Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 24 February–3 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 28.2% | 26.2–30.4% | 25.7–31.0% | 25.2–31.5% | 24.2–32.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 24.7% | 22.8–26.8% | 22.3–27.4% | 21.8–27.9% | 20.9–28.9% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 18.5% | 16.8–20.4% | 16.3–21.0% | 15.9–21.4% | 15.2–22.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3–7.6% | 5.1–8.0% | 4.8–8.3% | 4.4–8.9% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.4% | 4.5–6.6% | 4.3–7.0% | 4.1–7.3% | 3.6–7.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.1–5.5% | 2.9–5.8% | 2.6–6.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.6–5.3% | 2.3–5.9% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.2% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.2–4.7% | 1.9–5.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.7–4.0% | 1.4–4.5% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 53 | 49–57 | 48–59 | 47–61 | 45–61 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 46 | 42–50 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 39–55 |
| Høyre | 36 | 33 | 30–37 | 29–39 | 29–40 | 27–42 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 11 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 1–14 | 0–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 1–9 | 1–10 | 1–10 | 1–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 49 | 6% | 95% | |
| 50 | 8% | 89% | |
| 51 | 9% | 81% | |
| 52 | 15% | 72% | |
| 53 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 54 | 12% | 46% | |
| 55 | 12% | 35% | |
| 56 | 9% | 23% | |
| 57 | 4% | 14% | |
| 58 | 3% | 10% | |
| 59 | 2% | 7% | |
| 60 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 61 | 3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 7% | 95% | |
| 43 | 12% | 88% | |
| 44 | 18% | 76% | |
| 45 | 6% | 58% | |
| 46 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 47 | 12% | 39% | |
| 48 | 9% | 27% | |
| 49 | 7% | 18% | |
| 50 | 7% | 11% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 29 | 4% | 98% | |
| 30 | 10% | 94% | |
| 31 | 10% | 84% | |
| 32 | 19% | 74% | |
| 33 | 17% | 55% | Median |
| 34 | 6% | 37% | |
| 35 | 8% | 32% | |
| 36 | 7% | 24% | Last Result |
| 37 | 7% | 16% | |
| 38 | 4% | 10% | |
| 39 | 3% | 6% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 7% | 98% | |
| 10 | 11% | 91% | |
| 11 | 31% | 79% | Median |
| 12 | 19% | 48% | |
| 13 | 13% | 29% | Last Result |
| 14 | 10% | 16% | |
| 15 | 4% | 6% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 7 | 4% | 97% | |
| 8 | 11% | 93% | |
| 9 | 16% | 82% | |
| 10 | 25% | 66% | Median |
| 11 | 28% | 41% | |
| 12 | 7% | 13% | |
| 13 | 4% | 6% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 100% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 68% | |
| 3 | 0% | 67% | |
| 4 | 0% | 67% | |
| 5 | 0% | 67% | |
| 6 | 2% | 67% | |
| 7 | 14% | 65% | |
| 8 | 19% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 23% | 33% | |
| 10 | 8% | 9% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 16% | 91% | |
| 3 | 38% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 5 | 0% | 37% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 37% | |
| 7 | 15% | 37% | |
| 8 | 14% | 22% | |
| 9 | 6% | 8% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 48% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 29% | 48% | |
| 4 | 0% | 19% | |
| 5 | 0% | 19% | |
| 6 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 7 | 6% | 18% | |
| 8 | 10% | 12% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | |
| 1 | 42% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 18% | 33% | |
| 3 | 13% | 15% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 93 | 99.1% | 89–99 | 87–101 | 86–102 | 83–105 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 88 | 82% | 83–94 | 81–95 | 80–97 | 79–100 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 86 | 60% | 80–90 | 78–91 | 77–92 | 73–95 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 83 | 40% | 79–89 | 78–91 | 77–92 | 74–96 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 82 | 29% | 78–88 | 77–90 | 75–91 | 73–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 81 | 18% | 75–86 | 74–88 | 72–89 | 69–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 81 | 16% | 76–86 | 74–87 | 73–88 | 70–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 80 | 10% | 74–84 | 73–86 | 72–87 | 68–90 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 79 | 8% | 75–84 | 74–85 | 72–87 | 70–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 74 | 0.4% | 70–80 | 69–82 | 67–83 | 65–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 76 | 0.9% | 70–80 | 68–82 | 66–83 | 64–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 69 | 0% | 64–74 | 63–75 | 62–77 | 58–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 65 | 0% | 60–69 | 59–71 | 58–73 | 56–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 64 | 0% | 60–69 | 59–71 | 58–72 | 55–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 63 | 0% | 59–67 | 58–69 | 56–71 | 53–72 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 37 | 0% | 34–44 | 33–45 | 32–45 | 31–47 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 14 | 0% | 12–18 | 11–20 | 9–21 | 3–23 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 99.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 97% | |
| 88 | 5% | 95% | |
| 89 | 2% | 90% | |
| 90 | 13% | 88% | |
| 91 | 10% | 75% | |
| 92 | 10% | 65% | Median |
| 93 | 10% | 55% | |
| 94 | 6% | 45% | |
| 95 | 6% | 38% | |
| 96 | 7% | 33% | Last Result |
| 97 | 8% | 25% | |
| 98 | 6% | 18% | |
| 99 | 3% | 12% | |
| 100 | 4% | 9% | |
| 101 | 2% | 6% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 4% | 95% | |
| 83 | 6% | 91% | |
| 84 | 4% | 85% | |
| 85 | 6% | 82% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 18% | 76% | |
| 87 | 7% | 58% | |
| 88 | 7% | 51% | |
| 89 | 7% | 44% | |
| 90 | 10% | 38% | |
| 91 | 7% | 28% | |
| 92 | 4% | 21% | |
| 93 | 2% | 16% | |
| 94 | 6% | 14% | |
| 95 | 3% | 8% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 77 | 3% | 98% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 79 | 2% | 94% | |
| 80 | 4% | 92% | |
| 81 | 5% | 88% | |
| 82 | 9% | 83% | |
| 83 | 8% | 73% | |
| 84 | 5% | 65% | |
| 85 | 7% | 60% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 53% | |
| 87 | 6% | 40% | |
| 88 | 6% | 34% | |
| 89 | 10% | 28% | |
| 90 | 11% | 18% | |
| 91 | 3% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 3% | 96% | |
| 79 | 11% | 93% | |
| 80 | 10% | 82% | |
| 81 | 6% | 72% | |
| 82 | 6% | 66% | Median |
| 83 | 13% | 60% | |
| 84 | 7% | 47% | |
| 85 | 5% | 40% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 35% | |
| 87 | 9% | 27% | |
| 88 | 5% | 17% | |
| 89 | 4% | 12% | |
| 90 | 2% | 8% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 3% | 5% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 4% | 96% | |
| 78 | 16% | 92% | |
| 79 | 4% | 76% | |
| 80 | 6% | 72% | |
| 81 | 9% | 66% | Median |
| 82 | 7% | 57% | |
| 83 | 13% | 49% | |
| 84 | 8% | 37% | |
| 85 | 7% | 29% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 22% | |
| 87 | 4% | 15% | |
| 88 | 4% | 11% | |
| 89 | 2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 6% | |
| 91 | 2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 6% | 92% | |
| 76 | 2% | 86% | |
| 77 | 4% | 84% | |
| 78 | 7% | 79% | |
| 79 | 10% | 72% | |
| 80 | 7% | 62% | |
| 81 | 7% | 56% | |
| 82 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 83 | 18% | 42% | |
| 84 | 6% | 24% | |
