Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 6–7 May 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 28.3% | 26.3–30.5% | 25.8–31.0% | 25.3–31.6% | 24.3–32.6% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 20.7% | 18.9–22.6% | 18.4–23.2% | 18.0–23.6% | 17.1–24.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 17.5% | 15.8–19.3% | 15.4–19.8% | 15.0–20.3% | 14.2–21.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.4% | 4.9–7.7% | 4.6–8.0% | 4.2–8.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.5–7.9% | 4.1–8.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% | 3.0–5.9% | 2.7–6.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% | 3.0–5.9% | 2.7–6.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.7–3.9% | 1.4–4.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.3–1.5% | 0.2–1.8% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 54 | 50–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–61 |
| Høyre | 36 | 37 | 33–41 | 33–41 | 33–43 | 31–46 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 33 | 28–36 | 27–39 | 27–39 | 25–39 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 8–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 7–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 1–12 | 1–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 49 | 2% | 94% | |
| 50 | 3% | 93% | |
| 51 | 10% | 89% | |
| 52 | 4% | 80% | |
| 53 | 9% | 76% | |
| 54 | 24% | 67% | Median |
| 55 | 19% | 43% | |
| 56 | 14% | 24% | |
| 57 | 4% | 10% | |
| 58 | 2% | 7% | |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 9% | 98% | |
| 34 | 2% | 89% | |
| 35 | 12% | 87% | |
| 36 | 18% | 75% | Last Result |
| 37 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 38 | 18% | 46% | |
| 39 | 7% | 29% | |
| 40 | 9% | 21% | |
| 41 | 9% | 12% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 43 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 7% | 98% | |
| 28 | 3% | 92% | |
| 29 | 2% | 89% | |
| 30 | 16% | 87% | |
| 31 | 3% | 71% | |
| 32 | 13% | 68% | |
| 33 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 34 | 25% | 47% | |
| 35 | 3% | 22% | |
| 36 | 11% | 19% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 39 | 7% | 8% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 12% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 10 | 9% | 86% | |
| 11 | 14% | 78% | |
| 12 | 33% | 63% | Median |
| 13 | 16% | 30% | Last Result |
| 14 | 4% | 15% | |
| 15 | 9% | 11% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 24% | 94% | |
| 9 | 26% | 70% | Median |
| 10 | 3% | 44% | |
| 11 | 14% | 42% | |
| 12 | 2% | 28% | |
| 13 | 12% | 26% | |
| 14 | 13% | 13% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 6% | 97% | |
| 8 | 4% | 91% | Last Result |
| 9 | 11% | 88% | |
| 10 | 46% | 76% | Median |
| 11 | 23% | 30% | |
| 12 | 5% | 7% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12% | 100% | |
| 3 | 23% | 88% | |
| 4 | 0% | 65% | |
| 5 | 0% | 65% | |
| 6 | 6% | 65% | |
| 7 | 33% | 60% | Median |
| 8 | 12% | 26% | Last Result |
| 9 | 12% | 15% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 24% | 95% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 71% | |
| 5 | 0% | 71% | |
| 6 | 14% | 71% | |
| 7 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 8 | 41% | 48% | |
| 9 | 5% | 8% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 78% | 99.2% | Median |
| 2 | 10% | 22% | |
| 3 | 9% | 11% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 92 | 98.8% | 87–96 | 87–97 | 86–97 | 83–100 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 86 | 75% | 81–92 | 80–92 | 80–94 | 78–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 85 | 60% | 80–91 | 79–91 | 79–93 | 77–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 84 | 40% | 78–89 | 78–90 | 76–90 | 73–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 84 | 29% | 80–89 | 76–89 | 76–89 | 75–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 83 | 25% | 77–88 | 77–89 | 75–89 | 72–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 76 | 6% | 72–82 | 70–85 | 70–85 | 69–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 77 | 1.2% | 73–82 | 72–82 | 72–83 | 69–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 75 | 0.6% | 71–81 | 71–83 | 70–83 | 66–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 75 | 0.2% | 71–80 | 69–83 | 69–83 | 68–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 72 | 0% | 67–77 | 65–77 | 65–77 | 63–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 69 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–77 | 63–77 | 59–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 71 | 0% | 66–74 | 64–75 | 64–76 | 61–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 66 | 0% | 61–70 | 61–70 | 59–72 | 58–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 63 | 0% | 59–68 | 58–70 | 58–70 | 56–71 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 50 | 0% | 44–53 | 43–55 | 43–55 | 41–60 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 23 | 0% | 17–26 | 15–29 | 15–29 | 15–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 98.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 7% | 96% | |
| 88 | 9% | 89% | |
| 89 | 3% | 80% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 91 | 19% | 76% | |
| 92 | 18% | 57% | |
| 93 | 2% | 38% | Median |
| 94 | 1.3% | 36% | |
| 95 | 5% | 35% | |
| 96 | 22% | 30% | Last Result |
| 97 | 6% | 8% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 4% | 98% | |
| 81 | 5% | 94% | |
| 82 | 12% | 89% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 76% | |
| 85 | 12% | 75% | Majority |
| 86 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 87 | 7% | 49% | |
| 88 | 2% | 42% | |
| 89 | 3% | 40% | |
| 90 | 11% | 37% | |
| 91 | 9% | 26% | |
| 92 | 13% | 17% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 79 | 5% | 98% | |
| 80 | 5% | 94% | |
| 81 | 12% | 89% | |
