Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 1 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 25.2% 23.6–26.9% 23.1–27.4% 22.7–27.8% 22.0–28.7%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 23.9% 22.3–25.6% 21.8–26.0% 21.4–26.5% 20.7–27.3%
Høyre 20.4% 14.8% 13.5–16.2% 13.1–16.7% 12.8–17.0% 12.2–17.7%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 7.9% 6.9–9.0% 6.7–9.3% 6.4–9.6% 6.0–10.2%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 7.2% 6.3–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.8–8.9% 5.4–9.4%
Rødt 4.7% 6.1% 5.3–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.5–8.2%
Venstre 4.6% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.3–5.8% 3.0–6.2%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.1–4.8%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 2.8% 2.2–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.7–4.3%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 48 46–52 44–52 41–52 41–54
Fremskrittspartiet 21 44 42–47 41–48 41–50 39–50
Høyre 36 27 24–30 23–31 23–31 21–32
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 15 13–15 13–16 12–17 11–18
Senterpartiet 28 13 10–16 10–16 10–16 9–17
Rødt 8 11 10–12 10–13 9–14 8–14
Venstre 8 8 3–9 3–10 3–10 2–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 2 1–3 1–3 1–7 0–8
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 1 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–8
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.2% 99.8%  
41 2% 99.6%  
42 0.8% 97%  
43 0.8% 96%  
44 1.3% 96%  
45 3% 94%  
46 13% 92%  
47 15% 78%  
48 27% 64% Last Result, Median
49 3% 36%  
50 5% 34%  
51 7% 28%  
52 20% 22%  
53 1.4% 2%  
54 0.5% 0.8%  
55 0.1% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.8% 99.8%  
40 0.5% 99.0%  
41 5% 98.5%  
42 28% 94%  
43 10% 66%  
44 25% 55% Median
45 4% 30%  
46 6% 27%  
47 12% 21%  
48 5% 9%  
49 1.3% 4%  
50 3% 3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.6% 99.9%  
22 1.3% 99.3%  
23 4% 98%  
24 9% 94%  
25 8% 86%  
26 8% 78%  
27 22% 70% Median
28 33% 48%  
29 3% 15%  
30 6% 12%  
31 5% 6%  
32 0.3% 0.7%  
33 0.3% 0.4%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.6%  
12 3% 99.0%  
13 34% 96% Last Result
14 9% 62%  
15 46% 53% Median
16 3% 7%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.6% 0.8%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.8% 99.9%  
10 27% 99.2%  
11 9% 72%  
12 6% 63%  
13 24% 57% Median
14 8% 33%  
15 2% 25%  
16 22% 22%  
17 0.5% 0.6%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.5% 100% Last Result
9 3% 99.5%  
10 31% 97%  
11 27% 65% Median
12 30% 38%  
13 3% 8%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.3% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 13% 98%  
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 0% 86%  
7 3% 86%  
8 49% 83% Last Result, Median
9 27% 34%  
10 6% 7%  
11 0.6% 0.8%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 21% 99.0%  
2 45% 78% Median
3 29% 33% Last Result
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0% 4%  
7 1.4% 4%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 74% 99.9% Median
2 11% 26%  
3 15% 16% Last Result
4 0% 1.2%  
5 0% 1.2%  
6 0.1% 1.2%  
7 0.6% 1.1%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 94 100% 91–97 90–99 88–100 87–100
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 88 89% 84–91 83–93 81–94 77–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt 97 87 71% 83–89 82–91 78–92 75–96
