Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land, 4–8 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 30.1% | 28.3–32.0% | 27.8–32.6% | 27.3–33.1% | 26.5–34.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 23.0% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 18.1% | 16.6–19.8% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.8–20.7% | 15.1–21.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 2.9–6.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 57 | 52–60 | 52–61 | 51–62 | 49–64 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 42 | 39–45 | 39–47 | 39–48 | 38–51 |
| Høyre | 36 | 32 | 31–35 | 29–37 | 28–39 | 27–41 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–12 | 1–12 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 1–10 | 1–10 | 1–11 | 1–12 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–7 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 10% | 97% | |
| 53 | 4% | 87% | |
| 54 | 3% | 83% | |
| 55 | 23% | 80% | |
| 56 | 5% | 57% | |
| 57 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 58 | 10% | 38% | |
| 59 | 11% | 28% | |
| 60 | 8% | 17% | |
| 61 | 5% | 9% | |
| 62 | 3% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 9% | 98% | |
| 40 | 16% | 89% | |
| 41 | 20% | 73% | |
| 42 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 43 | 8% | 41% | |
| 44 | 14% | 33% | |
| 45 | 11% | 19% | |
| 46 | 3% | 8% | |
| 47 | 3% | 5% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 3% | 97% | |
| 30 | 2% | 93% | |
| 31 | 16% | 91% | |
| 32 | 34% | 76% | Median |
| 33 | 14% | 41% | |
| 34 | 6% | 28% | |
| 35 | 13% | 21% | |
| 36 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 6% | 98% | |
| 10 | 15% | 91% | |
| 11 | 24% | 76% | |
| 12 | 24% | 52% | Median |
| 13 | 21% | 27% | Last Result |
| 14 | 4% | 6% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 7 | 3% | 94% | |
| 8 | 26% | 91% | |
| 9 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 10 | 22% | 40% | |
| 11 | 6% | 19% | |
| 12 | 12% | 13% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 86% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 4 | 0% | 83% | |
| 5 | 0% | 83% | |
| 6 | 5% | 83% | |
| 7 | 21% | 78% | |
| 8 | 22% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 13% | 35% | |
| 10 | 18% | 21% | |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 11% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 85% | |
| 5 | 0% | 85% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 85% | |
| 7 | 21% | 84% | |
| 8 | 46% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 11% | 17% | |
| 10 | 4% | 6% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24% | 100% | |
| 1 | 49% | 76% | Median |
| 2 | 14% | 27% | |
| 3 | 12% | 14% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 67% | 98.9% | Median |
| 2 | 20% | 32% | |
| 3 | 11% | 12% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 92 | 99.0% | 88–97 | 87–99 | 85–100 | 84–102 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 85 | 54% | 81–90 | 80–91 | 79–93 | 78–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 86 | 65% | 80–90 | 80–90 | 78–91 | 72–94 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 83 | 35% | 79–89 | 79–89 | 78–91 | 75–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 84 | 46% | 79–88 | 78–89 | 76–90 | 71–91 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 82 | 26% | 78–87 | 78–89 | 76–89 | 74–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 80 | 6% | 75–83 | 74–85 | 72–86 | 69–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 79 | 2% | 74–83 | 73–84 | 70–84 | 68–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 77 | 1.0% | 72–81 | 70–82 | 69–84 | 67–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 77 | 0.6% | 72–81 | 72–82 | 69–83 | 67–85 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 75 | 1.3% | 71–79 | 71–80 | 70–81 | 69–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 68 | 0% | 64–71 | 63–73 | 62–74 | 61–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 68 | 0% | 65–72 | 64–74 | 61–74 | 57–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 67 | 0% | 63–71 | 62–72 | 59–73 | 56–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 65 | 0% | 62–69 | 61–70 | 58–72 | 55–73 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 41 | 0% | 37–45 | 35–47 | 35–49 | 32–51 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 18 | 0% | 12–21 | 10–22 | 10–23 | 5–24 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 3% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 87 | 2% | 95% | |
| 88 | 7% | 94% | |
| 89 | 9% | 87% | |
| 90 | 13% | 77% | |
| 91 | 10% | 64% | |
| 92 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 93 | 12% | 44% | |
| 94 | 4% | 32% | |
| 95 | 3% | 28% | |
| 96 | 4% | 25% | Last Result |
| 97 | 14% | 21% | |
| 98 | 2% | 7% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 96% | |
| 81 | 10% | 94% | |
| 82 | 20% | 84% | |
| 83 | 9% | 64% | |
| 84 | 2% | 56% | Median |
| 85 | 15% | 54% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 39% | |
| 87 | 3% | 31% | |
| 88 | 14% | 28% | |
| 89 | 3% | 14% | |
