Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land, 10–14 June 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
29.9% |
28.1–31.8% |
27.6–32.3% |
27.1–32.8% |
26.3–33.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
21.3% |
19.7–23.0% |
19.2–23.5% |
18.8–23.9% |
18.1–24.7% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
15.8% |
14.4–17.3% |
14.0–17.8% |
13.7–18.2% |
13.0–18.9% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
7.9% |
7.0–9.1% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.4–9.8% |
6.0–10.4% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.6% |
4.7–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
4.3–7.2% |
3.9–7.7% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.2–6.6% |
4.0–6.8% |
3.7–7.3% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.7% |
0.5–1.8% |
0.4–2.1% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
55 |
3% |
94% |
|
56 |
5% |
91% |
|
57 |
68% |
86% |
Median |
58 |
0.5% |
18% |
|
59 |
10% |
18% |
|
60 |
2% |
7% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
62 |
5% |
5% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
38 |
11% |
98% |
|
39 |
6% |
88% |
|
40 |
72% |
82% |
Median |
41 |
6% |
10% |
|
42 |
3% |
4% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
5% |
99.7% |
|
25 |
4% |
94% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
27 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
28 |
0.6% |
89% |
|
29 |
3% |
88% |
|
30 |
12% |
85% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
73% |
|
32 |
72% |
73% |
Median |
33 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
11 |
10% |
99.6% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
90% |
|
13 |
8% |
89% |
Last Result |
14 |
2% |
81% |
|
15 |
7% |
78% |
|
16 |
67% |
72% |
Median |
17 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
18 |
3% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
9 |
78% |
98% |
Median |
10 |
5% |
21% |
|
11 |
8% |
16% |
|
12 |
7% |
8% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
12% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
5% |
88% |
|
9 |
2% |
83% |
|
10 |
73% |
81% |
Median |
11 |
7% |
8% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
77% |
98% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
21% |
|
5 |
0% |
21% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
21% |
|
7 |
11% |
21% |
|
8 |
4% |
10% |
Last Result |
9 |
6% |
6% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
1 |
72% |
99.4% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
28% |
|
3 |
11% |
23% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
12% |
|
5 |
0% |
12% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
12% |
|
7 |
8% |
11% |
|
8 |
4% |
4% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
1 |
93% |
99.0% |
Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
93 |
99.6% |
87–94 |
87–95 |
87–101 |
85–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet |
97 |
92 |
99.3% |
86–93 |
86–94 |
86–100 |
84–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
85 |
84% |
84–86 |
81–87 |
80–92 |
77–92 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
86 |
91% |
85–89 |
81–90 |
79–92 |
79–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
83 |
9% |
80–84 |
79–88 |
77–90 |
76–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
84 |
6% |
78–84 |
77–85 |
76–89 |
74–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
83 |
4% |
77–83 |
76–84 |
75–88 |
74–88 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
77 |
0.7% |
76–83 |
75–83 |
69–83 |
69–85 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
76 |
0.4% |
75–82 |
74–82 |
68–82 |
68–84 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre |
65 |
75 |
0.1% |
74–75 |
71–78 |
65–79 |
65–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
73 |
0% |
69–73 |
67–75 |
65–77 |
64–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
69 |
0% |
69–74 |
67–74 |
66–74 |
64–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
68 |
0% |
68–73 |
66–73 |
64–73 |
63–76 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre |
57 |
72 |
0% |
66–72 |
64–72 |
62–72 |
62–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
67 |
0% |
65–69 |
63–69 |
60–70 |
60–72 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
36 |
0% |
35–42 |
34–44 |
30–44 |
30–45 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
14 |
0% |
14–21 |
14–21 |
14–21 |
13–23 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
87 |
11% |
98.7% |
|
88 |
2% |
88% |
|
89 |
2% |
86% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
84% |
|
91 |
2% |
83% |
|
92 |
5% |
82% |
|
93 |
67% |
77% |
Median |
94 |
3% |
11% |
|
95 |
4% |
8% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
97 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
3% |
Last Result |
101 |
3% |
3% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
98.7% |
|
87 |
4% |
88% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
84% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
84% |
|
90 |
4% |
83% |
|
91 |
2% |
79% |
|
92 |
67% |
77% |
Median |
93 |
3% |
