Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for Bergens Tidende and VG, 2–7 April 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 30.1% | 28.3–32.0% | 27.7–32.5% | 27.3–33.0% | 26.4–33.9% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 20.4% | 18.8–22.1% | 18.4–22.6% | 18.0–23.0% | 17.3–23.8% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 18.6% | 17.1–20.2% | 16.6–20.7% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.2–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 56 | 51–64 | 51–64 | 51–64 | 47–64 |
| Høyre | 36 | 34 | 33–41 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 31–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 35 | 32–37 | 32–38 | 30–39 | 30–40 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–16 | 9–16 | 8–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 1–11 | 1–11 | 1–11 | 1–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 22% | 98% | |
| 52 | 6% | 76% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 70% | |
| 54 | 9% | 70% | |
| 55 | 5% | 60% | |
| 56 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 57 | 8% | 48% | |
| 58 | 3% | 41% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 38% | |
| 60 | 6% | 36% | |
| 61 | 10% | 30% | |
| 62 | 2% | 20% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 18% | |
| 64 | 18% | 18% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 24% | 97% | |
| 34 | 31% | 73% | Median |
| 35 | 4% | 42% | |
| 36 | 4% | 37% | Last Result |
| 37 | 12% | 34% | |
| 38 | 2% | 21% | |
| 39 | 4% | 20% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 41 | 14% | 14% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 32 | 22% | 96% | |
| 33 | 7% | 74% | |
| 34 | 8% | 67% | |
| 35 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 36 | 32% | 49% | |
| 37 | 11% | 17% | |
| 38 | 3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 9 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 10% | 95% | |
| 11 | 14% | 86% | |
| 12 | 30% | 71% | Median |
| 13 | 25% | 42% | Last Result |
| 14 | 11% | 17% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 16 | 4% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 9 | 21% | 95% | |
| 10 | 8% | 74% | |
| 11 | 13% | 66% | |
| 12 | 38% | 53% | Median |
| 13 | 12% | 14% | |
| 14 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21% | 100% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 79% | |
| 3 | 0% | 78% | |
| 4 | 0% | 78% | |
| 5 | 0% | 78% | |
| 6 | 2% | 78% | |
| 7 | 7% | 76% | |
| 8 | 26% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 2% | 43% | |
| 10 | 28% | 40% | |
| 11 | 11% | 12% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18% | 100% | |
| 3 | 40% | 82% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 43% | |
| 5 | 0% | 43% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 43% | |
| 7 | 26% | 43% | |
| 8 | 14% | 16% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 42% | 97% | |
| 3 | 14% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 41% | |
| 5 | 0% | 41% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 41% | |
| 7 | 25% | 41% | |
| 8 | 11% | 16% | |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 17% | 97% | |
| 2 | 42% | 80% | Median |
| 3 | 34% | 38% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 7 | 3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 91 | 98% | 86–98 | 86–98 | 85–98 | 80–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 90 | 75% | 80–93 | 80–94 | 80–97 | 80–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 85 | 56% | 83–96 | 81–96 | 78–96 | 77–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 86 | 61% | 82–91 | 82–92 | 78–95 | 75–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 84 | 49% | 80–89 | 79–90 | 76–92 | 73–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 84 | 44% | 73–86 | 73–88 | 73–91 | 73–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 79 | 25% | 76–89 | 75–89 | 72–89 | 70–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 80 | 21% | 75–86 | 73–86 | 72–87 | 69–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 78 | 2% | 71–83 | 71–83 | 71–84 | 69–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 73 | 2% | 70–79 | 68–82 | 68–82 | 65–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 76 | 1.0% | 68–80 | 68–82 | 68–82 | 67–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 70 | 0% | 65–77 | 65–77 | 65–78 | 61–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 69 | 0% | 65–76 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 61–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 68 | 0% | 63–77 | 63–77 | 61–77 | 57–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 67 | 0% | 63–73 | 63–73 | 62–75 | 59–76 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 43 | 0% | 39–46 | 39–47 | 39–50 | 38–53 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 18 | 0% | 15–22 | 14–22 | 14–23 | 13–25 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 95% | |
| 87 | 2% | 89% | |
| 88 | 10% | 87% | |
| 89 | 2% | 78% | |
| 90 | 24% | 76% | |
| 91 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 92 | 13% | 46% | |
| 93 | 2% | 33% | |
| 94 | 2% | 30% | |
| 95 | 4% | 28% | |
| 96 | 4% | 24% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 20% | |
| 98 | 18% | 19% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 17% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 82% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 83 | 2% | 82% | |
| 84 | 5% | 80% | |
| 85 | 2% | 75% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 73% | Median |
| 87 | 2% | 67% | |
| 88 | 3% | 65% | |
| 89 | 9% | 62% | |
| 90 | 10% | 53% | |
| 91 | 21% | 43% | |
| 92 | 3% | 23% | |
| 93 | 10% | 20% | |
| 94 | 5% | 10% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 97 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 82 | 3% | 94% | |
| 83 | 27% | 91% | |
| 84 | 9% | 65% | |
| 85 | 10% | 56% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 46% | |
| 87 | 4% | 45% | |
| 88 | 3% | 41% | Median |
| 89 | 2% | 38% | |
