Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for Bergens Tidende and VG, 2–7 April 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
30.1% |
28.3–32.0% |
27.7–32.5% |
27.3–33.0% |
26.4–33.9% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
20.4% |
18.8–22.1% |
18.4–22.6% |
18.0–23.0% |
17.3–23.8% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
18.6% |
17.1–20.2% |
16.6–20.7% |
16.3–21.1% |
15.6–21.9% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.2–7.8% |
5.0–8.1% |
4.6–8.7% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.9% |
5.0–7.0% |
4.8–7.3% |
4.6–7.5% |
4.2–8.1% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–5.0% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.9–4.7% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.3% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
51 |
22% |
98% |
|
52 |
6% |
76% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
70% |
|
54 |
9% |
70% |
|
55 |
5% |
60% |
|
56 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
57 |
8% |
48% |
|
58 |
3% |
41% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
38% |
|
60 |
6% |
36% |
|
61 |
10% |
30% |
|
62 |
2% |
20% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
18% |
|
64 |
18% |
18% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
31 |
1.5% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
2% |
98% |
|
33 |
24% |
97% |
|
34 |
31% |
73% |
Median |
35 |
4% |
42% |
|
36 |
4% |
37% |
Last Result |
37 |
12% |
34% |
|
38 |
2% |
21% |
|
39 |
4% |
20% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
15% |
|
41 |
14% |
14% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
32 |
22% |
96% |
|
33 |
7% |
74% |
|
34 |
8% |
67% |
|
35 |
10% |
59% |
Median |
36 |
32% |
49% |
|
37 |
11% |
17% |
|
38 |
3% |
6% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
9 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
10 |
10% |
95% |
|
11 |
14% |
86% |
|
12 |
30% |
71% |
Median |
13 |
25% |
42% |
Last Result |
14 |
11% |
17% |
|
15 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
16 |
4% |
5% |
|
17 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
8 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
9 |
21% |
95% |
|
10 |
8% |
74% |
|
11 |
13% |
66% |
|
12 |
38% |
53% |
Median |
13 |
12% |
14% |
|
14 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
21% |
100% |
|
2 |
1.1% |
79% |
|
3 |
0% |
78% |
|
4 |
0% |
78% |
|
5 |
0% |
78% |
|
6 |
2% |
78% |
|
7 |
7% |
76% |
|
8 |
26% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
2% |
43% |
|
10 |
28% |
40% |
|
11 |
11% |
12% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
18% |
100% |
|
3 |
40% |
82% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
43% |
|
5 |
0% |
43% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
43% |
|
7 |
26% |
43% |
|
8 |
14% |
16% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
42% |
97% |
|
3 |
14% |
55% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
41% |
|
5 |
0% |
41% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
41% |
|
7 |
25% |
41% |
|
8 |
11% |
16% |
|
9 |
4% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
17% |
97% |
|
2 |
42% |
80% |
Median |
3 |
34% |
38% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
4% |
|
5 |
0% |
4% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
7 |
3% |
4% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
91 |
98% |
86–98 |
86–98 |
85–98 |
80–100 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
90 |
75% |
80–93 |
80–94 |
80–97 |
80–99 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
85 |
56% |
83–96 |
81–96 |
78–96 |
77–96 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
86 |
61% |
82–91 |
82–92 |
78–95 |
75–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
84 |
49% |
80–89 |
79–90 |
76–92 |
73–95 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
84 |
44% |
73–86 |
73–88 |
73–91 |
73–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
79 |
25% |
76–89 |
75–89 |
72–89 |
70–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
80 |
21% |
75–86 |
73–86 |
72–87 |
69–88 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
78 |
2% |
71–83 |
71–83 |
71–84 |
69–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
73 |
2% |
