Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 25–31 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 29.4% | 27.6–31.3% | 27.1–31.8% | 26.6–32.3% | 25.8–33.2% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 19.5% | 17.9–21.2% | 17.5–21.6% | 17.1–22.1% | 16.4–22.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.2–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.4% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 53 | 50–60 | 50–60 | 49–60 | 47–61 |
| Høyre | 36 | 34 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 31–39 | 29–40 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 35 | 32–38 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–42 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 11 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 49 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 50 | 14% | 96% | |
| 51 | 7% | 82% | |
| 52 | 8% | 75% | |
| 53 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 54 | 2% | 48% | |
| 55 | 5% | 46% | |
| 56 | 8% | 41% | |
| 57 | 7% | 33% | |
| 58 | 9% | 26% | |
| 59 | 3% | 17% | |
| 60 | 13% | 13% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 14% | 98% | |
| 32 | 8% | 84% | |
| 33 | 10% | 76% | |
| 34 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 35 | 5% | 46% | |
| 36 | 23% | 41% | Last Result |
| 37 | 11% | 17% | |
| 38 | 2% | 6% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 2% | 97% | |
| 32 | 12% | 95% | |
| 33 | 8% | 82% | |
| 34 | 13% | 75% | |
| 35 | 20% | 62% | Median |
| 36 | 12% | 42% | |
| 37 | 8% | 30% | |
| 38 | 17% | 21% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 14% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 22% | 85% | |
| 11 | 25% | 63% | Median |
| 12 | 11% | 38% | |
| 13 | 5% | 27% | |
| 14 | 18% | 21% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 13% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 29% | 86% | |
| 11 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 12 | 7% | 43% | |
| 13 | 26% | 36% | Last Result |
| 14 | 9% | 11% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 9% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 90% | |
| 10 | 34% | 84% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 49% | |
| 12 | 14% | 29% | |
| 13 | 13% | 15% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 20% | 100% | |
| 3 | 22% | 80% | |
| 4 | 0% | 58% | |
| 5 | 0% | 58% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 58% | |
| 7 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 8 | 36% | 44% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 8% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 16% | 98% | |
| 3 | 45% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 37% | |
| 5 | 0% | 37% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 37% | |
| 7 | 17% | 36% | |
| 8 | 15% | 20% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 62% | 97% | Median |
| 2 | 26% | 35% | |
| 3 | 9% | 9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 92 | 99.4% | 85–94 | 85–96 | 85–97 | 84–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 89 | 95% | 85–95 | 85–95 | 84–95 | 81–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 87 | 79% | 83–94 | 83–94 | 82–94 | 79–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 82 | 35% | 79–88 | 78–89 | 76–90 | 75–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 82 | 21% | 75–86 | 75–86 | 75–87 | 73–90 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 80 | 5% | 74–84 | 74–84 | 74–85 | 71–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 78 | 13% | 75–85 | 73–85 | 72–85 | 70–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 77 | 0.6% | 75–84 | 73–84 | 72–84 | 70–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 77 | 0.8% | 73–84 | 72–84 | 71–84 | 69–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 76 | 0.4% | 71–78 | 70–79 | 69–81 | 66–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 72 | 0% | 66–76 | 65–77 | 65–79 | 63–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 70 | 0% | 65–75 | 64–76 | 64–78 | 62–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 69 | 0% | 63–74 | 63–75 | 63–75 | 62–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 66 | 0% | 62–73 | 61–73 | 60–73 | 57–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 65 | 0% | 61–71 | 61–71 | 61–72 | 58–73 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 44 | 0% | 40–49 | 40–50 | 40–50 | 38–53 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 17–25 | 15–26 | 15–27 | 15–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 13% | 99.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 87 | 2% | 86% | |
| 88 | 2% | 84% | |
| 89 | 4% | 82% | |
| 90 | 20% | 78% | Median |
| 91 | 4% | 58% | |
| 92 | 22% | 54% | |
| 93 | 7% | 32% | |
| 94 | 16% | 26% | |
| 95 | 3% | 9% | |
| 96 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 97 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 84 | 3% | 98% | |
| 85 | 14% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 81% | Median |
| 87 | 6% | 75% | |
| 88 | 14% | 69% | |
| 89 | 10% | 55% | |
| 90 | 7% | 45% | |
| 91 | 16% | 38% | |