| 90 | 10% | 36% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 26% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 93 | 4% | 25% | |
| 94 | 2% | 21% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 19% | |
| 96 | 17% | 17% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 82 | 12% | 96% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 84 | 21% | 82% | |
| 85 | 6% | 61% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 55% | |
| 87 | 5% | 48% | |
| 88 | 3% | 44% | |
| 89 | 10% | 41% | |
| 90 | 2% | 31% | |
| 91 | 21% | 29% | |
| 92 | 4% | 7% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 3% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 97 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 79 | 4% | 96% | |
| 80 | 4% | 92% | |
| 81 | 6% | 88% | |
| 82 | 27% | 82% | |
| 83 | 3% | 55% | Median |
| 84 | 3% | 52% | |
| 85 | 7% | 49% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 42% | |
| 87 | 10% | 38% | |
| 88 | 18% | 28% | |
| 89 | 4% | 11% | |
| 90 | 2% | 7% | |
| 91 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 92 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 93 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 95 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 17% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 75 | 2% | 81% | |
| 76 | 4% | 79% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 75% | Median |
| 78 | 0.7% | 74% | |
| 79 | 10% | 74% | |
| 80 | 2% | 64% | |
| 81 | 3% | 62% | |
| 82 | 4% | 59% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 55% | |
| 84 | 10% | 54% | |
| 85 | 9% | 44% | Majority |
| 86 | 27% | 35% | |
| 87 | 3% | 9% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 75 | 5% | 95% | |
| 76 | 10% | 90% | |
| 77 | 3% | 80% | |
| 78 | 21% | 77% | |
| 79 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 47% | |
| 81 | 3% | 38% | |
| 82 | 2% | 35% | |
| 83 | 6% | 33% | |
| 84 | 2% | 27% | |
| 85 | 5% | 25% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 20% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 18% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 89 | 17% | 18% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 74 | 2% | 94% | |
| 75 | 20% | 92% | |
| 76 | 3% | 72% | |
| 77 | 7% | 69% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 63% | |
| 79 | 7% | 61% | |
| 80 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 81 | 5% | 47% | |
| 82 | 2% | 42% | |
| 83 | 9% | 40% | |
| 84 | 10% | 32% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 18% | 21% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 18% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 73 | 4% | 80% | |
| 74 | 4% | 76% | Median |
| 75 | 2% | 72% | |
| 76 | 2% | 70% | |
| 77 | 13% | 67% | |
| 78 | 6% | 54% | |
| 79 | 24% | 48% | |
| 80 | 1.5% | 24% | |
| 81 | 10% | 22% | |
| 82 | 2% | 13% | |
| 83 | 6% | 11% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 68 | 5% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 70 | 9% | 92% | |
| 71 | 7% | 83% | |
| 72 | 25% | 76% | |
| 73 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 74 | 3% | 50% | |
| 75 | 3% | 47% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 43% | |
| 77 | 2% | 43% | |
| 78 | 29% | 42% | |
| 79 | 4% | 13% | |
| 80 | 3% | 9% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 82 | 4% | 6% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 17% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 81% | |
| 71 | 5% | 80% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 75% | Median |
| 73 | 6% | 74% | |
| 74 | 7% | 68% | |
| 75 | 3% | 60% | |
| 76 | 11% | 57% | |
| 77 | 24% | 46% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 79 | 8% | 21% | |
| 80 | 7% | 13% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 82 | 4% | 6% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 19% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 79% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 79% | |
| 68 | 10% | 78% | |
| 69 | 4% | 68% | Median |
| 70 | 25% | 64% | |
| 71 | 8% | 39% | |
| 72 | 5% | 31% | |
| 73 | 6% | 25% | |
| 74 | 3% | 19% | |
| 75 | 4% | 16% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 77 | 9% | 12% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 21% | 95% | |
| 66 | 6% | 73% | |
| 67 | 2% | 68% | |
| 68 | 11% | 66% | |
| 69 | 6% | 55% | |
| 70 | 5% | 48% | Median |
| 71 | 4% | 43% | |
| 72 | 3% | 40% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 36% | |
| 74 | 4% | 35% | |
| 75 | 9% | 31% | |
| 76 | 17% | 22% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 3% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 63 | 21% | 95% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 75% | |
| 65 | 2% | 74% | |
| 66 | 10% | 72% | |
| 67 | 4% | 62% | |
| 68 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 69 | 3% | 49% | |
| 70 | 8% | 46% | |
| 71 | 2% | 39% | |
| 72 | 11% | 36% | |
| 73 | 6% | 26% | |
| 74 | 2% | 20% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 77 | 17% | 17% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 22% | 95% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 73% | |
| 65 | 12% | 73% | |
| 66 | 7% | 61% | |
| 67 | 7% | 54% | |
| 68 | 5% | 47% | Median |
| 69 | 3% | 42% | |
| 70 | 4% | 39% | |
| 71 | 4% | 35% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 31% | |
| 73 | 27% | 30% | |
| 74 | 0% | 3% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 20% | 98% | Median |
| 40 | 6% | 78% | |
| 41 | 10% | 73% | |
| 42 | 8% | 63% | |
| 43 | 27% | 55% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 28% | |
| 45 | 10% | 27% | |
| 46 | 10% | 17% | |
| 47 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 15 | 20% | 93% | |
| 16 | 10% | 72% | |
| 17 | 8% | 62% | Median |
| 18 | 14% | 54% | |
| 19 | 2% | 40% | |
| 20 | 3% | 38% | |
| 21 | 22% | 35% | |
| 22 | 10% | 13% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): Bergens Tidende and VG
- Fieldwork period: 2–7 April 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.37%