Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG, 11–18 June 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 25.1% | 23.1–27.1% | 22.6–27.7% | 22.1–28.3% | 21.2–29.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 21.9% | 20.1–24.0% | 19.6–24.5% | 19.2–25.0% | 18.3–26.0% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 16.9% | 15.3–18.7% | 14.8–19.3% | 14.4–19.7% | 13.7–20.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6–10.3% | 7.3–10.7% | 7.0–11.1% | 6.5–11.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.5–7.9% | 4.1–8.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.8% | 4.9–7.1% | 4.6–7.4% | 4.4–7.7% | 4.0–8.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9–5.9% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.5–6.6% | 3.1–7.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.3–4.9% | 2.0–5.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.2–4.8% | 1.9–5.3% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–1.9% | 0.3–2.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.3–1.5% | 0.2–1.8% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.3% | 0.1–1.6% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.2% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 48 | 42–54 | 42–54 | 41–55 | 38–56 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 39 | 36–45 | 35–45 | 34–46 | 34–47 |
| Høyre | 36 | 32 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 22–37 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–21 | 10–21 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 | 6–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–10 | 3–11 | 2–12 | 2–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 42 | 9% | 97% | |
| 43 | 2% | 88% | |
| 44 | 3% | 86% | |
| 45 | 4% | 82% | |
| 46 | 16% | 78% | |
| 47 | 9% | 63% | |
| 48 | 20% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 49 | 8% | 34% | |
| 50 | 2% | 26% | |
| 51 | 5% | 24% | |
| 52 | 3% | 19% | |
| 53 | 2% | 16% | |
| 54 | 12% | 14% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 36 | 31% | 94% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 63% | |
| 38 | 12% | 62% | |
| 39 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 40 | 6% | 40% | |
| 41 | 4% | 34% | |
| 42 | 7% | 30% | |
| 43 | 6% | 23% | |
| 44 | 6% | 17% | |
| 45 | 7% | 11% | |
| 46 | 3% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 25 | 3% | 97% | |
| 26 | 7% | 94% | |
| 27 | 4% | 87% | |
| 28 | 7% | 83% | |
| 29 | 4% | 76% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 31 | 9% | 71% | |
| 32 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 33 | 25% | 49% | |
| 34 | 18% | 24% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 36 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 37 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 12 | 3% | 97% | |
| 13 | 6% | 95% | Last Result |
| 14 | 10% | 89% | |
| 15 | 12% | 79% | |
| 16 | 22% | 67% | Median |
| 17 | 17% | 45% | |
| 18 | 5% | 28% | |
| 19 | 19% | 24% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 21 | 4% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 12% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 32% | 87% | |
| 10 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 11 | 26% | 40% | |
| 12 | 7% | 14% | |
| 13 | 6% | 8% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 2% | 98% | |
| 8 | 4% | 96% | |
| 9 | 25% | 92% | |
| 10 | 6% | 66% | |
| 11 | 23% | 61% | Median |
| 12 | 27% | 38% | |
| 13 | 3% | 10% | |
| 14 | 4% | 7% | |
| 15 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 14% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 81% | |
| 5 | 0% | 81% | |
| 6 | 2% | 81% | |
| 7 | 7% | 78% | |
| 8 | 38% | 72% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 7% | 33% | |
| 10 | 20% | 26% | |
| 11 | 2% | 6% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 100% | |
| 2 | 51% | 82% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 31% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 14% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 7 | 8% | 13% | |
| 8 | 5% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 88% | |
| 2 | 45% | 83% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 39% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0% | 21% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 7 | 6% | 21% | |
