Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 6 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 29.0% 27.3–30.8% 26.8–31.3% 26.3–31.8% 25.5–32.7%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 21.2% 19.6–22.8% 19.2–23.3% 18.8–23.7% 18.1–24.5%
Høyre 20.4% 18.6% 17.2–20.2% 16.8–20.7% 16.4–21.1% 15.7–21.9%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.9–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.3% 4.2–7.9%
Rødt 4.7% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Venstre 4.6% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Konservativt 0.4% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.2%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 55 51–56 49–57 49–59 48–61
Fremskrittspartiet 21 40 38–42 36–43 35–44 33–46
Høyre 36 35 31–37 31–39 30–40 29–41
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 14 12–17 11–17 11–17 10–18
Senterpartiet 28 9 8–12 8–13 8–14 1–15
Rødt 8 10 9–12 8–13 8–13 1–14
Venstre 8 2 2–3 1–3 1–3 1–9
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 1 0–3 0–3 0–7 0–8
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 2 1–3 1–3 1–7 1–8
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.9% 99.9% Last Result
49 4% 99.0%  
50 2% 95%  
51 7% 93%  
52 5% 86%  
53 14% 81%  
54 12% 67%  
55 38% 55% Median
56 9% 17%  
57 4% 8%  
58 1.4% 4%  
59 1.0% 3%  
60 1.3% 2%  
61 0.3% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.9% 99.9%  
34 0.3% 99.0%  
35 2% 98.7%  
36 3% 96%  
37 2% 93%  
38 3% 92%  
39 13% 89%  
40 54% 75% Median
41 7% 22%  
42 7% 15%  
43 3% 7%  
44 2% 4%  
45 0.8% 2%  
46 0.7% 0.8%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.2% 99.7%  
29 0.6% 99.6%  
30 3% 99.0%  
31 8% 96%  
32 9% 88%  
33 5% 79%  
34 13% 74%  
35 11% 61% Median
36 8% 50% Last Result
37 35% 42%  
38 2% 7%  
39 0.9% 5%  
40 3% 4%  
41 1.2% 1.2%  
42 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.2% 99.9%  
11 5% 98.7%  
12 7% 93%  
13 8% 86% Last Result
14 40% 78% Median
15 21% 38%  
16 5% 17%  
17 10% 12%  
18 1.5% 2%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.0% 100%  
2 0% 98.9%  
3 0% 98.9%  
4 0% 98.9%  
5 0% 98.9%  
6 0% 98.9%  
7 1.2% 98.9%  
8 33% 98%  
9 15% 65% Median
10 21% 50%  
11 15% 29%  
12 7% 13%  
13 3% 7%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 0.1% 99.5%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.4%  
5 0% 99.4%  
6 0% 99.4%  
7 0.3% 99.3%  
8 5% 99.1% Last Result
9 26% 94%  
10 36% 68% Median
11 14% 32%  
12 8% 18%  
13 8% 10%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 8% 99.9%  
2 68% 92% Median
3 22% 24%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0.5% 2%  
8 0.7% 1.3% Last Result
9 0.5% 0.6%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 47% 88% Median
2 20% 41%  
3 19% 22% Last Result
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 1.1% 3%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 39% 99.9%  
2 47% 61% Median
3 9% 14% Last Result
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0% 4%  
7 3% 4%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 90 98% 87–93 85–95 85–96 82–97
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 88 95% 85–92 85–94 83–95 83–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt 97 87 90% 85–92 83–94 82–94 81–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 81 12% 79–85 78–87 76–88 71–89
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 82 10% 77–84 75–86 75–87 74–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 79 5% 77–83 76–84 75–86 70–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 81 5% 77–84 75–84 74–86 72–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 77 3% 75–81 74–82 73–85 69–85
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 79 2% 76–82 74–84 73–84 72–87
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 78 1.0% 73–80 72–81 71–83 69–86
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 76 0% 71–77 70–79 69–80 68–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 67 0% 65–71 63–73 63–74 57–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 69 0% 65–71 64–72 63–73 61–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 64 0% 63–69 61–71 61–72 56–74
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 63 0% 61–67 60–68 59–69 55–71
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 39 0% 35–42 35–43 34–45 33–46
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 13 0% 11–17 11–18 11–20 4–23

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 1.0% 99.9%  
83 0.6% 98.9%  
84 0.5% 98%  
85 4% 98% Majority
86 1.5% 94%  
87 5% 92%  
88 4% 88%  
89 32% 84%  
90 11% 52% Median
91 14% 40%  
92 10% 26%  
93 6% 16%  
94 2% 10%  
95 4% 8%  
96 4% 5%  
97 0.3% 0.5%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.3% 99.8%  
83 3% 99.5%  
84 0.7% 96%  
85 6% 95% Majority
86 7% 89%  
87 9% 82% Median
88 34% 73%  
89 15% 39%  
