Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 28 April–5 May 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 26.0% | 24.0–28.1% | 23.5–28.7% | 23.0–29.2% | 22.1–30.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 23.9% | 22.0–26.0% | 21.5–26.5% | 21.0–27.0% | 20.1–28.0% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 18.4% | 16.7–20.3% | 16.3–20.9% | 15.9–21.3% | 15.1–22.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5–7.8% | 5.2–8.1% | 5.0–8.5% | 4.5–9.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.5% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.3–7.0% | 4.1–7.3% | 3.7–7.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2–6.2% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.7–6.9% | 3.3–7.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.5–6.0% | 3.3–6.3% | 2.9–6.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.5–5.2% | 2.2–5.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.6–3.8% | 1.3–4.3% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.4% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 50 | 48–53 | 46–54 | 43–55 | 41–57 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 42 | 42–46 | 42–46 | 41–48 | 40–52 |
| Høyre | 36 | 40 | 31–40 | 31–40 | 31–40 | 26–40 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 10 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 7 | 7–10 | 2–10 | 1–11 | 1–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 8–10 | 3–12 | 3–12 | 2–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–6 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 2% | 96% | |
| 47 | 2% | 94% | |
| 48 | 3% | 92% | Last Result |
| 49 | 7% | 89% | |
| 50 | 68% | 82% | Median |
| 51 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 53 | 6% | 12% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 5% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 71% | 96% | Median |
| 43 | 2% | 24% | |
| 44 | 11% | 23% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 46 | 6% | 10% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 31 | 9% | 98% | |
| 32 | 3% | 88% | |
| 33 | 6% | 85% | |
| 34 | 2% | 79% | |
| 35 | 3% | 77% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 74% | Last Result |
| 37 | 3% | 72% | |
| 38 | 2% | 70% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 68% | |
| 40 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 41 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 3% | 97% | |
| 10 | 75% | 94% | Median |
| 11 | 2% | 19% | |
| 12 | 7% | 16% | |
| 13 | 7% | 10% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 7 | 5% | 97% | |
| 8 | 8% | 92% | |
| 9 | 71% | 84% | Median |
| 10 | 7% | 13% | |
| 11 | 2% | 6% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 7 | 70% | 95% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 25% | Last Result |
| 9 | 13% | 23% | |
| 10 | 7% | 10% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 7 | 3% | 94% | |
| 8 | 75% | 92% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 5% | 17% | |
| 10 | 2% | 11% | |
| 11 | 4% | 9% | |
| 12 | 5% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 72% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 10% | 22% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 12% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 7 | 7% | 12% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 88% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 6% | 11% | |
| 3 | 5% | 6% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.1% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 101 | 100% | 96–101 | 93–104 | 91–105 | 90–109 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 93 | 99.3% | 90–94 | 87–95 | 85–97 | 84–102 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 92 | 97% | 88–92 | 86–94 | 84–96 | 81–101 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 90 | 85% | 83–90 | 82–90 | 81–91 | 77–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 3% | 77–81 | 74–83 | 73–85 | 67–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 76 | 0.7% | 75–79 | 73–82 | 72–84 | 66–85 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 82 | 2% | 75–82 | 75–82 | 73–83 | 69–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 72 | 0.2% | 72–77 | 71–80 | 68–82 | 67–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0% | 68–73 | 65–76 | 63–78 | 59–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 68–74 | 67–77 | 65–77 | 60–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 69 | 0% | 67–72 | 65–75 | 64–76 | 59–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 62 | 0% | 62–66 | 61–67 | 59–70 | 56–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 61 | 0% | 60–64 | 60–66 | 57–68 | 55–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 60 | 0% | 59–65 | 56–66 | 53–68 | 51–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 59 | 0% | 57–60 | 53–63 | 52–63 | 51–66 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 50 | 0% | 44–50 | 42–50 | 41–52 | 37–54 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 19 | 0% | 18–23 | 17–24 | 16–26 | 12–30 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 93 | 3% | 96% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 96 | 2% | 90% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 98 | 2% | 88% | |
