Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 3–4 June 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 27.3% | 25.4–29.4% | 24.8–30.0% | 24.3–30.6% | 23.4–31.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 21.5% | 19.7–23.5% | 19.2–24.0% | 18.8–24.5% | 18.0–25.5% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 18.2% | 16.6–20.1% | 16.1–20.6% | 15.7–21.1% | 14.9–22.0% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3–7.6% | 5.1–7.9% | 4.8–8.3% | 4.4–8.9% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.7–7.5% | 4.5–7.8% | 4.1–8.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.5–6.6% | 4.3–7.0% | 4.1–7.3% | 3.7–7.9% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.5–6.0% | 3.3–6.2% | 3.0–6.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.6–5.2% | 2.3–5.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.5–5.1% | 2.2–5.6% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.3% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.3% | 0.1–1.6% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 51 | 48–56 | 47–56 | 47–56 | 45–58 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 42 | 38–44 | 38–44 | 37–44 | 34–45 |
| Høyre | 36 | 33 | 30–34 | 30–36 | 30–38 | 28–39 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 9–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 7–14 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–15 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 8 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–13 | 3–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–9 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–10 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 8% | 98.8% | |
| 48 | 3% | 91% | Last Result |
| 49 | 20% | 88% | |
| 50 | 4% | 68% | |
| 51 | 31% | 64% | Median |
| 52 | 1.1% | 33% | |
| 53 | 4% | 32% | |
| 54 | 16% | 28% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 56 | 9% | 11% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 12% | 97% | |
| 39 | 18% | 85% | |
| 40 | 2% | 67% | |
| 41 | 2% | 65% | |
| 42 | 23% | 63% | Median |
| 43 | 7% | 40% | |
| 44 | 33% | 33% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 30 | 11% | 98.9% | |
| 31 | 32% | 88% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 56% | |
| 33 | 37% | 56% | Median |
| 34 | 11% | 19% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 36 | 4% | 7% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 9 | 13% | 92% | |
| 10 | 32% | 79% | Median |
| 11 | 23% | 47% | |
| 12 | 18% | 24% | |
| 13 | 3% | 7% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 22% | 99.2% | |
| 9 | 11% | 78% | |
| 10 | 9% | 67% | |
| 11 | 31% | 57% | Median |
| 12 | 21% | 26% | |
| 13 | 3% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 8 | 50% | 98% | Median |
| 9 | 14% | 48% | |
| 10 | 13% | 34% | |
| 11 | 18% | 21% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 24% | 99.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 75% | |
| 5 | 0% | 75% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 75% | |
| 7 | 4% | 75% | |
| 8 | 60% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 9% | 11% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 96% | |
| 3 | 77% | 89% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 12% | |
| 6 | 7% | 12% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 8 | 2% | 4% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 33% | 96% | |
| 3 | 34% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 29% | |
| 5 | 0% | 29% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 29% | |
| 7 | 19% | 29% | |
| 8 | 8% | 9% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 99.9% | 89–98 | 89–100 | 89–100 | 85–101 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 89 | 79% | 80–93 | 80–96 | 80–96 | 75–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 83 | 37% | 79–92 | 79–92 | 79–92 | 79–97 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 86 | 63% | 77–90 | 77–90 | 77–90 | 72–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 97 | 80 | 21% | 76–89 | 73–89 | 73–89 | 73–94 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 83 | 2% | 75–83 | 75–83 | 74–84 | 71–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 76 | 1.0% | 75–82 | 75–82 | 73–84 | 72–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 72 | 0.1% | 71–80 | 69–80 | 69–80 | 68–84 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 75 | 0% | 72–75 | 71–77 | 69–80 | 66–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–80 | 68–80 | 68–80 | 68–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 70 | 0% | 65–77 | 65–77 | 65–77 | 65–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 68 | 0% | 67–71 | 65–72 | 63–74 | 61–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 65 | 0% | 64–68 | 62–68 | 61–71 | 59–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 62 | 0% | 57–66 | 57–66 | 57–66 | 56–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 59 | 0% | 57–66 | 56–66 | 56–66 | 53–68 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 42 | 0% | 38–48 | 38–48 | 38–48 | 34–50 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 17–25 | 17–27 | 17–27 | 15–29 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 89 | 18% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 79% | |
| 91 | 10% | 79% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 93 | 2% | 68% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 66% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 65% | |
| 96 | 2% | 64% | Last Result |
| 97 | 34% | 63% | Median |
| 98 | 21% | 29% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 100 | 7% | 7% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 80 | 16% | 98% | |
| 81 | 2% | 82% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 80% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 80% | |
| 85 | 11% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 69% | |
| 87 | 5% | 68% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 63% | |
| 89 | 32% | 62% | Median |
| 90 | 3% | 30% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 28% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 27% | |
| 93 | 19% | 26% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 96 | 6% | 7% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 25% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 75% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 73% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 73% | |
| 83 | 31% | 71% | Median |
| 84 | 4% | 40% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 37% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 35% | |
| 87 | 11% | 34% | |
| 88 | 3% | 23% | |
| 89 | 2% | 20% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 92 | 16% | 18% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 16% | 98% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 80 | 2% | 81% | |
| 81 | 3% | 80% | |
| 82 | 11% | 77% | |
| 83 | 2% | 66% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 65% | |
| 85 | 4% | 63% | Majority |
| 86 | 31% | 60% | Median |
| 87 | 1.3% | 28% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 90 | 25% | 25% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 76 | 19% | 93% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 74% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 73% | |
| 79 | 3% | 72% | |
| 80 | 32% | 70% | Median |
| 81 | 1.2% | 38% | |
| 82 | 5% | 37% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 32% | |
| 84 | 11% | 31% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 88 | 2% | 19% | |
| 89 | 16% | 18% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 75 | 16% | 97% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 80% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 79% | |
| 79 | 4% | 79% | |
| 80 | 11% | 75% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 82 | 7% | 62% | |
| 83 | 52% | 55% | Median |
| 84 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 75 | 22% | 97% | |
| 76 | 33% | 75% | Median |
| 77 | 1.2% | 43% | |
| 78 | 2% | 41% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 40% | |
| 80 | 16% | 39% | |
| 81 | 4% | 23% | |
| 82 | 16% | 19% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 71 | 21% | 93% | |
| 72 | 34% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 2% | 37% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 36% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 35% | |
| 76 | 2% | 34% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 32% | |
| 78 | 10% | 31% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 80 | 18% | 21% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 2% | 96% | |
| 72 | 28% | 94% | |
| 73 | 9% | 66% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 57% | |
| 75 | 49% | 57% | Median |
| 76 | 2% | 8% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 80 | 3% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 18% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 71 | 2% | 79% | |
| 72 | 8% | 78% | |
| 73 | 34% | 70% | Median |
| 74 | 2% | 36% | |
| 75 | 3% | 35% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 31% | |
| 78 | 10% | 30% | |
| 79 | 2% | 20% | |
| 80 | 16% | 18% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 19% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 7% | 81% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 69 | 2% | 72% | |
| 70 | 34% | 70% | Median |
| 71 | 4% | 36% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 32% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 31% | |
| 74 | 2% | 30% | |
| 75 | 10% | 28% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 77 | 16% | 17% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 66 | 4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 19% | 91% | |
| 68 | 31% | 72% | Median |
| 69 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 70 | 11% | 40% | |
| 71 | 23% | 29% | |
| 72 | 3% | 6% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 3% | 94% | |
| 64 | 22% | 91% | |
| 65 | 36% | 69% | Median |
| 66 | 1.0% | 32% | |
| 67 | 10% | 31% | |
| 68 | 17% | 21% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 25% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 74% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 72% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 71% | |
| 61 | 6% | 70% | |
| 62 | 35% | 65% | Median |
| 63 | 1.2% | 30% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 29% | |
| 65 | 10% | 28% | |
| 66 | 16% | 18% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 7% | 98% | |
| 57 | 20% | 91% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 71% | |
| 59 | 33% | 70% | Median |
| 60 | 3% | 37% | |
| 61 | 2% | 34% | Last Result |
| 62 | 3% | 32% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 28% | |
| 65 | 16% | 27% | |
| 66 | 9% | 11% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 16% | 98.5% | |
| 39 | 3% | 82% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 41 | 4% | 79% | |
| 42 | 33% | 75% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 42% | |
| 44 | 11% | 41% | Median |
| 45 | 0.6% | 31% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 30% | |
| 47 | 7% | 29% | Last Result |
| 48 | 20% | 22% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 17 | 24% | 99.0% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 75% | |
| 19 | 10% | 74% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 64% | |
| 21 | 2% | 63% | |
| 22 | 31% | 61% | Median |
| 23 | 19% | 30% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 25 | 3% | 11% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 27 | 7% | 8% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 3–4 June 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 790
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 4.69%