Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 24–31 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 25.1% | 23.2–27.2% | 22.6–27.8% | 22.2–28.3% | 21.3–29.4% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 22.5% | 20.6–24.5% | 20.1–25.1% | 19.7–25.6% | 18.8–26.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 21.1% | 19.3–23.0% | 18.7–23.6% | 18.3–24.1% | 17.5–25.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2–7.5% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.7–8.1% | 4.2–8.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.9–7.1% | 3.5–7.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.9–7.1% | 3.5–7.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.7–5.4% | 2.3–6.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.1–4.7% | 1.8–5.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.6–3.9% | 1.4–4.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.1% | 0.4–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 48 | 45–51 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 40–56 |
| Høyre | 36 | 40 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 35–46 | 33–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 39 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 34–48 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 6–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 1–12 | 1–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 1–12 | 0–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 6 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–6 | 1–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–7 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 43 | 3% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 94% | |
| 45 | 5% | 92% | |
| 46 | 10% | 86% | |
| 47 | 9% | 76% | |
| 48 | 21% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 49 | 19% | 47% | |
| 50 | 11% | 28% | |
| 51 | 8% | 17% | |
| 52 | 3% | 8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 7% | 96% | Last Result |
| 37 | 6% | 89% | |
| 38 | 16% | 84% | |
| 39 | 9% | 67% | |
| 40 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 41 | 12% | 48% | |
| 42 | 7% | 35% | |
| 43 | 13% | 29% | |
| 44 | 4% | 16% | |
| 45 | 5% | 12% | |
| 46 | 5% | 6% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 36 | 4% | 97% | |
| 37 | 12% | 93% | |
| 38 | 14% | 82% | |
| 39 | 18% | 68% | Median |
| 40 | 7% | 50% | |
| 41 | 12% | 43% | |
| 42 | 20% | 30% | |
| 43 | 4% | 11% | |
| 44 | 3% | 7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 15% | 96% | |
| 9 | 21% | 81% | |
| 10 | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 11 | 16% | 36% | |
| 12 | 10% | 20% | |
| 13 | 5% | 10% | Last Result |
| 14 | 4% | 5% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 6 | 2% | 95% | |
| 7 | 11% | 93% | |
| 8 | 32% | 82% | Last Result |
| 9 | 26% | 50% | Median |
| 10 | 12% | 24% | |
| 11 | 7% | 12% | |
| 12 | 4% | 6% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 6 | 8% | 95% | |
| 7 | 17% | 87% | |
| 8 | 18% | 70% | |
| 9 | 20% | 52% | Median |
| 10 | 14% | 31% | |
| 11 | 11% | 18% | |
| 12 | 5% | 7% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 26% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 12% | 74% | |
| 4 | 0% | 62% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 62% | |
| 6 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 7 | 28% | 41% | |
| 8 | 10% | 14% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 27% | 97% | |
| 2 | 28% | 70% | Median |
| 3 | 32% | 43% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 6 | 4% | 10% | |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 67% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 19% | 31% | |
