Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 28 March–2 May 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
30.0% |
28.2–31.9% |
27.7–32.5% |
27.2–32.9% |
26.4–33.9% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
19.0% |
17.5–20.7% |
17.0–21.1% |
16.7–21.6% |
16.0–22.4% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
18.1% |
16.6–19.7% |
16.2–20.2% |
15.8–20.6% |
15.1–21.4% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
7.4% |
6.4–8.6% |
6.1–8.9% |
5.9–9.2% |
5.5–9.8% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.8% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.7–7.1% |
4.5–7.4% |
4.1–7.9% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.4% |
4.5–6.4% |
4.3–6.7% |
4.1–7.0% |
3.7–7.5% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.5% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.8% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.1–6.5% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.2% |
3.3–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.8–6.2% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.5% |
0.3–1.7% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.3% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.3% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Kystpartiet |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
0.0–0.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
50 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
52 |
4% |
94% |
|
53 |
9% |
91% |
|
54 |
2% |
82% |
|
55 |
49% |
80% |
Median |
56 |
15% |
31% |
|
57 |
6% |
16% |
|
58 |
6% |
10% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
32 |
1.3% |
98.9% |
|
33 |
2% |
98% |
|
34 |
5% |
96% |
|
35 |
5% |
90% |
|
36 |
66% |
86% |
Median |
37 |
1.4% |
19% |
|
38 |
11% |
18% |
|
39 |
2% |
7% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
42 |
3% |
3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
27 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
28 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
29 |
7% |
93% |
|
30 |
3% |
87% |
|
31 |
54% |
84% |
Median |
32 |
11% |
30% |
|
33 |
2% |
19% |
|
34 |
0.9% |
18% |
|
35 |
1.1% |
17% |
|
36 |
14% |
16% |
Last Result |
37 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
4% |
95% |
|
11 |
18% |
91% |
|
12 |
8% |
73% |
|
13 |
3% |
65% |
Last Result |
14 |
48% |
63% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
15% |
|
16 |
8% |
9% |
|
17 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
7 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
8 |
2% |
94% |
|
9 |
53% |
91% |
Median |
10 |
10% |
38% |
|
11 |
11% |
28% |
|
12 |
4% |
18% |
|
13 |
14% |
14% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
8 |
61% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
7% |
35% |
|
10 |
20% |
28% |
|
11 |
7% |
8% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
3 |
20% |
96% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
76% |
|
5 |
0% |
76% |
|
6 |
4% |
76% |
|
7 |
54% |
71% |
Median |
8 |
5% |
18% |
|
9 |
6% |
13% |
|
10 |
7% |
7% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
20% |
98.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
79% |
|
5 |
0% |
79% |
|
6 |
4% |
79% |
|
7 |
13% |
75% |
|
8 |
53% |
62% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
5% |
10% |
|
10 |
5% |
5% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
84% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
9% |
16% |
|
3 |
2% |
6% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
4% |
|
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
96 |
91 |
99.4% |
88–93 |
86–95 |
86–97 |
83–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
87 |
93% |
85–92 |
84–93 |
81–93 |
80–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
86 |
84% |
83–91 |
82–91 |
79–91 |
79–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
86 |
72% |
83–88 |
81–90 |
78–90 |
77–93 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
83 |
16% |
78–86 |
78–87 |
78–90 |
76–90 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
68 |
82 |
7% |
77–84 |
76–85 |
76–88 |
75–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
79 |
5% |
77–81 |
76–85 |
71–85 |
71–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
78 |
0.6% |
76–81 |
74–83 |
72–83 |
71–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
78 |
0.3% |
75–80 |
73–83 |
69–83 |
69–84 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre |
65 |
75 |
0.1% |
73–76 |
69–80 |
68–81 |
66–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
72 |
0.1% |
70–75 |
67–77 |
67–78 |
62–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
71 |
0% |
69–74 |
66–76 |
66–77 |
61–80 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre |
57 |
67 |
0% |
65–72 |
63–73 |
63–74 |
61–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
69 |
0% |
65–70 |
64–73 |
60–73 |
60–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
64 |
0% |
64–69 |
59–69 |
59–69 |
57–73 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
47 |
46 |
0% |
42–46 |
40–47 |
40–48 |
39–50 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
39 |
24 |
0% |
19–25 |
19–28 |
19–28 |
15–28 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
98% |
|
87 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
88 |
7% |
93% |
|
89 |
4% |
86% |
|
90 |
5% |
82% |
|
91 |
62% |
77% |
Median |
92 |
4% |
15% |
|
93 |
2% |
11% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
95 |
5% |
9% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
4% |
Last Result |
97 |
3% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
84 |
2% |
96% |
|
85 |
5% |
93% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
88% |