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 82 28% 80–86 78–87 77–90 73–93
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 81 10% 78–85 76–86 75–87 72–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 79 3% 76–83 74–83 72–85 72–88
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 80 0.3% 76–82 74–83 73–84 69–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 78 1.0% 73–80 70–81 69–82 66–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 75 0% 72–78 70–79 68–81 68–82
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 77 0% 72–78 69–79 67–81 64–84
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 71 0% 67–74 67–77 67–79 64–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 64 0% 62–67 60–69 59–71 59–74
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 63 0% 60–66 58–67 57–69 57–73
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 62 0% 59–67 58–67 55–67 53–69
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 62 0% 57–64 56–64 54–67 51–68
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 37 0% 34–40 32–41 31–42 29–45
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 23 0% 19–26 18–26 17–27 15–28

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100% Majority
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.6% 99.7%  
88 2% 99.1%  
89 1.3% 97%  
90 2% 96%  
91 25% 94%  
92 6% 69%  
93 12% 63%  
94 3% 51% Median
95 23% 48%  
96 9% 25% Last Result
97 10% 17%  
98 0.9% 7%  
99 3% 6%  
100 3% 3%  
101 0.2% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.6% 100%  
78 0% 99.4%  
79 0% 99.3%  
80 0.3% 99.3%  
81 2% 99.0%  
82 1.0% 97%  
83 2% 96%  
84 4% 94%  
85 8% 89% Majority
86 15% 81%  
87 5% 67%  
88 21% 62% Median
89 4% 41%  
90 24% 37%  
91 7% 13%  
92 1.2% 7%  
93 3% 5%  
94 1.4% 3%  
95 0.5% 1.3%  
96 0.2% 0.8%  
97 0.5% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.6% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.4%  
77 0% 99.3%  
78 2% 99.3%  
79 0.4% 97%  
80 1.0% 97%  
81 0.3% 96%  
82 3% 96%  
83 12% 93%  
84 10% 81%  
85 9% 71% Majority
86 3% 63%  
87 20% 60% Median
88 8% 39%  
89 22% 32%  
90 4% 9%  
91 1.1% 5%  
92 3% 4%  
93 0.4% 1.2%  
94 0.2% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.6%  
96 0.5% 0.5%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0.5% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.5%  
75 0.2% 99.3%  
76 0.4% 99.2%  
77 3% 98.7%  
78 1.1% 96%  
79 4% 95%  
80 22% 91%  
81 8% 68%  
82 20% 61% Median
83 3% 40%  
84 9% 37%  
85 10% 28% Majority
86 12% 19%  
87 2% 7%  
88 0.8% 4%  
89 0.5% 3%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0% 0.7%  
92 0% 0.7%  
93 0.6% 0.6%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.5% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.4%  
74 0.5% 99.2%  
75 1.5% 98.7%  
76 3% 97%  
77 1.2% 95%  
78 7% 93%  
79 24% 87%  
80 4% 63%  
81 21% 59% Median
82 5% 38%  
83 15% 33%  
84 8% 18%  
85 4% 10% Majority
86 3% 6%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.2% 1.1%  
89 0.2% 0.9%  
90 0% 0.7%  
91 0.6% 0.6%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 4% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 96%  
74 0.7% 95%  
75 1.3% 95%  
76 4% 93%  
77 9% 89%  
78 20% 80%  
79 19% 60% Median
80 21% 40%  
81 3% 19%  
82 5% 15%  
83 6% 10%  
84 1.3% 5%  
85 1.2% 3% Majority
86 0.4% 2%  
87 0.8% 2%  
88 1.0% 1.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0.5% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.5%  
71 0.7% 99.3%  
72 1.1% 98.6%  
73 1.4% 98%  
74 2% 96%  
75 2% 94%  
76 7% 92%  
77 26% 85%  
78 3% 59%  
79 2% 56% Median
80 35% 55%  
81 5% 20%  
82 7% 14%  
83 5% 8%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.1% 0.3% Majority
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.6% 100%  
67 0% 99.4%  
68 0% 99.4%  
69 2% 99.4%  
70 2% 97%  
71 0.3% 95%  
72 0.7% 95%  
73 6% 94%  
74 3% 88%  
75 23% 85%  
76 3% 62%  
77 2% 59% Median
78 39% 57%  
79 4% 18%  
80 7% 15%  
81 3% 7%  
82 2% 5%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.3% 1.3%  
85 0.9% 1.0% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 2% 99.7%  
69 1.2% 97%  
70 2% 96%  
71 0.8% 94%  
72 10% 93% Last Result
73 9% 83%  
74 22% 74%  
75 3% 52% Median
76 12% 49%  
77 6% 37%  
78 25% 31%  
79 2% 6%  
80 1.3% 4%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.6% 0.9%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.6% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.4%  
66 2% 99.3%  
67 0.6% 98%  
68 0.2% 97%  
69 2% 97%  
70 0.6% 95%  
71 1.4% 94%  
72 15% 93%  
73 4% 78%  
74 12% 74%  
75 4% 62%  
76 3% 58% Median
77 40% 55%  
78 6% 15%  
79 5% 10%  
80 0.5% 4%  
81 2% 4%  
82 0.2% 1.2%  
83 0.4% 1.0%  
84 0.5% 0.6%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.6% 99.9%  
65 0.5% 99.3%  
66 1.0% 98.8%  
67 8% 98%  
68 2% 90%  
69 23% 88%  
70 7% 66%  
71 15% 58% Median
72 23% 44%  
73 3% 20%  
74 8% 18%  
75 2% 10%  
76 2% 8%  
77 0.6% 5%  
78 1.4% 5%  
79 3% 3%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 3% 99.6%  
60 3% 97%  
61 1.0% 94%  
62 7% 93%  
63 17% 86%  
64 26% 69% Median
65 4% 43%  
66 2% 39%  
67 27% 37%  
68 4% 10%  
69 2% 6%  
70 0.8% 4%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.3% 2%  
73 0.3% 2%  
74 1.0% 1.2%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 3% 99.6%  
58 3% 97%  
59 0.9% 94%  
60 7% 94%  
61 11% 87%  
62 10% 75%  
63 25% 65% Median
64 4% 40%  
65 4% 36%  
66 26% 32%  
67 2% 6%  
68 2% 5%  
69 0.5% 3%  
70 0.8% 2%  
71 0.6% 1.4%  
72 0.1% 0.8%  
73 0.5% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 2% 99.9%  
54 0.6% 98%  
55 0.7% 98%  
56 0.2% 97%  
57 0.4% 97%  
58 3% 96%  
59 3% 93%  
60 4% 90%  
61 35% 86% Last Result
62 13% 50%  
63 1.2% 38% Median
64 5% 36%  
65 6% 32%  
66 4% 26%  
67 19% 22%  
68 0.4% 2%  
69 2% 2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.6% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.4%  
53 0.2% 99.3%  
54 2% 99.1%  
55 0.7% 97%  
56 2% 96%  
57 7% 94%  
58 4% 86%  
59 18% 82%  
60 3% 64%  
61 4% 61% Median
62 22% 57%  
63 5% 35%  
64 26% 31%  
65 1.4% 5%  
66 0.4% 3%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0.5% 0.7%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.4% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.6%  
30 1.3% 99.4%  
31 2% 98%  
32 2% 96%  
33 4% 94%  
34 2% 90%  
35 4% 88%  
36 17% 84%  
37 42% 67% Median
38 2% 25%  
39 5% 23%  
40 12% 19%  
41 3% 7%  
42 2% 4%  
43 0.2% 1.2%  
44 0.2% 1.1%  
45 0.7% 0.9%  
46 0.2% 0.2%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 1.1% 100%  
16 0.7% 98.9%  
17 2% 98%  
18 6% 96%  
19 19% 91%  
20 0.7% 72%  
21 5% 71%  
22 10% 66%  
23 10% 56% Median
24 8% 46%  
25 14% 38%  
26 22% 25%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.6% 1.0%  
29 0.2% 0.5%  
30 0.2% 0.3%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations