Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 26–30 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 31.6% 29.7–33.5% 29.2–34.1% 28.7–34.6% 27.9–35.5%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.3% 16.8–21.7% 16.1–22.6%
Høyre 20.4% 17.5% 16.0–19.2% 15.6–19.6% 15.3–20.0% 14.6–20.8%
Rødt 4.7% 6.6% 5.7–7.8% 5.4–8.1% 5.2–8.4% 4.8–8.9%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.1%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.3% 2.5–5.7%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Venstre 4.6% 2.7% 2.2–3.6% 2.0–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 59 56–61 55–61 54–63 51–66
Fremskrittspartiet 21 37 33–38 33–38 32–39 30–40
Høyre 36 33 29–33 28–34 28–35 26–38
Rødt 8 11 10–12 9–13 9–14 9–15
Senterpartiet 28 11 9–12 8–13 8–14 8–16
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 9 7–10 7–12 3–12 1–13
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 7 3–8 3–8 2–9 1–10
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 3 2–8 2–8 2–9 1–10
Venstre 8 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–7
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.8% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.1%  
53 0.8% 98.9%  
54 2% 98%  
55 3% 96%  
56 18% 94%  
57 8% 76%  
58 8% 68%  
59 25% 60% Median
60 3% 35%  
61 28% 32%  
62 2% 5%  
63 1.1% 3%  
64 0.5% 2%  
65 0.7% 1.4%  
66 0.3% 0.7%  
67 0.4% 0.5%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 0.3% 99.6%  
31 1.1% 99.3%  
32 0.8% 98%  
33 12% 97%  
34 4% 85%  
35 11% 81%  
36 11% 71%  
37 10% 60% Median
38 46% 50%  
39 2% 4%  
40 1.4% 2%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 1.0% 99.8%  
27 0.5% 98.8%  
28 5% 98%  
29 8% 93%  
30 17% 85%  
31 9% 69%  
32 7% 60%  
33 47% 53% Median
34 2% 6%  
35 3% 4%  
36 0.3% 1.3% Last Result
37 0.3% 1.1%  
38 0.6% 0.8%  
39 0.1% 0.3%  
40 0% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100% Last Result
9 8% 99.6%  
10 9% 91%  
11 39% 83% Median
12 35% 44%  
13 5% 8%  
14 2% 4%  
15 0.7% 1.1%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 9% 99.9%  
9 9% 91%  
10 23% 82%  
11 34% 59% Median
12 16% 25%  
13 6% 9%  
14 2% 4%  
15 0.9% 2%  
16 0.6% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.0% 100%  
2 1.1% 99.0%  
3 1.0% 98%  
4 0.1% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0.1% 97%  
7 7% 97%  
8 35% 89%  
9 37% 54% Median
10 10% 18%  
11 2% 8%  
12 5% 5%  
13 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0.9% 99.9%  
2 3% 99.1%  
3 41% 96% Last Result
4 0% 55%  
5 0% 55%  
6 0.2% 55%  
7 21% 55% Median
8 30% 34%  
9 3% 4%  
10 0.7% 0.8%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100%  
2 45% 98%  
3 20% 54% Last Result, Median
4 0% 33%  
5 0% 33%  
6 0% 33%  
7 12% 33%  
8 18% 21%  
9 0.9% 3%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 40% 99.7%  
2 34% 59% Median
3 25% 25%  
4 0% 0.7%  
5 0% 0.7%  
6 0% 0.7%  
7 0.4% 0.7%  
8 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 94 100% 88–98 88–101 88–101 87–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 97 91 92% 86–93 83–93 83–95 81–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 85 79% 84–93 84–93 83–94 80–97
