Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land, 29 April–5 May 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 28.4% | 26.6–30.3% | 26.1–30.8% | 25.7–31.3% | 24.9–32.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 20.3% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.9–22.9% | 17.2–23.7% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 19.1% | 17.5–20.8% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.8–21.6% | 16.0–22.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 52 | 50–57 | 50–58 | 48–59 | 47–61 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 40 | 35–42 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–45 |
| Høyre | 36 | 33 | 32–37 | 31–39 | 30–40 | 28–43 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 1–14 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 8–12 | 1–13 | 1–13 | 0–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 1–3 | 1–6 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–7 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 34% | 95% | |
| 51 | 4% | 62% | |
| 52 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 47% | |
| 54 | 18% | 44% | |
| 55 | 4% | 26% | |
| 56 | 10% | 22% | |
| 57 | 5% | 12% | |
| 58 | 3% | 7% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 35 | 10% | 97% | |
| 36 | 3% | 87% | |
| 37 | 3% | 84% | |
| 38 | 5% | 80% | |
| 39 | 15% | 75% | |
| 40 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 41 | 11% | 49% | |
| 42 | 34% | 37% | |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 31 | 3% | 97% | |
| 32 | 8% | 93% | |
| 33 | 38% | 85% | Median |
| 34 | 8% | 47% | |
| 35 | 18% | 39% | |
| 36 | 6% | 21% | Last Result |
| 37 | 7% | 16% | |
| 38 | 4% | 9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 6% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 11 | 5% | 95% | |
| 12 | 43% | 89% | Median |
| 13 | 16% | 47% | Last Result |
| 14 | 6% | 31% | |
| 15 | 9% | 25% | |
| 16 | 11% | 16% | |
| 17 | 5% | 6% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 8 | 11% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 87% | |
| 10 | 23% | 80% | |
| 11 | 44% | 57% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 14% | |
| 13 | 5% | 8% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 7 | 2% | 94% | |
| 8 | 50% | 92% | Median |
| 9 | 13% | 42% | |
| 10 | 11% | 30% | |
| 11 | 9% | 19% | |
| 12 | 5% | 10% | |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 13% | 100% | |
| 3 | 21% | 87% | |
| 4 | 0% | 65% | |
| 5 | 0% | 65% | |
| 6 | 0% | 65% | |
| 7 | 14% | 65% | |
| 8 | 40% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 9% | 12% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 20% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 28% | 80% | |
| 3 | 47% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 2% | 6% | |
| 7 | 3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21% | 100% | |
| 1 | 24% | 79% | |
| 2 | 46% | 56% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 91 | 93% | 86–94 | 84–95 | 83–96 | 81–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 88 | 59% | 83–93 | 83–95 | 81–95 | 79–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 84 | 49% | 81–91 | 80–92 | 79–93 | 76–96 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 85 | 51% | 78–88 | 77–89 | 76–90 | 73–92 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 81 | 41% | 76–86 | 74–86 | 74–88 | 71–90 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 80 | 9% | 75–84 | 73–86 | 73–87 | 71–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 78 | 7% | 75–83 | 74–85 | 73–86 | 70–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 78 | 8% | 75–84 | 74–85 | 72–86 | 72–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 77 | 2% | 73–82 | 72–84 | 72–84 | 71–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 75 | 0.3% | 70–80 | 70–82 | 69–82 | 68–84 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 75 | 0% | 70–77 | 69–78 | 69–80 | 66–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 65 | 0% | 63–70 | 60–72 | 60–73 | 58–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 66 | 0% | 62–71 | 62–71 | 61–72 | 60–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 62 | 0% | 60–68 | 59–69 | 57–71 | 56–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 62 | 0% | 58–66 | 57–67 | 57–68 | 55–70 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 43 | 0% | 37–45 | 36–47 | 35–48 | 33–51 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 17 | 0% | 12–19 | 10–21 | 10–22 | 5–24 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 83 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 84 | 4% | 97% | |
| 85 | 3% | 93% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 90% | |
| 87 | 13% | 87% | |
| 88 | 9% | 74% | |
| 89 | 8% | 65% | |
| 90 | 6% | 57% | |
| 91 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 92 | 4% | 46% | |
| 93 | 32% | 42% | |
| 94 | 3% | 10% | |
| 95 | 3% | 7% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 97 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 2% | 97% | |
| 83 | 6% | 96% | |
| 84 | 31% | 90% | |