| 90 | 6% | 12% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 93 | 2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 80 | 6% | 95% | |
| 81 | 2% | 89% | |
| 82 | 13% | 88% | |
| 83 | 4% | 75% | |
| 84 | 7% | 71% | |
| 85 | 11% | 65% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 53% | |
| 87 | 6% | 47% | Median |
| 88 | 19% | 40% | |
| 89 | 8% | 22% | |
| 90 | 10% | 14% | |
| 91 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 92 | 2% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 78 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 79 | 10% | 96% | |
| 80 | 8% | 86% | |
| 81 | 19% | 78% | |
| 82 | 6% | 60% | |
| 83 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 84 | 11% | 47% | |
| 85 | 7% | 35% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 29% | |
| 87 | 13% | 25% | |
| 88 | 2% | 12% | |
| 89 | 6% | 11% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 78 | 2% | 96% | |
| 79 | 6% | 94% | |
| 80 | 3% | 88% | |
| 81 | 14% | 86% | |
| 82 | 3% | 72% | |
| 83 | 8% | 69% | |
| 84 | 15% | 61% | |
| 85 | 2% | 46% | Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 44% | Median |
| 87 | 20% | 36% | |
| 88 | 10% | 16% | |
| 89 | 2% | 6% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 78 | 7% | 97% | |
| 79 | 16% | 89% | |
| 80 | 16% | 74% | |
| 81 | 7% | 58% | |
| 82 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 83 | 9% | 46% | |
| 84 | 10% | 37% | |
| 85 | 12% | 26% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 14% | |
| 87 | 2% | 10% | |
| 88 | 3% | 8% | |
| 89 | 3% | 5% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 97% | |
| 75 | 5% | 95% | |
| 76 | 7% | 90% | |
| 77 | 11% | 83% | |
| 78 | 4% | 71% | |
| 79 | 11% | 67% | |
| 80 | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 81 | 9% | 40% | |
| 82 | 6% | 31% | |
| 83 | 15% | 25% | |
| 84 | 4% | 10% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 6% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 6% | 93% | |
| 75 | 10% | 87% | |
| 76 | 7% | 77% | |
| 77 | 7% | 70% | |
| 78 | 11% | 63% | |
| 79 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 80 | 21% | 46% | |
| 81 | 3% | 25% | |
| 82 | 10% | 21% | |
| 83 | 6% | 12% | |
| 84 | 3% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 2% | 95% | |
| 72 | 14% | 93% | Last Result |
| 73 | 4% | 79% | |
| 74 | 3% | 75% | |
| 75 | 4% | 72% | |
| 76 | 12% | 68% | |
| 77 | 11% | 56% | |
| 78 | 10% | 46% | Median |
| 79 | 13% | 36% | |
| 80 | 9% | 23% | |
| 81 | 7% | 13% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 84 | 3% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 72 | 6% | 96% | |
| 73 | 4% | 89% | |
| 74 | 10% | 86% | |
| 75 | 8% | 76% | |
| 76 | 7% | 68% | |
| 77 | 15% | 61% | |
| 78 | 15% | 46% | Median |
| 79 | 9% | 31% | |
| 80 | 4% | 21% | |
| 81 | 8% | 17% | |
| 82 | 5% | 9% | |
| 83 | 3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 11% | 97% | |
| 72 | 14% | 86% | |
| 73 | 11% | 71% | |
| 74 | 4% | 60% | Median |
| 75 | 7% | 56% | |
| 76 | 17% | 49% | |
| 77 | 17% | 32% | |
| 78 | 4% | 15% | |
| 79 | 4% | 11% | |
| 80 | 2% | 7% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 64 | 11% | 94% | |
| 65 | 5% | 84% | |
| 66 | 6% | 79% | |
| 67 | 7% | 72% | |
| 68 | 21% | 66% | |
| 69 | 10% | 45% | Median |
| 70 | 14% | 34% | |
| 71 | 12% | 20% | |
| 72 | 3% | 8% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 5% | 95% | |
| 65 | 17% | 90% | |
| 66 | 11% | 73% | |
| 67 | 10% | 62% | |
| 68 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 49% | |
| 70 | 7% | 39% | |
| 71 | 13% | 32% | |
| 72 | 10% | 18% | |
| 73 | 3% | 9% | |
| 74 | 4% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 62 | 4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 2% | 92% | |
| 64 | 22% | 89% | |
| 65 | 11% | 68% | |
| 66 | 6% | 57% | |
| 67 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 68 | 6% | 43% | |
| 69 | 10% | 37% | |
| 70 | 17% | 27% | |
| 71 | 4% | 10% | |
| 72 | 3% | 6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 61 | 4% | 95% | |
| 62 | 11% | 91% | |
| 63 | 7% | 80% | |
| 64 | 18% | 73% | |
| 65 | 7% | 55% | |
| 66 | 7% | 47% | Median |
| 67 | 7% | 41% | |
| 68 | 11% | 34% | |
| 69 | 15% | 23% | |
| 70 | 3% | 8% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 72 | 3% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 5% | 98% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 37 | 4% | 92% | |
| 38 | 9% | 88% | |
| 39 | 7% | 79% | |
| 40 | 12% | 72% | |
| 41 | 26% | 60% | Median |
| 42 | 3% | 35% | |
| 43 | 5% | 32% | |
| 44 | 7% | 27% | |
| 45 | 11% | 20% | |
| 46 | 3% | 8% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 6% | Last Result |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 12 | 7% | 94% | |
| 13 | 4% | 87% | |
| 14 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 15 | 7% | 82% | |
| 16 | 11% | 75% | |
| 17 | 4% | 64% | |
| 18 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 19 | 11% | 44% | |
| 20 | 17% | 33% | |
| 21 | 11% | 16% | |
| 22 | 3% | 5% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 4–8 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 983
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.23%