Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 6–7 May 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
28.3% |
26.3–30.5% |
25.8–31.0% |
25.3–31.6% |
24.3–32.6% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
20.7% |
18.9–22.6% |
18.4–23.2% |
18.0–23.6% |
17.1–24.6% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
17.5% |
15.8–19.3% |
15.4–19.8% |
15.0–20.3% |
14.2–21.2% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
7.0% |
6.0–8.3% |
5.7–8.7% |
5.4–9.0% |
5.0–9.7% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.4% |
4.9–7.7% |
4.6–8.0% |
4.2–8.7% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.0% |
5.0–7.2% |
4.8–7.6% |
4.5–7.9% |
4.1–8.5% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.2% |
3.4–5.3% |
3.2–5.6% |
3.0–5.9% |
2.7–6.4% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.2% |
3.4–5.3% |
3.2–5.6% |
3.0–5.9% |
2.7–6.4% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.4% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.7–3.9% |
1.4–4.4% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.3–1.5% |
0.2–1.8% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.1% |
0.1–1.4% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.1% |
0.1–1.4% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.1% |
0.1–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
48 |
2% |
97% |
Last Result |
49 |
2% |
94% |
|
50 |
3% |
93% |
|
51 |
10% |
89% |
|
52 |
4% |
80% |
|
53 |
9% |
76% |
|
54 |
24% |
67% |
Median |
55 |
19% |
43% |
|
56 |
14% |
24% |
|
57 |
4% |
10% |
|
58 |
2% |
7% |
|
59 |
3% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
32 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
33 |
9% |
98% |
|
34 |
2% |
89% |
|
35 |
12% |
87% |
|
36 |
18% |
75% |
Last Result |
37 |
11% |
57% |
Median |
38 |
18% |
46% |
|
39 |
7% |
29% |
|
40 |
9% |
21% |
|
41 |
9% |
12% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
7% |
98% |
|
28 |
3% |
92% |
|
29 |
2% |
89% |
|
30 |
16% |
87% |
|
31 |
3% |
71% |
|
32 |
13% |
68% |
|
33 |
8% |
55% |
Median |
34 |
25% |
47% |
|
35 |
3% |
22% |
|
36 |
11% |
19% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
8% |
|
39 |
7% |
8% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
12% |
100% |
|
9 |
1.2% |
88% |
|
10 |
9% |
86% |
|
11 |
14% |
78% |
|
12 |
33% |
63% |
Median |
13 |
16% |
30% |
Last Result |
14 |
4% |
15% |
|
15 |
9% |
11% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
5% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
24% |
94% |
|
9 |
26% |
70% |
Median |
10 |
3% |
44% |
|
11 |
14% |
42% |
|
12 |
2% |
28% |
|
13 |
12% |
26% |
|
14 |
13% |
13% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
97% |
|
3 |
0% |
97% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
97% |
|
6 |
0% |
97% |
|
7 |
6% |
97% |
|
8 |
4% |
91% |
Last Result |
9 |
11% |
88% |
|
10 |
46% |
76% |
Median |
11 |
23% |
30% |
|
12 |
5% |
7% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
14 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
12% |
100% |
|
3 |
23% |
88% |
|
4 |
0% |
65% |
|
5 |
0% |
65% |
|
6 |
6% |
65% |
|
7 |
33% |
60% |
Median |
8 |
12% |
26% |
Last Result |
9 |
12% |
15% |
|
10 |
3% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
2 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
3 |
24% |
95% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
71% |
|
5 |
0% |
71% |
|
6 |
14% |
71% |
|
7 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
8 |
41% |
48% |
|
9 |
5% |
8% |
|
10 |
3% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
1 |
78% |
99.2% |
Median |
2 |
10% |
22% |
|
3 |
9% |
11% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
96 |
92 |
98.8% |
87–96 |
87–97 |
86–97 |
83–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
86 |
75% |
81–92 |
80–92 |
80–94 |
78–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
85 |
60% |
80–91 |
79–91 |
79–93 |
77–96 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
84 |
40% |
78–89 |
78–90 |
76–90 |
73–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
84 |