| 92 | 2% | 22% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 94 | 4% | 19% | |
| 95 | 13% | 15% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 83 | 14% | 97% | |
| 84 | 4% | 83% | |
| 85 | 7% | 79% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 72% | |
| 87 | 12% | 60% | |
| 88 | 4% | 48% | |
| 89 | 9% | 44% | |
| 90 | 14% | 35% | |
| 91 | 2% | 21% | |
| 92 | 2% | 19% | |
| 93 | 5% | 18% | |
| 94 | 12% | 13% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 77 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 79 | 8% | 94% | Median |
| 80 | 11% | 87% | |
| 81 | 13% | 76% | |
| 82 | 21% | 63% | |
| 83 | 3% | 42% | |
| 84 | 4% | 39% | |
| 85 | 5% | 35% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 30% | |
| 87 | 5% | 25% | |
| 88 | 13% | 20% | |
| 89 | 3% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 75 | 12% | 98.7% | |
| 76 | 5% | 87% | |
| 77 | 2% | 82% | |
| 78 | 2% | 81% | |
| 79 | 14% | 79% | |
| 80 | 9% | 65% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 56% | |
| 82 | 12% | 52% | |
| 83 | 12% | 40% | |
| 84 | 7% | 28% | |
| 85 | 4% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 14% | 17% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 13% | 98% | |
| 75 | 4% | 85% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 81% | |
| 77 | 2% | 80% | |
| 78 | 16% | 78% | |
| 79 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 80 | 10% | 55% | |
| 81 | 14% | 45% | |
| 82 | 6% | 31% | |
| 83 | 6% | 25% | |
| 84 | 14% | 19% | |
| 85 | 3% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 14% | 93% | |
| 76 | 11% | 79% | Median |
| 77 | 4% | 68% | |
| 78 | 24% | 64% | |
| 79 | 8% | 40% | |
| 80 | 5% | 32% | |
| 81 | 4% | 26% | |
| 82 | 5% | 23% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 84 | 4% | 17% | |
| 85 | 12% | 13% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 94% | |
| 75 | 16% | 91% | Median |
| 76 | 7% | 74% | |
| 77 | 22% | 68% | |
| 78 | 4% | 46% | |
| 79 | 20% | 42% | |
| 80 | 4% | 22% | |
| 81 | 2% | 18% | |
| 82 | 2% | 16% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 84 | 13% | 13% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 14% | 94% | |
| 74 | 4% | 81% | |
| 75 | 14% | 77% | Median |
| 76 | 11% | 63% | |
| 77 | 16% | 52% | |
| 78 | 7% | 37% | |
| 79 | 4% | 29% | |
| 80 | 4% | 25% | |
| 81 | 4% | 21% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 83 | 3% | 16% | |
| 84 | 11% | 12% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 12% | 94% | |
| 72 | 9% | 82% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 74 | 5% | 71% | |
| 75 | 7% | 67% | |
| 76 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 77 | 17% | 38% | |
| 78 | 13% | 21% | |
| 79 | 4% | 9% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 6% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 5% | 93% | |
| 67 | 11% | 88% | |
| 68 | 2% | 77% | Median |
| 69 | 2% | 75% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 73% | |
| 71 | 7% | 73% | |
| 72 | 25% | 65% | |
| 73 | 3% | 40% | |
| 74 | 10% | 37% | |
| 75 | 13% | 27% | |
| 76 | 6% | 13% | |
| 77 | 3% | 8% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 4% | 92% | |
| 66 | 12% | 88% | |
| 67 | 2% | 76% | Median |
| 68 | 7% | 74% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 68% | |
| 70 | 20% | 67% | |
| 71 | 8% | 47% | |
| 72 | 5% | 39% | |
| 73 | 8% | 34% | |
| 74 | 15% | 26% | |
| 75 | 6% | 11% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 12% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 66 | 6% | 85% | |
| 67 | 5% | 79% | |
| 68 | 7% | 75% | |
| 69 | 23% | 68% | Median |
| 70 | 6% | 45% | |
| 71 | 12% | 39% | |
| 72 | 2% | 27% | |
| 73 | 6% | 25% | |
| 74 | 11% | 19% | |
| 75 | 6% | 8% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 62 | 5% | 92% | |
| 63 | 28% | 87% | |
| 64 | 2% | 59% | Median |
| 65 | 6% | 57% | |
| 66 | 10% | 51% | |
| 67 | 16% | 42% | |
| 68 | 3% | 26% | |
| 69 | 7% | 23% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 16% | |
| 71 | 2% | 14% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 73 | 11% | 12% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 8% | 98% | |
| 62 | 5% | 90% | |
| 63 | 13% | 85% | |
| 64 | 14% | 71% | Median |
| 65 | 11% | 57% | |
| 66 | 6% | 46% | |
| 67 | 10% | 40% | |
| 68 | 6% | 30% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 70 | 7% | 22% | |
| 71 | 12% | 16% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 12% | 98% | |
| 41 | 7% | 86% | |
| 42 | 14% | 78% | |
| 43 | 8% | 64% | |
| 44 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 45 | 10% | 48% | |
| 46 | 8% | 38% | |
| 47 | 2% | 30% | Last Result |
| 48 | 7% | 28% | |
| 49 | 12% | 22% | |
| 50 | 8% | 9% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 94% | |
| 17 | 3% | 92% | |
| 18 | 11% | 89% | |
| 19 | 13% | 78% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 65% | |
| 21 | 5% | 64% | Median |
| 22 | 18% | 60% | |
| 23 | 9% | 42% | |
| 24 | 7% | 34% | |
| 25 | 19% | 26% | |
| 26 | 3% | 7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 25–31 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 987
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.20%