| 99 | 5% | 86% | |
| 100 | 6% | 81% | |
| 101 | 68% | 75% | Median |
| 102 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 87 | 3% | 96% | |
| 88 | 2% | 93% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 91 | 7% | 90% | |
| 92 | 3% | 82% | |
| 93 | 68% | 79% | Median |
| 94 | 5% | 11% | |
| 95 | 2% | 6% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 101 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 95% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 90 | 6% | 88% | |
| 91 | 7% | 82% | |
| 92 | 68% | 75% | Median |
| 93 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 94 | 2% | 6% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 96 | 2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 96% | |
| 83 | 5% | 95% | |
| 84 | 5% | 90% | |
| 85 | 2% | 85% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 83% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 88 | 4% | 81% | |
| 89 | 7% | 77% | |
| 90 | 68% | 71% | Median |
| 91 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 77 | 68% | 93% | Median |
| 78 | 7% | 25% | |
| 79 | 6% | 18% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 82 | 2% | 10% | |
| 83 | 4% | 8% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 75 | 5% | 93% | |
| 76 | 68% | 89% | Median |
| 77 | 3% | 21% | |
| 78 | 7% | 18% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 9% | |
| 82 | 3% | 7% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 75 | 7% | 96% | |
| 76 | 3% | 89% | |
| 77 | 8% | 87% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 79% | |
| 79 | 2% | 77% | |
| 80 | 3% | 76% | |
| 81 | 2% | 73% | |
| 82 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 83 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 98.5% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 71 | 5% | 96% | |
| 72 | 69% | 91% | Median |
| 73 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 74 | 2% | 21% | |
| 75 | 4% | 19% | |
| 76 | 3% | 15% | |
| 77 | 3% | 12% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 8% | |
| 80 | 3% | 7% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 68 | 68% | 93% | Median |
| 69 | 6% | 25% | |
| 70 | 5% | 19% | |
| 71 | 2% | 14% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 12% | Last Result |
| 73 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 76 | 3% | 8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 3% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 68 | 5% | 95% | |
| 69 | 2% | 90% | |
| 70 | 73% | 88% | Median |
| 71 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 72 | 3% | 15% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 74 | 4% | 11% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 77 | 4% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 96% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 68 | 2% | 89% | |
| 69 | 73% | 87% | Median |
| 70 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 71 | 2% | 14% | |
| 72 | 2% | 12% | |
| 73 | 3% | 10% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 61 | 5% | 96% | |
| 62 | 69% | 90% | Median |
| 63 | 3% | 21% | |
| 64 | 5% | 17% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 67 | 6% | 10% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 60 | 9% | 95% | |
| 61 | 69% | 86% | Median |
| 62 | 2% | 17% | |
| 63 | 3% | 16% | |
| 64 | 3% | 12% | |
| 65 | 2% | 9% | |
| 66 | 4% | 8% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 56 | 3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 2% | 94% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 59 | 6% | 91% | |
| 60 | 69% | 85% | Median |
| 61 | 1.4% | 16% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 65 | 3% | 11% | |
| 66 | 3% | 8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 4% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 56 | 2% | 92% | |
| 57 | 2% | 91% | |
| 58 | 3% | 89% | |
| 59 | 75% | 86% | Median |
| 60 | 3% | 11% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 63 | 5% | 6% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 97% | |
| 43 | 3% | 93% | |
| 44 | 2% | 90% | |
| 45 | 4% | 89% | |
| 46 | 6% | 85% | |
| 47 | 4% | 79% | Last Result |
| 48 | 2% | 75% | |
| 49 | 3% | 73% | |
| 50 | 68% | 70% | Median |
| 51 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 16 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 18 | 5% | 95% | |
| 19 | 70% | 90% | Median |
| 20 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 21 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 22 | 7% | 18% | |
| 23 | 6% | 11% | |
| 24 | 2% | 5% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 28 April–5 May 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 770
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 4.31%