Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG, 5–10 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 27.4% | 25.6–29.2% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.2% | 23.9–31.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 21.5% | 19.9–23.2% | 19.4–23.7% | 19.0–24.1% | 18.3–25.0% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Kystpartiet | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 50 | 50–57 | 48–57 | 48–57 | 46–59 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 41 | 37–42 | 37–42 | 37–43 | 35–44 |
| Høyre | 36 | 35 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 31–40 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–15 | 9–17 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 7 | 7–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 0–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kystpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 7% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 50 | 49% | 92% | Median |
| 51 | 0.4% | 43% | |
| 52 | 20% | 43% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 54 | 2% | 22% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 57 | 19% | 20% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 38% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 60% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 59% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 59% | |
| 41 | 49% | 59% | Median |
| 42 | 6% | 10% | |
| 43 | 3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 33 | 20% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 78% | |
| 35 | 54% | 77% | Median |
| 36 | 0.3% | 23% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.4% | 22% | |
| 38 | 2% | 22% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 40 | 19% | 19% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 19% | 97% | |
| 11 | 5% | 78% | |
| 12 | 50% | 73% | Median |
| 13 | 19% | 24% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 5% | |
| 15 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 18% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 3% | 81% | Last Result |
| 9 | 67% | 79% | Median |
| 10 | 2% | 12% | |
| 11 | 7% | 10% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 88% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 4% | 7% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 7 | 67% | 94% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 27% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 22% | 97% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 76% | |
| 5 | 0% | 76% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 76% | |
| 7 | 72% | 75% | Median |
| 8 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 44% | 45% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 99 | 100% | 90–99 | 90–103 | 90–103 | 87–103 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 92 | 81% | 83–92 | 83–95 | 83–95 | 83–103 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 92 | 80% | 82–92 | 82–95 | 82–95 | 82–102 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 85 | 59% | 79–85 | 79–88 | 79–89 | 78–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 20% | 77–87 | 74–87 | 74–87 | 67–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 77 | 19% | 77–86 | 74–86 | 74–86 | 66–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 76 | 0.1% | 74–82 | 74–82 | 72–82 | 68–82 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 76 | 0% | 70–77 | 70–77 | 70–80 | 68–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 69 | 0% | 69–79 | 67–79 | 67–79 | 59–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 70 | 0% | 70–79 | 66–79 | 66–79 | 66–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 69 | 0% | 69–78 | 67–78 | 67–78 | 58–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 62 | 0% | 62–70 | 59–70 | 59–70 | 57–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 64 | 0% | 63–69 | 60–69 | 58–69 | 57–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 64 | 0% | 63–68 | 60–68 | 56–68 | 56–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 57 | 0% | 56–65 | 54–65 | 53–65 | 49–67 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 51 | 0% | 45–54 | 45–54 | 45–55 | 44–59 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 23 | 0% | 20–23 | 20–26 | 15–26 | 10–26 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0% | 98% | |
| 89 | 0% | 98% | |
| 90 | 18% | 98% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 80% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 76% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 76% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.1% | 75% | |
| 98 | 18% | 75% | |
| 99 | 49% | 56% | Median |
| 100 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 103 | 6% | 6% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 19% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 81% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 80% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 80% | |
| 88 | 2% | 79% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 77% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 76% | |
| 92 | 68% | 75% | Median |
| 93 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 95 | 5% | 7% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 2% | |
| 103 | 2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 19% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 81% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 80% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.3% | 80% | |
| 87 | 2% | 79% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 77% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 90 | 2% | 76% | |
| 91 | 18% | 74% | |
| 92 | 48% | 56% | Median |
| 93 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 95 | 5% | 7% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 2% | |
| 102 | 2% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 19% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 80% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 80% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 84 | 19% | 78% | |
| 85 | 49% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 87 | 2% | 10% | |
| 88 | 5% | 8% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 2% | |
| 93 | 2% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 74 | 5% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 77 | 48% | 92% | Median |
| 78 | 18% | 44% | |
| 79 | 2% | 26% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 24% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 82 | 2% | 23% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 20% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 87 | 19% | 19% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 2% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 74 | 5% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 77 | 68% | 92% | Median |
| 78 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 24% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 81 | 2% | 23% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 21% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 19% | Majority |
| 86 | 19% | 19% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 7% | 96% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 76 | 48% | 89% | Median |
| 77 | 19% | 40% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 21% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 81 | 2% | 20% | |
| 82 | 18% | 19% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 18% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 79% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 79% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 76 | 50% | 77% | Median |
| 77 | 24% | 27% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 81 | 2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 69 | 49% | 92% | Median |
| 70 | 19% | 44% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 24% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 73 | 2% | 22% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 79 | 18% | 18% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 70 | 48% | 92% | Median |
| 71 | 18% | 44% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 25% | Last Result |
| 73 | 1.1% | 25% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 24% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 22% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 22% | |
| 79 | 18% | 20% | |
| 80 | 0% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 92% | |
| 69 | 66% | 91% | Median |
| 70 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 71 | 2% | 24% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 22% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 78 | 18% | 18% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 5% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 92% | Last Result |
| 62 | 66% | 92% | Median |
| 63 | 1.2% | 25% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 24% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 24% | |
| 66 | 2% | 24% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 69 | 0% | 20% | |
| 70 | 18% | 20% | |
| 71 | 2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 59 | 2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 63 | 5% | 94% | |
| 64 | 49% | 89% | Median |
| 65 | 0.6% | 40% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 40% | |
| 67 | 19% | 40% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 69 | 19% | 20% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 0% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 63 | 5% | 94% | |
| 64 | 49% | 88% | Median |
| 65 | 0.1% | 40% | |
| 66 | 19% | 40% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 68 | 19% | 20% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 56 | 5% | 95% | |
| 57 | 49% | 90% | Median |
| 58 | 0.2% | 41% | |
| 59 | 19% | 41% | |
| 60 | 2% | 22% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 19% | |
| 65 | 18% | 19% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 20% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 79% | |
| 47 | 2% | 79% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.9% | 77% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 76% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 75% | |
| 51 | 49% | 75% | Median |
| 52 | 0.5% | 26% | |
| 53 | 5% | 26% | |
| 54 | 18% | 21% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 59 | 2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 16 | 0% | 97% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 20 | 19% | 96% | |
| 21 | 18% | 77% | |
| 22 | 2% | 59% | |
| 23 | 49% | 57% | Median |
| 24 | 2% | 8% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 26 | 5% | 5% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG
- Fieldwork period: 5–10 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.44%