Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 4–5 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 26.5% | 24.7–28.3% | 24.2–28.9% | 23.8–29.3% | 23.0–30.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.7–27.0% | 20.9–27.9% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 19.7% | 18.1–21.4% | 17.7–21.8% | 17.3–22.3% | 16.6–23.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 51 | 48–55 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 43–57 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 44 | 42–48 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–51 |
| Høyre | 36 | 35 | 32–39 | 32–40 | 31–40 | 30–42 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 8–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 1–11 | 1–12 | 1–12 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 5–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–7 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 4% | 95% | |
| 48 | 11% | 91% | Last Result |
| 49 | 14% | 80% | |
| 50 | 12% | 66% | |
| 51 | 17% | 54% | Median |
| 52 | 10% | 36% | |
| 53 | 10% | 27% | |
| 54 | 5% | 17% | |
| 55 | 7% | 11% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 22% | 95% | |
| 43 | 12% | 73% | |
| 44 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 45 | 16% | 47% | |
| 46 | 13% | 32% | |
| 47 | 6% | 18% | |
| 48 | 5% | 12% | |
| 49 | 4% | 8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 32 | 11% | 97% | |
| 33 | 11% | 86% | |
| 34 | 13% | 75% | |
| 35 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 36 | 9% | 47% | Last Result |
| 37 | 9% | 38% | |
| 38 | 12% | 29% | |
| 39 | 11% | 17% | |
| 40 | 4% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 6% | 98% | |
| 10 | 13% | 92% | |
| 11 | 17% | 79% | |
| 12 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 13 | 17% | 45% | Last Result |
| 14 | 14% | 28% | |
| 15 | 11% | 15% | |
| 16 | 3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 2% | 94% | |
| 7 | 12% | 92% | |
| 8 | 33% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 23% | 47% | |
| 10 | 14% | 24% | |
| 11 | 7% | 10% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 93% | |
| 2 | 0% | 90% | |
| 3 | 0% | 90% | |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 6 | 4% | 90% | |
| 7 | 16% | 86% | |
| 8 | 27% | 70% | Median |
| 9 | 22% | 43% | |
| 10 | 15% | 21% | |
| 11 | 4% | 6% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 31% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 60% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 60% | |
| 6 | 5% | 60% | |
| 7 | 24% | 54% | Median |
| 8 | 20% | 31% | Last Result |
| 9 | 9% | 11% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | |
| 1 | 33% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 29% | 41% | |
| 3 | 12% | 13% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 69% | 98.7% | Median |
| 2 | 25% | 29% | |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 99.6% | 90–99 | 89–101 | 87–102 | 85–105 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 88 | 86% | 84–94 | 83–95 | 82–96 | 79–98 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 87 | 75% | 82–92 | 82–94 | 80–95 | 78–97 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 85 | 57% | 81–91 | 80–92 | 79–94 | 77–96 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 80 | 9% | 76–84 | 75–86 | 74–88 | 72–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 81 | 18% | 75–85 | 73–87 | 72–87 | 69–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 79 | 8% | 73–84 | 72–85 | 71–86 | 68–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 74 | 0% | 68–78 | 66–79 | 65–80 | 63–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 73 | 0% | 68–77 | 67–78 | 65–80 | 62–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 72 | 0% | 67–77 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 61–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 71 | 0% | 66–75 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 60–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 63 | 0% | 59–67 | 58–68 | 57–69 | 55–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 61 | 0% | 56–65 | 54–66 | 52–67 | 50–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 60 | 0% | 55–64 | 53–64 | 51–65 | 49–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 58 | 0% | 54–63 | 52–63 | 50–64 | 48–66 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 43 | 0% | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–49 | 35–51 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 15 | 0% | 11–19 | 9–20 | 5–21 | 3–22 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 89 | 2% | 96% | |
| 90 | 4% | 94% | |
| 91 | 4% | 90% | |
| 92 | 9% | 86% | |
| 93 | 14% | 76% | |
| 94 | 10% | 62% | |
| 95 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 96 | 11% | 40% | Last Result |
| 97 | 7% | 29% | |
| 98 | 6% | 22% | |
| 99 | 8% | 16% | |
| 100 | 2% | 9% | |
| 101 | 3% | 6% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 83 | 4% | 97% | |
| 84 | 7% | 93% | |
| 85 | 8% | 86% | Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 78% | |
| 87 | 11% | 67% | |
| 88 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 89 | 7% | 44% | |
| 90 | 7% | 37% | |
| 91 | 9% | 30% | |
| 92 | 7% | 21% | |
| 93 | 3% | 13% | |
| 94 | 4% | 10% | |
| 95 | 2% | 6% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 81 | 2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 7% | 96% | |
| 83 | 4% | 89% | |
| 84 | 11% | 86% | |
| 85 | 11% | 75% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 64% | |
| 87 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 88 | 9% | 42% | |
| 89 | 6% | 33% | |
| 90 | 9% | 27% | |
| 91 | 5% | 18% | |
| 92 | 4% | 13% | |
| 93 | 3% | 9% | |
| 94 | 2% | 5% | |
| 95 | 2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 96% | |
| 81 | 6% | 95% | |
| 82 | 6% | 89% | |
| 83 | 9% | 84% | |
| 84 | 17% | 75% | |
| 85 | 10% | 57% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 47% | Median |
| 87 | 8% | 39% | |
| 88 | 9% | 31% | |
| 89 | 6% | 22% | |
| 90 | 5% | 16% | |
| 91 | 5% | 11% | |
| 92 | 2% | 7% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 4% | 96% | |
| 76 | 5% | 92% | |
| 77 | 13% | 88% | |
| 78 | 8% | 74% | |
| 79 | 9% | 67% | Median |
| 80 | 12% | 57% | |
| 81 | 16% | 45% | |
| 82 | 9% | 29% | |
| 83 | 6% | 21% | |
| 84 | 5% | 14% | |
| 85 | 3% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 5% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 4% | 95% | |
| 75 | 4% | 91% | |
| 76 | 5% | 86% | |
| 77 | 9% | 82% | |
| 78 | 7% | 73% | |
| 79 | 8% | 66% | |
| 80 | 7% | 58% | Median |
| 81 | 7% | 51% | |
| 82 | 9% | 44% | |
| 83 | 10% | 36% | |
| 84 | 8% | 26% | |
| 85 | 9% | 18% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 9% | |
| 87 | 4% | 6% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 5% | 93% | |
| 74 | 4% | 89% | |
| 75 | 7% | 85% | |
| 76 | 6% | 78% | |
| 77 | 8% | 72% | |
| 78 | 9% | 63% | |
| 79 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 80 | 6% | 48% | |
| 81 | 10% | 43% | |
| 82 | 9% | 32% | |
| 83 | 8% | 23% | |
| 84 | 7% | 15% | |
| 85 | 5% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 2% | 95% | |
| 68 | 3% | 93% | |
| 69 | 5% | 89% | |
| 70 | 7% | 84% | |
| 71 | 8% | 77% | |
| 72 | 8% | 69% | |
| 73 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 74 | 9% | 54% | |
| 75 | 13% | 44% | |
| 76 | 9% | 31% | |
| 77 | 11% | 23% | |
| 78 | 6% | 12% | |
| 79 | 2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 67 | 4% | 95% | |
| 68 | 5% | 91% | |
| 69 | 7% | 86% | |
| 70 | 10% | 79% | |
| 71 | 7% | 69% | |
| 72 | 7% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 11% | 55% | |
| 74 | 11% | 44% | |
| 75 | 8% | 32% | |
| 76 | 9% | 25% | |
| 77 | 9% | 16% | |
| 78 | 3% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 4% | 92% | |
| 68 | 6% | 87% | |
| 69 | 11% | 82% | |
| 70 | 6% | 71% | |
| 71 | 7% | 65% | |
| 72 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 73 | 9% | 49% | |
| 74 | 10% | 40% | |
| 75 | 10% | 31% | |
| 76 | 9% | 21% | |
| 77 | 7% | 12% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 3% | 94% | |
| 66 | 6% | 91% | |
| 67 | 6% | 85% | |
| 68 | 10% | 79% | |
| 69 | 6% | 69% | |
| 70 | 10% | 63% | |
| 71 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 72 | 11% | 47% | |
| 73 | 9% | 37% | |
| 74 | 11% | 28% | |
| 75 | 8% | 17% | |
| 76 | 5% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 5% | 92% | |
| 60 | 13% | 87% | |
| 61 | 8% | 74% | Last Result |
| 62 | 9% | 66% | |
| 63 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 64 | 12% | 46% | |
| 65 | 14% | 34% | |
| 66 | 7% | 21% | |
| 67 | 4% | 14% | |
| 68 | 6% | 10% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 3% | 95% | |
| 56 | 4% | 92% | |
| 57 | 2% | 88% | |
| 58 | 6% | 86% | |
| 59 | 6% | 81% | |
| 60 | 12% | 75% | |
| 61 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 62 | 12% | 50% | |
| 63 | 9% | 38% | |
| 64 | 15% | 28% | |
| 65 | 7% | 14% | |
| 66 | 4% | 7% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 3% | 94% | |
| 55 | 4% | 91% | |
| 56 | 3% | 88% | |
| 57 | 6% | 85% | |
| 58 | 6% | 78% | |
| 59 | 14% | 72% | |
| 60 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 61 | 10% | 45% | |
| 62 | 13% | 35% | |
| 63 | 10% | 22% | |
| 64 | 7% | 12% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 52 | 3% | 96% | |
| 53 | 2% | 92% | |
| 54 | 3% | 91% | |
| 55 | 3% | 87% | |
| 56 | 7% | 84% | |
| 57 | 12% | 77% | |
| 58 | 16% | 65% | |
| 59 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 60 | 10% | 42% | |
| 61 | 11% | 31% | |
| 62 | 8% | 20% | |
| 63 | 8% | 12% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 37 | 2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 6% | 95% | |
| 39 | 9% | 88% | |
| 40 | 7% | 79% | |
| 41 | 12% | 72% | |
| 42 | 8% | 60% | |
| 43 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 44 | 8% | 39% | |
| 45 | 10% | 31% | |
| 46 | 8% | 22% | |
| 47 | 6% | 13% | Last Result |
| 48 | 4% | 8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 10 | 4% | 95% | |
| 11 | 5% | 90% | |
| 12 | 11% | 85% | |
| 13 | 9% | 75% | |
| 14 | 12% | 66% | |
| 15 | 11% | 54% | |
| 16 | 9% | 43% | Median |
| 17 | 9% | 34% | |
| 18 | 11% | 25% | |
| 19 | 8% | 14% | |
| 20 | 3% | 6% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 4–5 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.48%