90 8% 24%  
91 3% 16%  
92 4% 13%  
93 2% 9%  
94 4% 7%  
95 1.2% 3%  
96 0.5% 1.5% Last Result
97 0.7% 1.0%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.2% 100%  
80 0.2% 99.7%  
81 2% 99.6%  
82 0.6% 98%  
83 3% 97%  
84 4% 94%  
85 5% 90% Majority
86 4% 85%  
87 33% 82%  
88 9% 49% Median
89 12% 41%  
90 8% 29%  
91 8% 21%  
92 5% 13%  
93 1.3% 8%  
94 5% 7%  
95 2% 2%  
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
98 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.9% 100%  
72 0% 99.1%  
73 0% 99.1%  
74 0.4% 99.1%  
75 0.3% 98.7%  
76 0.9% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 4% 96%  
79 4% 92%  
80 36% 88%  
81 3% 52% Median
82 17% 49%  
83 12% 31%  
84 8% 20%  
85 3% 12% Majority
86 1.4% 10%  
87 5% 8%  
88 1.1% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.5%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 2% 99.8%  
75 5% 98%  
76 1.3% 93%  
77 5% 92%  
78 8% 87%  
79 8% 79%  
80 12% 71% Median
81 9% 59%  
82 33% 51%  
83 4% 18%  
84 5% 15%  
85 4% 10% Majority
86 3% 6%  
87 0.6% 3%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.9% 100%  
71 0% 99.1%  
72 0.1% 99.1%  
73 0.3% 99.0%  
74 0.6% 98.6%  
75 3% 98%  
76 5% 95%  
77 3% 91%  
78 6% 87%  
79 32% 81%  
80 7% 49% Median
81 20% 42%  
82 8% 22%  
83 4% 13%  
84 5% 9%  
85 0.8% 5% Majority
86 3% 4%  
87 0.3% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.7% 99.7% Last Result
73 0.5% 99.0%  
74 1.2% 98.5%  
75 4% 97%  
76 2% 93%  
77 4% 91%  
78 3% 87%  
79 8% 84%  
80 15% 76%  
81 34% 61% Median
82 9% 27%  
83 7% 18%  
84 6% 11%  
85 0.7% 5% Majority
86 3% 4%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 0.9% 99.8%  
70 0.1% 98.9%  
71 0.2% 98.8%  
72 0.8% 98.6%  
73 1.3% 98%  
74 7% 97%  
75 5% 90%  
76 8% 85%  
77 30% 77%  
78 4% 47% Median
79 12% 43%  
80 17% 31%  
81 5% 14%  
82 4% 8%  
83 0.6% 4%  
84 0.6% 4%  
85 3% 3% Majority
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
90 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 4% 99.5%  
74 4% 95%  
75 2% 92%  
76 6% 90%  
77 10% 84%  
78 14% 74% Median
79 11% 60%  
80 32% 48%  
81 4% 16%  
82 5% 12%  
83 1.5% 8%  
84 4% 6%  
85 0.5% 2% Majority
86 0.6% 2%  
87 1.0% 1.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.4% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 99.5%  
71 2% 99.0%  
72 3% 97%  
73 4% 93%  
74 11% 89%  
75 5% 79%  
76 7% 74%  
77 13% 67% Median
78 12% 55%  
79 31% 43%  
80 6% 12%  
81 3% 7%  
82 0.7% 3%  
83 0.9% 3%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 0.1% 1.0% Majority
86 0.9% 1.0%  
87 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 2% 99.6%  
69 2% 98%  
70 2% 96%  
71 13% 94%  
72 2% 82%  
73 12% 80%  
74 4% 68%  
75 10% 64% Median
76 12% 55%  
77 35% 43%  
78 2% 8%  
79 3% 6%  
80 0.7% 3%  
81 0.5% 2%  
82 0.5% 1.5%  
83 0.1% 1.0%  
84 0.9% 0.9%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.9% 100%  
58 0% 99.1%  
59 0.3% 99.1%  
60 0% 98.8%  
61 0.1% 98.8%  
62 0.2% 98.7%  
63 4% 98.5%  
64 0.5% 94%  
65 6% 94%  
66 37% 88%  
67 13% 50% Median
68 14% 37%  
69 6% 23%  
70 4% 17%  
71 4% 13%  
72 4% 9%  
73 3% 5%  
74 1.0% 3%  
75 0.7% 2%  
76 0.3% 0.8%  
77 0.2% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0% 0.3%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 1.3% 99.7% Last Result
62 0.8% 98%  
63 2% 98%  
64 4% 96%  
65 8% 92%  
66 5% 84%  
67 7% 79%  
68 12% 72%  
69 35% 61% Median
70 9% 26%  
71 10% 17%  
72 3% 7%  
73 2% 4%  
74 1.5% 2%  
75 0.3% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.9% 100%  
57 0% 99.1%  
58 0.3% 99.1%  
59 0.2% 98.8%  
60 0.2% 98.5%  
61 4% 98%  
62 3% 94%  
63 3% 91%  
64 43% 88%  
65 6% 46% Median
66 10% 40%  
67 12% 30%  
68 5% 18%  
69 3% 13%  
70 4% 10%  
71 1.5% 5%  
72 2% 4%  
73 0.4% 1.4%  
74 0.6% 1.0%  
75 0.1% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.4%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.9% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.1%  
57 0.2% 98.9%  
58 0.4% 98.7%  
59 3% 98%  
60 2% 95%  
61 8% 93%  
62 2% 85%  
63 40% 83%  
64 11% 43% Median
65 12% 32%  
66 6% 20%  
67 7% 14%  
68 3% 6%  
69 1.4% 4%  
70 1.2% 2%  
71 0.7% 0.9%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.2% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.7%  
33 0.9% 99.5%  
34 3% 98.7%  
35 5% 95%  
36 7% 90%  
37 7% 83%  
38 13% 75% Median
39 13% 62%  
40 34% 49%  
41 2% 15%  
42 6% 13%  
43 2% 6%  
44 0.6% 5%  
45 3% 4%  
46 0.9% 1.2%  
47 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.9% 100%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 0% 99.1%  
7 0% 99.0%  
8 0% 99.0%  
9 0% 99.0%  
10 0.6% 99.0%  
11 31% 98%  
12 6% 67% Median
13 11% 61%  
14 20% 50%  
15 13% 30%  
16 4% 17%  
17 7% 13%  
18 2% 7%  
19 2% 5%  
20 1.1% 3%  
21 0.4% 2%  
22 0.9% 2%  
23 0.5% 0.8%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations