |
| 45 | 11% | 64% | |
| 46 | 25% | 53% | |
| 47 | 2% | 28% | Last Result, Median |
| 48 | 7% | 26% | |
| 49 | 7% | 19% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 51 | 7% | 11% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 8 | 0% | 95% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 11 | 2% | 94% | |
| 12 | 3% | 92% | |
| 13 | 4% | 89% | |
| 14 | 5% | 85% | |
| 15 | 2% | 80% | |
| 16 | 20% | 78% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 58% | |
| 18 | 7% | 57% | |
| 19 | 4% | 50% | |
| 20 | 15% | 46% | Median |
| 21 | 9% | 31% | |
| 22 | 15% | 21% | |
| 23 | 5% | 6% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 24–28 February 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.27%