| 8 | 6% | 15% | |
| 9 | 9% | 9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 91 | 97% | 88–97 | 86–100 | 82–102 | 82–102 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 88 | 83% | 82–92 | 78–94 | 78–96 | 78–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 85 | 64% | 79–88 | 77–90 | 77–92 | 75–92 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 84 | 36% | 81–90 | 79–91 | 77–91 | 77–94 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 81 | 16% | 77–86 | 75–90 | 73–90 | 72–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 82 | 13% | 76–85 | 71–88 | 71–89 | 71–92 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 78 | 8% | 72–83 | 72–87 | 71–87 | 69–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 77 | 4% | 73–82 | 68–84 | 68–87 | 68–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 78 | 3% | 72–81 | 68–83 | 66–87 | 66–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 74 | 0.1% | 69–80 | 67–80 | 67–80 | 65–82 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 70 | 0% | 66–76 | 65–77 | 63–79 | 62–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 63 | 0% | 58–70 | 56–72 | 56–74 | 54–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 63 | 0% | 59–71 | 57–71 | 55–71 | 54–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 61 | 0% | 57–68 | 54–68 | 54–68 | 51–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 59 | 0% | 53–63 | 51–64 | 51–65 | 49–66 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 44 | 0% | 36–46 | 32–46 | 31–47 | 30–50 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 21 | 0% | 17–25 | 13–27 | 13–29 | 13–29 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 96% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 88 | 11% | 93% | |
| 89 | 8% | 82% | |
| 90 | 5% | 74% | |
| 91 | 21% | 69% | |
| 92 | 7% | 48% | Median |
| 93 | 15% | 41% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 25% | |
| 95 | 10% | 25% | |
| 96 | 2% | 15% | Last Result |
| 97 | 5% | 13% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 100 | 3% | 7% | |
| 101 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 102 | 3% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 82 | 2% | 92% | |
| 83 | 2% | 90% | |
| 84 | 5% | 88% | |
| 85 | 7% | 83% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 77% | |
| 87 | 2% | 67% | Median |
| 88 | 18% | 65% | |
| 89 | 22% | 48% | |
| 90 | 12% | 25% | |
| 91 | 3% | 14% | |
| 92 | 2% | 11% | |
| 93 | 2% | 9% | |
| 94 | 3% | 7% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 96 | 3% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 77 | 6% | 98% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 79 | 2% | 91% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 81 | 6% | 88% | |
| 82 | 3% | 83% | |
| 83 | 7% | 79% | |
| 84 | 9% | 73% | |
| 85 | 15% | 64% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 49% | |
| 87 | 25% | 45% | |
| 88 | 11% | 20% | |
| 89 | 4% | 9% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 92 | 2% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 4% | 95% | |
| 81 | 11% | 91% | |
| 82 | 25% | 80% | |
| 83 | 4% | 55% | Median |
| 84 | 15% | 51% | |
| 85 | 13% | 36% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 23% | |
| 87 | 3% | 20% | |
| 88 | 5% | 17% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 90 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 91 | 7% | 9% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 75 | 3% | 96% | |
| 76 | 2% | 93% | |
| 77 | 2% | 91% | |
| 78 | 3% | 89% | |
| 79 | 12% | 86% | |
| 80 | 22% | 74% | |
| 81 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 82 | 2% | 34% | |
| 83 | 14% | 33% | |
| 84 | 2% | 19% | |
| 85 | 5% | 16% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 11% | |
| 87 | 2% | 10% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 5% | 6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 76 | 3% | 92% | |
| 77 | 7% | 88% | |
| 78 | 2% | 81% | |
| 79 | 15% | 79% | Median |
| 80 | 6% | 64% | |
| 81 | 4% | 58% | |
| 82 | 29% | 55% | |
| 83 | 2% | 25% | |
| 84 | 11% | 24% | |
| 85 | 6% | 13% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 88 | 3% | 6% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 72 | 9% | 97% | |
| 73 | 2% | 87% | |
| 74 | 7% | 86% | |
| 75 | 2% | 78% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 76% | |
