Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 24–31 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 24.9% | 22.9–27.0% | 22.4–27.6% | 21.9–28.1% | 21.0–29.1% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 22.2% | 20.4–24.3% | 19.9–24.8% | 19.4–25.3% | 18.6–26.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 20.9% | 19.1–22.9% | 18.6–23.5% | 18.2–24.0% | 17.3–24.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2–7.5% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.7–8.1% | 4.2–8.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.9–7.1% | 3.5–7.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.9–7.1% | 3.5–7.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.7–5.4% | 2.3–6.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.6–5.3% | 2.2–5.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.2–4.3% | 2.0–4.5% | 1.8–5.0% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.1% | 0.4–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 48 | 44–51 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–55 |
| Høyre | 36 | 41 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 34–47 | 33–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 41 | 37–42 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–47 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 10 | 8–13 | 8–15 | 7–15 | 7–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 1–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 1–12 | 0–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–5 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 43 | 5% | 96% | |
| 44 | 3% | 91% | |
| 45 | 6% | 87% | |
| 46 | 10% | 82% | |
| 47 | 15% | 71% | |
| 48 | 23% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 49 | 13% | 33% | |
| 50 | 8% | 20% | |
| 51 | 8% | 12% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 36 | 5% | 96% | Last Result |
| 37 | 4% | 91% | |
| 38 | 5% | 87% | |
| 39 | 16% | 82% | |
| 40 | 14% | 66% | |
| 41 | 19% | 51% | Median |
| 42 | 15% | 32% | |
| 43 | 5% | 17% | |
| 44 | 4% | 12% | |
| 45 | 4% | 8% | |
| 46 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 5% | 97% | |
| 37 | 7% | 92% | |
| 38 | 5% | 86% | |
| 39 | 14% | 80% | |
| 40 | 12% | 66% | |
| 41 | 20% | 54% | Median |
| 42 | 25% | 34% | |
| 43 | 4% | 9% | |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 7% | 96% | |
| 9 | 24% | 89% | |
| 10 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 11 | 14% | 43% | |
| 12 | 15% | 28% | |
| 13 | 6% | 13% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 8% | |
| 15 | 5% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 6 | 2% | 98% | |
| 7 | 11% | 96% | |
| 8 | 20% | 85% | Last Result |
| 9 | 29% | 64% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 35% | |
| 11 | 9% | 18% | |
| 12 | 7% | 9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 6 | 3% | 95% | |
| 7 | 12% | 92% | |
| 8 | 20% | 80% | |
| 9 | 30% | 60% | Median |
| 10 | 13% | 30% | |
| 11 | 10% | 16% | |
| 12 | 5% | 7% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 23% | 98.9% | |
| 3 | 35% | 76% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 41% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 41% | |
| 6 | 8% | 41% | |
| 7 | 15% | 33% | |
| 8 | 15% | 18% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 26% | 91% | |
| 3 | 39% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 27% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 27% | |
| 6 | 6% | 26% | |
| 7 | 12% | 20% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 32% | 95% | |
| 2 | 21% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 38% | 43% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 6 | 2% | 5% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 96 | 99.7% | 91–101 | 90–101 | 89–102 | 85–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 91 | 96% | 86–95 | 85–97 | 84–99 | 81–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 87 | 83% | 83–92 | 82–93 | 80–94 | 77–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 85 | 58% | 81–89 | 79–90 | 77–90 | 75–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 79 | 7% | 75–84 | 73–86 | 72–88 | 68–91 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 81 | 5% | 77–83 | 75–84 | 74–86 | 71–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 76 | 1.0% | 70–81 | 69–82 | 67–83 | 65–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 72 | 0.5% | 69–77 | 67–80 | 66–82 | 64–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 66–75 | 64–77 | 63–79 | 61–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 71 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–77 | 64–78 | 61–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 67 | 0% | 62–72 | 60–73 | 60–73 | 57–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 62 | 0% | 58–67 | 57–69 | 56–71 | 53–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 59 | 0% | 54–63 | 53–63 | 51–65 | 50–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 54–63 | 52–63 | 52–64 | 50–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 56 | 0% | 52–60 | 51–61 | 49–62 | 48–64 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 47 | 0% | 43–52 | 42–54 | 40–54 | 38–56 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 15 | 0% | 12–20 | 10–21 | 8–22 | 4–24 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 90 | 2% | 97% | |
| 91 | 5% | 95% | |
| 92 | 6% | 90% | |
| 93 | 5% | 83% | |
| 94 | 7% | 78% | |
| 95 | 14% | 71% | |
| 96 | 16% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 97 | 8% | 41% | |
| 98 | 9% | 32% | |
| 99 | 3% | 24% | |
| 100 | 4% | 21% | |
| 101 | 13% | 17% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 3% | 96% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 94% | |
| 87 | 7% | 90% | |
| 88 | 5% | 82% | |
| 89 | 10% | 77% | |
| 90 | 13% | 67% | Median |
| 91 | 5% | 53% | |
| 92 | 13% | 48% | |
| 93 | 9% | 35% | |
| 94 | 5% | 26% | |
| 95 | 13% | 22% | |
| 96 | 4% | 9% | |
| 97 | 2% | 6% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 81 | 2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 3% | 95% | |
| 83 | 5% | 92% | |
| 84 | 4% | 87% | |
| 85 | 9% | 83% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 74% | |
| 87 | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 88 | 9% | 45% | |
| 89 | 6% | 36% | |
| 90 | 11% | 29% | |
| 91 | 3% | 19% | |
| 92 | 10% | 15% | |
| 93 | 3% | 6% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 79 | 2% | 96% | |
| 80 | 2% | 94% | |
| 81 | 6% | 92% | |
| 82 | 7% | 87% | |
| 83 | 3% | 80% | |
| 84 | 20% | 78% | |
| 85 | 12% | 58% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 46% | |
| 87 | 10% | 37% | |
| 88 | 7% | 28% | |
| 89 | 14% | 21% | |
| 90 | 4% | 7% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 95% | |
| 74 | 2% | 93% | |
| 75 | 7% | 91% | |
| 76 | 8% | 84% | |
| 77 | 13% | 76% | |
| 78 | 5% | 64% | |
| 79 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 80 | 6% | 46% | |
| 81 | 7% | 39% | |
| 82 | 13% | 32% | |
| 83 | 6% | 19% | |
| 84 | 6% | 13% | |
| 85 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 96% | |
| 76 | 2% | 93% | |
| 77 | 3% | 91% | |
| 78 | 5% | 88% | |
| 79 | 6% | 83% | |
| 80 | 9% | 76% | |
| 81 | 25% | 67% | |
| 82 | 23% | 42% | Median |
| 83 | 11% | 19% | |
| 84 | 4% | 9% | |
| 85 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 96% | |
| 70 | 2% | 92% | |
| 71 | 4% | 89% | |
| 72 | 8% | 85% | |
| 73 | 7% | 77% | |
| 74 | 15% | 71% | |
| 75 | 4% | 56% | |
| 76 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 77 | 9% | 42% | |
| 78 | 5% | 33% | |
| 79 | 7% | 28% | |
| 80 | 9% | 21% | |
| 81 | 3% | 12% | |
| 82 | 6% | 9% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 96% | |
| 68 | 4% | 94% | |
| 69 | 7% | 90% | |
| 70 | 10% | 84% | |
| 71 | 20% | 73% | |
| 72 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 73 | 11% | 42% | |
| 74 | 5% | 30% | |
| 75 | 5% | 25% | |
| 76 | 6% | 20% | |
| 77 | 6% | 15% | |
| 78 | 2% | 9% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 5% | 92% | |
| 67 | 4% | 88% | |
| 68 | 18% | 83% | |
| 69 | 12% | 65% | |
| 70 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 44% | |
| 72 | 9% | 35% | |
| 73 | 4% | 25% | |
| 74 | 9% | 21% | |
| 75 | 5% | 12% | |
| 76 | 2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 4% | 93% | |
| 67 | 10% | 89% | |
| 68 | 13% | 79% | |
| 69 | 6% | 66% | |
| 70 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 71 | 11% | 53% | |
| 72 | 6% | 42% | Last Result |
| 73 | 13% | 36% | |
| 74 | 10% | 23% | |
| 75 | 3% | 13% | |
| 76 | 3% | 10% | |
| 77 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 78 | 3% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 4% | 95% | |
| 62 | 5% | 91% | |
| 63 | 7% | 85% | |
| 64 | 3% | 78% | |
| 65 | 15% | 75% | |
| 66 | 10% | 60% | |
| 67 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 68 | 9% | 38% | |
| 69 | 5% | 30% | |
| 70 | 5% | 24% | |
| 71 | 5% | 19% | |
| 72 | 7% | 14% | |
| 73 | 5% | 7% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 96% | |
| 58 | 5% | 92% | |
| 59 | 5% | 87% | |
| 60 | 11% | 83% | |
| 61 | 17% | 72% | |
| 62 | 21% | 54% | Median |
| 63 | 8% | 34% | |
| 64 | 7% | 26% | |
| 65 | 7% | 20% | |
| 66 | 2% | 13% | |
| 67 | 3% | 11% | |
| 68 | 2% | 8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 7% | 94% | |
| 55 | 6% | 87% | |
| 56 | 4% | 81% | |
| 57 | 9% | 77% | |
| 58 | 15% | 68% | |
| 59 | 24% | 54% | Median |
| 60 | 9% | 30% | |
| 61 | 4% | 20% | |
| 62 | 4% | 16% | |
| 63 | 8% | 12% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 5% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 93% | |
| 54 | 4% | 92% | |
| 55 | 6% | 87% | |
| 56 | 19% | 82% | |
| 57 | 9% | 63% | |
| 58 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 59 | 8% | 41% | |
| 60 | 9% | 33% | |
| 61 | 7% | 24% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 17% | |
| 63 | 9% | 13% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 4% | 95% | |
| 52 | 5% | 91% | |
| 53 | 6% | 86% | |
| 54 | 5% | 80% | |
| 55 | 5% | 75% | |
| 56 | 24% | 70% | |
| 57 | 15% | 46% | Median |
| 58 | 9% | 31% | |
| 59 | 8% | 22% | |
| 60 | 8% | 14% | |
| 61 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 62 | 3% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 4% | 95% | |
| 43 | 5% | 91% | |
| 44 | 4% | 86% | |
| 45 | 15% | 82% | |
| 46 | 12% | 67% | Median |
| 47 | 13% | 55% | Last Result |
| 48 | 7% | 43% | |
| 49 | 10% | 35% | |
| 50 | 9% | 26% | |
| 51 | 6% | 17% | |
| 52 | 4% | 11% | |
| 53 | 2% | 7% | |
| 54 | 4% | 6% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 10 | 2% | 97% | |
| 11 | 4% | 95% | |
| 12 | 6% | 91% | |
| 13 | 12% | 85% | |
| 14 | 20% | 74% | Median |
| 15 | 12% | 54% | |
| 16 | 7% | 42% | |
| 17 | 4% | 35% | |
| 18 | 11% | 31% | |
| 19 | 7% | 20% | |
| 20 | 8% | 13% | |
| 21 | 2% | 6% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 24–31 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 760
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.19%