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 86 73% 83–91 80–91 79–91 78–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 83 27% 78–86 78–89 78–90 75–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 82 21% 77–87 77–89 76–90 75–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 77 8% 75–83 75–85 74–87 72–89
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre 71 78 8% 76–83 76–86 74–86 71–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 80 1.1% 74–82 74–82 73–83 71–87
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 75 0% 71–81 68–81 68–81 67–82
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 75 0.5% 69–80 69–80 69–80 67–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 71 0% 66–72 66–73 65–75 63–79
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 72 0% 65–74 65–74 64–74 61–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 68 0% 65–71 64–71 62–72 59–75
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 70 0% 63–71 63–71 62–72 59–74
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 39 0% 37–43 34–43 33–45 33–47
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 19 0% 14–22 14–22 13–23 12–26

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100% Majority
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 1.1% 99.7%  
88 17% 98.6%  
89 2% 81%  
90 7% 79%  
91 0.9% 73%  
92 0.8% 72%  
93 2% 71% Median
94 40% 69%  
95 7% 29%  
96 9% 22%  
97 0.8% 13%  
98 4% 12%  
99 1.0% 8%  
100 0.5% 7% Last Result
101 4% 7%  
102 2% 2%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.5% 99.9%  
82 0.7% 99.4%  
83 6% 98.7%  
84 0.7% 93%  
85 1.0% 92% Majority
86 27% 91%  
87 3% 64%  
88 2% 61%  
89 4% 59%  
90 2% 55% Median
91 13% 53%  
92 24% 40%  
93 12% 16%  
94 0.8% 4%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.2% 1.5%  
97 0.4% 1.3% Last Result
98 0.4% 0.9%  
99 0.2% 0.5%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.6% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.0%  
82 1.2% 98.9%  
83 0.5% 98%  
84 18% 97%  
85 29% 79% Majority
86 4% 50%  
87 2% 46%  
88 1.2% 43%  
89 7% 42% Median
90 1.2% 35%  
91 14% 34%  
92 4% 19%  
93 12% 16%  
94 1.1% 3%  
95 0.2% 2% Last Result
96 0.6% 2%  
97 1.3% 1.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.6% 99.7%  
79 4% 99.1%  
80 0.8% 95%  
81 3% 94%  
82 2% 92%  
83 6% 90%  
84 11% 85%  
85 8% 73% Majority
86 22% 65%  
87 18% 43%  
88 1.4% 24%  
89 1.3% 23%  
90 3% 22% Median
91 17% 19%  
92 0.9% 2%  
93 0.5% 1.1%  
94 0.3% 0.6%  
95 0.2% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1% Last Result
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.8%  
76 0.5% 99.4%  
77 0.9% 98.9%  
78 17% 98%  
79 3% 81%  
80 1.3% 78%  
81 1.4% 77%  
82 18% 76% Median
83 22% 57%  
84 8% 35%  
85 11% 27% Majority
86 6% 15%  
87 2% 10%  
88 3% 8%  
89 0.8% 6%  
90 4% 5%  
91 0.6% 0.9%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 0.4% 99.6%  
76 2% 99.2%  
77 18% 97%  
78 0.8% 80%  
79 0.8% 79%  
80 2% 78%  
81 7% 76%  
82 29% 70% Median
83 17% 41%  
84 3% 24%  
85 5% 21% Majority
86 5% 16%  
87 1.2% 11%  
88 2% 9%  
89 3% 7%  
90 4% 5%  
91 0.3% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 1.1% 99.5%  
73 0.2% 98%  
74 1.0% 98%  
75 17% 97%  
76 2% 80%  
77 31% 78%  
78 2% 47%  
79 1.1% 45%  