29% |
80–89 |
76–89 |
76–89 |
75–92 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
68 |
83 |
25% |
77–88 |
77–89 |
75–89 |
72–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
76 |
6% |
72–82 |
70–85 |
70–85 |
69–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
77 |
1.2% |
73–82 |
72–82 |
72–83 |
69–86 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
75 |
0.6% |
71–81 |
71–83 |
70–83 |
66–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
75 |
0.2% |
71–80 |
69–83 |
69–83 |
68–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
72 |
0% |
67–77 |
65–77 |
65–77 |
63–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
69 |
0% |
66–75 |
65–77 |
63–77 |
59–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
71 |
0% |
66–74 |
64–75 |
64–76 |
61–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
66 |
0% |
61–70 |
61–70 |
59–72 |
58–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
63 |
0% |
59–68 |
58–70 |
58–70 |
56–71 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
47 |
50 |
0% |
44–53 |
43–55 |
43–55 |
41–60 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
39 |
23 |
0% |
17–26 |
15–29 |
15–29 |
15–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98% |
|
87 |
7% |
96% |
|
88 |
9% |
89% |
|
89 |
3% |
80% |
|
90 |
1.2% |
77% |
|
91 |
19% |
76% |
|
92 |
18% |
57% |
|
93 |
2% |
38% |
Median |
94 |
1.3% |
36% |
|
95 |
5% |
35% |
|
96 |
22% |
30% |
Last Result |
97 |
6% |
8% |
|
98 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
99 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
80 |
4% |
98% |
|
81 |
5% |
94% |
|
82 |
12% |
89% |
|
83 |
0.8% |
77% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
76% |
|
85 |
12% |
75% |
Majority |
86 |
14% |
63% |
Median |
87 |
7% |
49% |
|
88 |
2% |
42% |
|
89 |
3% |
40% |
|
90 |
11% |
37% |
|
91 |
9% |
26% |
|
92 |
13% |
17% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
94 |
2% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
97 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
78 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
79 |
5% |
98% |
|
80 |
5% |
94% |
|
81 |
12% |
89% |
|
82 |
2% |
77% |
|
83 |
2% |
75% |
|
84 |
12% |
73% |
|
85 |
13% |
60% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
9% |
47% |
|
87 |
8% |
38% |
|
88 |
2% |
30% |
|
89 |
3% |
28% |
|
90 |
13% |
25% |
|
91 |
8% |
12% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
93 |
2% |
3% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
95 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
96 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
76 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
78 |
8% |
96% |
|
79 |
13% |
88% |
|
80 |
3% |
75% |
|
81 |
2% |
72% |
|
82 |
8% |
70% |
|
83 |
9% |
62% |
|
84 |
13% |
53% |
|
85 |
12% |
40% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
2% |
27% |
|
87 |
2% |
25% |
|
88 |
12% |
23% |
|
89 |
5% |
11% |
|
90 |
5% |
6% |
|
91 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
76 |
6% |
99.2% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
78 |
2% |
93% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
80 |
14% |
91% |
|
81 |
11% |
76% |
|
82 |
4% |
65% |
|
83 |
6% |
61% |
Median |
84 |
25% |
54% |
|
85 |
2% |
29% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
28% |
|
87 |
6% |
25% |
|
88 |
7% |
18% |
|
89 |
10% |
11% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
2% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
77 |
14% |
96% |
|
78 |
9% |
83% |
|
79 |
11% |
74% |
|
80 |
3% |
63% |
|
81 |
2% |
60% |
|
82 |
7% |
58% |
|
83 |
14% |
51% |
|
84 |
12% |
37% |
Median |
85 |
0.7% |
25% |
Majority |
86 |
0.8% |
24% |
|
87 |
12% |
23% |
|
88 |
5% |
11% |
|
89 |
4% |
6% |
|
90 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
71 |
3% |
94% |
|
72 |
12% |
91% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
79% |
|
74 |
1.1% |
78% |
|
75 |
13% |
77% |
|
76 |
18% |
65% |
Median |
77 |
3% |
46% |
|
78 |
2% |
43% |
|
79 |
3% |
41% |
|
80 |
11% |
39% |
|
81 |
18% |
28% |
|
82 |
2% |
10% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
84 |
2% |
8% |
|
85 |
6% |
6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
72 |
6% |
98% |
Last Result |
73 |
22% |
92% |
|
74 |
5% |
70% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
65% |
|
76 |
2% |
64% |
|
77 |
18% |
62% |
Median |
78 |
19% |
43% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
24% |
|
80 |
3% |
23% |
|
81 |
9% |
20% |
|
82 |
7% |
11% |
|
83 |
2% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
66 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
70 |
3% |
98% |
|
71 |
11% |
96% |
|
72 |
2% |
85% |
|
73 |
2% |
83% |
|
74 |
20% |
81% |
|
75 |
20% |
61% |
|
76 |
2% |
41% |
|
77 |
2% |
39% |
Median |
78 |
11% |
37% |
|
79 |
15% |
26% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
11% |
|
81 |
4% |
11% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
83 |
5% |
6% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
5% |
98.5% |
|
70 |
3% |
94% |
|
71 |
13% |
91% |
|
72 |
2% |
79% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
77% |
|
74 |
13% |
76% |
|
75 |
22% |
63% |
Median |
76 |
0.6% |
42% |
|
77 |
2% |
41% |
|
78 |
10% |
39% |
|
79 |
11% |
30% |
|
80 |
10% |
19% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
83 |
7% |
8% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
65 |
6% |
98.5% |
|
66 |
2% |
93% |
|
67 |
2% |
91% |
|
68 |
6% |
89% |
|
69 |
13% |
83% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
70% |
|
71 |
11% |
68% |
Median |
72 |
24% |
57% |
|
73 |
3% |
33% |
|
74 |
6% |
30% |
|
75 |
8% |
24% |
|
76 |
4% |
16% |
|
77 |
10% |
11% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
63 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
97% |
|
66 |
6% |
95% |
|
67 |
8% |
88% |
|
68 |
16% |
80% |
|
69 |
19% |
65% |
|
70 |
3% |
46% |
Median |
71 |
9% |
43% |
|
72 |
19% |
34% |
|
73 |
4% |
16% |
|
74 |
2% |
12% |
|
75 |
2% |
10% |
|
76 |
3% |
8% |
|
77 |
5% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
6% |
98% |
|
65 |
2% |
92% |
|
66 |
2% |
90% |
|
67 |
7% |
88% |
|
68 |
14% |
82% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
68% |
|
70 |
12% |
67% |
Median |
71 |
25% |
55% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
30% |
|
73 |
12% |
29% |
|
74 |
10% |
17% |
|
75 |
4% |
7% |
|
76 |
3% |
3% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
61 |
10% |
97% |
Last Result |
62 |
17% |
87% |
|
63 |
4% |
70% |
|
64 |
1.5% |
66% |
|
65 |
10% |
65% |
|
66 |
13% |
55% |
Median |
67 |
13% |
42% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
29% |
|
69 |
15% |
28% |
|
70 |
10% |
14% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
72 |
2% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
5% |
98% |
|
59 |
3% |
93% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
90% |
|
61 |
3% |
88% |
|
62 |
12% |
85% |
|
63 |
25% |
73% |
Median |
64 |
8% |
48% |
|
65 |
7% |
40% |
|
66 |
9% |
33% |
|
67 |
12% |
24% |
|
68 |
5% |
13% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
8% |
|
70 |
6% |
7% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
9% |
98.9% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
90% |
|
45 |
7% |
90% |
|
46 |
2% |
83% |
|
47 |
14% |
81% |
Last Result |
48 |
3% |
67% |
|
49 |
6% |
63% |
|
50 |
18% |
57% |
|
51 |
13% |
39% |
Median |
52 |
6% |
26% |
|
53 |
13% |
20% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
55 |
5% |
7% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
58 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
6% |
99.6% |
|
16 |
3% |
93% |
|
17 |
8% |
90% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
82% |
|
19 |
4% |
82% |
|
20 |
3% |
77% |
|
21 |
3% |
75% |
|
22 |
2% |
72% |
|
23 |
32% |
69% |
Median |
24 |
18% |
37% |
|
25 |
8% |
19% |
|
26 |
2% |
11% |
|
27 |
3% |
10% |
|
28 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
29 |
5% |
6% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 6–7 May 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 784
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.32%