| 85 | 2% | 59% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 56% | Median |
| 87 | 4% | 54% | |
| 88 | 6% | 50% | |
| 89 | 16% | 44% | |
| 90 | 8% | 28% | |
| 91 | 3% | 20% | |
| 92 | 3% | 16% | |
| 93 | 6% | 14% | |
| 94 | 2% | 8% | |
| 95 | 5% | 6% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 80 | 5% | 97% | |
| 81 | 32% | 93% | |
| 82 | 6% | 61% | |
| 83 | 3% | 55% | Median |
| 84 | 3% | 52% | |
| 85 | 3% | 49% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 46% | |
| 87 | 7% | 40% | |
| 88 | 15% | 33% | |
| 89 | 3% | 19% | |
| 90 | 5% | 16% | |
| 91 | 3% | 11% | |
| 92 | 3% | 8% | |
| 93 | 4% | 5% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 3% | 95% | |
| 78 | 3% | 92% | |
| 79 | 5% | 89% | |
| 80 | 3% | 84% | |
| 81 | 15% | 81% | |
| 82 | 7% | 67% | |
| 83 | 6% | 60% | |
| 84 | 3% | 54% | |
| 85 | 3% | 51% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 48% | Median |
| 87 | 6% | 45% | |
| 88 | 32% | 39% | |
| 89 | 5% | 7% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 94% | |
| 76 | 6% | 92% | |
| 77 | 3% | 86% | |
| 78 | 3% | 84% | |
| 79 | 8% | 80% | |
| 80 | 16% | 72% | |
| 81 | 6% | 56% | |
| 82 | 4% | 50% | |
| 83 | 2% | 46% | Median |
| 84 | 2% | 44% | |
| 85 | 31% | 41% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 10% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 5% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 93% | |
| 75 | 6% | 91% | |
| 76 | 4% | 85% | |
| 77 | 8% | 80% | |
| 78 | 5% | 73% | |
| 79 | 11% | 67% | |
| 80 | 6% | 56% | |
| 81 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 82 | 3% | 46% | |
| 83 | 31% | 43% | |
| 84 | 2% | 11% | |
| 85 | 3% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 96% | |
| 75 | 3% | 93% | |
| 76 | 32% | 90% | |
| 77 | 4% | 58% | |
| 78 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 79 | 6% | 49% | |
| 80 | 8% | 43% | |
| 81 | 9% | 35% | |
| 82 | 13% | 26% | |
| 83 | 3% | 13% | |
| 84 | 3% | 10% | |
| 85 | 4% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 31% | 92% | |
| 76 | 5% | 61% | |
| 77 | 4% | 56% | Median |
| 78 | 4% | 52% | |
| 79 | 4% | 49% | |
| 80 | 11% | 45% | |
| 81 | 5% | 34% | |
| 82 | 13% | 29% | |
| 83 | 5% | 16% | |
| 84 | 4% | 12% | |
| 85 | 4% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 34% | 95% | |
| 74 | 2% | 61% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 59% | Median |
| 76 | 6% | 58% | |
| 77 | 4% | 53% | |
| 78 | 6% | 49% | |
| 79 | 12% | 43% | |
| 80 | 12% | 31% | |
| 81 | 6% | 19% | |
| 82 | 4% | 13% | |
| 83 | 2% | 9% | |
| 84 | 4% | 7% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 32% | 96% | |
| 71 | 4% | 65% | |
| 72 | 3% | 61% | Median |
| 73 | 2% | 58% | |
| 74 | 5% | 56% | |
| 75 | 7% | 50% | |
| 76 | 3% | 43% | |
| 77 | 8% | 40% | |
| 78 | 14% | 33% | |
| 79 | 8% | 19% | |
| 80 | 4% | 11% | |
| 81 | 2% | 7% | |
| 82 | 4% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 98% | |
| 70 | 12% | 94% | |
| 71 | 6% | 82% | |
| 72 | 8% | 76% | |
| 73 | 6% | 69% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 63% | |
| 75 | 32% | 55% | |
| 76 | 5% | 23% | |
| 77 | 11% | 18% | |
| 78 | 2% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 61 | 2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 2% | 93% | |
| 63 | 33% | 90% | |
| 64 | 6% | 58% | |
| 65 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 66 | 11% | 44% | |
| 67 | 8% | 34% | |
| 68 | 4% | 26% | |
| 69 | 7% | 21% | |
| 70 | 7% | 15% | |
| 71 | 2% | 8% | |
| 72 | 3% | 6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 62 | 32% | 96% | |
| 63 | 4% | 65% | |
| 64 | 5% | 61% | Median |
| 65 | 4% | 56% | |
| 66 | 6% | 51% | |
| 67 | 6% | 45% | |
| 68 | 7% | 39% | |
| 69 | 10% | 31% | |
| 70 | 9% | 21% | |
| 71 | 10% | 13% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 59 | 3% | 96% | |
| 60 | 31% | 93% | |
| 61 | 4% | 62% | |
| 62 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 63 | 7% | 47% | |
| 64 | 9% | 39% | |
| 65 | 8% | 31% | |
| 66 | 5% | 23% | |
| 67 | 5% | 17% | |
| 68 | 5% | 12% | |
| 69 | 4% | 8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 72 | 2% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 31% | 95% | |
| 59 | 4% | 63% | |
| 60 | 3% | 59% | Median |
| 61 | 5% | 57% | |
| 62 | 17% | 51% | |
| 63 | 5% | 34% | |
| 64 | 7% | 29% | |
| 65 | 8% | 22% | |
| 66 | 5% | 14% | |
| 67 | 6% | 9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 3% | 96% | |
| 37 | 3% | 93% | |
| 38 | 3% | 89% | |
| 39 | 7% | 86% | |
| 40 | 6% | 80% | |
| 41 | 12% | 73% | |
| 42 | 5% | 61% | |
| 43 | 34% | 56% | Median |
| 44 | 8% | 22% | |
| 45 | 7% | 14% | |
| 46 | 2% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 10 | 4% | 98% | |
| 11 | 4% | 94% | |
| 12 | 6% | 91% | |
| 13 | 5% | 85% | |
| 14 | 4% | 80% | |
| 15 | 9% | 75% | |
| 16 | 7% | 67% | |
| 17 | 12% | 60% | |
| 18 | 33% | 48% | Median |
| 19 | 5% | 15% | |
| 20 | 4% | 10% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 22 | 2% | 4% | |
| 23 | 2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 29 April–5 May 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 996
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.65%