Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land, 10–14 June 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 29.9% | 28.1–31.8% | 27.6–32.3% | 27.1–32.8% | 26.3–33.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.2–23.5% | 18.8–23.9% | 18.1–24.7% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 15.8% | 14.4–17.3% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–18.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.2–6.6% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 57 | 56–59 | 54–62 | 50–62 | 50–63 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 40 | 38–41 | 38–41 | 38–42 | 35–43 |
| Høyre | 36 | 32 | 26–32 | 24–32 | 24–32 | 24–34 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–18 | 11–18 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 3–7 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 55 | 3% | 94% | |
| 56 | 5% | 91% | |
| 57 | 68% | 86% | Median |
| 58 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 59 | 10% | 18% | |
| 60 | 2% | 7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 62 | 5% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 11% | 98% | |
| 39 | 6% | 88% | |
| 40 | 72% | 82% | Median |
| 41 | 6% | 10% | |
| 42 | 3% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 4% | 94% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 29 | 3% | 88% | |
| 30 | 12% | 85% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 73% | |
| 32 | 72% | 73% | Median |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 10% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 90% | |
| 13 | 8% | 89% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 81% | |
| 15 | 7% | 78% | |
| 16 | 67% | 72% | Median |
| 17 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 18 | 3% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 1.5% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 78% | 98% | Median |
| 10 | 5% | 21% | |
| 11 | 8% | 16% | |
| 12 | 7% | 8% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 12% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 5% | 88% | |
| 9 | 2% | 83% | |
| 10 | 73% | 81% | Median |
| 11 | 7% | 8% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 77% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0% | 21% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 7 | 11% | 21% | |
| 8 | 4% | 10% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 72% | 99.4% | Median |
| 2 | 5% | 28% | |
| 3 | 11% | 23% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 12% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 7 | 8% | 11% | |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 93% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 6% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 93 | 99.6% | 87–94 | 87–95 | 87–101 | 85–101 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 92 | 99.3% | 86–93 | 86–94 | 86–100 | 84–100 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 85 | 84% | 84–86 | 81–87 | 80–92 | 77–92 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 86 | 91% | 85–89 | 81–90 | 79–92 | 79–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 83 | 9% | 80–84 | 79–88 | 77–90 | 76–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 84 | 6% | 78–84 | 77–85 | 76–89 | 74–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 83 | 4% | 77–83 | 76–84 | 75–88 | 74–88 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 77 | 0.7% | 76–83 | 75–83 | 69–83 | 69–85 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 76 | 0.4% | 75–82 | 74–82 | 68–82 | 68–84 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 75 | 0.1% | 74–75 | 71–78 | 65–79 | 65–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 73 | 0% | 69–73 | 67–75 | 65–77 | 64–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 69 | 0% | 69–74 | 67–74 | 66–74 | 64–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 68 | 0% | 68–73 | 66–73 | 64–73 | 63–76 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 72 | 0% | 66–72 | 64–72 | 62–72 | 62–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 67 | 0% | 65–69 | 63–69 | 60–70 | 60–72 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 36 | 0% | 35–42 | 34–44 | 30–44 | 30–45 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 14 | 0% | 14–21 | 14–21 | 14–21 | 13–23 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 11% | 98.7% | |
| 88 | 2% | 88% | |
| 89 | 2% | 86% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 91 | 2% | 83% | |
| 92 | 5% | 82% | |
| 93 | 67% | 77% | Median |
| 94 | 3% | 11% | |
| 95 | 4% | 8% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 101 | 3% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 98.7% | |
| 87 | 4% | 88% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 90 | 4% | 83% | |
| 91 | 2% | 79% | |
| 92 | 67% | 77% | Median |
| 93 | 3% | 11% | |
| 94 | 4% | 8% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 3% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 3% | |
| 100 | 3% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 81 | 2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 84 | 8% | 92% | |
| 85 | 73% | 84% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 10% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 3% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 81 | 4% | 97% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 85 | 2% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 67% | 89% | Median |
| 87 | 2% | 22% | |
| 88 | 6% | 20% | |
| 89 | 9% | 14% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 92 | 4% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 80 | 9% | 94% | |
| 81 | 6% | 86% | |
| 82 | 2% | 80% | |
| 83 | 67% | 78% | Median |
| 84 | 2% | 11% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 88 | 4% | 7% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 90 | 3% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 2% | 96% | |
| 78 | 7% | 94% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 80 | 3% | 86% | |
| 81 | 2% | 83% | |
| 82 | 4% | 81% | |
| 83 | 4% | 77% | |
| 84 | 66% | 72% | Median |
| 85 | 2% | 6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 89 | 3% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 2% | 96% | |
| 77 | 7% | 94% | |
| 78 | 3% | 87% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 84% | |
| 80 | 5% | 83% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 78% | |
| 82 | 5% | 77% | |
| 83 | 66% | 72% | Median |
| 84 | 2% | 6% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 3% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 3% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 4% | 96% | |
| 76 | 3% | 92% | |
| 77 | 67% | 89% | Median |
| 78 | 2% | 23% | |
| 79 | 4% | 21% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 82 | 4% | 16% | |
| 83 | 10% | 12% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 4% | 96% | |
| 75 | 3% | 92% | |
| 76 | 67% | 89% | Median |
| 77 | 5% | 23% | |
| 78 | 2% | 18% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 17% | |
| 80 | 2% | 16% | |
| 81 | 2% | 14% | |
| 82 | 11% | 12% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 71 | 4% | 96% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 74 | 7% | 91% | |
| 75 | 77% | 84% | Median |
| 76 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 3% | 93% | |
| 70 | 11% | 90% | |
| 71 | 2% | 79% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 77% | |
| 73 | 66% | 75% | Median |
| 74 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 75 | 4% | 8% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 77 | 4% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 70% | 94% | Median |
| 70 | 2% | 24% | |
| 71 | 5% | 22% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 73 | 4% | 16% | |
| 74 | 10% | 12% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 68 | 71% | 94% | Median |
| 69 | 5% | 24% | |
| 70 | 2% | 19% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 72 | 4% | 16% | |
| 73 | 10% | 11% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 66 | 2% | 92% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 68 | 9% | 88% | |
| 69 | 2% | 80% | |
| 70 | 2% | 78% | |
| 71 | 4% | 76% | |
| 72 | 70% | 72% | Median |
| 73 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 63 | 3% | 95% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 65 | 3% | 92% | |
| 66 | 9% | 89% | |
| 67 | 69% | 80% | Median |
| 68 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 69 | 5% | 10% | |
| 70 | 3% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 34 | 2% | 96% | |
| 35 | 4% | 93% | |
| 36 | 67% | 89% | Median |
| 37 | 5% | 22% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 39 | 2% | 17% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 41 | 3% | 14% | |
| 42 | 2% | 11% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 44 | 7% | 8% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 66% | 99.1% | Median |
| 15 | 2% | 33% | |
| 16 | 3% | 31% | |
| 17 | 8% | 28% | |
| 18 | 3% | 20% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 20 | 3% | 15% | |
| 21 | 11% | 12% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 10–14 June 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1007
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.57%