11% |
|
94 |
4% |
8% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
97 |
0.6% |
3% |
Last Result |
98 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
99 |
0% |
3% |
|
100 |
3% |
3% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
80 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
81 |
2% |
97% |
|
82 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
83 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
84 |
8% |
92% |
|
85 |
73% |
84% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
5% |
10% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
92 |
3% |
3% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
81 |
4% |
97% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
91% |
|
85 |
2% |
91% |
Majority |
86 |
67% |
89% |
Median |
87 |
2% |
22% |
|
88 |
6% |
20% |
|
89 |
9% |
14% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
92 |
4% |
4% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
80 |
9% |
94% |
|
81 |
6% |
86% |
|
82 |
2% |
80% |
|
83 |
67% |
78% |
Median |
84 |
2% |
11% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
87 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
88 |
4% |
7% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
90 |
3% |
3% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
76 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
77 |
2% |
96% |
|
78 |
7% |
94% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
87% |
|
80 |
3% |
86% |
|
81 |
2% |
83% |
|
82 |
4% |
81% |
|
83 |
4% |
77% |
|
84 |
66% |
72% |
Median |
85 |
2% |
6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
89 |
3% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
75 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
76 |
2% |
96% |
|
77 |
7% |
94% |
|
78 |
3% |
87% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
84% |
|
80 |
5% |
83% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
78% |
|
82 |
5% |
77% |
|
83 |
66% |
72% |
Median |
84 |
2% |
6% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
88 |
3% |
3% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
3% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
97% |
Last Result |
72 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
75 |
4% |
96% |
|
76 |
3% |
92% |
|
77 |
67% |
89% |
Median |
78 |
2% |
23% |
|
79 |
4% |
21% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
17% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
16% |
|
82 |
4% |
16% |
|
83 |
10% |
12% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
74 |
4% |
96% |
|
75 |
3% |
92% |
|
76 |
67% |
89% |
Median |
77 |
5% |
23% |
|
78 |
2% |
18% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
17% |
|
80 |
2% |
16% |
|
81 |
2% |
14% |
|
82 |
11% |
12% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
71 |
4% |
96% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
92% |
|
74 |
7% |
91% |
|
75 |
77% |
84% |
Median |
76 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
78 |
2% |
5% |
|
79 |
2% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
68 |
2% |
95% |
|
69 |
3% |
93% |
|
70 |
11% |
90% |
|
71 |
2% |
79% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
77% |
|
73 |
66% |
75% |
Median |
74 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
75 |
4% |
8% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
77 |
4% |
4% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
69 |
70% |
94% |
Median |
70 |
2% |
24% |
|
71 |
5% |
22% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
17% |
|
73 |
4% |
16% |
|
74 |
10% |
12% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
68 |
71% |
94% |
Median |
69 |
5% |
24% |
|
70 |
2% |
19% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
17% |
|
72 |
4% |
16% |
|
73 |
10% |
11% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
64 |
4% |
97% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
66 |
2% |
92% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
89% |
|
68 |
9% |
88% |
|
69 |
2% |
80% |
|
70 |
2% |
78% |
|
71 |
4% |
76% |
|
72 |
70% |
72% |
Median |
73 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
63 |
3% |
95% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
92% |
|
65 |
3% |
92% |
|
66 |
9% |
89% |
|
67 |
69% |
80% |
Median |
68 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
69 |
5% |
10% |
|
70 |
3% |
5% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
33 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
34 |
2% |
96% |
|
35 |
4% |
93% |
|
36 |
67% |
89% |
Median |
37 |
5% |
22% |
|
38 |
0.8% |
18% |
|
39 |
2% |
17% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
15% |
|
41 |
3% |
14% |
|
42 |
2% |
11% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
44 |
7% |
8% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
14 |
66% |
99.1% |
Median |
15 |
2% |
33% |
|
16 |
3% |
31% |
|
17 |
8% |
28% |
|
18 |
3% |
20% |
|
19 |
1.4% |
17% |
|
20 |
3% |
15% |
|
21 |
11% |
12% |
|
22 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 10–14 June 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1007
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.57%