Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 1–2 April 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 23.9% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.5–26.5% | 21.1–27.0% | 20.2–28.0% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 21.5% | 19.7–23.5% | 19.2–24.0% | 18.8–24.5% | 18.0–25.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 19.2% | 17.5–21.1% | 17.1–21.7% | 16.6–22.1% | 15.9–23.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 8.4% | 7.2–9.8% | 6.9–10.2% | 6.6–10.5% | 6.1–11.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.4–8.4% | 5.2–8.7% | 4.7–9.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.2–6.8% | 3.9–7.1% | 3.6–7.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.9–5.7% | 2.5–6.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.5–5.1% | 2.2–5.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.2–4.3% | 2.0–4.5% | 1.8–5.0% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.9–2.6% | 0.7–3.0% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.1% | 0.5–2.5% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–1.8% | 0.3–2.2% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 46 | 41–48 | 41–48 | 40–50 | 38–52 |
| Høyre | 36 | 38 | 34–41 | 33–43 | 32–44 | 32–46 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 36 | 34–39 | 33–40 | 31–40 | 29–43 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 16 | 14–20 | 13–20 | 12–20 | 11–22 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 2–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 7 | 1–10 | 1–11 | 1–11 | 1–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 0–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 41 | 19% | 96% | |
| 42 | 6% | 77% | |
| 43 | 9% | 71% | |
| 44 | 7% | 61% | |
| 45 | 4% | 54% | |
| 46 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 47 | 23% | 46% | |
| 48 | 19% | 23% | Last Result |
| 49 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 34 | 6% | 95% | |
| 35 | 11% | 89% | |
| 36 | 4% | 78% | Last Result |
| 37 | 11% | 74% | |
| 38 | 24% | 63% | Median |
| 39 | 21% | 38% | |
| 40 | 6% | 17% | |
| 41 | 4% | 11% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 43 | 4% | 6% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 2% | 95% | |
| 34 | 21% | 93% | |
| 35 | 22% | 73% | |
| 36 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 37 | 5% | 37% | |
| 38 | 20% | 32% | |
| 39 | 6% | 12% | |
| 40 | 4% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98% | |
| 13 | 3% | 95% | |
| 14 | 25% | 92% | |
| 15 | 16% | 67% | |
| 16 | 25% | 51% | Median |
| 17 | 6% | 26% | |
| 18 | 5% | 20% | |
| 19 | 4% | 15% | |
| 20 | 10% | 11% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 6% | 97% | |
| 11 | 20% | 92% | |
| 12 | 38% | 71% | Median |
| 13 | 23% | 33% | Last Result |
| 14 | 5% | 10% | |
| 15 | 3% | 5% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 8 | 14% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 31% | 84% | |
| 10 | 33% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 8% | 21% | |
| 12 | 5% | 13% | |
| 13 | 7% | 8% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27% | 100% | |
| 2 | 9% | 73% | |
| 3 | 0% | 64% | |
| 4 | 0% | 64% | |
| 5 | 0% | 64% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 64% | |
| 7 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 8 | 11% | 49% | Last Result |
| 9 | 28% | 38% | |
| 10 | 2% | 10% | |
| 11 | 8% | 8% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 98% | |
| 2 | 40% | 96% | |
| 3 | 29% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 28% | |
| 5 | 0% | 28% | |
| 6 | 0% | 28% | |
| 7 | 7% | 28% | |
| 8 | 18% | 20% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 32% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 21% | 68% | Median |
| 3 | 37% | 47% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 9% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 8% | |
| 9 | 5% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 103 | 100% | 97–108 | 97–109 | 97–110 | 95–113 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 90 | 90% | 85–95 | 84–98 | 84–101 | 83–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 87 | 77% | 82–92 | 82–94 | 81–95 | 79–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 84 | 35% | 80–89 | 79–90 | 79–90 | 74–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 81 | 22% | 76–87 | 75–87 | 73–88 | 71–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 79 | 7% | 75–83 | 74–86 | 73–86 | 68–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 79 | 10% | 74–84 | 70–85 | 67–85 | 67–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 75 | 0.3% | 72–80 | 70–82 | 68–83 | 66–84 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 74 | 0.3% | 71–78 | 70–79 | 70–80 | 67–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 73 | 0.1% | 69–79 | 67–79 | 66–79 | 65–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 67 | 0% | 63–71 | 62–73 | 60–75 | 58–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 65 | 0% | 60–72 | 59–72 | 58–72 | 56–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 64 | 0% | 60–70 | 60–70 | 58–70 | 56–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 61 | 0% | 57–67 | 56–67 | 54–67 | 52–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 53–60 | 53–60 | 51–63 | 50–66 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 52 | 0% | 47–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 43–63 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 29 | 0% | 25–33 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 21–38 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 97 | 17% | 98.8% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 99 | 5% | 81% | |
| 100 | 3% | 76% | |
| 101 | 3% | 73% | |
| 102 | 10% | 70% | |
| 103 | 21% | 60% | Median |
| 104 | 1.3% | 39% | |
| 105 | 7% | 38% | |