80 1.1% 43% Median
81 6% 42%  
82 19% 36% Last Result
83 8% 17%  
84 1.4% 9%  
85 4% 8% Majority
86 0.5% 3%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.3% 1.0%  
89 0.5% 0.7%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.7%  
71 0.4% 99.5% Last Result
72 0.4% 99.1%  
73 0.2% 98.7%  
74 2% 98.5%  
75 0.8% 97%  
76 12% 96%  
77 24% 84%  
78 13% 60%  
79 2% 47%  
80 4% 45%  
81 2% 41%  
82 3% 39% Median
83 27% 36%  
84 1.0% 9%  
85 0.7% 8% Majority
86 6% 7%  
87 0.7% 1.3%  
88 0.5% 0.6%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.5%  
72 0.8% 99.1%  
73 0.9% 98%  
74 15% 97%  
75 20% 82%  
76 3% 63%  
77 1.3% 60%  
78 2% 59%  
79 6% 57% Median
80 34% 51%  
81 4% 17%  
82 9% 13%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.6% 2%  
85 0.2% 1.1% Majority
86 0.1% 0.8%  
87 0.4% 0.7%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.1% Last Result
90 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 2% 99.6%  
68 4% 98% Last Result
69 0.5% 93%  
70 1.0% 93%  
71 4% 92%  
72 0.8% 88%  
73 9% 87%  
74 7% 78%  
75 40% 71%  
76 2% 31%  
77 0.8% 29%  
78 0.9% 28%  
79 7% 27% Median
80 2% 21%  
81 17% 19%  
82 1.1% 1.4%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0.1% 99.6%  
68 0.3% 99.5%  
69 11% 99.1%  
70 0.4% 88%  
71 0.9% 88%  
72 1.3% 87%  
73 23% 86%  
74 2% 62%  
75 29% 60%  
76 4% 31%  
77 0.7% 28% Median
78 5% 27%  
79 10% 22% Last Result
80 9% 12%  
81 0.4% 2%  
82 0.4% 2%  
83 0.3% 1.4%  
84 0.6% 1.1%  
85 0.4% 0.5% Majority
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.6% 99.7%  
64 1.2% 99.1%  
65 2% 98%  
66 25% 96%  
67 8% 71%  
68 4% 63%  
69 1.5% 59%  
70 7% 58% Median
71 17% 50%  
72 28% 33%  
73 2% 5%  
74 0.6% 3%  
75 0.5% 3%  
76 1.4% 2% Last Result
77 0.1% 0.9%  
78 0.2% 0.8%  
79 0.2% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.4% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.5%  
62 0.4% 99.4%  
63 1.2% 98.9%  
64 2% 98%  
65 11% 96% Last Result
66 9% 85%  
67 10% 76%  
68 2% 66%  
69 2% 64%  
70 2% 62%  
71 6% 60%  
72 32% 54% Median
73 4% 22%  
74 15% 18%  
75 1.3% 2%  
76 0.3% 0.9%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.7%  
60 0.3% 99.3%  
61 0.5% 99.0% Last Result
62 1.4% 98%  
63 2% 97%  
64 3% 96%  
65 26% 92%  
66 7% 66%  
67 7% 59%  
68 14% 51% Median
69 22% 37%  
70 2% 15%  
71 9% 13%  
72 3% 4%  
73 0.6% 1.5%  
74 0.4% 0.9%  
75 0.2% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
58 0% 99.7%  
59 0.3% 99.6%  
60 0.5% 99.3%  
61 1.2% 98.8%  
62 2% 98%  
63 10% 96%  
64 7% 86%  
65 4% 78%  
66 11% 74%  
67 2% 64%  
68 2% 62%  
69 7% 60%  
70 13% 54% Median
71 37% 41%  
72 2% 4%  
73 0.2% 1.2%  
74 0.6% 1.0%  
75 0.3% 0.5%  
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 0.2% 99.7%  
33 4% 99.5%  
34 2% 95%  
35 2% 93%  
36 1.3% 91%  
37 26% 90%  
38 13% 64%  
39 10% 50%  
40 7% 40%  
41 10% 33%  
42 2% 23% Median
43 17% 21%  
44 2% 4%  
45 0.3% 3%  
46 2% 2%  
47 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 3% 99.4%  
14 8% 96%  
15 25% 89%  
16 2% 64%  
17 1.4% 62%  
18 9% 60%  
19 3% 51%  
20 20% 48% Median
21 17% 28%  
22 8% 11%  
23 1.0% 3%  
24 0.8% 2%  
25 0.1% 0.8%  
26 0.5% 0.6%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations