Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 4–5 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 26.5% | 24.6–28.6% | 24.1–29.2% | 23.6–29.7% | 22.7–30.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 24.3% | 22.4–26.3% | 21.9–26.9% | 21.5–27.4% | 20.6–28.3% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 19.7% | 18.0–21.6% | 17.5–22.1% | 17.1–22.6% | 16.3–23.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1–8.4% | 5.8–8.8% | 5.6–9.1% | 5.1–9.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.4–7.4% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.9% | 3.7–6.2% | 3.5–6.5% | 3.2–7.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.9–5.7% | 2.6–6.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.7–3.9% | 1.4–4.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.6–3.8% | 1.4–4.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 51 | 47–54 | 45–55 | 45–56 | 42–58 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 44 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–52 |
| Høyre | 36 | 36 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 29–44 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–16 | 8–18 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 2–11 | 1–12 | 1–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–7 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–7 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 4% | 95% | |
| 47 | 4% | 91% | |
| 48 | 9% | 87% | Last Result |
| 49 | 11% | 78% | |
| 50 | 16% | 67% | |
| 51 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 52 | 14% | 37% | |
| 53 | 8% | 23% | |
| 54 | 6% | 15% | |
| 55 | 4% | 9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 41 | 3% | 96% | |
| 42 | 20% | 93% | |
| 43 | 11% | 73% | |
| 44 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 45 | 9% | 48% | |
| 46 | 10% | 39% | |
| 47 | 10% | 29% | |
| 48 | 12% | 20% | |
| 49 | 5% | 8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 5% | 98% | |
| 32 | 8% | 93% | |
| 33 | 8% | 85% | |
| 34 | 13% | 77% | |
| 35 | 6% | 64% | |
| 36 | 17% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 37 | 13% | 42% | |
| 38 | 10% | 29% | |
| 39 | 10% | 19% | |
| 40 | 5% | 9% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 10 | 8% | 95% | |
| 11 | 23% | 88% | |
| 12 | 23% | 64% | Median |
| 13 | 13% | 42% | Last Result |
| 14 | 12% | 29% | |
| 15 | 9% | 17% | |
| 16 | 5% | 8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 2% | 95% | |
| 7 | 12% | 93% | |
| 8 | 25% | 81% | Last Result |
| 9 | 24% | 56% | Median |
| 10 | 20% | 32% | |
| 11 | 8% | 12% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 90% | |
| 2 | 0% | 88% | |
| 3 | 0% | 88% | |
| 4 | 0% | 88% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 6 | 5% | 88% | |
| 7 | 16% | 83% | |
| 8 | 26% | 67% | Median |
| 9 | 18% | 41% | |
| 10 | 11% | 23% | |
| 11 | 8% | 11% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 29% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 57% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 57% | |
| 6 | 6% | 57% | |
| 7 | 20% | 51% | Median |
| 8 | 20% | 31% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 11% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23% | 100% | |
| 1 | 31% | 77% | Median |
| 2 | 32% | 45% | |
| 3 | 11% | 13% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 73% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 20% | 25% | |
| 3 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 99.5% | 90–100 | 88–102 | 87–103 | 84–106 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 89 | 87% | 84–94 | 83–96 | 81–97 | 78–100 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 87 | 77% | 82–93 | 81–94 | 80–96 | 77–98 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 86 | 64% | 81–91 | 80–93 | 79–95 | 76–97 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 80 | 11% | 76–85 | 74–87 | 73–88 | 72–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 81 | 18% | 75–86 | 73–87 | 72–88 | 69–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 79 | 10% | 74–84 | 72–86 | 70–87 | 67–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–78 | 66–79 | 65–81 | 63–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–78 | 66–79 | 65–80 | 62–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 72 | 0% | 67–77 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 61–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 71 | 0% | 65–75 | 64–77 | 62–77 | 60–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 63 | 0% | 59–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 54–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 61 | 0% | 56–65 | 54–66 | 52–67 | 49–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 60 | 0% | 54–64 | 52–65 | 51–66 | 48–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 58 | 0% | 53–63 | 51–63 | 50–64 | 47–67 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 42 | 0% | 38–48 | 37–49 | 36–50 | 34–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 15 | 0% | 10–19 | 8–20 | 5–21 | 3–23 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 2% | 95% | |
| 90 | 5% | 93% | |
| 91 | 6% | 88% | |
| 92 | 6% | 82% | |
| 93 | 9% | 76% | |
| 94 | 9% | 67% | |
| 95 | 9% | 58% | |
| 96 | 13% | 49% | Last Result, Median |
| 97 | 11% | 36% | |
| 98 | 5% | 25% | |
| 99 | 8% | 19% | |
| 100 | 3% | 11% | |
| 101 | 3% | 8% | |
| 102 | 2% | 5% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 97% | |
| 83 | 4% | 96% | |
| 84 | 5% | 92% | |
| 85 | 7% | 87% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 80% | |
| 87 | 12% | 70% | |
| 88 | 8% | 59% | |
| 89 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 90 | 11% | 42% | |
| 91 | 7% | 31% | |
| 92 | 5% | 24% | |
| 93 | 5% | 20% | |
| 94 | 5% | 15% | |
| 95 | 3% | 9% | |
| 96 | 2% | 6% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98% | |
| 81 | 2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 6% | 95% | |
| 83 | 5% | 89% | |
| 84 | 7% | 84% | |
| 85 | 10% | 77% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 68% | |
| 87 | 6% | 55% | |
| 88 | 11% | 49% | Median |
| 89 | 10% | 38% | |
| 90 | 6% | 28% | |
| 91 | 4% | 22% | |
| 92 | 5% | 18% | |
| 93 | 6% | 14% | |
| 94 | 3% | 8% | |
| 95 | 2% | 5% | |
| 96 | 2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 5% | 93% | |
| 82 | 6% | 87% | |
| 83 | 8% | 81% | |
| 84 | 8% | 73% | |
| 85 | 10% | 64% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 54% | |
| 87 | 10% | 44% | Median |
| 88 | 10% | 34% | |
| 89 | 4% | 24% | |
| 90 | 3% | 20% | |
| 91 | 8% | 17% | |
| 92 | 4% | 9% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 94 | 2% | 5% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 3% | 97% | |
| 75 | 4% | 95% | |
| 76 | 6% | 91% | |
| 77 | 6% | 85% | |
| 78 | 8% | 79% | |
| 79 | 10% | 72% | |
| 80 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 81 | 12% | 49% | |
| 82 | 8% | 38% | |
| 83 | 6% | 30% | |
| 84 | 13% | 24% | |
| 85 | 3% | 11% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 6% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 2% | 94% | |
| 75 | 5% | 91% | |
| 76 | 7% | 87% | |
| 77 | 6% | 79% | |
| 78 | 5% | 73% | |
| 79 | 7% | 68% | |
| 80 | 10% | 62% | |
| 81 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 82 | 5% | 41% | |
| 83 | 10% | 36% | |
| 84 | 8% | 26% | |
| 85 | 6% | 18% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 12% | |
| 87 | 5% | 8% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 3% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 90% | |
| 75 | 7% | 85% | |
| 76 | 7% | 78% | |
| 77 | 6% | 72% | |
| 78 | 7% | 66% | |
| 79 | 11% | 59% | |
| 80 | 8% | 48% | Median |
| 81 | 7% | 40% | |
| 82 | 9% | 34% | |
| 83 | 9% | 24% | |
| 84 | 6% | 16% | |
| 85 | 4% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 3% | 96% | |
| 67 | 2% | 94% | |
| 68 | 4% | 92% | |
| 69 | 5% | 88% | |
| 70 | 6% | 83% | |
| 71 | 8% | 77% | |
| 72 | 8% | 69% | |
| 73 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 74 | 9% | 49% | |
| 75 | 10% | 40% | |
| 76 | 7% | 30% | |
| 77 | 8% | 23% | |
| 78 | 5% | 15% | |
| 79 | 6% | 10% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 66 | 3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 94% | |
| 68 | 4% | 91% | |
| 69 | 5% | 87% | |
| 70 | 9% | 83% | |
| 71 | 6% | 73% | |
| 72 | 12% | 67% | Last Result |
| 73 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 74 | 9% | 42% | |
| 75 | 8% | 33% | |
| 76 | 8% | 25% | |
| 77 | 5% | 17% | |
| 78 | 5% | 12% | |
| 79 | 4% | 7% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 96% | |
| 66 | 3% | 93% | |
| 67 | 4% | 90% | |
| 68 | 5% | 86% | |
| 69 | 9% | 81% | |
| 70 | 5% | 71% | |
| 71 | 11% | 66% | |
| 72 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 73 | 12% | 48% | |
| 74 | 10% | 36% | |
| 75 | 5% | 26% | |
| 76 | 10% | 21% | |
| 77 | 3% | 11% | |
| 78 | 4% | 8% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 95% | |
| 65 | 4% | 92% | |
| 66 | 5% | 89% | |
| 67 | 4% | 84% | |
| 68 | 10% | 80% | |
| 69 | 8% | 69% | |
| 70 | 8% | 61% | |
| 71 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 72 | 12% | 46% | |
| 73 | 10% | 33% | |
| 74 | 6% | 23% | |
| 75 | 7% | 17% | |
| 76 | 4% | 10% | |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 96% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | |
| 59 | 5% | 91% | |
| 60 | 5% | 86% | |
| 61 | 13% | 81% | Last Result |
| 62 | 15% | 68% | |
| 63 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 64 | 15% | 45% | |
| 65 | 5% | 30% | |
| 66 | 10% | 24% | |
| 67 | 7% | 14% | |
| 68 | 3% | 7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 54 | 2% | 95% | |
| 55 | 2% | 93% | |
| 56 | 3% | 91% | |
| 57 | 4% | 87% | |
| 58 | 5% | 83% | |
| 59 | 8% | 78% | |
| 60 | 9% | 70% | |
| 61 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 62 | 15% | 47% | |
| 63 | 6% | 32% | |
| 64 | 11% | 27% | |
| 65 | 8% | 16% | |
| 66 | 4% | 8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 3% | 95% | |
| 54 | 3% | 92% | |
| 55 | 3% | 89% | |
| 56 | 5% | 86% | |
| 57 | 5% | 82% | |
| 58 | 8% | 76% | |
| 59 | 12% | 68% | |
| 60 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 61 | 13% | 43% | |
| 62 | 8% | 30% | |
| 63 | 10% | 22% | |
| 64 | 6% | 12% | |
| 65 | 3% | 6% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 2% | 95% | |
| 52 | 3% | 94% | |
| 53 | 2% | 91% | |
| 54 | 6% | 89% | |
| 55 | 3% | 83% | |
| 56 | 5% | 80% | |
| 57 | 12% | 75% | |
| 58 | 14% | 63% | |
| 59 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 60 | 12% | 37% | |
| 61 | 8% | 26% | |
| 62 | 7% | 17% | |
| 63 | 6% | 10% | |
| 64 | 3% | 5% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 2% | 96% | |
| 38 | 6% | 94% | |
| 39 | 5% | 88% | |
| 40 | 8% | 83% | |
| 41 | 15% | 75% | |
| 42 | 11% | 60% | |
| 43 | 8% | 49% | |
| 44 | 7% | 42% | Median |
| 45 | 12% | 34% | |
| 46 | 6% | 23% | |
| 47 | 7% | 17% | Last Result |
| 48 | 5% | 10% | |
| 49 | 3% | 5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 9 | 3% | 95% | |
| 10 | 4% | 91% | |
| 11 | 5% | 88% | |
| 12 | 7% | 83% | |
| 13 | 11% | 76% | |
| 14 | 10% | 65% | |
| 15 | 17% | 55% | |
| 16 | 11% | 38% | Median |
| 17 | 5% | 28% | |
| 18 | 7% | 23% | |
| 19 | 7% | 15% | |
| 20 | 4% | 8% | |
| 21 | 3% | 5% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 4–5 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 811
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.76%