70–79 |
68–82 |
68–82 |
65–85 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
76 |
1.0% |
68–80 |
68–82 |
68–82 |
67–87 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
70 |
0% |
65–77 |
65–77 |
65–78 |
61–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
69 |
0% |
65–76 |
64–76 |
63–77 |
61–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
68 |
0% |
63–77 |
63–77 |
61–77 |
57–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
67 |
0% |
63–73 |
63–73 |
62–75 |
59–76 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
43 |
0% |
39–46 |
39–47 |
39–50 |
38–53 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
18 |
0% |
15–22 |
14–22 |
14–23 |
13–25 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
85 |
2% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
95% |
|
87 |
2% |
89% |
|
88 |
10% |
87% |
|
89 |
2% |
78% |
|
90 |
24% |
76% |
|
91 |
6% |
52% |
Median |
92 |
13% |
46% |
|
93 |
2% |
33% |
|
94 |
2% |
30% |
|
95 |
4% |
28% |
|
96 |
4% |
24% |
|
97 |
1.0% |
20% |
|
98 |
18% |
19% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
101 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
17% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
82% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
82% |
|
83 |
2% |
82% |
|
84 |
5% |
80% |
|
85 |
2% |
75% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
73% |
Median |
87 |
2% |
67% |
|
88 |
3% |
65% |
|
89 |
9% |
62% |
|
90 |
10% |
53% |
|
91 |
21% |
43% |
|
92 |
3% |
23% |
|
93 |
10% |
20% |
|
94 |
5% |
10% |
|
95 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
96 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
97 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
78 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
82 |
3% |
94% |
|
83 |
27% |
91% |
|
84 |
9% |
65% |
|
85 |
10% |
56% |
Majority |
86 |
1.1% |
46% |
|
87 |
4% |
45% |
|
88 |
3% |
41% |
Median |
89 |
2% |
38% |
|
90 |
10% |
36% |
|
91 |
0.7% |
26% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
26% |
|
93 |
4% |
25% |
|
94 |
2% |
21% |
|
95 |
1.4% |
19% |
|
96 |
17% |
17% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
78 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
82 |
12% |
96% |
|
83 |
1.1% |
83% |
|
84 |
21% |
82% |
|
85 |
6% |
61% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
7% |
55% |
|
87 |
5% |
48% |
|
88 |
3% |
44% |
|
89 |
10% |
41% |
|
90 |
2% |
31% |
|
91 |
21% |
29% |
|
92 |
4% |
7% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
3% |
Last Result |
96 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
97 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
76 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
79 |
4% |
96% |
|
80 |
4% |
92% |
|
81 |
6% |
88% |
|
82 |
27% |
82% |
|
83 |
3% |
55% |
Median |
84 |
3% |
52% |
|
85 |
7% |
49% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
42% |
|
87 |
10% |
38% |
|
88 |
18% |
28% |
|
89 |
4% |
11% |
|
90 |
2% |
7% |
|
91 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
92 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
93 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
95 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
17% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
83% |
|
75 |
2% |
81% |
|
76 |
4% |
79% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
75% |
Median |
78 |
0.7% |
74% |
|
79 |
10% |
74% |
|
80 |
2% |
64% |
|
81 |
3% |
62% |
|
82 |
4% |
59% |
|
83 |
1.1% |
55% |
|
84 |
10% |
54% |
|
85 |
9% |
44% |
Majority |
86 |
27% |
35% |
|
87 |
3% |
9% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
89 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
90 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
91 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
92 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
73 |
2% |
97% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
75 |
5% |
95% |
|
76 |
10% |
90% |
|
77 |
3% |
80% |
|
78 |
21% |
77% |
|
79 |
10% |
57% |
Median |
80 |
9% |
47% |
|
81 |
3% |
38% |
|
82 |
2% |
35% |
|
83 |
6% |
33% |
|
84 |
2% |
27% |
|
85 |
5% |
25% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
20% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
18% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
