Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG, 5–10 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 27.4% | 25.6–29.2% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.2% | 23.9–31.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 21.5% | 19.9–23.2% | 19.4–23.7% | 19.0–24.1% | 18.3–25.0% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Kystpartiet | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 51 | 49–57 | 48–57 | 48–57 | 46–59 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 40 | 37–42 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 34–44 |
| Høyre | 36 | 35 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 31–40 | 31–40 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 9–17 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 1–12 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 7 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 | 0–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kystpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 5% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 49 | 4% | 94% | |
| 50 | 35% | 89% | |
| 51 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 52 | 26% | 48% | |
| 53 | 2% | 22% | |
| 54 | 4% | 20% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 57 | 14% | 15% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 37 | 27% | 97% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 70% | |
| 39 | 5% | 69% | |
| 40 | 17% | 65% | Median |
| 41 | 36% | 48% | |
| 42 | 7% | 12% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 3% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 17% | 95% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 78% | |
| 35 | 50% | 78% | Median |
| 36 | 6% | 27% | Last Result |
| 37 | 3% | 21% | |
| 38 | 2% | 19% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 40 | 15% | 15% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 17% | 96% | |
| 11 | 6% | 80% | |
| 12 | 48% | 74% | Median |
| 13 | 15% | 26% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 11% | |
| 15 | 6% | 9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 17% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 5% | 82% | Last Result |
| 9 | 49% | 78% | Median |
| 10 | 6% | 29% | |
| 11 | 10% | 23% | |
| 12 | 13% | 13% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 4% | 98% | |
| 8 | 82% | 94% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 3% | 12% | |
| 10 | 2% | 9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 6% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 9% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 89% | |
| 3 | 0% | 89% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 7 | 60% | 88% | Median |
| 8 | 22% | 29% | |
| 9 | 5% | 7% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 14% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 25% | 86% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 60% | |
| 5 | 0% | 60% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 60% | |
| 7 | 53% | 60% | Median |
| 8 | 6% | 7% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45% | 100% | |
| 1 | 53% | 55% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 98 | 100% | 90–99 | 90–102 | 90–103 | 87–103 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 92 | 86% | 83–93 | 83–95 | 83–95 | 83–103 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 91 | 86% | 82–92 | 82–95 | 82–95 | 82–102 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 85 | 68% | 79–87 | 79–88 | 79–89 | 78–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 78 | 14% | 77–87 | 74–87 | 74–87 | 67–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 77 | 14% | 76–86 | 74–86 | 74–86 | 66–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 76 | 0.1% | 74–82 | 71–82 | 71–82 | 68–83 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 76 | 0% | 70–77 | 70–78 | 70–80 | 68–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 71 | 0% | 70–79 | 67–79 | 66–79 | 66–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 68–79 | 67–79 | 66–79 | 59–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 69 | 0% | 67–78 | 67–78 | 66–78 | 58–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 64 | 0% | 60–69 | 57–69 | 56–71 | 56–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 62 | 0% | 61–70 | 59–70 | 59–70 | 57–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 64 | 0% | 58–68 | 56–68 | 55–70 | 55–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 57 | 0% | 55–65 | 52–65 | 52–65 | 49–66 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 51 | 0% | 45–54 | 45–54 | 45–55 | 44–59 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 21 | 0% | 18–24 | 15–25 | 14–26 | 10–26 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 89 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 90 | 17% | 98.5% | |
| 91 | 3% | 82% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 78% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 95 | 4% | 75% | |
| 96 | 12% | 71% | Last Result |
| 97 | 2% | 59% | |
| 98 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 99 | 35% | 44% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 101 | 4% | 9% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 103 | 5% | 5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 87% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 86% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 87 | 4% | 86% | |
| 88 | 4% | 82% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 90 | 18% | 78% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 59% | |
| 92 | 48% | 59% | Median |
| 93 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 94 | 4% | 10% | |
| 95 | 4% | 6% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 99 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 101 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 87% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 86% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 86% | |
| 87 | 4% | 83% | |
| 88 | 2% | 79% | |
| 89 | 16% | 78% | |
| 90 | 4% | 62% | |
| 91 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 92 | 36% | 45% | |
| 93 | 3% | 9% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 95 | 4% | 5% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 98 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 14% | 98% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 84% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 83% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 82% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 84 | 14% | 82% | Median |
| 85 | 41% | 68% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 27% | |
| 87 | 15% | 22% | |
| 88 | 4% | 7% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 4% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 76 | 3% | 94% | |
| 77 | 36% | 91% | |
| 78 | 13% | 55% | |
| 79 | 4% | 42% | Median |
| 80 | 16% | 38% | |
| 81 | 2% | 22% | |
| 82 | 4% | 21% | |
| 83 | 2% | 17% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 14% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 87 | 13% | 13% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 74 | 4% | 98% | |
| 75 | 4% | 94% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 77 | 48% | 90% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 41% | Median |
| 79 | 18% | 41% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 81 | 4% | 22% | |
| 82 | 4% | 18% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 14% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 13% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 71 | 4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 73 | 2% | 93% | |
| 74 | 19% | 91% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 72% | |
| 76 | 39% | 71% | |
| 77 | 13% | 33% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 19% | Median |
| 79 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 82 | 14% | 16% | |
| 83 | 2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 13% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 85% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 82% | |
| 75 | 16% | 80% | Median |
| 76 | 37% | 64% | |
| 77 | 22% | 27% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 81 | 2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 68 | 4% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 70 | 35% | 90% | |
| 71 | 13% | 56% | |
| 72 | 2% | 42% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 12% | 41% | |
| 74 | 4% | 29% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 25% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 23% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 22% | |
| 78 | 3% | 22% | |
| 79 | 17% | 18% | |
| 80 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 81 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 67 | 4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 6% | 93% | |
| 69 | 35% | 86% | |
| 70 | 14% | 52% | |
| 71 | 5% | 38% | Median |
| 72 | 12% | 33% | |
| 73 | 3% | 21% | |
| 74 | 2% | 18% | |
| 75 | 2% | 16% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 79 | 13% | 13% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 67 | 10% | 97% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 86% | |
| 69 | 48% | 85% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 37% | Median |
| 71 | 15% | 37% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 73 | 3% | 20% | |
| 74 | 3% | 17% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 78 | 13% | 13% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 58 | 3% | 95% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 62 | 12% | 88% | |
| 63 | 5% | 75% | |
| 64 | 35% | 70% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 35% | |
| 66 | 3% | 34% | Median |
| 67 | 15% | 32% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 69 | 14% | 17% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 59 | 6% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 92% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 90% | Last Result |
| 62 | 47% | 90% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 42% | Median |
| 64 | 13% | 41% | |
| 65 | 3% | 28% | |
| 66 | 7% | 25% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 18% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 69 | 0% | 17% | |
| 70 | 15% | 17% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 95% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 60 | 2% | 90% | |
| 61 | 12% | 88% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 76% | |
| 63 | 6% | 75% | |
| 64 | 35% | 69% | |
| 65 | 4% | 34% | Median |
| 66 | 14% | 31% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 68 | 14% | 17% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 52 | 4% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 94% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 55 | 3% | 92% | |
| 56 | 4% | 89% | |
| 57 | 37% | 85% | |
| 58 | 2% | 48% | Median |
| 59 | 25% | 46% | |
| 60 | 3% | 21% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 62 | 2% | 17% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 65 | 14% | 14% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 14% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 5% | 85% | |
| 47 | 3% | 80% | Last Result |
| 48 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 49 | 12% | 76% | |
| 50 | 5% | 64% | |
| 51 | 36% | 60% | Median |
| 52 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 53 | 7% | 22% | |
| 54 | 13% | 15% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 15 | 5% | 96% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 18 | 2% | 91% | |
| 19 | 2% | 89% | |
| 20 | 15% | 87% | |
| 21 | 25% | 72% | |
| 22 | 2% | 48% | |
| 23 | 36% | 46% | Median |
| 24 | 5% | 11% | |
| 25 | 2% | 6% | |
| 26 | 4% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG
- Fieldwork period: 5–10 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.80%