| 3 | 10% | 12% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 96 | 99.9% | 92–101 | 90–104 | 89–104 | 86–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 90 | 91% | 85–94 | 83–95 | 82–97 | 79–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 88 | 84% | 83–93 | 82–94 | 81–95 | 78–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 86 | 60% | 80–90 | 80–92 | 78–92 | 75–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 80 | 11% | 76–85 | 75–85 | 74–87 | 72–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 4% | 71–82 | 70–84 | 68–85 | 66–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 75 | 1.5% | 70–80 | 68–83 | 67–83 | 65–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 71 | 0.1% | 66–76 | 64–77 | 63–79 | 61–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0% | 63–73 | 62–75 | 61–76 | 59–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 69 | 0% | 63–73 | 62–75 | 61–76 | 58–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 67 | 0% | 62–71 | 61–73 | 60–74 | 57–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 60 | 0% | 56–65 | 56–67 | 53–68 | 51–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 59 | 0% | 55–63 | 54–65 | 52–66 | 49–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–64 | 52–65 | 50–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 57 | 0% | 53–60 | 51–61 | 50–62 | 48–66 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 48 | 0% | 43–54 | 41–55 | 41–55 | 38–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 16 | 0% | 12–20 | 11–21 | 10–22 | 5–25 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 89 | 2% | 98% | |
| 90 | 2% | 96% | |
| 91 | 2% | 95% | |
| 92 | 4% | 92% | |
| 93 | 10% | 88% | |
| 94 | 9% | 78% | |
| 95 | 10% | 69% | |
| 96 | 12% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 97 | 9% | 47% | |
| 98 | 14% | 39% | |
| 99 | 5% | 24% | |
| 100 | 8% | 20% | |
| 101 | 2% | 12% | |
| 102 | 2% | 10% | |
| 103 | 2% | 7% | |
| 104 | 4% | 5% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 83 | 3% | 97% | |
| 84 | 2% | 93% | |
| 85 | 3% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 88% | |
| 87 | 10% | 76% | |
| 88 | 7% | 65% | Median |
| 89 | 8% | 59% | |
| 90 | 11% | 51% | |
| 91 | 7% | 39% | |
| 92 | 12% | 32% | |
| 93 | 7% | 21% | |
| 94 | 4% | 14% | |
| 95 | 6% | 10% | |
| 96 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 96% | |
| 83 | 5% | 92% | |
| 84 | 3% | 87% | |
| 85 | 11% | 84% | Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 73% | |
| 87 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 88 | 9% | 56% | |
| 89 | 12% | 47% | |
| 90 | 9% | 35% | |
| 91 | 9% | 25% | |
| 92 | 4% | 16% | |
| 93 | 3% | 12% | |
| 94 | 6% | 9% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 80 | 6% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 89% | |
| 82 | 5% | 86% | |
| 83 | 12% | 80% | |
| 84 | 8% | 68% | |
| 85 | 10% | 60% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 50% | |
| 87 | 12% | 42% | |
| 88 | 10% | 29% | |
| 89 | 5% | 19% | |
| 90 | 5% | 14% | |
| 91 | 3% | 9% | |
| 92 | 4% | 6% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 6% | 94% | |
| 77 | 8% | 89% | |
| 78 | 11% | 81% | |
| 79 | 13% | 70% | Median |
| 80 | 14% | 58% | |
| 81 | 9% | 44% | |
| 82 | 12% | 35% | |
| 83 | 7% | 24% | |
| 84 | 6% | 16% | |
| 85 | 6% | 11% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 7% | 93% | |
| 72 | 4% | 86% | |
| 73 | 4% | 83% | |
| 74 | 10% | 79% | |
| 75 | 9% | 69% | |
| 76 | 9% | 60% | |
| 77 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 78 | 6% | 42% | |
| 79 | 11% | 37% | |
| 80 | 7% | 26% | |
| 81 | 7% | 19% | |
| 82 | 2% | 12% | |
| 83 | 4% | 10% | |
| 84 | 2% | 6% | |