18% |
|
89 |
17% |
18% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
72 |
3% |
98% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
74 |
2% |
94% |
|
75 |
20% |
92% |
|
76 |
3% |
72% |
|
77 |
7% |
69% |
|
78 |
1.3% |
63% |
|
79 |
7% |
61% |
|
80 |
7% |
54% |
Median |
81 |
5% |
47% |
|
82 |
2% |
42% |
|
83 |
9% |
40% |
|
84 |
10% |
32% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
21% |
Majority |
86 |
18% |
21% |
|
87 |
2% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
71 |
18% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
81% |
|
73 |
4% |
80% |
|
74 |
4% |
76% |
Median |
75 |
2% |
72% |
|
76 |
2% |
70% |
|
77 |
13% |
67% |
|
78 |
6% |
54% |
|
79 |
24% |
48% |
|
80 |
1.5% |
24% |
|
81 |
10% |
22% |
|
82 |
2% |
13% |
|
83 |
6% |
11% |
|
84 |
2% |
5% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
68 |
5% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
70 |
9% |
92% |
|
71 |
7% |
83% |
|
72 |
25% |
76% |
|
73 |
2% |
51% |
Median |
74 |
3% |
50% |
|
75 |
3% |
47% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
43% |
|
77 |
2% |
43% |
|
78 |
29% |
42% |
|
79 |
4% |
13% |
|
80 |
3% |
9% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
82 |
4% |
6% |
Last Result |
83 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
84 |
0% |
2% |
|
85 |
2% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
17% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
82% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
81% |
|
71 |
5% |
80% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
75% |
Median |
73 |
6% |
74% |
|
74 |
7% |
68% |
|
75 |
3% |
60% |
|
76 |
11% |
57% |
|
77 |
24% |
46% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
23% |
|
79 |
8% |
21% |
|
80 |
7% |
13% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
82 |
4% |
6% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
65 |
19% |
98% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
79% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
79% |
|
68 |
10% |
78% |
|
69 |
4% |
68% |
Median |
70 |
25% |
64% |
|
71 |
8% |
39% |
|
72 |
5% |
31% |
|
73 |
6% |
25% |
|
74 |
3% |
19% |
|
75 |
4% |
16% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
12% |
|
77 |
9% |
12% |
|
78 |
2% |
3% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
64 |
3% |
97% |
|
65 |
21% |
95% |
|
66 |
6% |
73% |
|
67 |
2% |
68% |
|
68 |
11% |
66% |
|
69 |
6% |
55% |
|
70 |
5% |
48% |
Median |
71 |
4% |
43% |
|
72 |
3% |
40% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
36% |
|
74 |
4% |
35% |
|
75 |
9% |
31% |
|
76 |
17% |
22% |
|
77 |
2% |
4% |
|
78 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
61 |
3% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
63 |
21% |
95% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
75% |
|
65 |
2% |
74% |
|
66 |
10% |
72% |
|
67 |
4% |
62% |
|
68 |
9% |
58% |
Median |
69 |
3% |
49% |
|
70 |
8% |
46% |
|
71 |
2% |
39% |
|
72 |
11% |
36% |
|
73 |
6% |
26% |
|
74 |
2% |
20% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
19% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
18% |
|
77 |
17% |
17% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
62 |
3% |
98% |
|
63 |
22% |
95% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
73% |
|
65 |
12% |
73% |
|
66 |
7% |
61% |
|
67 |
7% |
54% |
|
68 |
5% |
47% |
Median |
69 |
3% |
42% |
|
70 |
4% |
39% |
|
71 |
4% |
35% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
31% |
|
73 |
27% |
30% |
|
74 |
0% |
3% |
|
75 |
2% |
3% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
20% |
98% |
Median |
40 |
6% |
78% |
|
41 |
10% |
73% |
|
42 |
8% |
63% |
|
43 |
27% |
55% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
28% |
|
45 |
10% |
27% |
|
46 |
10% |
17% |
|
47 |
3% |
8% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
14 |
6% |
98.7% |
|
15 |
20% |
93% |
|
16 |
10% |
72% |
|
17 |
8% |
62% |
Median |
18 |
14% |
54% |
|
19 |
2% |
40% |
|
20 |
3% |
38% |
|
21 |
22% |
35% |
|
22 |
10% |
13% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
25 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): Bergens Tidende and VG
- Fieldwork period: 2–7 April 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.37%