| 106 | 2% | 31% | |
| 107 | 13% | 28% | |
| 108 | 5% | 15% | |
| 109 | 7% | 10% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 8% | 98% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 90% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 90% | |
| 87 | 2% | 80% | |
| 88 | 14% | 78% | |
| 89 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 90 | 21% | 54% | |
| 91 | 4% | 33% | |
| 92 | 4% | 28% | |
| 93 | 6% | 25% | |
| 94 | 7% | 18% | |
| 95 | 4% | 11% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 98 | 3% | 6% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 101 | 3% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 8% | 97% | |
| 83 | 10% | 89% | |
| 84 | 2% | 80% | |
| 85 | 4% | 77% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 74% | |
| 87 | 30% | 68% | Median |
| 88 | 11% | 38% | |
| 89 | 2% | 27% | |
| 90 | 3% | 24% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 21% | |
| 92 | 13% | 20% | |
| 93 | 2% | 7% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 95 | 3% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 79 | 5% | 98% | |
| 80 | 16% | 93% | |
| 81 | 13% | 77% | |
| 82 | 5% | 64% | |
| 83 | 3% | 59% | |
| 84 | 21% | 56% | Median |
| 85 | 16% | 35% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 20% | |
| 87 | 6% | 17% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 89 | 4% | 11% | |
| 90 | 4% | 7% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 75 | 3% | 96% | |
| 76 | 7% | 93% | |
| 77 | 6% | 86% | |
| 78 | 2% | 80% | |
| 79 | 2% | 78% | |
| 80 | 2% | 75% | |
| 81 | 26% | 73% | |
| 82 | 15% | 47% | |
| 83 | 6% | 32% | Median |
| 84 | 4% | 26% | |
| 85 | 2% | 22% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 20% | |
| 87 | 8% | 10% | |
| 88 | 2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 97% | |
| 75 | 17% | 95% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 78% | |
| 77 | 11% | 77% | |
| 78 | 9% | 67% | |
| 79 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 80 | 5% | 41% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 37% | |
| 82 | 22% | 35% | |
| 83 | 3% | 13% | |
| 84 | 3% | 10% | |
| 85 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 74 | 8% | 92% | |
| 75 | 4% | 84% | |
| 76 | 5% | 80% | |
| 77 | 5% | 75% | |
| 78 | 17% | 70% | |
| 79 | 6% | 52% | |
| 80 | 11% | 46% | |
| 81 | 14% | 36% | Median |
| 82 | 2% | 22% | |
| 83 | 10% | 20% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 85 | 8% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 72 | 19% | 94% | |
| 73 | 3% | 75% | |
| 74 | 11% | 72% | |
| 75 | 16% | 60% | |
| 76 | 14% | 44% | Median |
| 77 | 11% | 30% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 79 | 2% | 19% | |
| 80 | 9% | 16% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 6% | 98% | |
| 71 | 22% | 92% | |
| 72 | 15% | 70% | |
| 73 | 5% | 55% | |
| 74 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 75 | 5% | 34% | |
| 76 | 11% | 29% | |
| 77 | 4% | 18% | |
| 78 | 8% | 15% | |
| 79 | 4% | 7% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 69 | 20% | 92% | |
| 70 | 3% | 73% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 70% | |
| 72 | 8% | 69% | |
| 73 | 20% | 61% | |
| 74 | 20% | 41% | Median |
| 75 | 5% | 21% | |
| 76 | 3% | 17% | |
| 77 | 2% | 14% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 12% | |
| 79 | 9% | 11% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 62 | 2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 16% | 94% | |
| 64 | 5% | 78% | |
| 65 | 9% | 73% | |
| 66 | 12% | 64% | |
| 67 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 68 | 4% | 41% | |
| 69 | 4% | 37% | |
| 70 | 13% | 33% | |
| 71 | 11% | 20% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 73 | 5% | 9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 59 | 6% | 97% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 61 | 7% | 89% | |
| 62 | 11% | 82% | |
| 63 | 4% | 71% | |
| 64 | 6% | 67% | |
| 65 | 15% | 61% | |
| 66 | 6% | 46% | |
| 67 | 11% | 40% | Median |
| 68 | 3% | 29% | |
| 69 | 3% | 27% | |
| 70 | 4% | 23% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 72 | 17% | 18% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 60 | 15% | 96% | |
| 61 | 4% | 81% | |
| 62 | 11% | 77% | |
| 63 | 11% | 66% | |
| 64 | 9% | 55% | |
| 65 | 13% | 46% | Median |
| 66 | 3% | 34% | |
| 67 | 3% | 31% | |
| 68 | 7% | 27% | |
| 69 | 9% | 20% | |
| 70 | 10% | 12% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 18% | 92% | |
| 58 | 3% | 74% | |
| 59 | 5% | 72% | |
| 60 | 12% | 66% | |
| 61 | 20% | 55% | |
| 62 | 11% | 35% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 24% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 65 | 4% | 14% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 67 | 9% | 10% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 53 | 18% | 95% | |
| 54 | 7% | 77% | |
| 55 | 5% | 70% | |
| 56 | 10% | 66% | |
| 57 | 2% | 56% | |
| 58 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 59 | 30% | 49% | |
| 60 | 15% | 19% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 10% | 97% | Last Result |
| 48 | 12% | 87% | |
| 49 | 14% | 75% | |
| 50 | 7% | 61% | |
| 51 | 2% | 54% | Median |
| 52 | 18% | 52% | |
| 53 | 3% | 34% | |
| 54 | 10% | 30% | |
| 55 | 7% | 20% | |
| 56 | 7% | 13% | |
| 57 | 2% | 5% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 25 | 9% | 96% | |
| 26 | 12% | 87% | |
| 27 | 4% | 75% | |
| 28 | 5% | 71% | |
| 29 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 30 | 7% | 48% | |
| 31 | 26% | 41% | |
| 32 | 5% | 16% | |
| 33 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 34 | 2% | 9% | |
| 35 | 5% | 8% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 1–2 April 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 790
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.16%