|
87 |
53% |
86% |
Median |
88 |
1.4% |
33% |
|
89 |
4% |
32% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
28% |
|
91 |
17% |
27% |
|
92 |
4% |
11% |
|
93 |
6% |
7% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
82 |
5% |
96% |
|
83 |
2% |
91% |
|
84 |
5% |
89% |
|
85 |
2% |
84% |
Majority |
86 |
49% |
82% |
Median |
87 |
2% |
33% |
|
88 |
4% |
31% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
27% |
|
90 |
17% |
27% |
|
91 |
9% |
10% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
78 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
82 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
83 |
4% |
94% |
|
84 |
18% |
90% |
|
85 |
3% |
72% |
Majority |
86 |
49% |
69% |
Median |
87 |
6% |
21% |
|
88 |
5% |
15% |
|
89 |
3% |
10% |
|
90 |
4% |
6% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
93 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
96 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
78 |
9% |
99.0% |
|
79 |
17% |
90% |
|
80 |
1.5% |
73% |
|
81 |
3% |
72% |
|
82 |
2% |
69% |
|
83 |
50% |
67% |
Median |
84 |
1.0% |
17% |
|
85 |
5% |
16% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
11% |
|
87 |
5% |
9% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
90 |
3% |
3% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
76 |
6% |
99.1% |
|
77 |
4% |
93% |
|
78 |
16% |
89% |
|
79 |
2% |
73% |
|
80 |
3% |
71% |
|
81 |
1.2% |
68% |
|
82 |
54% |
67% |
Median |
83 |
0.9% |
13% |
|
84 |
5% |
12% |
|
85 |
2% |
7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
88 |
3% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
76 |
2% |
95% |
|
77 |
7% |
93% |
|
78 |
5% |
86% |
|
79 |
50% |
81% |
Median |
80 |
0.3% |
31% |
|
81 |
22% |
31% |
|
82 |
3% |
9% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
85 |
5% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
3% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
73 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
74 |
5% |
96% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
91% |
|
76 |
3% |
90% |
|
77 |
2% |
87% |
|
78 |
62% |
85% |
Median |
79 |
5% |
23% |
|
80 |
5% |
18% |
|
81 |
6% |
13% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
83 |
5% |
7% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
73 |
5% |
96% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
91% |
|
75 |
2% |
91% |
|
76 |
7% |
89% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
82% |
|
78 |
50% |
81% |
Median |
79 |
2% |
31% |
|
80 |
22% |
29% |
|
81 |
2% |
8% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
83 |
5% |
6% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
66 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
95% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
71 |
3% |
94% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
91% |
|
73 |
7% |
90% |
|
74 |
6% |
83% |
|
75 |
63% |
77% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
15% |
|
77 |
0.9% |
8% |
|
78 |
2% |
7% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
81 |
3% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
67 |
3% |
98% |
|
68 |
4% |
95% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
91% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
91% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
90% |
|
72 |
49% |
89% |
Median |
73 |
18% |
40% |
|
74 |
5% |
22% |
|
75 |
11% |
17% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
77 |
2% |
6% |
|
78 |
2% |
4% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
83 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
66 |
7% |
98% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
90% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
70 |
4% |
89% |
|
71 |
54% |
85% |
Median |
72 |
14% |
31% |
|
73 |
5% |
18% |
|
74 |
6% |
12% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
76 |
3% |
6% |
|
77 |
2% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
7% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
2% |
92% |
|
65 |
6% |
91% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
85% |
|
67 |
55% |
83% |
Median |
68 |
2% |
28% |
|
69 |
2% |
26% |
|
70 |
5% |
24% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
20% |
|
72 |
14% |
19% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
74 |
3% |
5% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
3% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
97% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
65 |
5% |
95% |
|
66 |
6% |
90% |
|
67 |
16% |
84% |
|
68 |
5% |
68% |
|
69 |
52% |
62% |
Median |
70 |
1.4% |
10% |
|
71 |
2% |
9% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
73 |
5% |
6% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
62 |
1.5% |
94% |
|
63 |
2% |
92% |
|
64 |
62% |
90% |
Median |
65 |
1.2% |
28% |
|
66 |
2% |
27% |
|
67 |
2% |
25% |
|
68 |
6% |
23% |
|
69 |
16% |
17% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
40 |
5% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
42 |
15% |
93% |
|
43 |
7% |
78% |
|
44 |
6% |
72% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
65% |
|
46 |
57% |
65% |
Median |
47 |
4% |
8% |
Last Result |
48 |
2% |
4% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
18 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
19 |
19% |
98% |
|
20 |
1.0% |
80% |
|
21 |
2% |
79% |
|
22 |
1.1% |
77% |
|
23 |
14% |
76% |
|
24 |
50% |
61% |
Median |
25 |
3% |
11% |
|
26 |
2% |
9% |
|
27 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
28 |
5% |
5% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 28 March–2 May 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 990
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.79%