| 85 | 4% | 18% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 15% | |
| 87 | 4% | 9% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 3% | 94% | |
| 76 | 5% | 91% | |
| 77 | 6% | 86% | |
| 78 | 10% | 80% | Median |
| 79 | 7% | 70% | |
| 80 | 10% | 64% | |
| 81 | 6% | 54% | |
| 82 | 20% | 47% | |
| 83 | 7% | 27% | |
| 84 | 5% | 20% | |
| 85 | 5% | 16% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 10% | |
| 87 | 4% | 8% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 6% | 93% | |
| 75 | 4% | 87% | |
| 76 | 7% | 83% | |
| 77 | 3% | 76% | Median |
| 78 | 12% | 72% | |
| 79 | 7% | 61% | |
| 80 | 11% | 53% | |
| 81 | 19% | 42% | |
| 82 | 7% | 23% | |
| 83 | 3% | 16% | |
| 84 | 3% | 13% | |
| 85 | 3% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 7% | 93% | |
| 76 | 18% | 86% | |
| 77 | 6% | 68% | |
| 78 | 10% | 62% | |
| 79 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 80 | 12% | 44% | |
| 81 | 8% | 32% | |
| 82 | 5% | 24% | |
| 83 | 8% | 19% | |
| 84 | 4% | 11% | |
| 85 | 4% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 4% | 93% | |
| 71 | 7% | 89% | |
| 72 | 6% | 82% | |
| 73 | 10% | 76% | |
| 74 | 15% | 65% | Median |
| 75 | 12% | 50% | |
| 76 | 5% | 38% | |
| 77 | 8% | 33% | |
| 78 | 6% | 25% | |
| 79 | 9% | 19% | |
| 80 | 3% | 10% | |
| 81 | 2% | 8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 3% | 91% | |
| 71 | 6% | 88% | |
| 72 | 8% | 82% | Last Result |
| 73 | 7% | 75% | |
| 74 | 6% | 67% | |
| 75 | 6% | 62% | Median |
| 76 | 10% | 55% | |
| 77 | 10% | 45% | |
| 78 | 10% | 35% | |
| 79 | 13% | 25% | |
| 80 | 2% | 12% | |
| 81 | 5% | 10% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 4% | 96% | |
| 64 | 3% | 91% | |
| 65 | 5% | 88% | |
| 66 | 8% | 83% | |
| 67 | 11% | 75% | Median |
| 68 | 10% | 64% | |
| 69 | 11% | 54% | |
| 70 | 7% | 43% | |
| 71 | 14% | 37% | |
| 72 | 6% | 23% | |
| 73 | 3% | 16% | |
| 74 | 3% | 13% | |
| 75 | 5% | 9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 5% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 59 | 3% | 97% | |
| 60 | 5% | 95% | |
| 61 | 4% | 90% | Last Result |
| 62 | 10% | 86% | |
| 63 | 14% | 76% | |
| 64 | 5% | 62% | Median |
| 65 | 14% | 56% | |
| 66 | 12% | 42% | |
| 67 | 6% | 30% | |
| 68 | 7% | 24% | |
| 69 | 8% | 17% | |
| 70 | 3% | 10% | |
| 71 | 3% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 96% | |
| 60 | 5% | 94% | |
| 61 | 8% | 89% | |
| 62 | 7% | 81% | |
| 63 | 8% | 74% | |
| 64 | 20% | 66% | Median |
| 65 | 9% | 46% | |
| 66 | 14% | 37% | |
| 67 | 6% | 23% | |
| 68 | 5% | 17% | |
| 69 | 4% | 12% | |
| 70 | 3% | 8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 58 | 3% | 96% | |
| 59 | 6% | 93% | |
| 60 | 7% | 86% | |
| 61 | 11% | 79% | |
| 62 | 4% | 68% | |
| 63 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 64 | 17% | 48% | |
| 65 | 9% | 30% | |
| 66 | 7% | 22% | |
| 67 | 4% | 14% | |
| 68 | 4% | 10% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 71 | 4% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 4% | 96% | |
| 34 | 11% | 93% | |
| 35 | 15% | 82% | |
| 36 | 11% | 67% | Median |
| 37 | 11% | 56% | |
| 38 | 4% | 46% | |
| 39 | 7% | 42% | |
| 40 | 8% | 35% | |
| 41 | 7% | 27% | |
| 42 | 5% | 20% | |
| 43 | 5% | 15% | |
| 44 | 5% | 10% | |
| 45 | 3% | 6% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 10 | 2% | 97% | |
| 11 | 5% | 96% | |
| 12 | 10% | 91% | |
| 13 | 17% | 81% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 64% | |
| 15 | 13% | 45% | |
| 16 | 10% | 32% | |
| 17 | 6% | 22% | |
| 18 | 7% | 15% | |
| 19 | 4% | 9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 5% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 24 February–3 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 772
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.98%