| 82 | 2% | 77% | |
| 83 | 2% | 75% | |
| 84 | 12% | 73% | |
| 85 | 13% | 60% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 47% | |
| 87 | 8% | 38% | |
| 88 | 2% | 30% | |
| 89 | 3% | 28% | |
| 90 | 13% | 25% | |
| 91 | 8% | 12% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 93 | 2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 78 | 8% | 96% | |
| 79 | 13% | 88% | |
| 80 | 3% | 75% | |
| 81 | 2% | 72% | |
| 82 | 8% | 70% | |
| 83 | 9% | 62% | |
| 84 | 13% | 53% | |
| 85 | 12% | 40% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 27% | |
| 87 | 2% | 25% | |
| 88 | 12% | 23% | |
| 89 | 5% | 11% | |
| 90 | 5% | 6% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 6% | 99.2% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 78 | 2% | 93% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 80 | 14% | 91% | |
| 81 | 11% | 76% | |
| 82 | 4% | 65% | |
| 83 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 84 | 25% | 54% | |
| 85 | 2% | 29% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 28% | |
| 87 | 6% | 25% | |
| 88 | 7% | 18% | |
| 89 | 10% | 11% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 77 | 14% | 96% | |
| 78 | 9% | 83% | |
| 79 | 11% | 74% | |
| 80 | 3% | 63% | |
| 81 | 2% | 60% | |
| 82 | 7% | 58% | |
| 83 | 14% | 51% | |
| 84 | 12% | 37% | Median |
| 85 | 0.7% | 25% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 24% | |
| 87 | 12% | 23% | |
| 88 | 5% | 11% | |
| 89 | 4% | 6% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 71 | 3% | 94% | |
| 72 | 12% | 91% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 79% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 75 | 13% | 77% | |
| 76 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 77 | 3% | 46% | |
| 78 | 2% | 43% | |
| 79 | 3% | 41% | |
| 80 | 11% | 39% | |
| 81 | 18% | 28% | |
| 82 | 2% | 10% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 8% | |
| 85 | 6% | 6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 72 | 6% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 22% | 92% | |
| 74 | 5% | 70% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 65% | |
| 76 | 2% | 64% | |
| 77 | 18% | 62% | Median |
| 78 | 19% | 43% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 80 | 3% | 23% | |
| 81 | 9% | 20% | |
| 82 | 7% | 11% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 11% | 96% | |
| 72 | 2% | 85% | |
| 73 | 2% | 83% | |
| 74 | 20% | 81% | |
| 75 | 20% | 61% | |
| 76 | 2% | 41% | |
| 77 | 2% | 39% | Median |
| 78 | 11% | 37% | |
| 79 | 15% | 26% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 81 | 4% | 11% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 83 | 5% | 6% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 5% | 98.5% | |
| 70 | 3% | 94% | |
| 71 | 13% | 91% | |
| 72 | 2% | 79% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 74 | 13% | 76% | |
| 75 | 22% | 63% | Median |
| 76 | 0.6% | 42% | |
| 77 | 2% | 41% | |
| 78 | 10% | 39% | |
| 79 | 11% | 30% | |
| 80 | 10% | 19% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 83 | 7% | 8% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 6% | 98.5% | |
| 66 | 2% | 93% | |
| 67 | 2% | 91% | |
| 68 | 6% | 89% | |
| 69 | 13% | 83% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 70% | |
| 71 | 11% | 68% | Median |
| 72 | 24% | 57% | |
| 73 | 3% | 33% | |
| 74 | 6% | 30% | |
| 75 | 8% | 24% | |
| 76 | 4% | 16% | |
| 77 | 10% | 11% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 6% | 95% | |
| 67 | 8% | 88% | |
| 68 | 16% | 80% | |
| 69 | 19% | 65% | |
| 70 | 3% | 46% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 43% | |
| 72 | 19% | 34% | |
| 73 | 4% | 16% | |
| 74 | 2% | 12% | |
| 75 | 2% | 10% | |
| 76 | 3% | 8% | |
| 77 | 5% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 6% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 92% | |
| 66 | 2% | 90% | |
| 67 | 7% | 88% | |
| 68 | 14% | 82% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 68% | |
| 70 | 12% | 67% | Median |
| 71 | 25% | 55% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 30% | |
| 73 | 12% | 29% | |
| 74 | 10% | 17% | |
| 75 | 4% | 7% | |
| 76 | 3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 61 | 10% | 97% | Last Result |
| 62 | 17% | 87% | |
| 63 | 4% | 70% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 66% | |
| 65 | 10% | 65% | |
| 66 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 67 | 13% | 42% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 69 | 15% | 28% | |
| 70 | 10% | 14% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 5% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 93% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 61 | 3% | 88% | |
| 62 | 12% | 85% | |
| 63 | 25% | 73% | Median |
| 64 | 8% | 48% | |
| 65 | 7% | 40% | |
| 66 | 9% | 33% | |
| 67 | 12% | 24% | |
| 68 | 5% | 13% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 70 | 6% | 7% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 9% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 45 | 7% | 90% | |
| 46 | 2% | 83% | |
| 47 | 14% | 81% | Last Result |
| 48 | 3% | 67% | |
| 49 | 6% | 63% | |
| 50 | 18% | 57% | |
| 51 | 13% | 39% | Median |
| 52 | 6% | 26% | |
| 53 | 13% | 20% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 55 | 5% | 7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 58 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 3% | 93% | |
| 17 | 8% | 90% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 19 | 4% | 82% | |
| 20 | 3% | 77% | |
| 21 | 3% | 75% | |
| 22 | 2% | 72% | |
| 23 | 32% | 69% | Median |
| 24 | 18% | 37% | |
| 25 | 8% | 19% | |
| 26 | 2% | 11% | |
| 27 | 3% | 10% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 29 | 5% | 6% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 6–7 May 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 784
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.32%