| 77 | 3% | 75% | |
| 78 | 23% | 72% | |
| 79 | 27% | 49% | Median |
| 80 | 6% | 23% | |
| 81 | 4% | 16% | |
| 82 | 2% | 12% | |
| 83 | 2% | 10% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 87 | 6% | 6% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 73 | 5% | 91% | |
| 74 | 6% | 86% | |
| 75 | 11% | 81% | |
| 76 | 7% | 70% | |
| 77 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 78 | 5% | 47% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 42% | |
| 80 | 19% | 41% | |
| 81 | 2% | 23% | |
| 82 | 13% | 20% | |
| 83 | 2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 68 | 3% | 96% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 72 | 5% | 92% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 87% | |
| 74 | 10% | 85% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 75% | |
| 76 | 19% | 74% | Median |
| 77 | 3% | 55% | |
| 78 | 20% | 52% | |
| 79 | 6% | 31% | |
| 80 | 8% | 26% | |
| 81 | 11% | 18% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 83 | 3% | 6% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 6% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 70 | 3% | 89% | |
| 71 | 2% | 86% | |
| 72 | 9% | 84% | |
| 73 | 7% | 75% | |
| 74 | 19% | 68% | |
| 75 | 4% | 49% | Median |
| 76 | 6% | 45% | |
| 77 | 4% | 39% | |
| 78 | 18% | 35% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 80 | 15% | 16% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 65 | 6% | 96% | |
| 66 | 2% | 91% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 68 | 3% | 88% | |
| 69 | 18% | 85% | |
| 70 | 23% | 67% | |
| 71 | 21% | 44% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 24% | |
| 73 | 2% | 16% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 75 | 3% | 13% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 77 | 5% | 10% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 58 | 3% | 92% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 60 | 3% | 89% | |
| 61 | 2% | 85% | |
| 62 | 5% | 84% | |
| 63 | 33% | 78% | Median |
| 64 | 3% | 46% | |
| 65 | 12% | 43% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 31% | |
| 67 | 5% | 30% | |
| 68 | 5% | 25% | |
| 69 | 2% | 19% | |
| 70 | 10% | 18% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 72 | 3% | 6% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 57 | 3% | 95% | |
| 58 | 2% | 92% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 60 | 3% | 89% | |
| 61 | 9% | 86% | Last Result |
| 62 | 20% | 77% | |
| 63 | 7% | 57% | |
| 64 | 3% | 50% | Median |
| 65 | 7% | 47% | |
| 66 | 3% | 40% | |
| 67 | 17% | 37% | |
| 68 | 5% | 20% | |
| 69 | 3% | 15% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 71 | 11% | 12% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 54 | 4% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 94% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 57 | 3% | 90% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 87% | |
| 59 | 4% | 86% | |
| 60 | 18% | 82% | |
| 61 | 22% | 64% | Median |
| 62 | 4% | 42% | |
| 63 | 11% | 38% | |
| 64 | 4% | 27% | |
| 65 | 3% | 24% | |
| 66 | 7% | 20% | |
| 67 | 2% | 14% | |
| 68 | 10% | 12% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 5% | 98% | |
| 52 | 3% | 94% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 54 | 4% | 90% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 57 | 10% | 84% | |
| 58 | 20% | 75% | |
| 59 | 27% | 55% | Median |
| 60 | 6% | 27% | |
| 61 | 4% | 22% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 18% | |
| 63 | 9% | 17% | |
| 64 | 4% | 8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 36 | 5% | 93% | |
| 37 | 2% | 88% | |
| 38 | 6% | 86% | |
| 39 | 2% | 81% | |
| 40 | 6% | 79% | |
| 41 | 11% | 73% | |
| 42 | 2% | 62% | Median |
| 43 | 4% | 60% | |
| 44 | 29% | 56% | |
| 45 | 16% | 27% | |
| 46 | 6% | 10% | |
| 47 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 17 | 12% | 94% | |
| 18 | 3% | 81% | |
| 19 | 4% | 79% | |
| 20 | 7% | 74% | |
| 21 | 19% | 68% | Median |
| 22 | 4% | 48% | |
| 23 | 8% | 45% | |
| 24 | 26% | 37% | |
| 25 | 2% | 11% | |
| 26 | 3% | 9% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 28 | 2% | 5% | |
| 29 | 3% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG
- Fieldwork period: 11–18 June 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 770
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.87%