| 85 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 5% | 90% | |
| 71 | 4% | 85% | |
| 72 | 4% | 81% | |
| 73 | 10% | 77% | |
| 74 | 8% | 66% | |
| 75 | 9% | 58% | |
| 76 | 11% | 49% | Median |
| 77 | 11% | 38% | |
| 78 | 6% | 27% | |
| 79 | 5% | 21% | |
| 80 | 6% | 16% | |
| 81 | 2% | 10% | |
| 82 | 3% | 8% | |
| 83 | 3% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 1.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 10% | 92% | |
| 67 | 4% | 82% | |
| 68 | 9% | 78% | |
| 69 | 7% | 70% | |
| 70 | 10% | 63% | Median |
| 71 | 10% | 53% | |
| 72 | 8% | 43% | |
| 73 | 8% | 35% | |
| 74 | 12% | 27% | |
| 75 | 4% | 15% | |
| 76 | 3% | 11% | |
| 77 | 3% | 8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 4% | 94% | |
| 64 | 6% | 90% | |
| 65 | 8% | 84% | |
| 66 | 4% | 76% | |
| 67 | 14% | 72% | |
| 68 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 69 | 12% | 47% | |
| 70 | 7% | 35% | |
| 71 | 11% | 29% | |
| 72 | 4% | 17% | Last Result |
| 73 | 5% | 13% | |
| 74 | 3% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 6% | 94% | |
| 64 | 5% | 88% | |
| 65 | 8% | 84% | |
| 66 | 9% | 75% | |
| 67 | 9% | 66% | |
| 68 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 69 | 13% | 52% | |
| 70 | 11% | 38% | |
| 71 | 8% | 28% | |
| 72 | 9% | 20% | |
| 73 | 4% | 11% | |
| 74 | 2% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 4% | 95% | |
| 62 | 5% | 91% | |
| 63 | 4% | 86% | |
| 64 | 9% | 82% | |
| 65 | 9% | 74% | |
| 66 | 10% | 64% | |
| 67 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 68 | 12% | 44% | |
| 69 | 12% | 32% | |
| 70 | 6% | 21% | |
| 71 | 6% | 15% | |
| 72 | 3% | 9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 7% | 95% | |
| 57 | 7% | 88% | |
| 58 | 8% | 82% | |
| 59 | 9% | 73% | |
| 60 | 14% | 64% | Median |
| 61 | 14% | 50% | |
| 62 | 5% | 36% | |
| 63 | 7% | 31% | |
| 64 | 12% | 24% | |
| 65 | 4% | 12% | |
| 66 | 2% | 8% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 4% | 92% | |
| 56 | 8% | 88% | |
| 57 | 10% | 80% | |
| 58 | 9% | 70% | |
| 59 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 60 | 15% | 47% | |
| 61 | 10% | 33% | |
| 62 | 8% | 23% | |
| 63 | 6% | 15% | |
| 64 | 4% | 10% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 6% | 94% | |
| 55 | 6% | 88% | |
| 56 | 6% | 82% | |
| 57 | 13% | 76% | |
| 58 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 59 | 16% | 47% | |
| 60 | 9% | 32% | |
| 61 | 8% | 23% | Last Result |
| 62 | 6% | 14% | |
| 63 | 3% | 8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 3% | 96% | |
| 52 | 2% | 94% | |
| 53 | 6% | 91% | |
| 54 | 5% | 85% | |
| 55 | 13% | 81% | |
| 56 | 8% | 67% | |
| 57 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 58 | 11% | 38% | |
| 59 | 12% | 27% | |
| 60 | 6% | 15% | |
| 61 | 4% | 9% | |
| 62 | 3% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 4% | 98% | |
| 42 | 2% | 94% | |
| 43 | 4% | 92% | |
| 44 | 4% | 88% | |
| 45 | 6% | 84% | |
| 46 | 8% | 78% | |
| 47 | 13% | 70% | Last Result |
| 48 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 49 | 6% | 40% | |
| 50 | 13% | 35% | |
| 51 | 5% | 22% | |
| 52 | 4% | 17% | |
| 53 | 2% | 13% | |
| 54 | 3% | 11% | |
| 55 | 6% | 8% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 10 | 2% | 98% | |
| 11 | 3% | 96% | |
| 12 | 6% | 93% | |
| 13 | 5% | 87% | |
| 14 | 14% | 82% | |
| 15 | 12% | 68% | |
| 16 | 9% | 56% | |
| 17 | 7% | 47% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 40% | |
| 19 | 9% | 24% | |
| 20 | 6% | 14% | |
| 21 | 4% | 8% | |
| 22 | 3% | 5% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 24–31 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 760
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.49%